NAS100 Will Go Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 21,208.3.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 19,875.4 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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NDQ100 trade ideas
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Swing-low support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 20,877.40 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 20,640.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 21,243.05 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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NAS100USD: SMT Divergence Signals Reversal from Discount PricingGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis, we are closely monitoring NAS100USD for a potential reversal of bearish institutional order flow. While the broader trend has been bearish, current price action presents strong confluence for a bullish shift, suggesting an opportunity to align with a possible upside move.
Market Context:
NAS100USD is currently trading in deep discount territory, which historically presents favorable conditions for institutional accumulation. We’ve observed a liquidity sweep—price took out previous sell stops—suggesting institutions may have order-paired against willing sellers at these discounted levels.
Key Observations:
SMT Divergence with S&P500: While the S&P500 took out its previous low, NAS100USD remained above its corresponding low. This divergence signals underlying strength and institutional buying on NAS100USD, offering a strong indication of a reversal.
Bullish Structure Hints: Minor breaks in market structure to the upside are emerging, further validating the bullish narrative.
Institutional Support Zone: Price is currently trading inside a bullish order block that is also aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG)—a strong confluence zone that may act as support for continued upside movement.
Trading Strategy:
Await confirmation of support holding within the order block and FVG zone.
Target 1: Relatively equal highs just above current price action—an engineered liquidity pool where buy stops are likely resting.
Target 2: The premium FVG, a key area of institutional interest where longs accumulated at a discount will be offloaded for profit. The area of fair value is an region where the institutions start to book their profits.
By reading the divergence, price action, and institutional behavior, we can strategically position ourselves to capitalize on a high-probability reversal.
Happy Trading,
The Architect 🏛📊
NAS 100 I Cautiously Bullish Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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A Nasdaq Black Hole - Unprecendented yes, Impossible no Before anyone says anything...yes Elliot Waves are completely subjective BUT IMHO i have drawn these correctly....
The NAS made a violent move from 22100 down 16300 in a very short space of time. So what? It will just make another ATH right?
Well, of course. It almost certainly will, the real question is when. If this pattern plays out, it won't be in 2025.
After every impulse on any timeframe, long or short, you'd naturally expect a pullback.
However, not all pullbacks are the same. Usually, the first significant pullback for a corrective wave is no more than 50%.
However, if you have a pullback that is 61.8% or more, it is usually considered an impulsive wave.
What the difference? Corrective waves have3 waves, ultimately trending in one direction, and impulsive waves have 5 waves trending in one direction.
If the Nasdaq falls beneath 20900, with increasing volume, this will signify confirmation to me at least, that we could be starting one of the most violent impulsive bearish waves in the history of financial markets.
Nasdaq - The final bullrun breakout!Nasdaq - TVC:NDQ - might break above all structure:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is quite incredible how volatile stocks have been lately, especially considering that fact that the Nasdaq is about to create new all time highs again. Consequently, we are about to witness a significant structure breakout, which would ultimately lead to another rally of about +30%.
Levels to watch: $21.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
US1001. I analyzed the U.S. 100 (Nasdaq) and identified a breakout setup.
2. A buy call was placed after confirmation of the breakout above a key resistance level.
3. Both Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels have been clearly mentioned.
4. The entry was based on a clean breakout with momentum, aligned with the overall trend.
US 100 – Further Moves Await NVIDIA Earnings UpdateGlobal stock indices have reacted positively at the start of this new trading week to President Trump’s decision to extend a deadline which would impose a tariff of 50% on EU goods imported into the US from June 1st to July 9th.
Taken alongside a new willingness being signalled from the EU side to speed the negotiating process along in key areas, means trader hopes have increased that a deal between the first and third largest of the world’s economies can be agreed in principle within the allotted time.
Focusing on US stock indices, the US 100 has risen 2.4% this week, taking it only a small step away from its recent highs at 21493 seen on May 20th. However, later today, the rally is about to face possibly its biggest challenge of the week in the form of earnings from the second biggest company on the planet ($3.3 trillion mkt cap) and AI bellwether NVIDIA, which are released after the market close.
Traders will not only be looking to judge company’s actual performance against expectations but will be eager to receive updates on the impact of President Trump’s tariffs on future revenue, chip deals with the Middle East, competition and its outlook for AI demand moving forward.
Answers to these questions and others may well impact sentiment towards technology stocks and the US 100 moving into the end of the week, and month, on Friday.
With increased volatility a possibility, knowing the technical outlook can also be helpful.
Technical Update: Focus on the May Highs at 21493
While last week did see correction themes develop within the US 100 index, there appears to be no clear-cut signs of a negative sentiment shift yet, as fresh buying developed above support provided by the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 20772 (see chart below).
However, looking forward, if the NVIDIA earnings prompt an increase in US 100 price volatility, what are the levels traders may be watching for clues to the next directional themes?
Potential Support Levels:
It is possible the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 20772, represents a first support for traders, and as such, closing breaks below this level might lead to a more extended phase of price weakness.
Such moves while not a guarantee of declines, could lead to a deeper sell-off towards 20001, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April 21st to May 20th 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance Levels:
With this week seeing fresh price strength emerge from above the rising Bollinger mid-average, a positive price pattern of higher highs and higher lows, may still be evident. This reflects buyers currently being willing to pay higher prices, each time a setback materialises.
However, to maintain this uptrend pattern in price, the focus could now be on resistance provided by the May high at 21493 (May 20th), with closing breaks above this level required to suggest further strength might then be on the cards, towards what could prove to be the next potential resistance level at 22226, which is the February 18th 2025 all-time high.
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US100 4HAs expected from last week’s analysis , the market reacted and dropped.
Right now, multiple scenarios can play out, but based geometric analysis, the most likely one is a continuation of the bearish structure unless 21200 is broken.
Confirmation for further downside is a clean break below 20770.
Failure to break this level would invalidate the bearish outlook.
Downside targets:
20500
20330
20000
If there’s strong selling pressure, even a deeper correction toward 19000 is possible — but only valid if price returns with strong bullish rejection.
Otherwise, holding below 19000 would confirm a deeper bearish move (which I personally don’t expect for now).
US100 INDEX TRADE IDEA 27 MAY 2025The US100 index is currently demonstrating strong bullish momentum, underpinned by both Smart Money Concepts and supportive market fundamentals. From an SMC perspective, the index recently completed a clear shift in market structure following a major sell-side liquidity sweep below the 16,000 region in April. This move tapped into a long-term demand zone and a bullish order block before sharply reversing upward. The subsequent rally broke the previous bearish structure from February to April, indicating a clear change in sentiment and suggesting that institutional players have re-accumulated positions. Price action reinforces this outlook through a breakout from a falling wedge pattern followed by a bullish continuation channel. The current structure shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, with price consolidating just above a key short-term demand zone near the 21,000 mark. This consolidation phase could represent a reaccumulation before a continuation toward the next liquidity targets.
The technical setup suggests a long opportunity with an entry zone between 21,000 and 21,100, targeting the next major resistance levels at 22,134 and 22,524. A protective stop loss can be placed just below the recent swing low or order block around 20,113, ensuring invalidation only if the bullish structure breaks. From a fundamental standpoint, mid-2025 has been favorable to tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, as investors anticipate potential Federal Reserve rate cuts later in the year. Inflation has shown signs of easing, and corporate earnings in the tech sector have continued to outperform expectations, boosting investor sentiment. The broader macroeconomic landscape remains supportive, with resilient labor markets and improving risk appetite driving capital back into equities. With these tailwinds and a technically sound chart setup, the US100 presents a compelling swing long opportunity.
NAS100 at Critical Supply Zone – Is a Major Reversal Brewing?The NAS100 (US100) just tapped a key supply zone around 21,250, showing strong signs of overhead resistance. This is the same area that previously triggered sharp rejections – and we’re back there again.
What I'm watching:
Price Action is currently reacting to a visible supply zone (highlighted in blue).
If the market fails to break above 21,250, I expect a potential rejection leading to:
First support zone: 17,064
Second deeper target: 12,588 (strong demand zone highlighted in orange).
Bearish Outlook Triggers:
Daily close below 20,900
Increased sell volume at resistance
Failure to form higher highs
Bullish Invalidator:
Clean breakout and retest above 21,250 with momentum
My Plan:
Watching for short signals near resistance with tight SL above 21,400. TP zones set around 17k and 12.5k if weakness confirms.
Technical Confluence:
Previous highs acting as resistance
Supply & demand zones (LuxAlgo VR)
Bearish divergence forming on RSI (not shown here but visible on lower TFs)
What do you think? Will NAS100 break out or is a deep correction coming?
#US100 #NASDAQ #Indices #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #TradingStrategy #ReversalSetup #SmartMoney #BearishBias
NASDAQ got the 4H MA50 confirmation it neededNasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 21 bottom and last week it unfolded its latest technical Bearish Leg.
As the 4H RSI bottomed on the 30.00 oversold barrier and the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross, that Leg bottomed and today the index gave the confirmation of the new Bullish Leg by breaking above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
This is similar to the April 21 bottom, so we expect at least a minimum of +9.18% rise on the current Bullish Leg, which gives a 22500 short-term Target.
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Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Bullish Breakout )Nas100 Chart / Opportunity
🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 21300 Zone ( Break Out Done )
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Bullish Breakout )
NASDAQ: Needs to reclaim the 4H MA50.Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.436, MACD = 467.180, ADX = 28.529) as it maintains its long term bullish trend through the Channel Up pattern, which recently is transitioning into a Rising Wedge. We are willing to turn bullish again upon a 4H candle closing over the 4H MA50 and aim for a +11.17% rise (TP = 23,000) on the HH trendline, like the April 21st rebound did.
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Tariff timeline: how Trump’s shifts hit the Nasdaq 100This chart tracks key US tariff decisions and rhetoric from February to May 2025 and their direct impact on the Nasdaq 100. It highlights the sharp escalation in tariffs against China and other trade partners, followed by market volatility and brief rebounds tied to policy softening. Notable events include the April 2 national emergency, China’s retaliation, and the May 12 tariff pause deal. The Nasdaq’s movements mirror investor reactions to uncertainty, diplomatic signals, and easing measures, showing how trade policy remains a major force behind short-term equity market swings.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 21030 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 21215 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 21000
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 21050
Strong Rejection from 21210 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 21100 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 21200 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 21050 – Liquidity Engineered
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )
Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Bullish Breakout )🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 21290 Zone ( Break Out Done )
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 21300
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 21000
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 21250 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 21150 – Liquidity Engineered
This is why I am still Bullish until then The way I have been counting the market since march 23 th 2020 low this was the Bullish count . A diagonal I can come up with a lot of targets . I rather wait till I have 5 up I still think we break just above the BB bands we sure did at the low 4835 = was .786the wave 2 drop on Pct basis and was equal to on points . Best trades Wavetimer!
Going short on the Nasdaq 100CAPITALCOM:US100
The Nasdaq 100 has moved up impulsively on a 5-wave move over the past 6 weeks, which is very bullish long term. However, in the short term, it is overextended, with the RSI indicator over the 70 level.
I expect it to decline over the next couple of weeks to the area marked in the green rectangle, between the 50% and the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level.
I hope you find this interesting.
Good luck to you