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NDQ100 trade ideas

Uncertainty and Bearish Pressure: U.S. Equities Under TrumpU.S. equities are facing a significantly more challenging landscape than initially anticipated with the arrival of Donald Trump's new administration in 2025. Contrary to some initial expectations, which foresaw a favorable environment for stock market growth driven by lower regulations and a more lenient tax policy, markets are experiencing strong bearish pressures, with the Nasdaq 100 officially entering correction territory after falling more than 10% from its recent highs. The root of this decline lies primarily in the deep uncertainty created by the lack of clarity and consistency in the government's trade policies. Although the stated goal is to revitalize domestic industry and manufacturing through protectionist tariffs, its implementation has been chaotic and contradictory, leaving investors paralyzed, unable to plan strategic investments due to constant changes in government decisions. In fact, one could argue that trade uncertainty might have been less damaging if tariffs had been clearly introduced from the outset and then gradually removed through diplomatic negotiations, thus avoiding the current climate of indecision. Adding to this is the pressure stemming from government plans to significantly reduce the federal workforce, heightening fears of a prolonged economic stagnation, especially after President Trump recently failed to publicly rule out a possible recession during this period, which he himself described as a "transition". Additionally, U.S. equities, which had relied heavily on the strong performance of big tech companies—particularly those boosted by advancements in artificial intelligence—are now facing increasing competition from China, a factor that threatens to erode North America's technological supremacy and further pressure the already lofty valuations of these companies. Looking ahead, a key factor in all this will be the Federal Reserve's response. Although the central bank has pledged caution in its monetary policy, the economic reality we appear to be heading toward could open the door for additional interest rate cuts, provided that tariff uncertainties do not trigger new inflationary pressures. The evolution of these tariffs and the clarity the Trump administration can provide will be crucial in determining the future direction of the markets. In summary, the initial promise of growth under the new presidential term has been overshadowed by trade and economic uncertainties, which now dominate investors' agendas. The recent market performance underscores that uncertainty is, perhaps, the greatest enemy of stock market growth at this moment. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
Hanzo l Nas100 Structure Shatters - Key Break Confirms the Path🆚 Gold – The Way of the Silent Blade ⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate. We do not react—we execute. Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword. 🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward. 🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters Key Break Confirms the Path – 19970 Zone our reversal always at key level even a reversal area is well studded reasons Liquidity Swwep liquidity / choch key level / multi retest before weekly / monthly zone 🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set. Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
2
potential NASDAQ bearish reversal in the makingThe Nasdaq appears to be showing signs of a bearish reversal as technical and macroeconomic factors align against further upside. After a strong rally, the index is encountering key resistance, prompting concerns among traders about the sustainability of the recent gains. A pinbar candlestick pattern has emerged, signaling potential downside as buyers fail to sustain momentum. Historically, such formations indicate a rejection of higher prices, often leading to further declines. Additionally, selling pressure on rallies suggests that market participants are taking profits rather than betting on continued strength. From a momentum perspective, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is beginning to roll over, hinting at a potential shift in trend. If this bearish momentum continues, the Nasdaq could face increased selling pressure in the coming sessions. Beyond technicals, fundamental factors are adding to the uncertainty. The announcement of new tariffs under former President Donald Trump’s trade policies is weighing on market sentiment. Moreover, while Federal Reserve rate cuts are traditionally viewed as bullish, historical data suggests that in some cases, they coincide with economic slowdowns, leading to weaker market conditions. Looking at key downside levels, support can be found at 18,400, where buyers might attempt to stabilize the market. A break below this level could accelerate losses toward 16,500, a critical zone where stronger buying interest may emerge. Traders should closely monitor price action and market reactions at these levels. Confirmation of bearish signals and continued weakness in bullish sentiment could pave the way for a more extended correction. Caution is advised, with risk management strategies essential for navigating the potential downturn.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by fwalbaum
1
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - NDXGood Morning, Those of you following the market would have seen that something in the world was going to happen. Yep we have it....trade war. The market is a great predictor at investor confidence which typically means - what is going on in the world to affect their assets. Right now we have a leg down in the NDX also in SPX & other American/Markets. The uncertainty of the trade war is causing investors to 2nd guess where they are putting their money. Currently on this chart we are seeing a bottom start to form - You will never be able to call a bottom 100% but can get close. This would be a good spot to start accumulating stocks that are matching the trend patterns of the market. Be careful, if this is only a corrective action it would go down after its reached target, again a time to sell your stocks and wait to see where it drops. It could also reach target and consolidate which would be a great area to review trades and see what you want to keep and those you may want to sell for profits. Thanks and have a great day!
FX:NAS100Long
by mindfullylost
Will the stock market turn positive again?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, we can look for further buying opportunities in Nasdaq. A break of the resistance range and the channel ceiling will also cause the Nasdaq to continue its short-term upward trend. In February 2025, the U.S. labor market grew at a slower pace than anticipated. According to published data, non-farm employment increased by 151,000 jobs in January, while expectations were set at 160,000.This indicates that while job growth continues, its momentum has been weaker than projected. The unemployment rate rose to 4.1% in February, slightly above the expected 4%. Meanwhile, labor force participation declined by 0.2 percentage points to 62.4%. Average hourly earnings increased by 0.3% during the month, aligning with forecasts. On an annual basis, wage growth reached 4%, slightly below the estimated 4.1%. Among various sectors, the highest job gains were recorded in healthcare (52,000 jobs), finance (21,000 jobs), and local government (20,000 jobs). Employment also rose in construction, transportation, social assistance, and manufacturing. Conversely, some industries experienced job losses. The hospitality sector shed 16,000 jobs, retail lost 6,000, and the federal government reduced employment by 10,000 positions. Additionally, temporary jobs declined by 12,000, signaling a potential slowdown in economic growth. Overall, the report suggests that while the U.S. labor market remains stable, certain indicators, such as rising unemployment and a decline in full-time jobs, may point to a deceleration in economic expansion. Following the report’s release, the U.S. dollar weakened slightly, but the market reaction was muted due to prior concerns over a more significant decline. Hassett, the White House economic advisor, stated that future reports are likely to show further reductions in government employment. He emphasized the administration’s plan to cut government jobs and spending while boosting employment in the manufacturing sector. He also confirmed that tariffs are inevitable, arguing that such measures will support the expected 3% to 4% economic growth. Hassett expressed doubt that President Trump would grant exemptions for steel tariffs. As investors try to adjust to Trump’s evolving trade policies, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for February is set to be released on Wednesday. Given the recent Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index data from January, it is possible that CPI could be entering a new downward trend. The Federal Reserve’s battle against inflation remains challenging, and the recent rise in price pressures has undoubtedly been frustrating for policymakers. However, signs indicate that U.S. inflation may be shifting course, with expectations of a decline in the coming months. One major uncertainty remains: tariffs. Trump’s decision to impose a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican imports and a 20% increase on Chinese goods, along with additional sector-specific and retaliatory tariffs still under discussion, could undermine the Fed’s efforts to bring inflation down to 2%. In January, the overall CPI climbed to 3%, marking its highest level since June 2024. Core inflation also reached 3.3%. However, February’s data is expected to ease months of concern about inflationary resurgence, with projections indicating a decline in overall CPI to 2.9% and core inflation to 3.1%. Monthly estimates for both indices stand at 0.3%. Later in the week, Thursday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) for February will provide further insights into inflationary pressures, while on Friday, investors will closely monitor the University of Michigan’s preliminary consumer sentiment survey for March. Last month’s survey raised alarms, as consumer inflation expectations climbed to their highest level in 30 years.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
$NAS100 No fear, bear market is hereThe Nasdaq has officially entered a bear market, dropping from its recent high amid rising interest rates, inflation fears, and slowing economic growth. Tech stocks, which drove the market’s previous gains, are now leading the decline, with major companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Tesla seeing sharp losses. Investor sentiment remains cautious as uncertainty surrounds Federal Reserve policy and global economic conditions. While some see this as a time for caution, others view it as an opportunity to buy strong companies at discounted prices. Volatility is expected to continue as the market searches for stability in the coming months. InverseTomPip
FX:NAS100Short
by InverseTomPip
SPY and QQQ at MAJOR LevelsThe charts shown are highlighting the 12 month periodic volume profile chart. Currently, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are bouncing off major 2024 value areas. Nasdaq 100: Last week we can see how bulls lost the 2024 value area high (VAH) and couldn't reclaim. As a result we swiftly moved down to the point of control (POC) where we found buyers show up. S&P 500: Coincidently, the S&P 500 moved down to the 2024 VAH where it also found buyers show up. Moving Forward: These areas remain very important and should be monitored going forward. If a bounce is to happen here, bulls would like to see the Nasdaq reclaim the 2024 VAH and even work back into the current 2025 VAL.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Bulls_Brew
NQ: Upcoming weekly analysis!FA Analysis: 1- Last week macro economic data came +/- inline which did not help to resolve the UNCERYTAINTY. 2- Trump tariffs flip plop confirmed the uncertainty. 3- This week, we have Job Jolts, CPI. PPI and Consumer confidence; they're all key data to resolve the uncertainty. Inline data won't help; we need an overshoot or undershoot. So until data news, price will continue in the consolidation and accumulation. TA Analysis: Weekly TF: We got a clear bearish close with a somewhat large wick. With the uncertainty context until Tuesday and Wednesday, price might move up to retest 20627. as shown in the chart. Daily TF: From daily perspective, we got a bullish close after price was rejected at Weekly support. Hence, I see price moving up toward 20529-20627. The chart shows the uncertainty via Extensions (represented by E in the chart). Price was unable to close below 20529 for 6 days creating extensions but no break. This tells you the battle between buyers and sellers to break or reject that level. All were fueled by inline data and tariffs flip plop. As a conclusion, I think the break down is not a question of IF but WHEN. Happy green week Everyone!
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by OTM-Fadhl