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US30 trade ideas

US30 (Dow Jones) – 16 May 2025 Update📊 US30 (Dow Jones) – 16 May 2025 Update 🚨 Dow Jones just bounced cleanly off the 20 EMA and is now attempting to break through 42,400 resistance 📈 🔎 Technical Breakdown: 📍 Current Price: 42,338 🧭 Key Resistance: 42,400 ✅ Strong bounce from 41,800 zone 📊 EMAs sloped up, confirming bullish momentum This looks like a bullish retest and continuation setup 🔁. Price had a healthy pullback, tapped dynamic support, and now buyers are stepping back in. 🔥 Key Scenarios: Bullish case 🟢: Break + close above 42,400 = potential leg up toward 42,600–42,800 EMAs in bullish alignment = trend continuation likely Bearish case 🔴: Rejection + close back below 42,200 = retest of 41,800–41,600 support Would still be a buy-the-dip zone for now 🧠 Pro Tip: ➡️ Don’t short a trending market just because it “looks high” ➡️ Let structure guide you, not emotion ➡️ Tight consolidations near highs = strength 💪
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey
1
US30 Footprint Update | May 29, 2025We're witnessing a clear shift in order flow dynamics on the 1H footprint chart. 🔻 Earlier in the session, sellers were firmly in control with heavy negative delta and large sell imbalances between 42,280–42,120. 🔄 Key Change: Around 42,088–42,177, aggressive selling was absorbed, followed by a strong bullish delta of +125 and increasing buyer interest in the following candles. Volume has flipped in favor of buyers. 📈 Current Price: Holding around 42,191.50, just below the key resistance zone of 42,231. A clean break and acceptance above this level could confirm a bullish shift toward 42,280–42,300. 🧠 What I’m Watching: Break and hold above 42,231 = long continuation Failure to sustain = possible retest of 42,177 or lower support 🎯 Volume and delta are aligning in favor of bulls — let’s see if they can take control.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by PIPSPHERE_NETWORK
DowJones INTRADAY important resistance retest Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 42,920 Resistance Level 2: 43,300 Resistance Level 3: 43,620 Support Level 1: 41,470 Support Level 2: 41,160 Support Level 3: 40,890 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
US30Correlation Between US30, 10-Year Bond Yields, Bond Prices, and DXY 1. Bond Prices vs. Yields Inverse Relationship: Bond prices and yields move inversely. When bond prices rise, yields fall, and vice versa. Example: If the 10-year Treasury bond price drops (due to selling pressure), its yield rises to attract buyers. Current 10-year yield: 4.54% (as of May 21, 2025). 2. 10-Year Yield vs. DXY (US Dollar Index) Typical Positive Correlation: Higher yields attract foreign capital into USD-denominated assets, strengthening the dollar (DXY↑). Recent Divergence: A rising 10-year yield paired with a weakening DXY may signal market skepticism about Fed policy or risk aversion (e.g., investors favor Treasuries as safe havens despite lower yields). Example: If yields rise due to inflation fears without economic growth, DXY may weaken as traders doubt the Fed’s ability to sustain rate hikes. 3. DXY vs. US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) Inverse Correlation: A weaker dollar (DXY↓) often supports equity indices like US30, as multinational companies benefit from cheaper exports and higher overseas earnings. Exceptions: In risk-off environments, a stronger dollar (DXY↑) may coincide with equity sell-offs as investors flee to safe-haven assets. 4. 10-Year Yield vs. US30 Mixed Relationship: Negative: Rising yields can pressure equities (US30↓) as higher borrowing costs reduce corporate profits and make bonds more attractive. Positive: Yields rising due to growth optimism may lift stocks (US30↑) if earnings expectations improve. 5. Yield Curve Dynamics (30-10 Year Spread) Current Spread: 0.51% (30-year yield: 4.94%, 10-year yield: 4.43%). Implications: A widening spread (30-year > 10-year) suggests long-term growth/inflation expectations. A flattening/inverted spread signals economic uncertainty or recession fears. Summary Table of Relationships Factor Relationship with DXY Relationship with US30 10-Year Yield ↑ Typically ↑ (if growth-driven) ↓ (if rate-driven) / ↑ (if growth-driven) Bond Prices ↑ ↓ (yields fall, USD less attractive) ↑ (cheaper borrowing) DXY ↑ — Typically ↓ (hurts exports) 30-10 Spread Widens Neutral ↑ (growth optimism) Key Scenarios Risk-On Environment: DXY↓ + US30↑ + Yields↑ (growth optimism). Example: Weaker dollar boosts equities despite rising yields. Risk-Off Environment: DXY↑ + US30↓ + Yields↓ (safe-haven demand for bonds and USD). Policy Divergence: Yields↑ + DXY↓ (markets doubt Fed’s ability to sustain hikes despite inflation). Conclusion The interplay between US30, bond yields, prices, and DXY is dynamic and context-dependent: Yield-DXY Link: Normally positive but can diverge during policy uncertainty or risk aversion. DXY-US30 Link: Typically inverse but influenced by macroeconomic drivers. Yield Curve: A widening 30-10 spread supports growth optimism, while flattening signals caution. Traders must monitor Fed policy, inflation data, and risk sentiment to navigate these correlations effectively.
FX:US30Long
by Shavyfxhub
US30 Trading Plan – Bearish Outlook Following Support BreakThe US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is currently exhibiting a bearish trend, having recently broken below a key support level. This breakdown signals potential further downside momentum, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. Technical Analysis Summary: Trend: Bearish Breakdown Confirmation: Price has closed below the previous support level, confirming a breakdown and potential trend continuation. Entry Signal: Entry positions can be considered on a retest of the broken support level, now acting as resistance, or upon confirmation of continued selling pressure. Profit Targets: Target 1: The first profit target is set at the next significant support zone, which has historically acted as a demand area. Target 2: The second profit target is located at a lower, more established support level, providing a deeper downside opportunity if bearish momentum persists. Risk Management: Stop-Loss: A stop-loss should be placed above the newly formed resistance level (formerly support) to protect against false breakouts and trend reversals. Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1–2% of account equity per trade to maintain proper risk management. Trade Rationale: The breakdown of the support level on US30 suggests increased selling pressure and the potential for a continuation of the downward trend. By identifying two profit targets, this plan allows for partial profit-taking at the first support level and full exit or trailing stop at the second, depending on price action and market conditions.
FX:US30Short
by tzusun
WHY I THINK US30 WILL BUY INSTEAD OF SELL🔥 Bias: Bullish continuation 🕒 Timeframe: 60-minute 💎 Instrument: US30 (Dow Jones) 1️⃣ Volume Profile Context POC (Fair Value): ~41,680 HVN (Acceptance): 41,660–41,700 LVN (Balance Break): 41,540–41,600 2️⃣ Footprint Signals Seller Imbalances in the 13:00 & 14:00 candles (Δ–159 @ 9.13K & Δ–121 @ 7.97K) – Price didn’t drop, closed near highs → Supply absorbed Absorption above 41,700 shows hidden bid 3️⃣ Structure & Key Zones Higher highs & higher lows intact since the 07:00–08:00 low. Buy zone / demand: 41,400–41,500 (strong initiative buying & positive deltas) Support to hold: 41,660–41,680 (POC / HVN) ▶️ Trade Plan Entry: On pullback to 41,660–41,680 (POC support) Stop: Below 41,640 (below LVN) Target 1: 41,880 (previous high & volume shelf) Target 2: 41,920+ (upper HVN rejection zone) ✅ Confirmation: Look for bullish footprint bars (positive delta, absorption of sellers) at entry zone.
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by PIPSPHERE_NETWORK