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US Dollar Index Climbs to 101.00 as Powell Signals Rate CutsThe US Dollar Index (DXY) has risen close to the 101.00 level following remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who indicated that future rate cuts would be implemented gradually. This rise comes as no surprise, as the DXY has rebounded from a key demand area that was previously identified. According to the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, retail traders remain extremely bearish on the US Dollar, while institutional investors—often referred to as "smart money"—have shifted toward long positions, further supporting the currency's strength. This bullish sentiment in the US Dollar is reinforced by the fundamental backdrop. Today, the release of the ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS Job Openings reports could further fuel the DXY’s upward momentum. A positive outcome from these key economic indicators would indicate continued resilience in the US economy, bolstering expectations for the Fed to maintain its gradual approach to rate adjustments, which in turn supports the USD. The ISM Manufacturing PMI is a key gauge of the health of the manufacturing sector, and a strong reading would reflect ongoing economic expansion, likely pushing the DXY higher. Similarly, the JOLTS Job Openings data provides insights into labor market strength, and a robust figure would further cement the case for a stronger US Dollar. Technically, the DXY’s recovery from the demand area, combined with the shift in institutional positioning, points to a sustained bullish outlook for the US Dollar. With smart money moving to the long side and retailers still bearish, the DXY could continue its climb, especially if today's economic data aligns with market expectations. In conclusion, the US Dollar Index is experiencing a bullish run following Powell’s comments on gradual rate cuts, and the momentum is likely to be reinforced by positive ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS Job Openings data. As retail traders remain bearish and institutional investors shift toward the long side, the DXY could see further gains in the near term, particularly if economic data supports the Fed’s cautious but optimistic outlook.
TVC:DXYLong
by FOREXN1
7
DXY Sell this Oct-Nov dead-cat-bounce and target 97.000.Last time we looked into a such a long-term (multi-year) time-frame on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) was 10 months ago (December 15 2023, see chart below) where we gave the most optimal buy entry at the time: We now take it to the 1M time-frame where the long-term trend gets more clear and the pattern as you can see is a Channel Up since the March 2008 bottom (U.S. Housing Crisis). The most recent Higher High was back in September 2022 and since then the index has been on a decline in an attempt to form the bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up. As you can see, we are in the later stages of this (multi-year) Bearish Leg but last month (September) it hit its 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since January 2022 and held it. This is expected to delay the Lower Low for a while but most likely won't invalidate it as if it closes a 1M candle below it, we expect to test the bottom by Q2 2025. Both the Bearish and Bullish Phases seem to be consistent within this 16-year Channel Up, having a fair degree of symmetry. The Bearish Phases have previously come in the form of successive Channel Down patterns (dashed), so if this analogy continues to hold this time also, we should be half-way through the second currently. All those Channel Down patterns dropped to at least the 1.236 Fibonacci extension from the first pull-back they had. This consistency is remarkable. Such pattern suggests that after the current rebound is completed (technically it shouldn't exceed the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), the price could decline to 96.000. Our Target is a bit higher at 97.000, which would make an ideal Higher Low on this 16-year old Channel Up. After that, the confirmation to buy (which naturally will tell us that the bottom is already in) would be a 1M MACD Bullish Cross below the 0.0 mark. As you see, this took place 5 times these 16 years, all of which have been excellent buy entries with the lowest risk possible. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXY
by TradingShot
3
Levels discussed 2nd October2nd October DXY: Consolidating, could retrace to 101.10 (23.6%), looking to break above 101.40 and trade up to 101.80 (stay above 100.90 to maintain bullish) NZDUSD: Sell 0.6265 SL 20 TP 55 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6860 SL 20 TP 40 (forming H&S pattern) GBPUSD: Sell 1.3240 SL 30 TP 80 EURUSD: Sell 1.1045 SL 20 TP 40 USDJPY: Could continue ranging, Buy 144.80 SL 40 TP 120 USDCHF: Sell 0.8470 SL 15 TP 55 USDCAD: Buy 1.3475 SL 20 TP 60 Gold: Could trade up to 2665, could be held briefly along bearish trendline.
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
DeGRAM | DXY a pullback from the resistance levelDXY is moving above the descending channel between the trend lines. The price reached the resistance level, after which it instantly reacted with a decline. This level has already acted as an important resistance and a pullback point last time. The chart is moving from the upper trend line to the dynamic support. We expect the pullback to continue after retesting the resistance level. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
TVC:DXYShort
by DeGRAM
3
DeGRAM | DXY disruption of the descending structureDXY is moving in a descending channel above the trend lines. Having bounced off the support, the price broke the dynamic resistance and approached the upper boundary of the channel. The chart has broken the descending structure and is now above the resistance level. We expect the rebound to continue after consolidation above the upper boundary of the channel. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
TVC:DXYLong
by DeGRAM
1
DXY (Dollar Index) Technical Analysis and Day Trade Idea👀 👉 The DXY (Dollar Index) recently shifted into a bullish structure on the 4H timeframe, with price now approaching a key resistance level. This could present a potential short day trade opportunity. In this video, we analyse the DXY in detail, reviewing the trend, market structure, and price action, while exploring a possible trade setup. Disclaimer: Forex trading carries significant risk, and market conditions can change rapidly. The information provided is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. 📉✅
TVC:DXY
by tradingwithanthony
1
Will the escalation of the Middle East tension boost the dollar Macro theme: - The dollar strengthened after Fed Chair Jerome Powell struck a more hawkish tone last week, scaling back traders' expectations of another 0.50% rate cut at the next meeting. - The safe-haven demand following the possibility of Middle East escalation boosted the dollar. - The US Aug JOLTS data showed 329,000 more jobs, indicating a more robust labor market than anticipated. Technical theme: - From the 4-hour chart, DXY broke its Wedge pattern and closed above both EMAs with the golden cross. This indicates a potential recovery from its previous sideways-down trend. - If DXY breaks above 101.33, the index may strengthen to retest 101.80 resistance confluences with its descending trendline. - On the contrary, DXY may retest 100.90-101.00 before upward movement. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
TVC:DXYLong
by DatTong
DXY Major Support TestWe have a pretty interesting situation with fed fund futures moving all over the place. Lots of speculation about soft vs hard landing, speed of rate cuts, etc. I'm really not sure what I even think will happen to things like DXY and BTC in the near future, but I do know that TA says DXY should have support here and if it doesn't hold it's likely going to lead to more continuation down. This 100 area has been strong support since Feb 2023. This is the fifth or sixth test of this area in the last 18 months. Clearly an important spot. Either it's going to break 100 and accelerate to the downside or it's going to hold the current range. This is both horizontal support and the first retest of the big downtrend breakout from the high in 2022 we got back in April. That also happened to be during a time of war escalation fears from Iran's strikes. Seems likely we will see at least some sort of bounce, but this could be the time it breaks and it would probably be a big time break. DXY has been in this range from ~100-105 for over a year. It's gonna move quick if it does break down, I'm pretty sure of that much at least.
TVC:DXY
by AdvancedPlays