DXY - market structureDXY - market structure, long idea...use risk managment, i have some SL, a lot of BE and few target hit with big profit! risk and trade managment is the key !
USDX trade ideas
DeGRAM | DXY dollar in the turbulence zoneDXY is in a descending channel under the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel.
After breaking the trend line, the chart went sharply lower amid the announcement of trade duties, after which it formed a gap.
On the main timeframes indicators have gone into the oversold zone.
We expect that the index will seek to close the gap after testing the lower boundary of the channel.
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Potential Moves for DXYOn the H4 chart, DXY presents two potential paths. It appears that the bottom is in, as the price is painfully escaping a Wyckoff accumulation phase.
A key level to watch is 105.615, where a gap may need to be filled. Once this level is reached, the next move will depend on the retracement momentum. If bullish strength persists, DXY is likely to continue upward toward the 106.172 resistance level.
The broader market is feeling the impact of DXY’s movements, with all USD pairs experiencing pressure. Given the turbulent nature of exiting a Wyckoff phase, volatility should be expected.
⚠️ Risk Warning: These are my personal views, not financial advice (NFA). Trade carefully.
$DXY IdeaWhen analyzing the weekly DXY chart, we identify the presence of two CRTs: one bullish and one bearish. However, the bearish CRT has a low probability of success due to the candle formation and the fact that the price is still in a discounted region within the range.
Given this, our initial expectation is for the price to drop at the beginning of the week to seek liquidity in the equilibrium region of the daily range, which coincides with the 50% level of the bearish CRT. This movement may act as a correction within the predominant trend, pushing the price up toward the premium region of the weekly range. From that point, we will once again look for selling opportunities, as the market may resume its downward movement.
Based on this analysis, we initially seek selling opportunities down to the equilibrium region. Once this level is reached, we will wait for confirmation of a bullish reversal to look for buying opportunities up to the 50% mark of the bullish CRT.
My Analysis of the DXY ChartLooking at this chart, the DXY is moving within an ascending channel defined by the two white trendlines. Based on my analysis, there are a few key levels to watch, especially the Fibonacci retracement levels.
First, if the price starts to drop from the upper boundary of the channel, it is likely to retrace down to the 0.61 Fibonacci level. This is an important support zone, and the price might bounce back up from here.
However, if the 0.61 Fibonacci level doesn’t hold, the price could continue falling towards the 0.78 retracement level. This level is a much stronger support and could trigger a significant reversal if the price reaches it.
Finally, the lower boundary of the channel, marked by the white trendline, serves as the ultimate area of support. If the price falls this far, there’s a strong chance it will bounce back upward within the channel.
This analysis highlights the key zones where the price is likely to react and helps identify the next potential moves for the DXY
US DOLLAR UPDATE4H demand zone was reached, and price initially reacted strongly with a bullish close. However, buyers lacked momentum, and with fundamentals like Friday’s UoM data coming in lower than forecast, confidence in the economy weakened, leading to a drop.
From a technical standpoint, price will seek lower demand, but for shorts to be confirmed, the invalidation point must be broken, not just spiked. Let’s wait and see how the market unfolds.
Blessings,
T
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) - Bearish Breakdown or Reversal?📊 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) - 4H Chart Analysis
🔵 Supply Zone (104.400 - 104.683)
🟦 Resistance area where sellers may step in 📉
🟡 Key Level (~104.200)
🟧 Decision point – price struggling to hold this level
📉 Trend Line (Broken) 🔻
❌ Previous uptrend is broken, signaling potential bearish momentum
🟢 Demand Zone (103.200 - 103.400)
🟩 Support area where buyers may get active 📈
🚀 Potential Market Movement:
1️⃣ Bearish Breakdown Expected ⬇️
🔹 Price broke below trendline ➡️ selling pressure increasing
🔹 Possible pullback to key level (~104.200) before more downside
🔹 Targeting demand zone (~103.200-103.400) 🎯
2️⃣ Invalidation/Stop-Loss 🚫
🔺 If price moves back above 104.683, bearish setup is invalid
🔺 Stop-loss placed at 104.683 for risk management
🎯 Trading Strategy:
✅ Short Entry: After pullback near 104.200
🎯 Target: 103.200 demand zone
⚠️ Stop Loss: Above 104.683
DXY TO REGAIN BULLISH STRENGTH!DXY has been moving in a local channel indicating a short term bearish trend. What next do we expect especially as we saw a BETTER THAN EXPECTED NFP OUTCOME
From the technical standpoint, I anticipate a bullish sentiment to continue to grow till 106.591. If we’d get a break above the upper resistance of the descending channel, a buy opportunity is envisaged.
The DXY extends its decline, maintaining a bearish sentiment The DXY extends its decline, maintaining a bearish sentiment as it sweeps imbalances toward 100.370. Meanwhile, the gold market remains bullish, benefiting from the weakening dollar. Traders should watch for further downside in DXY and potential strength in gold FOLLOW FOR MORE INSIGHTS , COMMENT AND BOOST IDEA
WHAT WILL HAPPEN NEXT IN THE U.S. ECONOMY WHAT WILL HAPPEN NEXT IN THE U.S. ECONOMY
It’s the Dollar Index (DXY) forming a bottom on the D1 timeframe and adjusting upward to the 106 zone. Naturally, U.S. stock markets will experience positive growth again.
This is a signal for the rise of BTC and, conversely, a decline in gold prices. Gold will soon peak in this month of April, making way for the growth of DXY, BTC, U.S. stocks, and technology shares.
This is the art of capital flow within the economy, the financial environment, and the continuous rotation driven by market makers.
Good luck.
DXY Outlook: Will Trump’s Tariff Shock Fuel a Run to 106?DXY Technical Outlook – April Week 2
After Trump’s tariff announcement shook the markets last week, the Dollar Index (DXY) dropped sharply into an extreme daily demand zone (102.000–101.500) and responded with strong bullish pressure by Friday’s close.
If fear continues into Monday, DXY could extend higher. The key area to watch is 103.500, a solid resistance zone. A clean breakout above this level could trigger an aggressive rally toward 105.500–106.000, where major supply lies.
Bias: Bullish
Key Levels:
• Support: 102.000 – 101.500 (extreme demand zone)
• Resistance 1: 103.500
• Resistance 2: 105.500 – 106.000
This week, USD could be one of the strongest assets if risk-off sentiment continues and equity markets remain under pressure.
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Weekly forecast by Sphinx Trading
Let me know your bias in the comments.
#DXY #USD #DollarIndex #ForexAnalysis #SphinxWeekly #TrumpTariffs #RiskOff #MacroView
DXY Chart SummaryEh bro, this chart showing two roads for Dollar Index lah.
If price can break above that 100 level ah, then maybe will fly up to 92-94 area (last resistance zone).
But if kena reject at 100, then jialat, price can drop back down to 110 area again.
So now hor, this green box is the decision point — break or reject.
Wait for clear move first, don’t simply jump in."
