USDX trade ideas
Short swing trade set up developingI can see a good short trade opportunity developing.
1)The price sharply dropped below the major support/resistance zone around 107 area and retraced up gently within the ascending parallel channel to fill the fair value gap.
2)The current 4H candle is moving below the bottom parallel channel. (developing)
3) MACD is in the bear zone and it looks like it is about to cross to the downside (but not confirmed).
4) RSI is also in the bear zone and it is starting to cross to the downside.
Dollar Index - Trump & TariffsWith a lot of fundamental conflicts at play, one being the tariffs war on China, EU, Mexico and Canada (we don’t know yet if any more countries will be affected), we are seeing the result in price action.
We are trading in a range from 110.176 - 106.969 and so far, Dollar has managed to support the weekly BISI @ the 107.500 region but also trade up to and reject the 109.770 HTF PD array.
Ultimately, it will be fundamental news that will grant dollar the necessary volatility to run to liquidity pools. My guess, to the downside
DXY BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅DXY(Dollar Index) broke the
Key horizontal level around 107.800
And the breakout is confirmed so
We will be expecting a further
Bearish continuation
SHORT🔥
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DXY Week of 23 Feb 25: BullishFollowing the previous post, 24 Feb 25 may be the start of the bullish rally for DXY.
Possible Wyckoff Re-accumulation pattern
Falling Wedge hints bullish reversal
Liquidity Zone established
Plan to Long DXY and target for recent high, and stop loss at recent low. About 2.45 Reward:Risk Ratio
DEMAND SET UP .. dxy.. the inverse of eurusd. gbpusd. etc..we Bullish NOW, WE NEED PRICE BACK TO THis demand area on h1.. then we buy ..
when dxy is back up, eurusd returns bearish
DXY Weekly BiasMy bias for this index is bearish and the price might target the Sellside Liquidity at 105.4. My Optimum Trade Entry would be around the 107.28 Zone.
Trade Idea for U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Feb 19, 2025📌 Current Market Context
DXY is trading at 107.023 , slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (106.344).
This level is a key golden ratio support, where strong reversals often happen.
The uptrend from Sept 2024 suggests that bulls are still in control unless this retracement turns into a full reversal.
📈 Bullish Trade Idea (Buy Setup)
✅ Entry: Look for bullish price action (rejection wicks, engulfing candles, or a strong bounce) near 106.344 - 106.500 .
🎯 Targets:
Target 1 : 108.035 (78.6% Fib)
Target 2 : 110.189 (previous high)
📍 Stop-Loss: Below 105.800 (just under 61.8% retracement to avoid stop hunts).
📊 Risk/Reward: ~1:2 or better.
📉 Bearish Trade Idea (Sell Setup)
❌ Trigger: If DXY closes below 106.344 on a daily candle , it could signal further downside.
📉 Entry: Sell below 106.200 after confirmation.
🎯 Targets:
Target 1 : 105.156 (50% Fib)
Target 2 : 103.968 (38.2% Fib)
📍 Stop-Loss: Above 107.000 (to avoid fakeouts).
📊 Risk/Reward: 1:2 minimum.
🛠️ Risk Management Notes
Watch for fundamental news (FOMC, inflation data, rate decisions) that could cause volatility.
Use partial take profits to secure gains along the way.
If entering a buy trade, consider trailing stops once price reaches 108.035.
DXY short idea dxy has been bearish
price broke out of a strong area of support around the 107.480 region
we could anticipate a retest of 107.480 to go lower
or if price decides to respect current price of 107.070 which is aligned with H4 structure looking left, we could see her falling from that specific price
DXY short setup📉 USD Dollar Index (DXY) Short Setup 📉
Entry: Around $107.00
Stop Loss: $107.50 (Above resistance level)
Target: $106.00 (Support zone)
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.0
🔹 Potential breakdown of ascending trendline 📉
🔹 EMA alignment showing weakness 🔻
🔹 Rejection near key resistance level 🔴
Looking for confirmation for entry. Let me know your thoughts! 💬 #DXY #USDollar #Forex #Trading
#USDX 4HUSDX (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming a flag pattern, which is generally considered a continuation signal. This indicates that the market is in a consolidation phase after a strong move, and a breakout could lead to further bullish momentum.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise if the price breaks above the upper trendline of the flag pattern, confirming bullish strength.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a breakout above the flag pattern with strong volume.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the recent low to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next key resistance levels based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The flag pattern suggests that the market is pausing before continuing its upward move. Waiting for a confirmed breakout will help align with the prevailing trend and avoid false signals.
$DXY, $BTC, $XRP, Theory The TVC:DXY is in a spiralling downtrend which will cause CRYPTOCAP:BTC to pass its current ATH eventually topping again which will correlate with the TVC:DXY finding strong support between 103.6 and 104. The TVC:DXY will probably set a local range before eventually continuing on a bullish trajectory back toward 110+ ( *this will mark the end of the first half of the bull market * from Now - May)
Some event in May will cause the TVC:DXY rebound to 110+ during which time we will see a major market crash lasting from (May to July). However: From 110+ i suspect the TVC:DXY will see another major correction downward which will mark the final phase of the bullrun begining about June/July until only God knows when, but historical indicators point to around October/Nov for the top.
Unless CRYPTOCAP:BTC completely crashes on one of its famous bloody corrections and go to ZERO then, it MUST go above $200,000 This cycle.
Remember CRYPTOCAP:BTC floats all boats , so just imagine what price CRYPTOCAP:XRP and the broader digital currency market will be... gimmi your best guess!
DeGRAM | DXY retest of supportDXY is in a descending channel between trend lines.
The price is retesting the support level, which previously acted as a rebound point.
The chart keeps the descending structure.
We expect a correction in the channel after fixing above the important psychological level of 107.
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DXY aka USD daily chartUnless there is a big move down the bullish channel, the bias is still bullish in the longer term.
You never know, the "tariff" thing is still on going, just one sentence from trump could cause bulls to push it back up. For now it is work in progress.
DXYThe DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) measures the strength of the U.S. dollar against a basket of six major currencies: the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. It serves as a key indicator of the dollar’s value in global markets. The index tends to rise when the dollar strengthens and falls when it weakens. Major economic events, Federal Reserve policies, inflation data, and geopolitical developments significantly impact its movements. Traders and investors use the DXY to assess currency trends, hedge risks, and make informed decisions in forex and commodities markets.
DeGRAM | DXY retest of the trend lineDXY is in a descending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel and has already reached the dynamic support, which has previously acted as a rebound point twice.
The chart dropped below the 62% retracement level and afterwards formed a harmonic pattern and even though the descending structure has been maintained, the index has not yet formed a descending bottom.
We expect that after consolidation above 107.760 DXY may rise in the channel to the nearest resistance at 108.540.
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DeGRAM | DXY growth in the channelThe DXY is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel and dynamic support, which has already acted as a rebound point twice.
The chart has formed a harmonic pattern.
The index will continue to grow after consolidation above the 62% retracement level.
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US Dollar 2025 "Crash" The DXY (USD Index) has exhibited remarkable strength over the past few years, generating significant market volatility as it surges and retraces.
The dollar’s inverse relationship with global markets—when measured against USD—is undeniable. On a broader time frame, we can clearly identify inverse correlations between stock market troughs and peaks seen in the dollar.
Presently, I believe the dollar has completed a substantial rally reaching a peak at the 0.618 retracement level of the 2022 uptrend, just above 109. This level has now prompted a rejection.
When I observe this type of price action, I immediately consider the potential for a corrective 1-to 1 move downward. In essence, this suggests that the second leg of the decline may mirror the magnitude of the initial wave, forming an equal-length corrective move.
By utilizing the trend-based Fibonacci extension, we can identify a projected local low around 95, with this timeframe aligning with November 2025. Interestingly, historical data suggests that bull markets frequently reach their peaks toward the end of the year, often around November or December.
Should this correction materialize, it would likely serve as a highly bullish catalyst for broader markets—potentially fuelling one last major rally before a more pronounced pullback.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bullish Rebound from Trend LineThe Dollar Index has approached a key upward trend line.
After a sharp decline, the market seems overbought, and the formation of a cup and handle pattern suggests weakening selling pressure.
A retracement to 108.80 is expected.
Monthly CLS, Key Level OB, Model 1price is between the two levels and monthly CLS is playing out. We are in the multiple months highs. It still didn't break bullish structure, but I would be cautious with longs.
‼️FED announced end of quantitative tightening. If something ending something starting - quantitate reasoning in other words - printing.
I see a 50% chance that reversal is forming
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Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
🧩What is CLS?
CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion.
✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets.
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These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions.
📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
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The weekly chart that indicates the $ will rally all of 2025
The weekly chart will tell us how things will probably playout in the months ahead.
The double bottom has much further to run.
In the immediate time-zone on a daily the dollar price is at the bottom of a triangle that it wants to have some more room.
I expect the dollar will continue its climb this week.
Correction vs. Upside Break: Key Thresholds at 107 and 110My primary scenario is a correction. The current wave structure suggests the completion of an motive wave forming an ‘ending diagonal.’ After testing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone, the market shows signs of a downturn. If the index settles below the nearest support (around 107), a deeper pullback toward 105 and lower becomes possible.
The alternative scenario is a breakout to the upside. The area around 110 serves as the key invalidation level for this scenario: a decisive break above 110 would indicate the potential for renewed growth.
Overall, the outlook points to a high likelihood of a correction. However, if the price breaks above 110, the bullish scenario regains relevance.
ICEUS:DXY CAPITALCOM:DXY TVC:DXY
