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End of the week analysis27th September DXY: Price could trade higher to retest 100.90, if bearish trendline held, could trade back down to 100.55 NZDUSD: Buy 0.6290 SL 20 TP 40 AUDUSD: Buy 0.6905 SL 15 TP 50 GBPUSD: Sell 1.3290 SL 25 TP 75 (if support holds) Buy 1.3345 SL 30 TP 80 EURUSD: Sell 1.1090 SL 25 TP 80 USDJPY: Could range 143 to 144.50, Buy 145 SL 50 TP 200 USDCHF: Nothing for now USDCAD: Sell 1.3480 SL 25 TP 60 Gold: Could retrace down to 2640-2652 range, look for reaction there.
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
EURUSD end of day updateTechnically it is not the end of the day because in the U.S. the markets are still open, but as a last update for the day on the Dollar we will switch to the 30 min timeframe and see what happens: if from now on we will get a nice 30 min correction with its correlated cross in red on the macd (simulated with a brush) and the price will not just drop to retest the low, tomorrow again we will look for buy setups (so sells on eurusd, gbpusd and possibly gold). If instead the price will drop strongly to the downside and will give a small correction to the upside - light blue arrows (which would most likely be a 5 minute timeframe red cross on the macd for the impulse and a subsequent green cross on the macd for the correction) then we will temporarily forget the sells on the xxxusd pairs and check if there are any buy setups that are worth it.
TVC:DXY
by TradingClear
DXY - MidtermThe FED surprised the markets with a 0.50 point preemptive rate cut. We expect this preemptive cut to cause a downward movement in the dollar index. However, we do not foresee a long-term downtrend. While the FED started the process with a larger-than-expected cut, other central banks had already begun their rate-cutting cycles much earlier. Therefore, after a brief decline, we expect the dollar index to stabilize and rise again. Technically, the first of our two major support levels, 100.6, has been broken. We now expect the decline to continue towards the second major support zone between 99.4 and 99.75. The double-top technical formation on short-term charts also supports the downward momentum. If the price finds support in the 99.4 - 99.75 range, we could see a rise towards the 102.2 - 103 area. As for the impact on other dollar pairs, we expect to see upward movements in XxxUsd pairs and downward movements in UsdXxx pairs.
TVC:DXY
by TradeAndMeApp
Dollar bulls are strong hereIt has now been exactly a month since the DXY dropped to its price at the start of the year, which also serves as a technical support level. The price has bounced back from this zone twice but has failed to break above the 102 resistance, falling back each time. However, each time the bears attempted a decisive break downward, the bulls stepped in and pushed the price back up. Although the price did dip below the support zone on two occasions, these breaks were minor (around 0.2%) and did not qualify as significant. Yesterday, the price once again reversed strongly from this well-established support zone. It seems as though the bulls are waiting for a catalyst to trigger a true reversal. I anticipate that the USD will strengthen in the coming days and weeks. A break above the 102 resistance would confirm a bottom and open the path for further gains, with 104 as the next target.
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
4
USD - An end-of-month rebalancing bounce in the beaten up buckUSD - An end-of-month/QTR rebalancing bounce in the offering. A rise in long-end US yields and the start of month-end rebalancing flows overnight helped the beaten-up USD index, the DXY, bounce from a fourteen-month low. The rule of thumb for month-end/QTR-end rebalancing flows, whether it be in stock indices, bonds or FX, is to "buy the losers and sell the winners. " On top of it being a regular month-end rebalance, it's also a quarterly rebalance. For the quarter, the USD index, the DXY, has lost -4.65%. Within the details, the JPY has been the big winner as it surged 10.07%, while GBP has gained 5.29%. Hence, the expected flows likely to consist of strong USD buying against most pairs, but in particular against the JPY and GBP. For those interested in a trade into month/QTR end, look for the USD index, the DXY to bounce back towards 101.80, leaning against the double low print overnight at 100.20. A view which is also supported by bullish divergence on the RSI indicator.
TVC:DXYLong
by IG_com
DreamAnalysis | DXY Insights with Major Price Zones AheadToday, we’re diving into the DXY (US Dollar Index), a key player in the forex market. We’ll break down its current price movements and explore what we can anticipate based on critical levels. 📊 Current Market Overview : At the moment, the price has swept through several key sell-side liquidity (SSL) levels, including the Previous Month Low (PML). We expected a retracement higher, but so far, price hasn’t made any significant moves. Now, price is hovering around an Equal Low (EQL), which also aligns with the Previous Week Low (PWL). With that said, the possibility remains that price could drive lower, clearing additional SSL levels. 🕓 Identifying Key Levels : Here are the critical levels we’re monitoring on the chart: - PMH: Previous Month High - PML: Previous Month Low - PWH: Previous Week High - PWL: Previous Week Low - EQL: Equal Low - BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity - 4H FVG: 4-Hour Fair Value Gap (potential retracement and imbalance zone) - Daily FVG: Daily Fair Value Gap These levels represent important zones where the price may gather liquidity, enabling it to move toward the next major target. The Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are imbalances that price may revisit to "rebalance" and collect orders. 📈 Bullish Scenario : For a bullish outlook, we’ll need to see the price sweep the Previous Week Low (PWL) liquidity level, which is also an Equal Low (EQL). However, aggressive traders may look to lower time frames to find entries as price dips into low-resistance sell-side liquidity zones. 📉 Bearish Scenario : In a bearish scenario, we would need the price to sweep low-resistance buy-side liquidity (BSL) levels on lower time frames before targeting lower levels like the Previous Week Low (PWL). Currently, there isn’t strong confluence on higher time frames to aim for significantly lower prices. 📝 Conclusion : As we wrap up, it’s crucial to remain flexible and responsive to changing market conditions. Understanding key levels and potential scenarios allows us to refine our trading strategies and capitalize on opportunities. 🔮 Future Market Trends : Stay tuned! We’ll continue tracking the DXY, EUR/USD, and other major currency pairs, offering timely insights and updates as the market evolves. ⚠️ Disclaimer : The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
TVC:DXYLong
by DreamAnalysis
Levels discussed on livestream 25th September25th September DXY: Retracing from 100.20, could retest 100.60, look for rejection to continue lower to 100 and 99.70 major support level. NZDUSD: Buy 0.6310 SL 20 TP 50 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6880 SL 20 TP 40 GBPUSD: Buy 1.3345 SL 40 TP 80 EURUSD: Buy 1.1205 SL 15 TP 45 USDJPY: Could range between 145 and 143, look for breakout potential USDCHF: Buy 0.8470 SL 20 TP 80 USDCAD: Sell 1.3420 SL 25 TP 55 Gold: Bounce off 2652 could trade to 2670 with major level at 2700
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai