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USDX trade ideas

Outlook on Gold Depending on the US Dollar {DXY} this week?COMEX_MINI:MGC1! "Successful trading has always been about understand the convictions, the strength and the weakness of buyers and sellers. Once you understand what the other traders are doing in the market, you can successfully trade with them." -Michael Valtos Here on Gold, I have a Neutral outlook. However, I am going to pay very close attention to the US DOLLAR {DXY}. I'll keep you updated, as PA develops. Remember; "Our Profession is to Manage the downside costs of printing HIGHSIDE returns of $$$ consistently. Done correctly, well Abundance awaits us." -500KTrey
TVC:DXY
by TreyHighPwr
Will the US DOLLAR {DXY} continue to RISE? Bulls still Bullin..?TVC:DXY "Successful trading has always been about understand the convictions, the strength and the weakness of buyers and sellers. Once you understand what the other traders are doing in the market, you can successfully trade with them." -Michael Valtos As we head into the New Year 2025> I have struggled with the idea of the DXY rising or falling. However, I will sit back and watch PA play out and I will strike once we have further confirmation from the Order Flow. As we can see now on the 4Hr TF Bulls are in control with the Dominant Hand. Now if we back up just a bit and head to a HTF we have a Weekly Supply Zone / Daily Resistance Level ($109.452) above that we could see Mitigated here to come in the next few days/weeks all depending upon Intentional Volume. Let's stay on point>> Remember; "Our Profession is to Manage the downside costs of printing HIGHSIDE returns of $$$ consistently. Done correctly, well Abundance awaits us." -500KTrey
TVC:DXY
by TreyHighPwr
1
Dollar analysis based on Weekly tieframeAfter a year off trading we took out the weekly pool of liquidity, a large one, And with this we broke out off the weekly consolidation. We started consolidating after hitting the weekly range 705 fibbonaci retracement. It is clear dollar bias is bullish. with this said we can dive in to a more in depth analysis of dollar index. after we have taken out the pool of liquidity in form off some key equal highs we started getting some bearish indications. the buys are weakning and a bearish setup is starting the form.Some key details to further back up the bearish idea is that we have traded up in to a weekly negative breaker and fvg. Based on this what is the outlook for dollar this upcoming year? Answer is BULLISH, we continue bullish but first its time to retrace. We most likley will start off the next quarter going bearish in to the bullish levels. I am reconsidering the bullish breaker and fvg aswell as the ote. From here we look for bullish idea's again.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by mohamed_saddiki
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 107.49 1st Support: 106.72 1st Resistance: 108.52 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
DXY Idea he U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) closed the week with a modest 0.2% gain, reflecting the influence of rising Treasury yields and persistent concerns over inflation, driven by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish outlook and the policy proposals from President-elect Donald Trump. Although the index dipped slightly by 0.06% on Friday, the dollar remains on track for a robust 6.6% annual gain in 2024. chart The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.625%, marking its highest level since May, underscoring the market’s recalibration of interest rate expectations.
TVC:DXY
by EZIO-FX
2
DXY - Possible Outcomes Dear Friends, How I see it: Can the $ break through the "RED" overlapping resistance above 108.00 ? ** For this we need at least a Daily Body close above red zone "OR" Will the range be respected once again? ** This will be confirmed by a deep correction from here Keynote: Fundamentally the $ seems unstoppable at this point, yes. Perhaps a possible rate hike on the Yen could trigger some form of correction. I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
TVC:DXY
by ANROC
1
DXY at a Critical Juncture: Will Bulls Break the Resistance?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently consolidating just above the ascending trendline while approaching a critical horizontal resistance zone around 108.00. The price action shows a contracting triangle pattern, suggesting indecision in the market. A breakout above the resistance could confirm bullish momentum, potentially driving the index toward 109.50 or higher. Conversely, a breakdown below the ascending trendline and support zone could indicate bearish pressure, targeting the next key level at 106.50.
TVC:DXYLong
by unichartz
The U.S. Dollar Index may be approaching a potential buy zoneHere’s a more detailed version of your DXY trading plan: DXY Trading Plan** Buy Zone:** Enter a buy position around **107.900**, but only after confirming bullish price action (e.g., rejection wicks, strong bullish candles, or signs of support holding firmly). Targets:** - First Target:** **108.200** – A key resistance level. Consider partial profit-taking or setting a tighter trailing stop here. - Third Target:**108.500** – If **108.200** breaks out with strong bullish momentum, hold for this higher resistance level as your final target. Risk Management:** - Stop-Loss:** Place your stop-loss slightly below **107.800** to protect against sudden reversals. - Close Trade:** If the price at **107.900** fails to hold or shows signs of weakness, exit the trade to limit losses. position Sizing:** Keep your risk-to-reward ratio in check, aiming for at least 1:2 (or higher). What to Watch For:** - **Confirmation Signals at 107.900:** Look for bullish candlestick patterns like hammer candles or engulfing patterns. - **Momentum Around 108.200:** Pay attention to price reactions at this level. If DXY struggles here, consider securing profits or exiting. - **Market Context:** Keep an eye on macroeconomic data, news, or events impacting the dollar index, as these can shift momentum quickly. **Additional Tip:** If the price nears **108.200**, move your stop-loss to breakeven or slightly above **107.900** to secure your position while giving the trade room to breathe. TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
1
Is the US Dollar Index Set for a Pause?Following the recent Federal Reserve meeting, where expectations for 2025 interest rate cuts were adjusted from three to two, the US Dollar Index surged by approximately 1.28%. But what are the technical scenarios shaping its next moves? On the daily chart, the US Dollar Index remains in an overall uptrend, recently hitting a higher peak at 108.071. The daily trading range lies between 108.539, marking the higher high and resistance level, and 105.420, the higher low and support level. Traders might watch for a pullback near 106.015 before a potential continuation of the long-term uptrend. On the 4-hour chart, the index is experiencing a general downtrend, forming a new bottom. A rise to 108.276 could face selling pressure, possibly leading to a continuation of the downward move. Key targets for this downtrend include 107.784 as the first level and 106.086 as the longer-term target. However, the negative outlook on the 4-hour chart becomes invalid if the price breaks above 108.539, forming a new higher peak. In summary, the downtrend on the 4-hour chart appears to be a corrective wave within the broader uptrend seen on the daily chart.
ICEUS:DXY
by CFI
DXY Trading plan Here’s a more detailed CAPITALCOM:DXY DXY Trading Plan: - **Buy Entry:** Enter a buy position around **107.800**, watching for price action confirmation at this level. - **First Target:** **108.000** – This is the immediate resistance and serves as a safe partial profit-taking level. - **Second Target:** **108.300** – A key resistance level, ideal for booking the remaining profits. Risk Management: - If **107.800** fails to break out or shows signs of reversal, **close the trade immediately** to minimize potential losses. Look for candlestick patterns, rejection wicks, or bearish momentum as warning signs. Additional Notes: - Monitor DXY momentum and overall trend direction on the 1-hour timeframe. - Keep an eye on related macroeconomic data or news events that could impact dollar strength.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
1
USD Index Poised for Breakout: Key Levels to WatchTVC:DXY USD Index Poised for Breakout: Key Levels to Watch Analysis: Price Action Strategy: The BOS indicates a significant shift in market structure, suggesting a potential trend reversal. The CHoCH further confirms the change in market sentiment. Equal Highs and Equal Lows suggest areas of liquidity that the price might target. Smart Money Concepts (SMC): The FVG area is highlighted, indicating a potential area of interest where smart money might enter the market. The price is currently consolidating near the FVG, suggesting a potential breakout. ICT Strategy: Fibonacci retracement levels (0.786, 0.705, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382) provide key levels for potential entry and exit points. The RSI is hovering around the 50.30 level, indicating a neutral market sentiment but with potential for upward momentum. The MACD shows a slight bullish divergence, suggesting a potential upward move. Buy Strategy: Entry: Near the current price level around 108.149, especially if the price breaks above the FVG. TP1: 108.705 (Fibonacci 0.705 level) TP2: 108.786 (Fibonacci 0.786 level) SL: 107.847 (Fibonacci 0.382 level) Sell Strategy: Entry: If the price fails to break above the FVG and shows signs of reversal. TP1: 107.928 (Fibonacci 0.5 level) TP2: 107.847 (Fibonacci 0.382 level) SL: 108.705 (Fibonacci 0.705 level) Buy Signal: entry: 108.149 tp1: 108.705 tp2: 108.786 sl: 107.847 Sell Signal: entry: 108.705 tp1: 108.149 tp2: 107.847 sl: 108.786 Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
TVC:DXY
by Alexgoldhunter
The Relationship Between Dollar Dominance, Debt, and Deficits The US dollar's position as the world's reserve currency grants the United States a unique set of economic advantages and challenges. This "exorbitant privilege," as it's often called, significantly influences the nation's ability to manage its debt and deficits. Understanding this complex relationship is crucial for comprehending the dynamics of the global financial system and the US economy's position within it. Dollar Dominance: A Foundation of Economic Power The dollar's status as the primary reserve currency means that it is widely held by central banks, international institutions, and businesses worldwide. This widespread acceptance creates consistent demand for dollar-denominated assets, particularly US Treasury bonds. This demand is a key factor in allowing the US government to finance its debt at relatively low-interest rates. If the US were to borrow in another currency, or if global demand for its debt were significantly lower, the cost of borrowing would likely increase, making it more expensive to finance government spending. This dominance also simplifies international trade for US businesses. Because the dollar is the standard currency for many global transactions, US companies can conduct business with reduced exchange rate risks and transaction costs. This ease of trade strengthens the US position in the global economy and contributes to its overall economic power. Debt and Deficits: The Fiscal Realities Government debt represents the accumulation of past budget deficits. A budget deficit occurs when government spending exceeds its revenue in a given fiscal year. These deficits require the government to borrow money, primarily by issuing Treasury bonds, which then contribute to the overall national debt. While deficits can be used strategically to stimulate the economy during downturns or to fund essential public services, persistent and large deficits can lead to a growing national debt. A high debt level can have several potential consequences, including higher interest payments on the debt, reduced fiscal flexibility to respond to future economic crises, and potential inflationary pressures. The Interplay: Dollar Dominance and Fiscal Policy The relationship between dollar dominance, debt, and deficits is complex and multifaceted. The ability to borrow at lower costs due to the dollar's reserve currency status can, in some ways, lessen the immediate pressure to address budget imbalances. The lower interest rates make it less painful in the short term to finance deficits, potentially leading to a greater accumulation of debt over time. However, it's crucial to understand that dollar dominance does not directly cause deficits. Deficits are a result of fiscal policy decisions—specifically, decisions about government spending and taxation. Dollar dominance merely affects the cost of financing those decisions. A government could run deficits regardless of its currency's global status, but the financial implications would likely be significantly different. One could argue that the "exorbitant privilege" afforded by dollar dominance creates a moral hazard. Knowing that borrowing costs are relatively low could incentivize policymakers to engage in more expansive fiscal policies than they might otherwise pursue. This can lead to a situation where the long-term consequences of debt accumulation are downplayed in favor of short-term political or economic gains. Potential Challenges to Dollar Dominance While the dollar has maintained its dominant position for decades, several factors could potentially challenge its future status. The rise of other economic powers, the development of alternative reserve currencies, and shifts in global trade patterns are all potential threats. For example, the increasing economic influence of countries like China has led to discussions about the potential for the renminbi to become a more prominent player in the global financial system. However, for a currency to achieve reserve status, it requires deep and liquid financial markets, strong institutions, and widespread trust in the issuing country's economic and political stability. These are factors that have contributed to the dollar's strength and are not easily replicated. Furthermore, the emergence of new technologies, such as cryptocurrencies and digital payment systems, could potentially disrupt traditional financial flows and challenge the existing currency hierarchy. However, these technologies are still relatively new and face regulatory and adoption hurdles before they could pose a significant threat to the dollar's dominance. Maintaining the Dollar's Strength Maintaining the dollar's strength and its reserve currency status is a complex undertaking. It requires a combination of sound economic policies, strong institutions, and a commitment to maintaining open and transparent financial markets. Sustainable fiscal policies are essential. While dollar dominance provides some flexibility, persistently large deficits and a rapidly growing national debt could eventually erode confidence in the dollar and its long-term value. This could lead to a decrease in demand for dollar-denominated assets, potentially increasing borrowing costs and weakening the dollar's global position. In conclusion, the relationship between dollar dominance, debt, and deficits is a critical aspect of the US and global economies. While the dollar's reserve currency status provides significant advantages in financing government spending and facilitating international trade, it also presents challenges in managing fiscal policy. Maintaining the dollar's strength requires a balanced approach that prioritizes sound economic management and recognizes the complex interplay between these crucial economic factors.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln