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Skeptic | DXY Crash Alert: Epic Bearish Triggers Unleashed!heyy, traders, what’s good? It’s Skeptic ! 😎 Let’s dive into a full-on breakdown of DXY—the Dollar Index is making waves, and I’m hyped to unpack it. The 98.801 level looks busted with a pullback in play, and I’m expecting more action. Stick with me to the end as we rip through Daily and 4-Hour timeframes to catch the vibe and nail those triggers! 🚖 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture So, US inflation data came in softer than expected recently, but DXY still dumped. You might be like, “Wait, shouldn’t lower inflation juice up the dollar?” Nah, here’s the deal: markets move on expectations, not just news. When something grows in the markets, it’s ‘cause traders are betting it’ll keep growing—and vice versa. For DXY, traders are sniffing out a US economic slowdown and expecting the Federal Reserve to cut rates soon, which could spark higher inflation later. That’s the double-whammy driving DXY’s drop, despite the tame inflation numbers. This is the biggest secret in markets—nobody talks about it, but it’s what I learned in econ class and see every day: markets run on expectations. 📚 Major Trend: Per Dow Theory, we’re in a bearish trend as long as we’re below 98.801 . Game Plan: While under this level, hunt longs on USD pairs like EUR/USD. If we break above 98.801, chill and let the market reform before jumping in. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers Now, let’s get to the 4-hour chart for the real action—our long and short triggers: Short Trigger: A break below support at 98.017 could keep the bearish vibe rolling. RSI hitting oversold would be a dope confirmation. 😤 Long Trigger: Since the major trend is bearish, longs are against the flow, so keep risk tight and take profits quick. The trigger is a break above 98.801, but the main long trigger is smashing through 99.244. So, 99.244 is your go-to for longs. 💪 Pro Tip: Shorts align with the trend, so they’re safer, but longs need extra caution—small positions, tight stops, and don’t get greedy! Final Vibe Check That’s the DXY lowdown, fam! Markets are tricky, but if you stick to reasoning over hype, you’ll stay ahead. No FOMO, no hype, just reason —that’s how we roll at Skeptic Lab. Wanna dive deeper into risk management or another pair? Let me know! 🙌 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis got you pumped, smash that boost—it means a ton! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for vibing with me—keep trading sharp! ✌️
TVC:DXY
by SkepticWise
1
DXY OVERVIEW AND ANALYSIS - SELLOFF AT FOMC PRESS CONFERENCE 🟣DXY🟣 H4 CHART As we witness the unfolding of a conflict in the Middle East this week I expect the commodities of OIL and GOLD to raise more after a pullback that will offer buy entries. On my view the DXY index will pullback to the previous broken support now resistance in the 99.200 - 99.340 area and selloff to the weekly targets 97.500 and 96.800. FOMC on Wednesday should catalyse this move and I expect the pullback to take place between the first days of the week
TVC:DXYShort
by SalvoVaccaro
DXY: WILL WE GO LOWER.What's next from this point. The month of June signals the start of quarter three based on the quarterly theory.Q3 is also referred to as the distribution phase or expansion.Given that information we expect to see expansion in majority of the market charts. Our main focus is on DXY( Dollar index) which we pair against a basket of other currencies to get more insight on the foreign exchange market.We have witnessed a weak dollar in recent times. Weak is not an understatement as this is the poorest it has performed in recent years. The current prices were last seen during the covid era and has been used as baseline support for the pair in recent times.There have been a number of reasons for this and some carry more impact than others. Trade wars between the US and China have had the most impact and have been shaping up Trump's first year of his second term as president. Then lately we have witnessed the rising tensions in the middle east and feud between Islamic states and Israel. We cannot foretell how lower we will go but we can keenly follow through the structures being broken and major price points being respected which will serve as indicators to the direction taken by the dxy. With a calmer economic environment and support of strong economic data then we expect the dollar to rebound and propel higher. Not a full rebound but a play in the range between current lows and 102 which serves as the high for the previous two months.But if the current political turmoil persists and involvement of the US government in the middle eastern conflict then this will lead to an economic shakedown and an unpredictable dollar. I hope this information will serve as a guide through this quarter. # SAFE TRADING EVERYONE.
TVC:DXY
by Muchangi
Tariff uncertainty keeps weighing on the dollar. Geopolitical risks in the Middle East have eased slightly amid signs of potential negotiations, prompting markets to shift their focus back to the upcoming FOMC and tariffs. Following talks with Canadian Prime Minister Carney, President Trump stated that a trade deal with Canada could be reached within weeks, and also confirmed that a trade agreement with the UK has been signed. Meanwhile, markets are almost certain that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at the upcoming FOMC, with the probability priced at 99.8%. Wells Fargo expects the inflation outlook to rise due to the delayed impact of higher tariffs, projecting that the year-end median federal funds rate will climb by 25bps to 4.125%. DXY is consolidating within the 97.50–98.50 range, remaining below both EMAs, which suggests a potential continuation of bearish momentum. If DXY breaks below the support at 98.00, the index may retreat to 97.50. Conversely, if DXY breaches above the resistance at 98.50 and the descending trendline, the index could gain upward momentum toward 99.00.
TVC:DXY
by inkicho_exness
Bullish bounce?USD Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 97.81 1st Support: 97.19 1st Resistance: 98.69 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
DXY ||| • Sell Completed Below Orange Line📉 Pair: GBP/USD ⏱ Timeframe: 4H 🔶 Orange Line = Major S/R Zone 📌 Confirmed Break + Retest 🎯 Profit Locked | Risk Managed Strategy: Elliott Wave + Parallel Channel + SMC (Break of Structure) 🔶 Status: Completed Wave 5 inside falling wedge Sell executed after orange support break Anticipating accumulation phase > BOS > bullish reversal 📍Key Zones: Demand zone near 97.455 Resistance near 98.426 🎯 Next Steps: Looking for bullish structure post BOS + Wave 2 pullback. 🔁 Watch for: Accumulation near lower trendline Structure shift > Breakout of wedge Long confirmations in late July – early August 🟢 Plan the trade, trade the plan.
TVC:DXYShort
by Greenfireforex
DOLLAR INDEXThe DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) is a measure of the U.S. dollar’s value relative to a basket of six major foreign currencies: the euro (57.6%), Japanese yen (13.6%), British pound (11.9%), Canadian dollar (9.1%), Swedish krona (4.2%), and Swiss franc (3.6%). It serves as a benchmark for the dollar’s global strength and is influenced by macroeconomic factors like interest rates, trade flows, and inflation expectations. 10 years bond yield Correlations with DXY 1. 10-Year Bond Yield Positive Correlation: The DXY and U.S. 10-year Treasury yields generally move in the same direction. Higher yields attract foreign capital into U.S. bonds, increasing demand for dollars and strengthening the DXY. Current 10-Year Yield (June 12, 2025): 4.36%, down slightly from 4.41% the previous day but up 1.16% year-over-year. 2. Bond Price Inverse Relationship with Yields: Bond prices fall when yields rise (and vice versa). Since DXY and yields are positively correlated, the dollar tends to strengthen when bond prices decline. 3. Interest Rates Direct Link: Higher U.S. interest rates increase the dollar’s appeal as investors seek higher returns, boosting DXY. Conversely, rate cuts weaken the dollar. Example: The Federal Reserve’s rate hikes in 2023–2024 contributed to DXY strength, while recent rate-cut expectations have moderated its gains. Current 10-Year Treasury Yield As of June 12, 2025, the 10-year Treasury yield is 4.36%, below its long-term average of 5.83%. Key Drivers of DXY in 2025 Federal Reserve Policy: Markets are pricing in potential rate cuts later in 2025, which could limit DXY upside. Global Risk Sentiment: Safe-haven dollar demand rises during geopolitical or economic uncertainty. Inflation Trends: Persistent U.S. inflation could delay Fed easing, supporting DXY technical level to watch is the support level at 97,949
TVC:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
Could the DXY reverse from here?The price is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance. Pivot: 97.71 1st Support: 94.66 1st Resistance: 101.87 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
Central banks dominate calendar this week: Will Fed surprise?A pack of central bank decisions is set to drive market direction this week, with the Bank of Japan (Tuesday), Federal Reserve (Wednesday), Swiss National Bank (Thursday), and Bank of England (Thursday) all scheduled to announce their latest interest rate decisions. The Federal Reserve will, of course, take center stage. Despite President Trump’s continued call for a 100-basis point rate cut, Fed officials are widely expected to keep rates unchanged. However, softer-than-expected CPI and PPI data from last week may provide scope for a surprise. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is trading just above the key support zone at 98.00, a level not seen since early 2022. A decisive break below this area could open the door to further downside, potentially targeting the 96.00 region. However, a surprise from the Fed could trigger a rebound toward the 100.50–101.00 resistance band.
TVC:DXY
by BlackBull_Markets
DXY is turning BULLISH,I'm buying at market open, you should tooTechnically, DXY should retrace from here, range for sometimes, take out liquidity and then continue higher. My DXY post this year has a 99% accuracy. Dont take it lightly. Now, Dxy had been following a downward trendline since the beginning of this year and I'm seeing a break out soon. Conservative traders can wait for a break and retest but I'm fairly sure we will get it. Enter and add more as the move goes in your favour, stop wasting pips. Dont hold this trade and make only 1k. Add more, compound, not when in loss but when in gain. This will change the game for you. This means that you should be looking for sell on EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD et al. Ya gaziere unu TP1 @ 99.4 TP2 @ 100.5
TVC:DXYLong
by UGBOR
1
Index/US) Bearish trend analysis Read The caption)SMC trading point update Technical analysis of U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 30-minute timeframe, with the price respecting a clear downtrend and repeatedly rejecting a resistance zone near the 200 EMA. --- Analysis Breakdown Key Technical Elements: 1. Downtrend Structure: The price remains within a descending channel. Multiple lower highs and lower lows signal sustained bearish pressure. 2. Resistance Zone: Highlighted near 98.490–98.495, aligned with the EMA 200. Multiple rejections from this level (indicated by red arrows), confirming strong supply. 3. EMA 200 (98.490): Acts as dynamic resistance. Price is below it, reinforcing the bearish bias. 4. Projected Move: Bearish price path targets the 97.189 level (target point). A measured move of approximately -1.30% is illustrated. 5. RSI (14): RSI currently at 46.27, below the neutral 50 mark. This confirms bearish momentum without being oversold, leaving room for further downside. --- Bearish Thesis: Repeated failure to break above key resistance + downward channel + RSI weakness suggests a continuation to the downside. Short-term consolidation expected before breakdown continuation. --- Trade Idea Concept: Entry: Sell on a minor pullback near resistance (~98.300–98.490), or breakdown below the recent minor support. Target: 97.189 zone. Stop Loss: Above 98.500 or EMA 200 to invalidate the bearish setup. Mr SMC Trading point Risks to Watch: A break and strong close above 98.500 would invalidate the bearish structure and could initiate a trend reversal. Economic events (noted by calendar icons) may trigger volatility – ideal to monitor closely around those times. plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
TVC:DXYShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
18
Potential bullish scenario formulating for DXY. Target: 99.418.Higher timeframe analysis Thursday, 12 June 2025 saw the DXY take out the monthly low of 97.921. This poses the bearish monthly FVG as an immediate draw on liquidity at 99.418. Warranting a bullish bias till this level. Intermediate timeframe analysis This bullish bias is further confirmed by an initial consolidation identified on the 1H chart immediately below the said monthly FVG. This is a signature of the formation of a market maker buy model. Note the displacement to the updside which occurred at 21:00 EST leaving behind a bullish fair value gap on the 1H. This signals the beginning of the buyside of the curve of a market maker buy model. Scenario A potential long scenario could play out whereby price could respect the bullish 1H FVG at 97.999 and reprice updwards towards 99.418. I suspect that the target could be reached by Tuesday morning at 2:00 am - 3:30 am EST, though this is merely an estimation at best. This analysis is largely dependent on the reaction of price in the weekly open. Though in the event of a non-volatile market open this analysis holds decent probability. Alternate Scenario Should the above analysis fail the relative equal lows at 97.602 could be taken out before upside to 99.418 is seen.
TVC:DXYLong
by Th3L1qu1d1ty
1
DXY Weekly ForecastDXY Weekly Forecast - expect short term up move then dont miss the upcoming fall - again as I said in previous forecast, in any case DXY has to come down to 96.000 level, believe it or not, that’s the target the algorithm aims for. A Message To Traders: I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely. Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results. "I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
TVC:DXY
by Vincent-DA
1