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DXY I told you Definitely will hit 103 look now guys


BTCUSDT The US announced that the seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls in March were 228k, an increase higher than the market expectation of 135k. The US unemployment rate rose to 4.2% in March, with an expected 4.1% and a previous value of 4.10%.

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DXY
โšก DXY Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels - April 4, 2025

Daily Current Market Price (DCMP): 102.574 ๐Ÿ”

Critical Price Framework ๐Ÿ”ฅ

๐Ÿ”ด Resistance Zone (Above 102.574)

Immediate Resistance: 103.338 ๐Ÿšฉ
Critical Resistance: 104.307 โš ๏ธ

๐ŸŸข Support Zone (Below 102.574)

Primary Support: 101.389 ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ
Critical Floor: 100.083 ๐Ÿ›‘

Swing Levels ๐Ÿ“‰

Swing High: 107.661
Swing Low: 103.197

Technical Confluence ๐Ÿ”

Fibonacci Alignment

103.338 aligns with 50% retracement of Q4 2024 decline
101.389 coincides with 127% extension of March rally

Momentum Indicators

RSI at 68.3 (approaching overbought territory)
MACD histogram shows bearish crossover below signal line

Intraday Trade Setup โšก

๐Ÿ”ด Sell Trade Idea

Entry: 103.338 ๐ŸŽฏ
Stop Loss: 104.307 ๐Ÿ”ด
Take Profit 1: 101.389 ๐Ÿ“‰ (1:2.8 R/R)
Take Profit 2: 100.083 ๐Ÿ“‰ (1:4.5 R/R)

Rationale: Bearish reversal expected at 50% Fib resistance cluster (103.338-104.307) with negative divergence on 4H chart.

Risk Management Protocol โš ๏ธ

Position sizing โ‰ค0.5% of capital
Trailing stop activation at 0.7R profit
Monitor US CPI data releases

Analysis valid until NYBOT closing bell. Chart patterns verified via TradingView.

GBPUSD GBPJPY DXY BXY

The NFP report came in HOT, much higher than expected:

Actual: 228K

Forecast: 135K | Previous (Revised Upwards): 117K

However, the unemployment rate also ticked higher to 4.2% vs. the forecast of 4.1%.

Key Levels to Watch,

For GU: 1.2950 support, 1.3050 resistance
For GJ: 190.00 psychological level

> Impact on GBP/USD (GU)

๐Ÿ”น Initial Reaction: Strong NFP = USD Bullish > GBP/USD drops
๐Ÿ”น BUT Unemployment Rate Higher, this could limit USD strength if markets think the Fed will still cut rates later.
๐Ÿ”น GU Bias: Short-term bearish, but watch Fed commentary & risk sentiment.

> Impact on GBP/JPY (GJ)

๐Ÿ”น Stronger USD lifts USD/JPY > Pulls GBP/JPY up
๐Ÿ”น Risk sentiment , If markets focus on strong NFP, GJ can rally. If they focus on higher unemployment (slower economy), JPY could strengthen & push GJ lower.

NFP release on April 4 at 15:30 is crucial for GBPUSD and GBPJPY

Here's what to expect based on the forecasted numbers,

- Forecast: 135K (Previous: 151K) โ†’ A weaker labor market expectation.

- Unemployment Rate Forecast: 4.1% (Previous: 4.1%) โ†’ No change expected, but any surprise deviation will be key.

1. NFP Comes in Lower than Expected (<135K)

- USD Weakens: A weak jobs report signals a slowing economy, increasing bets that the Fed might cut rates sooner.

- GBP/USD Bullish: Dollar weakness would push GBP/USD higher.

- GBP/JPY Mixed: If USD/JPY drops on weak NFP, GJ might struggle to rally aggressively.

2. NFP Beats Expectations (>135K)

- USD Strengthens: Strong labor data reduces the urgency for rate cuts, strengthening the dollar.

- GBP/USD Bearish: A strong NFP could reinforce downside pressure, continuing the recent GBP/USD drop.

- GBP/JPY Bullish: If the USD strengthens and risk appetite remains stable, GJ could rally as JPY remains weak.

The NFP will be a make-or-break moment for GBP pairs. Watch for deviations from the forecast,

> Weaker NFP = bullish GU, cautious GJ

> Stronger NFP = bearish GU, bullish GJ

DXY BXY JPXY - Expect high volatility during the release. Trade Safe!



DXY SPY all of these MAGA fools here in the US are quiet these days. Most of them don't invest, so they can't even benefit from the discounts, lol

EURUSD big resistance on DXY will be move up strongly before closing.