GBPUSDDXYBXY Today’s UK unemployment data could lead to a bearish or bullish movement in GBP/USD depending on the actual results compared to expectations:
1. Bullish Scenario for GBP: • If the Unemployment Rate is lower than the expected 4.3% or employment figures (Employment Change) are stronger than anticipated, it signals a healthier labor market. • Higher-than-expected Average Earnings growth (above 5.4% excluding bonus) could add to inflationary pressures, raising the likelihood of tighter monetary policy from the Bank of England (BoE). • These factors could push GBP/USD higher.
2. Bearish Scenario for GBP: • If the Unemployment Rate is higher than 4.3% or Employment Change disappoints significantly, it indicates a weakening labor market. • If Average Earnings growth is slower than expected, it could reduce the BoE’s incentive to tighten monetary policy further, weighing on GBP. • These factors might lead to a sell-off in GBP, causing GBP/USD to drop
Likely Outcome:
• Slightly bearish bias: The UK’s economic growth has shown signs of slowing recently, and if wage growth or employment data disappoints, GBP/USD could face selling pressure. • Potentially bullish surprises: If the labor market data significantly beats expectations, GBP/USD could rally
USDCAD For those that want continued growth - I ask how strong are you expecting DXY to grow. Understanding yes this is just a chart, that has consequences in reality. Open a daily and zoom out, what does new all time highs to the moon mean for the world? You must come to a logical conclusion as to the ramifications on a move like that. Does it then make sense?