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VIX trade ideas

This signal on VIX can sustain the S&P500 rally.We don't often look at VIX but the times we do, it never fails to offer valuable insight regarding the long-term factors on stock indices trends. Since March, may have left wondered why the S&P500 (blue trend-line) has took off so considerably without any meaningful pull-back. Well despite the prevailing fundamentals surrounding the market overall, VIX (candles) has considerably calmed down, meaning that the market volatility has decreased, something that accelerated in early April when it broke below a Higher Lows trend-line that was holding for 5 years (since the November 2017 bottom). This is a strong reason that keep adding fuel to this S&P500 rally and can continue to sustain it for as long as VIX declines. In fact the last time we saw VIX breaking below such a strong long-term Higher Lows trend-line was in July 2009, four months after the bottom of the 2008 Housing Crisis. The index has started its long-term recovery into a historically long and strong Bull Cycle and every spike on VIX was a medium-term pull-back on the S&P500 and a buy opportunity. This fractal similarities is additional proof that the index is decisively past its 2022 Bear Cycle and is most likely starting a new multi-year Bull Cycle. If you are a long-term investor, pay attention to VIX's spikes in order to take advantage of medium-term buy opportunities. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:VIX
by TradingShot
7
VIX is back to the 2021 level that preceeded market meltdownVIX fell below $16 after trying to take hold of $20 last week. The current value of VIX coincides with that, which it contained in November 2021, just before the market meltdown began. Taking into consideration that interest rates are nothing like they were in 2021 and the rally in stocks has been thus far driven mainly by a handful of companies, we are growing increasingly worried about the complacency present in the market. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
8
VIX - Elliott Wave Illustrates a Potential Bottoming PatternI've been tracking VIX since 2020. I believe that VIX is in a bottoming pattern and will start the next leg up to a new high soon. VIX doesn't act like an equity. Mainly because it isn't an equity. Its waves don't move like an equity. It usually operates in 3-wave segments over longer timeframes whereas equities operate in both 5-wave and 3-wave segments. Elliott Wave corrective patterns move in 3-wave segments. You can see a series of these 3-wave moves on this chart leading up to the previous high in early 2022 with light red Wave A. Following that top, I expected a 3-wave corrective move back down. Instead, we've gotten a very choppy, almost Darvas Box looking structure. I've come to realize that this is actually an Elliot Wave triangle pattern (labeled with circled numbers in pink) and I am expecting a bottom in the last segment of it, pink Wave Circle e, which will finish off the light red B wave. It should then start a 5-wave pattern back up to finish off the larger degree 3-wave structure ending in light red C. I've shown some basic extension levels to help predict the landing spot. The first is a 76-100% extension of the size of the light red A wave from the expected bottom of light red Wave B (orange). The second is a 123%-161.8% (the golden ratio) extension of the pink circle d wave of our triangle from the expected bottom of pink circle e (yellow). Each of these can be correct, and they could both be correct. Alternatively, since markets are merely a battle of sentiment, VIX could land somewhere else. We are, remember, looking at a volatility index that tracks S&P options. And the S&P is in a topping pattern of some sort of a bear market bounce corrective wave. But ultimately, there are two channels I've added to illustrate why I think light red Wave C will land where and when it does. The first connects the bottom in July 2021 to the expected bottom it is currently working on, with the parallel top line connecting the top of light red Wave A to the expected landing point of light red Wave C. This channel is in green. The second channel covers the trajectory of the light red Wave A from bottom to top and then extends its parallel companion from the expected bottom that we are currently working on. That channel is in blue. Both of these channels perfectly intercept each other at a key MAJOR Elliott Wave fib level that usually indicates a C-wave end (the 100% extension of Wave A from the bottom of Wave B). And it also happens to line up with the timing that I've predicted for the next bottoming event in the S&P 500 (not shown here). Lastly, all of this lines up with the fact that RSI is clearly in a bottoming pattern on daily candles and showing a potentially oversold state. There are many calculations not shown here so as to not clog up the view. I warrant that the information created and published by me on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors. My analysis is not a recommendation for a specific trade. -mazag08 - TastyWavez 2022
CBOE:VIXLong
by mazag08
6
Here lies Vix ☠ Approaching 2021 low support 14.5 If we break below 14 then we head to precovid lows . Vix outside is Daily bbands and the indexes (IXIC and Iwm) are outside of theirs.. technicals say vix gaps up Monday but I don't know if it'll holds, there's no fear in the market, plus Daily MACD turned bearish Narrative is Powell is pausing, debt ceiling done.. Blah blah lol.. We could see a bounce to 16.00 then we'll see what happens As you can see it can take awhile to get back to channel top. Needs a catalyst, but in the meantime I expect a pop
TVC:VIXLong
by ContraryTrader
9
Vix 5 wave impulse pattersn repeatingBeen comparing the past two VIX 5 wave patterns. Wave 5 really gets going. Repeat this timer again, debt ceiling, Taiwan invasion by China, Iran V US shipping, Ukraine debacle, Biden bribes looking really real - impeachment pending and his own party will do it, bank failures increasing, commercial real estate foreclosures rapidly increasing, do I need to go on because I actually could. the most amazing indicator is that with all these candidates, equities just keep going up, the bull will NOT stop, the Greed factor is off the charts, and that's when the black swan appears. You decide.
CBOE:VIXLong
by claydoctor
1
S&P still within Range when I first highlighted in JanuaryThe market is at crossroads again. Whenever you have lows in the VIX people will highlight the potential risk to the market, we also in that period people coined the phrase "Sell in May and go away" My view is unchanged to remain in the camp of a move lower with a decisive break of first of 4100 area. But I have listened to arguments on both sides of the argument, those proposing a move to the 4400 area and the bears arguing lower. So while 4150/4200 remains intact as the resistance I remain bearish but can't think of a catalyst at the moment to drive prices higher. Good luck, do your research and investigation and make up your own mind.
TVC:VIX
by MarkLangley
1