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VIX trade ideas

im not the first to say itif were going to hang out here below 20 and play with the idea of a recovery we run the serious risk of entertaining the inevitability of a second major wave in this corona island top/bear triangle. the new regime in volatility is either demanding we crush it, or we let it rip. we cant coil up like this forever. it might be super confusing, but ive laid out contingencies basically orbiting the general area targeting a breakout. i hope its not too dumbed down. could uvxy for example relive recent exploits, or is it headed for 1:10 unit deletion ($50?) and then back to $5 (-90%?). this is the definition of an inflection point. all i know is theres a lot of units out there... they better start looking under rocks, in streams, up trees and in peoples underpants.
CBOE:VIXLong
by cerealpatterns
VIX-Low consolidating for upward price moveVIX is consolidating a bit longer at its trough, because so many cycles lining up. Such a phase of prolonged trough happened before as well. Indicators are in a phase to bottom out as well and we can expect an accellerated price movement upward during February/March most likely. The break-out of the green channel may therefore happen faster than anybody expects, but for a positioning it could be wise to wait a little bit longer and watch indicators to signal more strength.
TVC:VIXLong
by Woerle
VIX Daily 01/23/2023In this chart of the VIX daily I have changed the final pattern to a Bullish Flagish pattern. I anticipate the VIX to rise also due to macro conditions, and Data Flow, and of course Earnings. Earnings I am back and forth on since Bank reporting..... Thats going to be a big tell IMO. This pattern morphed since last week when I was calling it a more of a bullish triangle which I pointed out didn't make a lot of sense to me, as the FOMC is doing their darndest to hold back the market, and wqith all the PCE and other data dump this week I expected a rising VIX, not falling.
TVC:VIXLong
by Markets-Sniper
VIX and RSI - Top IndicatorMeasuring VIX with RSI gives effective signals for primary and intermediate S&P 500 (SPX) tops. There are two factors to generate an SPX top signal. 1) Daily VIX breaking above its declining trendline. 2) Daily VIX – RSI breaking above its moving average line. There’s a third factor in discovering primary SPX tops. Primary SPX tops usually occur with the daily SPX at a higher high and the daily VIX at a higher low. The most recent SPX primary top happened in January 2022. Note the VIX bottom in January was higher than the November 2021 bottom. This phenomenon occurred at the SPX primary tops in 02/19/20, 09/21/18, and 01/26/18. The factors to confirm a primary top are the same for intermediate degree tops. There have been six top confirmation signals since January 2022. They are as follows. 01/05/22 02/11/22 04/05/22 06/13/22 08/19/22 12/06/22 At the opening of the next trading day after a top signal is when to initiate SPX short trades. The trade would be held until either the VIX exceeded 34.00 or the SPX is at a higher level than the short entry. The VIX level to exit the short could be adjusted depending on recent VIX action, you want to find a general level in which VIX advances terminated. The covering of SPX short trades would occur on the opening of the next trading day after VIX exceeded 34.00 or when the short trade is at a loss. The six short exit signals with gain/loss are as follows. 01/24/22 gain 8% 02/24/22 gain 5% 05/02/22 gain 9% 06/16/22 gain 1% 09/28/22 gain 13% 12/13/22 loss -2% Note the top signal on 06/13/22 came after a significant decline. The entry point on the next trading day was after a gap down. These two factors were warnings that the trade may not have been effective. The trade after the 12/06/22 signal quickly became a loss. Of the six signals since January 2022 – two were ineffective, a success ratio of 4/6 or 66%.
TVC:VIXEducation
by markrivest
3
Will history repeat again?Look at the VIX chart here; we are again in the VIX 18th zone. In 2022 it was an excellent indicator to spot the bottom; it works during the bear markets only! So if we are still in a bear market, it should bounce from the 18 level hard and Indexes to fall. If we are entering a bull market, this setup can fail right here. I doubt it will fail until we see Q1 lows in markets. I might be wrong, and this setup can fail in a grand style. The VIX bottoms have an excellent correlation with SPX highs (at the bottom orange colour); look for the yellow marked pointers for the 2022 patterns from VIX 18 level. I think we will repeat the same pattern again.
CBOE:VIX
by RealTima
10
Bull Trap Ahead!! Max pain incoming...In trading, a bull trap is a situation where a trader (beginner) buys an asset believing its price will continue to rise, only to see it fall sharply soon after. If you inspect the SPX chart by yourself, you'll see: 1- lack of increasing volume 2- absence of momentum 3- lack of definite/sufficient trend break 4- retesting of resistance level (Major downward trendline) 5- sus bullish candlesticks 6- last but not the least, the VIX is at the zone where the market always reverse to the downside. This is just a prime short entry in my opinion. Overall, the macro market conditions still didn't improve that much. Ofc there is a chance it breaks up, however, the odds of this being a bull trap is wayyy more likely. Don't FOMO into anything and have a bi-directional outlook on the chart; inverting the chart might help. Protect your capital and lessen your position sizes until further confirmation. Take care
TVC:VIXShort
by Cough5yrup
1