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CBOE Volatility Index

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VIX trade ideas

VIX setting up for a Santa Rally?I've spent a lot of time drawing on the VIX chart today since we are coming up on an area that defines 3 separate ascending wedge patterns with one starting before the 2020 run that we have tapped twice without making a lower low. And although that lower trendline is still quite a way down, currently at 16.57, it's not a far stretch if retail sales come out strong, JP keeps quiet, and there are plans for a Santa rally lurking behind the scenes. With that being said, we have just broken the next oldest pattern, and the youngest one not much farther down at 19.66 and the .86 fib of the 2020 run up is smack in the middle at 20.13 so for tomorrow, I have potential reversal area from 20.44 to 20.13 with 20.13 to 19.71 becoming bearish down to below 19. My argument for the upside is a bit more hocus pocus as I had to put on a pitchfork to even feel good about it, but we made the inside candle Friday, which, big deal, it was a half day, but following that with an outside candle on a retail rich week wouldn't shock me at all. So I'm gonna throw my dart. If we gap up, we hit around 21.30 and come back down to close between 19.89 and 20.13 in which case the case for breaking down past 19.66 becomes more likely. SANTA RALLY!!! But, if we gap down into that bounce zone and don't break the 20.13, then we still close high and and head back to Wednesdays high. I like this case more if we bounce off the Daily low and just double bottom. BUT, I'm still leaning to a high of 22.30 on the WEEK, just because I feel like the case is better stated for a downside overall. We just have much more reason to pull back down with the biggest reason being that we haven't retested that 2020 pattern for over a year. Historically I don't see any rhyme or reason except that VIX does tend to rise during December if only for a day, and even that isn't well structured. Sooo... who the knows then the VIX is gonna VIX. What we do know is that we have spent so much time in what used to be high volatilely territory that we've started to make a home here and that contradicts what the VIX is designed to do. We've held above averages, between $10-20, for more days and gone higher than we did in the '08 housing crisis, and all while our economy is too strong for its own good. So we've either become fairly melodramatic, OR we're setting up residence. If the latter is true then we can just throw out all historical data that predates circa 2018 and start anew. I personally want to see what happens if we break down below 16.50. Do we stabilize and go back to a boring trend style value market? Or does everyone freak out and rabidly buy everything in sight. All we can do is wait, and look to the right.
TVC:VIX
by goofoffgoose
$VIX Can Rise Soon - Watch Out #VIXTraders and Investors, US Indices have had a good rally. Dow Jones has been the leading one which printed the one of the biggest 3M bullish engulfing candles ever. SnP500 is also creating 3M bullish engulfing bit has been lagging behind the US30. NASDAQ (NAS100) is the lagging behind at the last spot. Russell 2000 has been also printing a bullish engulfing candle on the 3m Time frame. On the other hand, in the UK, UK100 (FTSE100) also has been going really strong. US30 did not have a single stock in a bearish category since 12th of October 2022! This also has broken an important level and trend line. It is overextended at the moment and a correction could be due. This has a perfect confluence with VIX (Volatility Index) which currently is in a demand zone and an FCP zone. VIX can still fall further down because a pattern before failed, and a trend line was broken which makes it more bearish. But for now, a bounce could be due because of the demand zone. This can produce a bounce to the upside which can also coincide with corrections across indices and possibly precious metals too. As we enter the last week of November, we can expect some good moves in the market which can turn into short term trading opportunities. US30: (3M Time Frame) US500: (3M Time Frame) US100 (3M Time Frame) UK100 (3M Time Frame) RUSSELL2000 (3M Time Frame) Please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍🙂 Rules: 1. Never trade too much 2. Never trade without a confirmation 3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too ✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums. ✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis ✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions and questions. Take care and trade well -Vik ____________________________________________________ 📌 DISCLAIMER The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only. Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions. ____________________________________________________
CBOE:VIXLong
by vikinsa
Lower and LowerGenerally, the VIX Index tends to have an inverse relationship with the S&P 500 Index. This negative correlation has earned the VIX Index the title "fear gauge" because VIX Index has a tendency to move up quickly when the broad market declines with velocity. Right now the VIX is getting lower and the market is moving up. The comparison between the VIX Index and movement in the S&P 500 Index is close, about an 80% correlation, which confirms the reality of the two generally tending to move in opposite directions most of the time. In addition, the correlation generally tends to remain relatively stable throughout different market conditions. No recommendation
TVC:VIX
by lauralea
14
🔥 The VIX Daily RSI Hit Oversold For The First Time Since 2004As the title suggests, the VIX (the volatility index on the SP500) has hit oversold (<30) on the daily RSI for the first time since December 2004. Scroll back and see for yourself. A falling VIX is generally accompanied by bullish markets, while a rising VIX is often accompanied by bearish markets. If you wish to know more about the VIX, Investopedia has a great article on it. In my view, it's highly likely that the VIX will be reversing very soon, which will most likely lead to a bearish reaction of the stock markets and therefore crypto. If you're planning to take risky long bets, consider postponing this. An oversold VIX only adds more risk to the trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by FieryTrading
12
(GBPUSD) Wed, 23 November 2022 SetupOANDA:GBPUSD GBPUSD Neutral bias Status: Open short position and waiting for breakeven confirmation What do I see? - VIX could go bullish as it's on its major Daily low, resulting in USDCHF going bullish. - Low volatility as the market waits for Durable Goods Orders MoM, New Home Sales, and FOMC Minutes report. - Could result in a sideways market in the long run, as people couldn't conclude the direction of the market. Technically speaking both the bulls and the bears are equally strong right now, so let's see how the reports would go. What I would do? - If the reports got a bullish response, I'll go for breakeven and reconsider going bullish. vice versa. Happy Trading! Good luck!
TVC:VIX
by Tenozen