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CBOE Volatility Index

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VIX trade ideas

VIX - Volatility about to creep back in the marketIn tandem with our bearish assessment of the stock market, we predict the return of increased volatility in the market. As a result, we would like to set a medium-term price target for VIX at 30 USD. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the weekly chart of VIX. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
29
VIX - Back to the elevated volatilityOn 3rd August 2022, we set a medium-term price target for VIX at 30 USD. Then a week later, we updated this price target to short-term. Our view derives from the premise that the stock market ceased its bear market rally and will continue to drift lower. Technical indicators indicate intense selling pressure across major U.S. stock market indices over the short term. At the same time, bearish fundamental factors are due to persist for much longer, over the medium and long term. These factors will drive the global economy into a deeper recession toward the end of the year, causing a risk-off sentiment accompanied by elevated volatility. Therefore, we have no reason to change our assessment. Accordingly, we stick to the 30 USD price target. Illustration 1.01 The picture shows a bullish breakout above the sloping resistance, shortly followed by an opening gap. These developments are very bullish for VIX. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 shows the top of the bear market rally and correlation among U.S. stock market indices. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
19
VIX - Volatility is skyrocketingIn early August 2022, we warned that volatility would creep back into the market. Not long enough after that, the market started to sell off, and VIX skyrocketed from 20 USD to over 27 USD. Therefore, we stick to our short-term price target of 30 USD for VIX. However, we want to set a new medium-term price target at 35 USD. Illustration 1.01 The chart shows a bullish breakout above the resistance and two opening gaps on VIX. All of these developments are immensely bullish for VIX. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
26
VIX - The market weakness will lead to higher volatility The market volatility is on the rise, with VIX rising over 30% since 12th August 2022. We continue to be bullish on the index as we forecast more pain for the stock market. Our view is based upon fundamental factors. Because of that, we will pay close attention to the upcoming FED meeting. Accordingly, we maintain a short-term price target for VIX at 30 USD and a medium-term price target at 35 USD. Illustration 1.01 Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
10
VIX - LongWe continue to be bearish on the general stock market and, therefore, bullish on the VIX. Accordingly, we stick to our short-term price target of 30 USD and a medium-term price target of 35 USD. We will pay close attention to the FED meeting on Wednesday as we expect the volatility index to rise further after the meeting. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
19
VIX - 2007-2008 pattern?Have been analysing all VIX recoveries after big drops and 90% of them were the same - a curve to the downsidefor some time until a rounded bottom appeared and pumped the value sky-high crossing the long-term curve. This time it is different. We recovered from last big drop (Covid Crash) the same way as always - but we didn't pump as we used to - and this has happened just once before - 2007-2008. The top rounded to the downside and the bottom acted like breaking down (bullish for stocks) creating an illusion of a bull market. The rest happened as you can see - the it bounced down again but creating a higher low, which was an indication of willing to go up and break the rounded top. This time we have the same exact situation, but we are missing one more leg down. Will we repeat that same behaviour just before the crash? Meaning a last stock/risk-on assets pump before falling ? Stay safe.
TVC:VIX
by TheSecretsOfTrading
1
Impending VIX Breakout?An inverse head and shoulders has been accumulating below the 28 region and looks ready to breakout. VIX has been playing within the 28 to 26 pocket for almost a month. It began being below the 200ma and now VIX is above the 200ma on the 4HR. Keep in mind, on the daily chart we are still up trending . We have not reversed back down but have instead retested the 28 region numerous times. Will we breakout or be rejected? Tomorrow, be ready for fireworks. The entire market looks like it can go either way. Both VIX and SPY look ready to either rip or die. Be vigilant and lets make millions.
TVC:VIX
by MoRafi
VIX Volatility Forecast 19-24 Sep 2022VIX Volatility Forecast 19-24 Sep 2022 The current implied volatility is +- 3.26$ from the current opening of the weekly candle, 27.7$ With this in mind, we have a 65% chance that the market is going to stay within the range: TOP: 30.91 BOT: 24.46 At the same time, we can see that the average weekly candle, is around 11.5% From the technical analysis POV, we can see that our asset is above EMA 50/100/200. So currently I believe we are going to go towards 30$ level
TVC:VIXLong
by exlux
VIX whats next?Vix did what we expected - it bounced up respecting the curvy channel and is now dancing at the top. CPI came out a bit better, but that is no relief in thinking the bear market is gone. We didn't even hit the expected progress in this subject, therefore I remain bearish long term. I expect VIX to respect the curve here and try and retest lows (red line more likely), but if we cross the channel - we will go as the green line shows - meaning brutal bear market reality. Keep safe either way, cause all ways lead in 1 direction at the end.
TVC:VIXShort
by TheSecretsOfTrading