US100 trade ideas
NASDAQ 100 – Is Upside Momentum Still Evident?Tough talk on tariffs at the back end of last week and over the weekend from President Trump ahead of his 90 day pause deadline, which is due to end tomorrow (July 9th), helped to put a small dent in trader sentiment, slightly undermining the recent strong upside momentum seen in the US 100 index.
This led to a sell off from fresh all time highs of 22908 registered on July 3rd to a low of 22600 yesterday evening, as the letters sent by the US administration outlining import tariffs of 25% sent to Japan, South Korea and another 12 nations were unveiled.
However, the moves have been relatively muted since then as traders remain optimistic that there is still time for negotiation to agree trade deals given that the new tariffs won’t go into effect until August 1st, providing a potential further 3 weeks to move things along.
Looking forward, in a relatively quiet week for data and central bank speakers, the next moves in the US 100 index towards the Friday close may be dictated by updates on trade deals between the US and EU, and the US and India, both of which have been reported as moving closer to agreement. Technical trends could also be an important factor.
Technical Update: Is Upside Momentum Still Evident?
Future tariff news has the potential to continue to be a very important sentiment driver for global equities, particularly within the tech sector, which the US 100 index reflects within its constituents.
As a result, it can be useful to assess potential support and resistance levels within the US 100 index that traders may be focusing on to gauge the next possible direction for prices.
Possible Resistance Levels:
Since posting the April 2025 low at 16290, the US 100 index has rallied by over 40% in only a 13-week period. While this has reflected positive sentiment during this time, traders may well now be questioning if this upside momentum can continue, or if it might stall, even leading to price weakness.
As such, being aware of potential resistance levels against which to judge current price strength that might be able to hold and possibly reverse this latest activity back to the downside, may prove important.
Having previously been strong enough to hold recent price strength, the 22908 July 3rd all-time high, may now represent an area where sellers can be found again, and as such, this marks a potential first resistance focus.
However, closing breaks above 22908 might suggest a more extended phase of price strength, with traders then possibly looking to 23429, the upper weekly Bollinger band and on breaks above this, even towards 24482, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci extension of the February to April 2025 price decline, as the next resistance levels.
Possible Support Levels:
Of course, just because a 40% advance in prices has been seen, doesn’t guarantee it will continue and traders may be trying to focus on support levels that if broken on a closing basis over the coming days, might suggest risks of a more extended decline in price.
Looking at the daily chart above, it might be suggested that the first support is currently represented by 22201, the level of the rising Bollinger mid-average. Closing breaks below 22201 could in turn lead to further price declines to test 22053, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of May 23rd to July 3rd price strength, even 21787, the deeper 50% retracement.
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NASDAQ Key Levels July 7 2025If NY fails to reclaim 22,755–780 early in the week, expect a grind back toward 22,644 → 22,600, with 22,520 in play only if volume confirms. Reclaiming and holding above 22,800+ would invalidate this bearish setup.
Watch for trap volume, delta reversals, and volume imbalances at all key zones before entering.
22,880 – 🔻 Weekly wick top
➤ Major rejection zone with a stop cluster sitting above.
22,800–820 – Possible NY trap zone
➤ Trap absorption detected here on footprint — watch New York for rejection or breakout.
22,755–22,780 – Retest zone
➤ Multiple trap wicks with low delta on 1H/15M. Likely to bait breakout traders before fading.
22,700 – Structural demand / pivot point
➤ A clean break + hold below = bearish market shift.
22,644 – ✅ Session low / Take Profit 1
➤ If 22,700 breaks, this is the first clean downside target.
22,600 – Daily value zone
➤ High-probability liquidity target if selling extends below 22,644.
22,520 – Final sweep target
➤ Only likely if New York session sells off hard mid-to-late week.
#NDQ - Monthly Targets: 23721.73 or 21387.86?Date: 03-07-2025
#NDQ - Current Price: 22641.89
Pivot Point: 22554.80 Support: 22276.15 Resistance: 22835.11
Upside Targets:
Target 1: 23028.36
Target 2: 23221.62
Target 3: 23471.67
Target 4: 23721.73
Downside Targets:
Target 1: 22082.06
Target 2: 21887.98
Target 3: 21637.92
Target 4: 21387.86
NAS100 4H – Bullish Breakout Continuation BUY SetupUS100 (NAS100) is showing clear bullish strength after reclaiming 22,500.0, now trading around 22,718.0. The structure remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming cleanly.
Buyers are still in control — looking for continuation to the upside.
---
BUY Trade Plan:
🔵 Buy Limit: 22,650.0 – 22,680.0
🛑 Stop Loss: 22,600.0
🎯 Take Profit 1: 22,800.0
🎯 Take Profit 2: 22,950.0
---
Why Buy?
✅ Strong bullish market structure.
✅ Recent pullback held above previous support levels.
✅ Momentum favoring upside continuation after minor retracement.
Smart Money likely to drive price higher after liquidity grab around 22,650 zone.
---
Summary:
Bias: BUY ONLY 🔥
Setup: Wait for price to pull back into 22,650 – 22,680, enter long on confirmation.
Risk Management: Respect SL and TP levels — no emotions.
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💬 Are you buying NAS100 too? Drop your thoughts below!
#NAS100 #US100 #Indices #TradingView #SmartMoney #BuySetup #FrankFx14
USTEC 15M Trade Setup Analysis (TCB Strategy)📊 USTEC 15M Trade Setup Analysis (TCB Strategy)
Trade Type: Countertrend Breakout -> Continuation
Symbol: USTEC (NASDAQ 100 Index)
Timeframe: 15-Minute
Entry Zone: Around 22,500
Resistance Zone: 22,587.90
Target: 22,865.84
Stop Loss: 22,458.87
Risk–Reward: 1:3 (approx)
Structure: Falling wedge breakout into bullish channel
Setup Confidence Score: 95%
📝 Analyst Notes
Price is breaking out from a well-defined falling wedge within a rising channel. Entry around 22,500 is based on breakout momentum, with SL tucked under structure. A retest entry would offer added confluence. Resistance at 22,587.90 is critical—a break and hold above confirms bullish strength toward the 22,865 target.
🎯 Execution Plan
Option 1: Aggressive entry near 22,500–22,540 (early breakout)
Option 2: Wait for clean retest of wedge breakout or 22,500 zone
Target: 22,865 (upper channel boundary)
SL: 22,458 or below the recent structure low
R:R: ~1:3 — very favorable
🟢 Verdict
This is a high-quality TCB setup, especially if we get a retest confirmation. The bounce off channel support + wedge breakout = excellent confluence.
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?The Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 22,509.40 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 22,150.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 23,264.68 which is a resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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X1: NAS100/NQ/US100 Short Trade Risking 1% to make 1.35%PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 / CAPITALCOM:US100 Short Trades
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 / CAPITALCOM:US100 Short for week, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 1.35%
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
TP-1 is high probability TP but don't overload your risk like greedy, be disciplined trader.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NAS100 High-Risk Momentum Play with Potential H&S SetupNAS100 is hovering near all-time highs. While a retest of the weekly trendline remains likely, this idea aims to ride the current bullish momentum. The plan anticipates a short-term pullback to recent lows to potentially form a head and shoulders pattern before a move lower toward the weekly trendline. This is a high-risk setup I’d typically avoid, but the strong bullish weekly close adds some weight. Two entries provided - one with a tighter TP for a quicker reaction.
Nasdaq ready for pullback??Hi Guys,
The US indices have been ripping back to all time highs without any meaningful pullbacks from the lows.
The Nasdaq is approaching a price level where we may see a pullback and some selling pressure.
The shaded box above the chart is that area and it contains two important fib levels. The bottom of the box is the 1.13 retracement of the recent high to the low after the tarrif news. The black line drawn through the box is the 2.0 retracement of the bear market high to low. This level is always important but it is more significant in this case because the SP 500 and Dow Jones both had the big drops from pretty much exactly this level. The Nasdaq failed to reach this level so if the other two indices are anything to go by we may see some selling here.
Daily RSI is showing divergence. Sell setups using break of structure chart pattern and candlestick patterns on lower time frame could result in nice risk to reward trades.
The red line coming from the bottom is the AVWAP and its no coincidence that it is in line with a n obvious support area should we get a deep enough pullback.
Safe Trading all
NAS100 Potential ReversalHi there,
The NAS100 is slightly bullish and fairly stagnant. It is consolidating between two key levels (orange lines). A break below the price might fall into deeper demand zones.
Short Notes
- **Elliott Wave**: 5-wave structure appears complete at resistance (22,137.8), signalling a possible reversal.
- **Liquidity Zones**: Price is at/near a major liquidity zone, increasing reversal risk.
- **Break High**: There's a potential for a false breakout above wave 5 before dropping.
- **Support Levels**: The 21,800.6 (previous day high) and 21,146.2 (previous day low) for first support.
- **Demand Zones**: Strong demand below 21,146.2, with deeper support near 20,000 and 18,800.
- **Overview: A possible bearish move ahead from current highs, targeting lower demand zones.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice
NASDAQ | - Structure Refined | Bullish Intent Into Next WeekPair: NAS100
Bias: Bullish
Timeframes: 4H, 2H, LTFs
• 4H broke structure to the upside with a new HH — clear sign of bullish intent stepping in.
• 2H gives clarity on the move — beginning of the week was messy, but price cleaned up nicely and gave us refined structure to work with.
• Now we wait for mitigation into the OB zone to see if price respects and gives us the setup.
🔹 Entry: After price mitigates OB and confirms with CHoCH on LTFs
🔹 Entry Zone: Marked OB zone — wait for confirmation
🔹 Target: Near structure highs — continuation if bulls step in
Mindset: Messy beginnings don’t mean bad outcomes. Structure eventually reveals the truth — just stay patient and ready.
Bless Trading!
Up Up Up... Nothing Can Stop NAS From RisingLet's take a look at the big picture in the NASDAQ: Do you see how nicely the spring crash landed on the 50% retracement of the upward movement since fall 2022?
Now that we've crossed the old ATH, the targets are clear, and they're way up in the NASDAQ.
The summer correction is therefore likely to fail and probably turn into a listless sideways slide. By September at the latest, however, the NAS should pick up speed again and head for targets between 25,000 and 26,000 - at the very least.
Clear skies!
US100 BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 22,518.7
Target Level: 21,870.2
Stop Loss: 22,949.8
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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US100 (NASDAQ) BREAKOUT BLUEPRINT: LOOT LIKE A SMART TRADER!🔥 NASDAQ 100 HEIST: STEAL THE TREND LIKE A MARKET BANDIT! 🚨💰
Locked & loaded for the US100 (NASDAQ 100) heist? This slick blueprint cracks the code to loot profits—blending killer technicals with macro intel. Ride the bullish wave, but dodge traps near the Overbought Zone. Bears lurk, so secure your bag before the reversal hits! 🐻💨
🎯 ENTRY: STRIKE LIKE A PRO THIEF
Long the breakout near 21,500.0 (or ambush pullbacks at 20,400.0 & 19600.0).
Set stealth alerts to catch moves in real-time. 🕶️🔔
🛡️ STOP LOSS: ESCAPE ALIVE
Hide stops under the last 4H swing low/wick—no reckless bets!
Adjust for your risk—survivors play smart. ⚡
💸 TAKE PROFIT: VANISH WITH THE LOOT
Main Target: 22,250.0 (or bail early if momentum fades).
Scalpers: Trail stops & ghost out with quick wins. 🏃♂️💨
📡 WHY THIS HEIST WORKS
NASDAQ 100’s on fire: Fundamentals + COT data + macro tides align.
Sentiment’s bullish, but stay sharp—links below for the full intel. 🔍🌐
⚠️ WARNING: NEWS = POLICE SIRENS
Avoid new trades during high-impact news. 📢
Lock profits with trailing stops if you’re already in. 🔐
🤝 JOIN THE TRADING MAFIA
Smash LIKE, drop a comment, & let’s dominate the US100! �
Ready for the next big move? Stay tuned. 👀
Happy hunting, chart pirates! 🏴☠️📉
NAS100 - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Severely bullish extension - Potential correction
Prevailing Rally - "LONG" Targets:
1] 22636.00
2] 23220.00
Potential Correction - "SHORT" Targets:
1] 22173.00
2] 22000.00
"ONLY IN CASE CORRECTION ZONE IS BREACHED!"
3] 21450.00
Keynote:
I would refer from looking for shorting setups in such a strong bullish environment.
Wait for the market to come to you.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
NASDAQNASDAQ If the price cannot break through the 22728 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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US100 - Liquidity sweep above the ATHIntroduction
The US100 has been exhibiting a strong upward trend on the daily timeframe ever since the sharp correction in early April. This sustained bullish momentum culminated in a break above the previous all-time high (ATH) earlier today. However, this breakout may not be entirely convincing just yet, as there are signs of a potential short-term reversal. The move above the ATH could represent a liquidity sweep, where price action briefly pushes past a key level before retracing, possibly trapping late buyers.
Liquidity Sweep
On the daily chart, the US100 did succeed in breaching the previous ATH, but the breakout appears to have been short-lived. Price quickly reversed after the new high was printed, leaving behind only a wick above the ATH. This type of price action forms what is commonly referred to as a swing failure pattern, a scenario where the market tests liquidity above a key level before turning back down. Such a pattern often signals upcoming weakness, especially when the breakout lacks strong follow-through or volume support.
4H Fair Value Gap (FVG)
During the most recent leg up, the US100 left behind an unfilled fair value gap (FVG) on the 4-hour timeframe. This imbalance zone, created when price moves too quickly in one direction without enough time for buyers and sellers to match orders evenly, often acts as a magnet for price to return to. In the context of the current market structure, this 4H FVG could provide a meaningful support level if the index does experience a pullback. Should the index find support here and show signs of renewed buying interest, the broader uptrend is likely to continue. However, if this zone fails to hold, we may see a deeper retracement toward lower support levels.
Conclusion
While the US100 remains in a strong and well-defined uptrend on the higher timeframes, the recent price action above the ATH introduces the possibility of a short-term pullback. The appearance of a swing failure pattern and the presence of an untested 4H FVG suggest that some corrective movement could unfold in the near term. That said, the FVG presents a key area to watch for bullish continuation. If buyers step in at this imbalance zone, the index could resume its upward trajectory, reaffirming the strength of the current trend.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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