Nasdaq insights: 16-APRIL-2025Good morning, traders! As a seasoned price action trader, I'll share my Nasdaq insights to help you improve your trading skills.
US100 trade ideas
Likely Bullish Gap at Open Followed by a Sharp Drop📈 US100 – Likely Bullish Gap at Open Followed by a Sharp Drop 📉
On the 15-minute chart of the US100, we can see a corrective structure forming within an ascending channel, likely representing wave (B) of a larger correction. The price is currently near the top boundary of the channel, around 18,872.1.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Clear prior bearish impulse.
Ongoing corrective move within a rising channel.
ABC correction forming inside the channel.
Potential rising wedge, suggesting bullish exhaustion.
📌 Main Hypothesis: I expect the market to open with a bullish gap, potentially reaching or briefly exceeding the 18,872.1 level, before starting a stronger downward move toward 17,411.8, which aligns with a key support zone and broader trendline confluence.
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance: 18,872.1 (ideal reversal area)
Target Support: 17,411.8
⚠️ Alternative Scenario: A strong breakout and consolidation above the channel could invalidate the bearish setup and suggest a continuation to the upside.
💡 Conclusion: This move would fit well within a broader corrective pattern, offering a technical pullback before any potential continuation. I’ll be watching the open closely for confirmation.
💼 Trade Idea:
🔹 Strategy: Short from resistance
🔹 Suggested Entry: 18,850 – 18,880 (potential gap zone and upper channel resistance)
🔹 Stop Loss: Above 18,920 (outside channel and above recent highs)
🔹 Take Profit: 17,500 – 17,450 (key support zone / technical target)
🔹 Risk/Reward Approximation: 1:4
🧠 Wait for price action confirmation (rejection, bearish engulfing candle, or intraday structure break before entering).
bullish for nas100I'm back again with nice setup of nass100 up we go no looking back, break and retest the support level and the third touch on trendline.
Nasdaq 100 to 17000On the above 3-day chart price action has corrected 33% since late December. A number of reasons now exist to be bullish, including:
1) The ‘incredible buy’ signal has printed. Look left.
2) The buy signal is coming in at 81% probability. The previous were 75%, 72@, & 72% percent, respectively. Look at the strength of if a 75% recovery, what do you think a 81% will be like? This can only be the result of a massive short squeeze, in my opinion.
3) Price action has just printed a ‘double bottom’ (orange line) on past support / resistance - look left!
4) Most recently price action has broken out of a bullish falling wedge formation with back test confirmation, see below.
Is it possible price action falls further? For sure.
Is it probable? No.
Good luck!
Ww
A little closer
US 100 - Ranges overview Let's see what the charts are telling us on US 100.
Just like US 30 US 100 retraced and is currently in a redistribution phase.
From a HTF, as long as we hold 16771.6 expect us aggressively trade towards 19000 and 20500.
IF we fail to hold 16771.6 expect us to retrace towards the 16771.6 and 15201 range. Any clean close below 16771.6 and the market will aggressively seek the sellside liquidity around 15201.
As always WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO SHOW YOU ITS HAND.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
NASDAQ100Perfect — now we’re on the 4H timeframe, which is great for refining entries. Let’s break this down again with the three frameworks:
⸻
1. Smart Money Concept (SMC)
Key Elements:
• CHoCH (Change of Character) — clearly marked after price broke above a short-term structure, shifting market sentiment bullish on 4H.
• EQH (Equal Highs) — potential liquidity resting above; smart money may target these.
• BOS (Break of Structure) — further confirms internal bullish structure.
• Order Block (OB) or Demand Zone in the green box (~17,700–18,200)** — price respected this zone strongly after BOS, indicating smart money accumulation.
SMC Bias (4H):
• Currently bullish, moving from demand to premium pricing.
• Price is forming higher highs and higher lows post-CHoCH.
• Liquidity pool above EQH near 19,000 is likely next target.
• Potential long re-entry if price returns to demand zone (18,000–18,200).
⸻
2. Elliott Wave View (Micro Count on 4H)
• If this is part of Wave 4 retracement on the Daily, this current 4H rally could be subwave A or B of the corrective structure (flat, zigzag, triangle).
• Alt. view: This may be Wave 1 of a new impulsive move upward if macro bearish bias gets invalidated.
• Current price action looks impulsive — strong vertical move (potential Wave 1 or 3).
If impulsive structure:
• Wave 1: 17,000 → 18,900
• Wave 2: pullback to ~18,100 (near OB)
• Wave 3 underway — targetting >19,000
⸻
3. Dow Theory (on 4H)
• Short-term trend is now up: Higher high confirmed post-BOS, and higher low formed.
• To maintain bullish structure, price must not break below 17,900 (demand zone).
• Confirmation of strength if we break above 19,000 — forming a higher high again.
⸻
Trade Idea (4H Setup) — Bullish SMC Entry
Entry (Buy Limit): 18,150 (mid-demand zone)
SL: 17,750 (below OB)
TP1: 19,000 (liquidity above EQH)
TP2: 19,800 – 20,200 (Daily supply zone)
RR Ratio: ~1:3+
⸻
Would you like a tighter setup on 1H for sniper entry, or are you trading swing/position from here
NAS100 Update - Potential TargetsDear Fellow Traders,
How I see it:
NASDAQ Stocks will remain in a sell off phase this quarter.
My "BEARISH" targets in case "DAILY TREND RESISTANCE" holds -
* TP1 & TP2 as indicated.
My "BULLISH" targets in case "DAILY TREND RESISTANCE" is breached -
* TP1 & TP2 as indicated.
KEYNOTE:
Bullish TP 2 = 78.60% FIB retracement from ATH
Feel free to ask if anything is unclear.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 19150 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 18820 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 19200
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 18820
Strong Rejection from 19300 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 17800 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 19100 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 18820 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 18500 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 17800 zone – Liquidity Engineered
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
——
💯 18 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900
💯 11 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900
💯 18 jan 2024 – Bullish Run After Break That level
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
US100 shortThis should be a little piece of what will happen this week in my opinion!
Ofc no financial advice!!! ;) <3
monday long opportunity for nasdaq1. From the daily chart perspective, I believe a short-term bottom has already formed, but the stop-loss level is too far for a long position, so it’s better to seek a low-entry buy. Last Friday, it reached a support level, but I wasn’t firm enough so i didn't enter. BUtT, we can PATIENTLY wait for a lower point to buy here.
monday plan:
On the 1-hour timeframe, resistance is at 19100-19300 (which is also the 4-hour resistance), and support is at 18200-17800.
Look for buying opportunities on Monday, with real-time updates afterward, stop-loss at 17600.
TARGET IS 19100-19300.
If price goes up directly, i will wait 19100-19300 for a short opportunity instead.
NAS100 (15min) – Bullish Entry Activated1. Symmetrical Triangle Formation
Price was compressing inside a symmetrical triangle, with a series of lower highs and higher lows, indicating indecision and buildup of pressure.
2. Downside Fake-out (False Breakout)
Price briefly broke below the lower trendline, suggesting a potential bearish breakout.
However, there was no strong follow-through; instead, price quickly reclaimed the trendline and pushed back inside the structure.
This is a classic fake-out, often trapping late sellers and providing liquidity for buyers.
The rejection from the lows resulted in a long wick, signalling strong buying interest and failure to break down.
3. Aggressive Bullish Reaction
After reclaiming the triangle support, price moved rapidly back to the top of the triangle.
The next key move was a strong breakout above the upper trendline, confirming bullish intent.
4. Break and Retest
Price action followed through with a clean breakout above resistance, followed by a minor pullback and retest of the broken trendline, which held as support.
This retest offered a textbook entry point based on price action principles.
5. Bullish Structure Confirmation
Post breakout, price formed a higher low and continued to make a higher high, confirming a trend shift.
This structural change strengthens the bullish outlook.
Nasdaq High Impact Analysis (Stock Market Crash)we are looking at a stock market crash.
high valuations of tech companys (nvidia, apple, microsoft, tesla etc)
a synthetic covid scenario, same news, same playouts, same situations playing out.
1995 - 2001 dot.com bubble playing out
we projecting a bottoming of 10 000
we projecting a high of 30 000
the whole scenario is re balancing the tech sector
alot more downward pressure before we see a bottom / buy the dip kind of playout.
NAS100 Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 18,440.0.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 21,081.9 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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It is not easy to explain everything with just chart analysis.
Therefore, it is true that interpretation of various issues is necessary.
However, I am only explaining the chart.
The reason is that interpretation of various issues other than the chart is not easy for individual investors.
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(NAS100USD 1W chart)
In order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
If not, there is a high possibility of continuing the downtrend.
Therefore, if the price is maintained above 18693.7, I think it is highly likely that the uptrend will continue.
However, this is a medium- to long-term perspective.
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(1D chart)
In the short term, the price should be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
In that sense, we can see that the current price position is an important section.
However, in order to continue the short-term upward trend, it should rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
In that sense, the support around 19848.3 is an important key point.
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Currently, the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought section.
Therefore, even if it continues to rise further, it is expected to show a downward trend in the end.
Therefore, if it is not supported near 19848.3, I think you should prepare for a decline.
At this time, you should check whether it can be supported near 18428.8 and rise.
The reason is that the HA-Low indicator of the 1D chart is formed.
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The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on the Heikin Ashi chart.
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it rose from the low point section.
Therefore, if it is supported near the HA-Low indicator, then that is the time to buy.
If it falls without being supported by the HA-Low indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
However, there is a difference between a downward trend following the HA-Low indicator and a simple downward trend.
A stepwise decline following the HA-Low indicator is likely to eventually form a bottom section.
The next volatility period is expected to be around April 29th.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trading.
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Trade the Structure: NAS100 Possible Retrace & Buy OpportunityThe NAS 100 recently broke its market structure after a twist in trade policy—with Donald Trump delaying tariffs by 90 days—which sparked a robust rally. On the 4‑hour chart, we're looking for a bullish setup where the initial surge might be followed by a pullback into a sideways accumulation zone. This consolidation is expected to form a "spring" pattern—a brief retest that could trap sellers—followed by a clear break of market structure that signals a renewed upward move. The entry is ideally on the breakout, backed by supportive volume, while risk management is maintained with a stop-loss positioned just below the range if/when price retraces into support. 🚀📈💰
NASDAQ 19200 POTENTIAL BREAKOUTKey important level holding 18k after important catalyst 90 days tariffs pause.
Looking this levels, for a major move in next weeks
Market outlook on NasdaqI think the Nasdaq will retest the recent low and it is likely to break and get to fib extension 14500-15000
NAS100 Rebound Setup – Bulls Gaining Strength Again?The NAS100 has bounced strongly from the high-volume demand zone (16,700 – 17,800) highlighted by LuxAlgo's Supply and Demand indicator. The current price is consolidating near 18,700, building momentum for a potential breakout.
Key Technical Zones:
Demand Zone: 16,700 – 17,800 (high buy interest)
Support Level: 17,828.9
Resistance 1: 20,350.6 (first upside target)
Major Supply Zone: 21,775.4 (big decision point for bulls)
Bullish Outlook:
Price has reclaimed the 17,828.9 support and is forming higher lows.
A strong break above 19,000 could send price to test 20,350, then possibly 21,775.
Green arrows show the bullish potential if price holds above support.
Bearish Risk:
A breakdown below 17,828.9 could signal a return to the demand zone.
Watch for rejection candlesticks or divergence signals near resistance.
Volume Profile Insight:
LuxAlgo's visible range shows strong buyer interest below 18,000, indicating institutions may be accumulating positions.
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Trade Idea: Look for a confirmed breakout above recent highs near 18,800 for long entries. Conservative traders may wait for a pullback to 17,800 for better risk-reward.
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What’s your take on NAS100? Will buyers push it to 20K+ or is this just a trap rally? Share your thoughts below!
#NASDAQ #US100 #NAS100 #IndexTrading #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #ForexAnalysis #StockMarket #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup
Does the Nasdaq keep dropping after approaching the nearby high?I have 2 zone that are coded as a "no close above" that should have held no issue
The reason why I am short mainly is because we haven't visit 50% of the New Week Opening Gap and we have rejected from 50% of the bearish gap above the range. As well as volumetric divergence after the rally.
I want to see this gap at least partially filled before anything else this week can happen.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min / Time To Take A Seriouce Short 🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bearish Reversal – 19100 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 16880
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 16350
Strong Rejection from 16350 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 16890 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 16890 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 17000 – Liquidity Engineered
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
——
💯 18 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900
💯 11 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900
💯 18 jan 2024 – Bullish Run After Break That level
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
Nasdaq downtrend prevails till it breaks 19200 ResistanceNasdaq downtrend prevails till it breaks 19200 Resistance.
The Nasdaq 100 is exhibiting a strong short-term bearish trend. 📉 Technical Analysis (Short-Term):
The Nasdaq 100 is exhibiting a strong short-term bearish trend.
CentralCharts
The index is trading below its 200-day moving average, indicating potential market weakness and possibly the start of a downtrend.
Business Insider
Key resistance levels are around $20,275–$20,382; a breakout above this range could signal a bullish reversal.
TradingView
Support is observed near $18,872; a break below this level may lead to further declines.
TradingView
🧠 Fundamental Analysis:
The Nasdaq 100 concluded Q1 2025 with a loss of 8.6%, reflecting a challenging start to the year.
Seeking Alpha
Upcoming Q1 earnings reports from major tech companies, including Netflix and TSMC, are anticipated to influence market direction.
FX Leaders
Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve's target and signs of a weakening job market are contributing to economic uncertainty.
Business Insider
💬 Sentiment Analysis:
Investor sentiment is currently bearish, with the Nasdaq 100 having fallen over 8% in March, marking the worst monthly performance since late 2022.
MarketWatch
Concerns over trade tensions, inflation, and potential stagflation are weighing on market confidence.
Business Insider
Despite the downturn, April's historical performance as a strong month for U.S. stocks may offer buying opportunities amidst volatility.
NAS100 Playbook For The Week Friday closed around 18,783, likely in the midst of wrapping up Wave 5 on the 1H timeframe ⚠️
However, the daily Wave 5 still looks incomplete — my upside target remains around 19,732.
Notably, price hasn’t tapped the Wave 3 daily high at 19,258, so there’s still room for one more push 📈
What I’m Watching:
🔻 Short-term pullback likely.
Here are the zones I’m eyeing for potential shorts:
🔹 1H Wave 2 FVG zone → 18,098
🔹 Daily FVG / Wave 2 bottom → 17,573
I’ll be looking to short into one of those levels IF structure confirms, then potentially flip long once we see a solid move on the daily 💥
—
Trading structure over signals — let the wave tell the story 🌊
#NAS100 #ElliottWave #MarketStructure #kushstratedFX
