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US100 trade ideas

Outlook for the next weeks after really significant drop.Nasdaq fell because of the new concerns about the dominance of US´s AI. Spotlight was on Chinese startup DeepSeks latest AI model, which is cost-efficient and able to run on less advanced chips. This startup is challenging companies like Nvidia and ChatGPT. I was predicting some kind of drop after the weekend because the price reacted to the big supply zone, but the drop was more drastical and faster than i thought and i didnt catch it. I still feel like markets are going to heal from this drop, but it will take some time. I am looking for markets to fill the nearest imbalance and then going slowly up. Or the second scenario is going far more down and taking liquidity and acumulate/consolidate. Let me know your prediction :)
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Filip_Kozak
NDQ100 Update - Overaction? Thanks for checking out our latest update. Today, we are looking at the NDQ100 daily chart. What a 48 hours we have seen. After a plunge that wiped off up to 1 trillion dollars and close to 600 million off Nvidia, we saw a fast fightback at the end of the session and a recovery on Tuesday. The crash occurred after Chinese Tech company DeepSeek shocked the AI world with a powerful LLM. Looking at the last price action, has support reformed? Will we see the new push higher after this last seller test? Buyers look interested, but we would like further confirmation with rallies that fill the gap or a test of the last high. Good trading from Eightcap.
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100Long
by Eightcap
USNAS100 Technical Outlook: Key Levels & Trend Reversal SignalsUSNAS100 Technical Analysis The price is expected to decline from the pivot level to 21,390 and, if it breaks 21,380, it could confirm a bearish trend toward 21,215. However, if the price stabilizes above 21,390, it may push higher toward 21,635. A 1-hour or 4-hour candle close above 21,635 would signal the start of a bullish trend, targeting 21,760 and 21,890. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 21,520 Resistance Levels: 21,635, 21,760, 21,900 Support Levels: 21,390, 21,215, 21,115 Outlook & Trend: Bullish above 21,635 Bearish below 21,530 previous idea:
OANDA:NAS100USD
by SroshMayi
NASDAQ: Now targets 24,000 by Q2Nasdaq has recovered yesterday's crash and turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.692, MACD = 88.960, ADX = 31.397). The current rebound is taking place on the 1D MA50 and is a double bottom on the P1 level, which was previously a Resistance coming from the July 11th 2024 High. The same P1 level was seen supporting a year ago the January 5th 2024 Low. This hold ended in a rally to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. With even their RSI Channel Down patterns being identical, we expect a new bullish wave to start now, aiming the 1.5 Fib once again (TP = 24,000). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Part 15This week as usual, I am continuing with my bullish bias due to the fact that all the larger timeframes are still maintaining their HL structure. A quick glance at the H1/H2 will show that a new Low has been formed...(one direct and one segmented). However, this does not affect the bias of the overall structure as when you zoom out and examine the larger timeframes, you will see that the structure is still being maintained on the largest timeframes the daily and above. Last week price traded above the current H1/H2 trendline before the break on Friday. This to me does not indicate a break in structure, however a temporary retracement to set up another HL for the larger timeframes. If you have been tracking the Highs, you would have noticed that while they have been LH's since the last ATH back in December, they are still tracking higher, which confirms that the market is still in a consolidatory state and it will only be a matter of time before the ATH is broken again. What does this mean for this week? 1. I still enter on my largest HL and exit on my HH's a. In the event that I only get a LH...I take my profit and wait for another HL 2. My TP levels for 2025 still remain the same and I patiently trade the trend. 3. Continue being patient as I wait for the ATH to be broken again. Remember this a marathon and not a sprint and as such consistency is going to be of utmost importance. Have a great week and remember to always journal your trades, do not rush your entries and most of all trust your analysis as long as you are trading the trend. #oneauberstrategy #aubersystem #auberstrategy #whywewait #patience #zigzagtheory
OANDA:NAS100USD
by Auberstrategy
NAS100USD Will Grow! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for NAS100USD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 21,546.0. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 21,980.8 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SignalProvider
1
US100 Will Fall! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for US100. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 21,855.7. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 21,446.9 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by SignalProvider
1
NASDAQ / Markets Stabilize After AI Shock and Trade ConcernsDeep Breath After AI Jolt and Tariff Rumblings Markets steadied on Tuesday following Wall Street’s sharp sell-off at the start of the week. The emergence of DeepSeek, a low-cost Chinese artificial intelligence rival, erased more than half a trillion dollars from Nvidia's valuation, which had previously been America's most valuable firm. USNAS100 Technical Analysis The price is likely to test 21115 and could push higher if it stabilizes above 21215. As long as the price remains above 21215, it is expected to continue upward toward 21380. However, if the price breaks below 20990, it would signal a bearish trend, targeting 20670. Key Levels Pivot Point: 21215 Resistance Levels: 21380, 21535, 21635 Support Levels: 21115, 20990, 20810 Trend Outlook Bullish: While above 21215 Bearish: Below 20990
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
Bearish Shift in NAS100: What’s Next for the US100 Trend?👀 👉 In this video, we take an in-depth look at the NAS100, analyzing its trend, market structure, price action, key support and resistance zones, and how liquidity is influencing the market. Currently, the US100 is approaching an important support level following a bearish market structure shift. We discuss possible strategies if the trend continues. All the details are covered here. Please note, this is not financial advice.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
1
NAS100 15MIN SELLS The Bearish Reversal Entry Model is one of the most effective setups in 2025. Here's how it typically plays out: - Sweep the High of the Asian Range: Price often manipulates above the Asian session's highs, taking out liquidity. - Change of Character (CHOCH): After the sweep, price reverses, showing a shift in market structure. - Retrace: The price pulls back, creating an opportunity to enter a trade(sells). - Target Daily Lows/Asian Lows (SSL) : Set your take-profit level at the Daily Low.
ICMARKETS:USTECShort
by SMC-DM
Nasdaq 100 Remains Neutral After the Fed's DecisionThe NAS100 initially dropped nearly 0.6% as the Federal Reserve's official decision was announced. However, so far, the event has not been decisive on the daily chart to establish a clear direction. The central bank chose to keep interest rates at 4.5% , as expected, and in its official statement, it acknowledged that inflation remains somewhat elevated and is still far from the 2% target. As long as this rate pause outlook continues, a sustained high level of 4.5% could continue to hinder overall economic activity and may become a key factor in the bearish bias that emerged in December. Short-Term Sideways Channel: At the moment, the market remains within a well-defined sideways range, with a ceiling at 22,000 points and a floor at 21,000 points. The price continues to fluctuate within this range, reflecting a clear lack of trend in recent movements. For now, this range stands as the most significant technical formation, potentially serving as a precursor to a much larger trending move. Neutrality in Indicators: The RSI line remains near the neutral 50 level , indicating that there is currently a perfect balance between buying and selling forces in the market. The MACD histogram closely resembles the RSI, oscillating near the 0-neutral line , which suggests that the moving averages do not show a clear short-term trend bias. The neutral stance of both indicators suggests that the Nasdaq may continue moving sideways for now, aligning with the current range-bound market behavior. Key Levels: 22K – The most important resistance, aligning with the top of the sideways channel. A breakout above this level could be decisive, signaling new all-time highs and reviving the long-term bullish trend. 21K – A crucial short-term support level, coinciding with the 100-period moving average. Price action near this level could intensify selling pressure, potentially leading to more significant bearish moves. 20K – The ultimate support level currently holding the structure. A drop to this level could tilt the balance towards the formation of a fresh downtrend in the short term. By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by FOREXcom
Nasdaq 100/ Support and Resistance Levels OverviewNasdaq 100 Futures Analysis (4H Chart) The support zone 20730 - 20580 pushed the price upward. Thus, as long as the price remains above this zone, it will rise again to reach 21170. Above this level, it is likely to touch 21370, thereby crossing the resistance zone and moving toward the next upper resistance. However, beware of any break below the support zone 20730 - 20580, as it will indicate a bearish trend toward lower supports. Futures tied to the Nasdaq fell sharply on Monday as AI-related shares experienced a significant selloff. The downturn was driven by the rapid rise of DeepSeek's low-cost AI model, which challenges the notion that AI demand would substantially benefit the chip and data center industries. This development has negatively affected megacap stocks, including Nvidia, further pressuring the broader market.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
Why DeepSeek Has Blown Up Nasdaq?By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst DeepSeek the privately held company owned by co-founder Liang Wenfeng's quant investment fund High-Flyer has emerged as one of the most influential companies in the field of artificial intelligence (AI), revolutionizing financial and technology markets. Today we take a look at how its innovation has impacted key sectors and the promising future it envisions. Transforming Markets DeepSeek has consolidated its position in the technology industry thanks to advances in natural language processing, computer vision and machine learning. These technologies have found applications in sectors such as finance, healthcare, retail and automotive. In finance, its AI tools have optimized decision making, trend prediction and risk management. Banking institutions and investment funds have managed to reduce costs and improve their operational efficiency, which has strengthened investor confidence. It is interesting to see how a project in which only $10 million has been invested has surpassed projects such as OpenAI (ChatGPT) in which large companies such as Microsoft are involved and have invested more than $10 billion in them, not to mention large market makers such as NVIDIA that dedicate a lot of resources to this purpose. This may be highlighting a potential financial speculation bubble brewing among the Magnificent 7. According to my DeepSeek estimates it could be valued as high as $345 per share, a higher price than OpenAI, currently mostly sponsored by Microsoft, and one of the companies most affected by yesterday's drop, could be worth in the market. The Magnificent 7 fell sharply. NVIDIA down -16%, Microsoft , Alphaben and Tesla down -2% respectively,and Broadcom down -17%. During yesterday's session, DeepSeek shares drove a drop in Nasdaq and S&P500 that only seems to reflect that the only reasons the market seems to be bullish on the AI bubble. The market closed with corrections of -612.47 points for the former and -88.96 points for the latter. 2 Billion dollars have been lost in a single day in the market, the largest loss of market capitalization in the history of the stock market led by NVDIA in absolute terms. All this has generated that hackers have tried to burst the DeepSeek service and for hours the registration of thousands of accounts that requested to have an account through Googleplay has been blocked. This impact has caused the index to partially recover its price. What does it have to do with the fact that a small company has affected all the suppliers of all these outputs, even affecting companies from different sectors? Well, a company that has cost less to generate the same outputs with fewer inputs, i.e., with fewer hens, has obtained more eggs. Therefore, this has backfired on the U.S. government with the sanctions. If DeepSeek has just demonstrated that it is possible to reach the same result, consuming less capital, then the suppliers of these services will see their future sales negatively impacted (see GPU suppliers, energy, etc.), in order to continue developing and operating AI. This is a sledgehammer for very inefficient US AI companies, which can be replicated at fraction of the cost of what was currently considered. Impact on Technology Companies DeepSeek has redefined the dynamics in the technology sector by collaborating with giants such as software developers and hardware manufacturers. These partnerships have driven the integration of AI into products and services, from algorithmic trading platforms to smart devices. For example, big data and cybersecurity companies have adopted its advanced algorithms to improve data protection and optimize resource management. This has generated a domino effect, where smaller technology firms have also leveraged DeepSeek's innovation to develop customized solutions. The semiconductor sector has been another beneficiary, with increased demand for advanced chips designed to support DeepSeek's deep learning capabilities. This has increased sales and technology development in this segment. Futuristic Advances DeepSeek's future is promising. The company is focused on: 1. general AI development (AGI): they seek to create systems capable of performing human intellectual tasks, with potential impact in education, medicine and more. 2. Sustainability: Their algorithms help optimize energy use in smart cities and predict weather patterns. 3. Ethics and Transparency: Promote the responsible use of AI, gaining trust among regulators and consumers. NASDAQ Technical Analysis (Ticker AT: USATEC) Looking at the WACD in its three forms, on the overbought signal on the 24th and 27th there were already SELL signals indicating that the market was overbought. This was confirmed by the subsequent volume deltas shown in red candles and high trading volume in that direction. Later in the day yesterday, there were some glimpses of recovery and BUY signals were given again and the price partially recovered the decline to around 21,235 points. If we look at the 3 smoothed averages of the WACD we see that there has been a bearish confirmation and the direction has evolved strongly downwards and the direction seems to be softening slightly upwards. If conditions are right it could be that the Checkpoint (POC) at 21850 could be regained if the market decides that Deepseek is not as dangerous to its NASDAQ rivals. Technical indicators, yesterday put the RSI at 7% oversold, on the index, which has supported the index's recovery. Conclusion Three clarifications are in order, although we have been told that DeepSeek has received only 6 to 10 million, it is very likely that the Chinese state has funded the previous research cost, and this is not being imputed to the value of DeepSeek's R1, we also do not know if China has managed to circumvent the US chip and semiconductor sanctions, and they have underestimated the value on purpose, unofficially it could have employed more semiconductors than it has declared to avoid problems with the US government, and thus falsely demonstrate that the model in its training has employed less resources than they actually did. One can also take note that R1 has employed the chatgpt model O1, with shortcuts in its reasoning structure. If this were true, DeepSeek's R1 model has been developed thanks to ChatGPT and this could have been given thanks to OpenAI and would reduce the value of obtaining such success. The cost of using AI is one of the main arguments as to whether the demand for power and data targets is what will really determine the value of these companies. This has to be taken into account because if AI becomes a low-consumption standard, we will have AI in our soup and the aggregate demand for these elements will expand, and since we will be using it continuously, the high consumption of AI will increase. This is what is known as the Jevons Paradox (the Jevons paradox implies that the introduction of more energy efficient technologies may ultimately increase total energy consumption and simultaneously lead to an increase in emissions) . Also to be taken into account is the AI recursive improvement paradox, of improving the mechanism of the AI reasoning process and efficiency. The positive implication is that small models would be able to distill the large AI models even if their model was closed and opaque, and this tool would not be monopolized by large companies but from the hand on a cell phone could apply improvements in these small models. The downside would be the opportunities and risks of AI, this recursive self-improvement brings us steps closer to artificial superintelligence, this has its risks. The wisdom of Warren Buffet, often warns that no matter how clear we are that a certain industry is the future, it is very complicated to determine which will be the winning horses in that sector. A week ago NVIDIA AND CHATGPT were going to eat the world and overnight DeepSeek could end up sweeping the world in that specific sector. And any other startup could replace all of them. This already happened back in the day in the internet browsers era making what is Google Chrome today the main player or safari, when in other times there were other browsers like internet explorer, etc. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:USATEC
by ActivTrades
3