The key is whether it can rise to 2271.0-2356.31
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The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
I will talk about the ETHUSD chart.
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(ETHUSD 1W)
If you look at the 1W chart, you can see how important the current price position is.
If it continues to decline this time, it is likely to fall to around 1337.54.
Therefore, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.236 (2089.91).
In order to turn upward on the 1W chart, it must rise near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.382 (2646.14) and maintain the price.
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(1D chart)
Since the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the point of 1935.88, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near this area.
If it does not and falls below 1871.55, it is highly likely to fall to around 1626.95.
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The M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts is passing near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.382 (2646.14).
Therefore, in order to turn into an uptrend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts and be maintained.
To do so, we need to see if it can naturally rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts while maintaining the price by rising around 2271.0-2356.31.
However, in order to continue the uptrend, it is expected that the price must rise above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.382 (2646.14) and be maintained.
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If the OBV does not rise above the upper line of the price channel and show an uptrend, it is likely that it will be difficult to sustain even if an uptrend appears.
The StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend in the overbought zone.
Therefore, if the StochRSI indicator turns upward again and maintains the price around 1935.88, it is expected that it will lead to an attempt to rise to around 2271.0.
Therefore, when the competition started,
- If the StochRSI indicator did not turn upward,
- If the OBV did not rise above the upper line and showed an upward trend,
- If it did not receive support near 1935.88, it is expected that the SHORT position would be advantageous.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems that it has been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point of interest is whether they can be supported and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio of 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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