May.28-Jun.3(ETH)Weekly market recapThe volatility brought about by the approval of the ETH ETF gradually narrows. U.S. employment data, CPI for May and FOMC will be released in the next two weeks. This will affect market expectations for monetary policy. Starting from April's data, both employment and CPI began to cool down. Although the Federal Reserve said that an interest rate cut is far away, but we all know that it is approaching.
The United States has entered the election cycle, perhaps this is also the main reason for the approval of the ETH ETF. More and more candidates showing themselves to be crypto-friendly and looking to gain support from Cryptoer. Similarly, we believe that the Federal Reserve also needs to submit a satisfactory answer to the public to ensure the vote rate of the Democratic Party during its term. Therefore, we believe that interest rate cuts will still wait until Q3~Q4, but the market will be more aggressive in pricing interest rate cuts.
In the past 7 days, ETH volatility has decreased and remained fluctuating at high levels. ETH/BTC has not returned to the level where the BTC ETF passed, which shows that ETH is still slightly undervalued in terms of the benefits brought by the ETF. Both bulls and bears are cautious, with trading volume declining after returning to highs. Judging from the WTA indicator, the blue column representing the whale has disappeared. The ME indicator has restarted the bullish trend after the pump.
To sum up, we believe that ETH will continue to remain volatile most of the time this week, and the rise is likely to be greater than the fall. We maintain my original resistance level 4000 and support level 2800.
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