ETHBTC trade ideas
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ETH/BTC Echo Bubble ExpectedHello friends.
We expect that the ETH/BTC ratio will bottom around here and begin to increase into mid 2026. These kinds of bubbles form a clear pattern of the Euthanasia rollercoaster, and Ethereum still has a lot of users despite the greater mindshare of Bitcoin and the rise of faster competitors like Solona. Ethereum is stronger than Solona for the same reason that Bitcoin is stronger than Ethereum -- it has first mover advantage. When the new tech updates come out, another echo bubble seems inevitable.
ETH/BTC: The Unbreakable Support Line You Need to WatchOn the ETH/BTC chart, when a support level lines up on both log and linear scales—like 0.05 ETH/BTC—it’s a huge signal. It’s a rock-solid price where ETH holds its value against BTC, both as a fixed ratio (linear) and a consistent percentage drop (log). This double strength shows it’s a key battleground for ETH’s dominance, making it a level traders and hodlers can’t ignore—strong until it snaps!
ETH Is Oversold Like Never Before !Hello Traders 🐺
In the recent week, we saw a massive long position wipeout, especially in the stock market.
However, despite all the rumors, BTC held itself at these levels and is still inside a falling wedge pattern.
If you don't know what I’m talking about, you can check my last idea about it.
But ETH!
In my opinion, this is a huge discounted price for ETH.
You know why?
1_ Monthly RSI is currently at 25, which means we’re in an extremely oversold situation, and this usually means bulls are about to come back.
Yes — we have all the signs of a reversal from here:
(A): BTC.D RSI is at an all-time high and forming a bearish divergence, meanwhile:
(B): ETH/BTC is extremely oversold right now.
(C): BTC itself has formed a falling wedge pattern right above the weekly Cup & Handle neckline support!
Guess what?
If you zoom in a little bit on the daily chart, you can see there’s a pattern to break, and price is currently too close to the edge of it —
which means time is ticking for ETH, and we are about to see an explosive move.
Probably to the upside, because of all the signs we’ve talked about above.
I hope you enjoyed this idea — and as always, don’t forget our goal:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, But almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
It's enough! It's hard to analyse ETH/BTC since it's been bearish for nearly a year. but it is almost on a major support and is too overbought in RSI. We can expect a reversal from here (~0.19) or it would fall sharply to ~0.008, which is too bad for ETH. So keep an eye on it and look for a reversal pattern.
ETH/BTC: The Macro Reversal Play of the Decade
This chart reveals one of the most significant setups in crypto - the ETH/BTC ratio bottoming at historical support and poised for a powerful mean reversion.
After a sustained downtrend through 2023-2024, the ETH/BTC pair has reached a critical inflection point at 0.0222, precisely where smart money accumulates. This level represents structural support dating back to 2020, creating the perfect foundation for a macro reversal.
Technical Structure:
- Perfect technical bottom at long-term channel support
- Currently at 0.0222 (near historical demand zone)
- SMA at 0.0496 providing clear target for initial move
- Projected 3-wave structure targeting 0.07 zone (+250% potential)
#Market Thesis:
We're witnessing the completion of a multi-year corrective phase that has reset ETH/BTC valuations to extreme levels. The projected path shows a powerful rally into mid-2025, targeting the previous resistance zone around 0.07.
Strategic Implications:
The ETH/BTC ratio acts as the perfect hedge against Bitcoin dominance decline. When capital rotates from Bitcoin into altcoins, Ethereum historically captures the first wave of this rotation before smaller caps.
Historical Context:
Every major crypto bull cycle has featured periods where Ethereum dramatically outperforms Bitcoin. The technical structure suggests we're entering exactly such a phase, with timing that aligns perfectly with post-halving capital rotation patterns.
This isn't just another trade - it's positioning for the major narrative shift of 2025.
Alt Season Hello traders,
This is the chart of ETH/BTC on the daily chart. This specific chart is the most important when it comes to altcoins because they mostly follow ETH and if we go back in history on every alt season ETH always outperforms BTC and that's a fact.
ETH have been struggling to keep up with BTC in the last couple of months. But now a huge signal was made and if everything goes as planned we might see altcoins outperform BTC. A bullish divergence was spotted where price has made lower lows and the RSI made higher lows, that indicates that there is buying pressure.
If the RSI doesn't go any lower this is a clear sign of huge upside potential.
Ethereum Failing against BITCION ? Here is a valid reason why.
In a world being thrown upside down and sideways and Markets Rising and falling and Rising again on a few words and actions, there is one Shining Light in the world of Crypto
Ethereum - And its constant DROP when compared to BITCOIN
It is possibly the Only coin in the top 10 that has failed to rally at least once, to any significant degree since 2023, when nearly everything else took off.
It currently sits at the same price it was in May 2020 !
It reached its ATH in Nov 2021 and ever since then, has fallen in what is becoming a parabolic reverse curve;
All this despite coins like BASE, Coinbases Crypto, being based on that ETH Layer.
This is pretty well ALL down to the adoption of BITCOIN by corporate ventures, keeping the Bitcoin Dominance high.
I mentioned in a post back in 2023 ( maybe here but certainly on X) how BTC could be used in the "Financial Wars" to come, as a means to weaken and scupper ALT coins.
They tried to Destroy crypto, they failed and so, by allowing Bitcoin ETF's etc, BTC dominance remains High and ALTS Fail
And that is EXACTLY what we have seen so far. As Corporations continue to Buy Bitcoin, Dominance remains high..... It isd as simple as that.
And this ETH BTC chart shows that very clearly.
The REAL question is why the ETH ETF's failed so much.
Maybe that is because MANY people realised the "energy behind Ethereum" - The American crypto , Protected by Gensler and predecessors. The Not really Descentralised structure and power if you hoold a LOT, something not many independants can do
Why is Eth Falling? ETH/BTC Ratio Hits All-Time Low Since 2020Why is Ethereum Falling? ETH/BTC Ratio Hits All-Time Low Since 2020
The cryptocurrency market is a volatile landscape, constantly shifting and evolving. Recent data has revealed a significant development: the Ethereum to Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) ratio has plummeted to an all-time low since 2020. This stark decline, currently resting at a mere 0.02 has ignited a wave of speculation and concern within the crypto community, raising questions about Ethereum's current standing and future trajectory.
The ETH/BTC ratio serves as a crucial metric for comparing the relative performance of Ethereum against Bitcoin. When the ratio falls, it indicates that Bitcoin is outperforming Ethereum, and conversely, a rising ratio suggests Ethereum's ascendancy. The current dramatic drop highlights a significant divergence in the fortunes of these two leading cryptocurrencies.
The backdrop to this decline is multifaceted. Bitcoin, often seen as the “digital gold” of the crypto world, has exhibited remarkable resilience and strengthened its position. This consolidation is likely driven by several factors, including increased institutional adoption, regulatory clarity in some jurisdictions, and its established reputation as a store of value. These factors have contributed to a sense of stability and confidence in Bitcoin, attracting capital and bolstering its market position.
Ethereum, on the other hand, has faced challenges in maintaining its momentum. While it remains the leading platform for smart contracts and decentralized applications (dApps), it has struggled to keep pace with Bitcoin's surge. Several factors contribute to this relative underperformance.
Firstly, regulatory uncertainty surrounding Ethereum and its classification has cast a shadow over its future prospects. The evolving regulatory landscape, particularly in major economies like the United States, has created a sense of unease among investors. The lack of clear guidelines and the potential for stricter regulations have dampened enthusiasm and limited institutional investment.
Secondly, Ethereum has faced competition from emerging layer-1 blockchains that offer faster transaction speeds and lower fees. These “Ethereum killers,” as they are sometimes called, have attracted developers and users seeking alternatives to Ethereum's perceived limitations. While Ethereum has undergone significant upgrades, such as the transition to proof-of-stake (The Merge), the benefits have not yet translated into a sustained surge in its relative value.
Thirdly, the overall market sentiment has played a role. Bitcoin's narrative as a safe haven and store of value has resonated strongly during periods of economic uncertainty. In contrast, Ethereum, with its focus on innovation and development, is perceived as a riskier asset. When market volatility increases, investors often gravitate towards the perceived safety of Bitcoin.
The decline in the ETH/BTC ratio raises several critical questions. Is Ethereum in trouble? Is this a temporary setback or a sign of a more fundamental shift in the crypto landscape?
While the current situation is concerning, it is essential to consider the long-term potential of Ethereum. Its robust ecosystem, driven by a vibrant community of developers and innovators, remains a significant asset. Ethereum's role in powering decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and other emerging technologies positions it as a crucial player in the future of the internet.
Furthermore, Ethereum's ongoing development efforts, including layer-2 scaling solutions and future upgrades, aim to address its scalability and efficiency challenges. These improvements could potentially revitalize Ethereum's performance and restore its competitive edge.
However, the current market dynamics suggest that Ethereum faces an uphill battle. To regain its footing, it needs to overcome regulatory hurdles, address its scalability issues, and effectively communicate its value proposition to a broader audience.
The cryptocurrency market is notoriously unpredictable, and past performance is not indicative of future results. The ETH/BTC ratio could rebound, or it could continue its downward trajectory. The outcome will depend on a complex interplay of factors, including regulatory developments, technological advancements, and market sentiment.
In the meantime, the low ETH/BTC ratio serves as a stark reminder of the dynamic nature of the cryptocurrency market. It underscores the importance of diversification and the need for investors to consider the risks and potential rewards of each asset carefully.
The current situation also highlights the need for Ethereum developers and community members to focus on the core values of the project, and to continue to innovate and improve the technology. Ultimately, the success of Ethereum will depend on its ability to adapt to the changing landscape and deliver on its promise of a decentralized and equitable future.
In conclusion, while the record low ETH/BTC ratio raises concerns about Ethereum's current standing, it is premature to declare its demise. The cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving, and Ethereum's long-term potential remains significant. However, the current challenges demand a proactive and strategic approach to ensure its continued relevance and success in the years to come.
Eth/Btc what a great story.When everyone was bullish during 2022 ether merge i posted a chart that ether was priced in and it will go down .Now everyone is bearish on ether and people think ether is a joke since it performed really bad compared to btc and some alts but i do think time will come and ether soon will be the leader . The year has just started , and the more we go to the downside the sooner it will end . The altseason will commence ,the only issue is "When" .
ETH/BTC - When will it finds it bottom?ETH/BTC is still in search of its bottom, likely only finding solid ground once the Federal Reserve fully halts quantitative tightening (QT). However, for now, the Fed has merely slowed QT rather than stopping it entirely. This means liquidity remains constrained, putting continued pressure on risk assets like Ethereum relative to Bitcoin.
Historically, ETH/BTC has thrived in periods of expanding liquidity, and notably, the last time ETH/BTC found its bottom was when QT ended. This suggests that macro liquidity conditions play a crucial role in determining ETH/BTC’s trajectory. However, the Fed remains firm on its stance—only fully reversing QT when interest rates drop below 1 basis point.
Until then, ETH/BTC may remain under pressure, with Bitcoin holding a relative advantage due to its status as a liquidity flight asset. The pair is likely to see a true bottom when the macro environment shifts decisively toward easing, just as it did in previous cycle.
So is it possible that ETH/BTC could decrease to the supportzone at 0.017.
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BTC/ETH BREAKOUT trandline 4h sell setupBased on the chart:
Entry Point
Entry: Below the broken trendline, ideally after price retests the trendline as resistance (around 42.800).
Target
Target 1: Near 39.0513 (previous support level).
Target 2: Extended move towards 33.7941 (major support zone).
Stop Loss
Stop Loss: Above the red resistance zone (around 45.0000).
Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels:
43.500 (strong resistance)
42.800 (trendline resistance)
Support Levels:
39.0513 (key support)
33.7941 (major support zone)
This setup aligns with a break-and-retest strategy with good risk-to-reward potential. Would you like a clearer step-by-step breakdown
BTC/ETH 4H chart pattren mine side sellMy suggesting a sell position on the BTC/ETH pair at 42.6300, with target levels at 39.0750, 37.2400, and 35.3560, and a stop-loss at 44.5800.
Analysis & Considerations
1. Risk-Reward Ratio
If your first target is 39.0750, your risk (stop-loss) is 1.95 ETH, and your reward is 3.55 ETH → Risk/Reward = 1:1.8, which is decent.
If aiming for 35.3560, the R/R improves significantly.
2. Market Conditions
Check BTC/ETH technical indicators (RSI, MACD, Volume, Support/Resistance).
News or fundamental events impacting BTC and ETH could affect this trade.
3. Confirmation Signals
If BTC is weak and ETH is stronger, this sell setup has a better probability.
If ETH shows weakness, BTC may also fall, impacting relative price action.
Would you like a quick analysis of the latest BTC/ETH trend before confirming the trade?
Ethereum vs. Bitcoin (3D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
We have slightly updated the Demand zone.
Ethereum has reached a strong support zone compared to Bitcoin. From this green zone, we expect a bullish move towards the red zone. This indicates that in the coming weeks and months, Ethereum is likely to outperform Bitcoin.
These zones should not be ignored. Ignoring these high-timeframe support zones would be a critical mistake.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ETH price correlation with ETH Longs on BitfinexThis chart shows the correlation between Bitfinex whale long cumulative positions and ETH price behavior, over USDT and over BTC.
Blue squares = whale longs accumulation
Red square = whale close position either in 0 or in major loss
Blue square = whale close longs in profit.
So in conclusion, for several years, there has been a clear correlation and benefit from using ETHBTCLongs chart as an entry point for ETH/USDT trading.
HoweverETHBTCLongs win-rate is negative over time on ETH/BTC chart.