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ETHBTC trade ideas

ETHBTC - Best case scenarioHello all, ETHBTC pair heading for a possible double bottom, where it ends for a 2nd bottom is any ones guess. This is to showcase a good case scenario for a double bottom on the Monthly time frame with a best scenario of long term targets. Traders usually take profits at Fib 2.0 but has room to run till 3.618, the level which is known for absolute exhaustion. Starting from Fib 2.0 we are likely to see a lot of 'Flippening' fomo on the news. All the best! Note: This is not a Financial Advise but just my trade roadmap and for educational purposes only to spot specific repetitive patterns
by bneel20
1
ETH merge hasn't helped it gain any ground against BTC...If you notice in the chart below, I crudely illustrate that ETH was creating higher highs as well as higher lows from Sep 2019 through Dec 2021(an uptrend). I find that interesting because during this time period, there was no ETH merge, in fact, there was very few who even knew what was the intention of the merge. Dec 2021 is when ETH started to experience lower highs and lower lows(a downtrend) when compared to BTC. I also find it interesting that this is the time frame in which everyone started to discuss, research, trade, and otherwise propagate "the merge". This propagation or "run up" to the merge has lasted from Dec 2021 until present day. Now we are currently "post merge" and we still see the same pattern of BTC actually gaining ground on ETH...In fact if anything, it has sped up the gaining of BTC over ETH... It makes me wonder, What did ETH gain from the merge?... Seems like Saylors is right so far
Long
by HalfacreResearchInstitute
ETH Merge - Risk on Market, the Role of Derivatives and ETH PoWDespite the successful ETH merge, the positioning of traders has been fairly one-way since then. Since September 15, ETH has underperformed BTC by 12.43%. This rally to the downside can’t only be attributed to the adverse macro conditions. The Merge is and has been an unequivocally bullish and risky event for Ethereum. If the merge had failed, it would have been catastrophic for the ETH price and the crypto ecosystem in general. Normally, a headline like the Merge would have driven the Market completely risk-on, however, risk was already on. On August 23 ETH/BTC was trading at 0.075 and topped 0.0856 (+14%) on September 7. At the merge snapshot, ETH/BTC was trading at 0.08099 (+7.9%). At the time of writing, its trading at 0.0688 (-12.43%). Interestingly enough, Delta-one traders were trying to get the most out of this event and in this case, they bet on the ETH Proof of Work coin airdrop, in the case that there was a Hard Fork of the Ethereum Blockchain. Derivatives traders entered long positions on spot ETH, and hedged the market exposure via Futures. In normal market conditions, the Basis spread and the funding spread between ETH and BTC tends to zero. While a positive (negative) spread is typically a signal of bullish (bearish) market. As the possibility of having an ETH PoW token materialized, the funding spread between the two pairs became wider and wider, and reached -394.2% annualized in the hour prior the merge. Hedging 1 ETH via a Perpetual Future on FTX for the 24h prior the merge costed $12.18 (or 0.7585% ETH). In the 4 hours following the creation of the ETH PoW market on FTX, the coin was trading at an average of $22.98, that is 88.73% profit excluding fees. FTX was one of the first exchanges to both credit the airdrop and to support trading of ETH PoW. All the market participants who had their Ethereum outside FTX did not receive the token at that time, nor had the possibility to sell it on margin and cover the position at a later date. Indeed, since the airdrop, ETH PoW flow has been skewed to the sell side and it is now trading at $6.167. Now I expect that Basis and Funding spread will find a new equilibrium that will be close to the ETH PoS staking rewards, thus a minus 4-7% annualized spread between the two pairs is reasonable. For ETH PoW I don’t see a long future as most of the Developers, Protocols and Community are not supporting it anymore. Happy Trading! Matteo Bottacini and the Crypto Finance Trading Desk
by mbottacini
ETHBTCHello Crypto Lovers, Mars Signals team wishes you high profits. This is a one-day-time frame analysis for ETHBTC As we analyzed on September 10, we expected a falling trend and now this prediction came true and one of our targets is hit. Here we have R2 and R1 as the resistance areas that both express the price was not able to rise. And S1 used to be another resistance line. Presently, we have the price fluctuating over S1 and we expect a decline for it to reach the mentioned line. Here we must wait for some rising signs in order to have an increase toward R1 or even to R2. In case the price loses the support and falls below S1, more fall is there for it to happen. Warning: This is just a suggestion and we do not guarantee profits. We advise you to analyze the chart before opening any positions. Wish you luck
Long
by MarsSignals
2
Ethereum has not done this since November 2017The above monthly chart makes for very disconcerting reading. Viewer discretion advised. Bulls looks away! On the above monthly chart the ETH/BTC pair is shown. Stochastic RSI (purple circles) WILL cross down 40 with the close of this monthly candle unless something amazing happens. This cross down has not happened since the November 2017 top. The last time Stochastic RSI crossed down it stayed below 40 for a little over 2 years. Were that to repeat we would not see positive price action until November 2024. There’s something else, the rising trend support line. Price action has broken market structure, the upward slopping trend line is the first support, -40% below current price action. That would easily take dollar price action to $600-800 region if Bitcoin dollar price action remains in the general area it is in. Lastly is the volume. Selling pressure is increasing. Look left, you cannot buy into a market hoping for rising price action when selling pressure increases. You must wait for those red candles to shrink in size and a green one to appear. Is there a positive side? Maybe.. price action appears to be printing a large inverse head and shoulders pattern. If the uptrend support is confirmed, this could be wonderful. However I would not expect such a formation to complete until at least quarter 1 2023. Ww
by without_worries
9