ETHBTC trade ideas
ETHBTC D4: BREAKDOWN / 35% DOWNSIDE REMAINS(NEW)Why get subbed to me on Tradingview?
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ETHBTC D4: BREAKDOWN / 35% DOWNSIDE REMAINS(NEW)
IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own
due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage.
previously recommended buying low.
🔸 Summary and potential trade setup
::: ETHBTC D4 chart review
::: S/R flipped from Support to Resistance MODE
::: structure broke down - expect more losses
::: upside limited from here / SHORT IT
::: Distribution in progress / BEARS
::: expecting limited upside short-term
::: ETHUSD will likely hit 1000/1200 USD
::: technically rising wedge broke down
::: 35%/40% gains on SELL SIDE
::: final TP BEARS is 1 000 USD (ETH USD)
::: no upside in this market now - expect losses
::: short-term BOUNCE possible / SHORT RIPS/RALLIES
::: currently risk/reward shifting in BEARS favor
::: nice setup for position traders
::: up to 30% gains possible on SELL SIDE
::: SPECULATIVE SETUP
::: do your own due dill
::: and use proper risk management
::: TP BEARS is +30% gains
::: details: see chart
::: FINAL TP is 1 000 USD BEARS (ETHUSD)
::: BEARS get ready to RESHORT from overhead
::: short-term play / BOUNCE now / WEAK MARKET
::: good luck traders!
::: SHORT/HOLD and get paid. period.
🔸 Supply/Demand Zones
::: N/A
::: N/A
🔸 Other noteworthy technicals/fundies
::: TD9 /Combo update: N/A
::: Sentiment mid-term: DUMP/WEAKNESS/BEARS/30% losses
::: Sentiment short-term: : DUMP/WEAKNESS/BEARS/more losses
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Bitcoin Vs Ethereum ( Targets ) Hello ! today i had this strange idea to put this inverse chart here
There was a psychology study that showed that humans interpreted tops and bottoms with different emotions
Assuming this is a local bottom for bitcoin ,we may take a look at this chart as well
Of course bitcoin can go much lower in the next 48 hours
But this will be interesting to watch
Bitcoin Vs Ethereum !!!
Ethereum In BTC Pair Also Bearish because Break down thesupport #ETH/BTC Technical Analysis:-
#ETH currently trading at 0.0631 BTC Level.
SuperTrend Is also not in favour.
SuperTrend Trying to Breakout support.
Parallel channel support already Broke down and Now Ethereum in BTC pair also Bearish.
Now I am expecting -46% down from Breakout Level.
First Stop Will be 0.0464 BTC level.
If failed to Hold 0.0454 BTC level support then Another dump toward 0.037 BTC level.
So This Zone will be good to start Buying Ethereum in BTC Pair.
Breakout White TrendLine = Bullish Trend Start
Support:- 0.0464/0.0371 BTC
Resistance:- 0.070 BTC
ETH/BTC about to go cliff jumping- follow up analysis on my last eth/btc analysis where I stated it is likely ETH´s BTC pairing is about to roll-over
- ETH/BTC going down by extension means btc dominance should go up - likely by A LOT
Russian bitcoin is going to go up #eth #etherium $eth #ethbtc Larger timeframe bull flag as a continuation of the smaller case bull flags
Larger crypto run is perhaps over, or close to it - we don't care - but EFERIUM still wants to tap at least old ath's, but perhaps even to break higher
Many interesting things going on with the supply lockings and burn.
In any case, EFERIUM is going up and perhaps going to once again flip bit corn? Or maybe when you seriously entertain such thoughts, it's time to exit. But 2x is in play and then perhaps price discovery? Let us pay attention to the narratives as they develop
ETH/BTC 12 hr TFThis continues to hold range. Lets see if she holds current level. Loss of this level is probably lights out
$ETHBTC 1HR Major Trendline ResistanceEthereum/Bitcoin is testing its major trendline resistance after 2 weeks of rejections and now a 5th attempt to break is really trying hard.
This goes hand in hand with the 1D/3D support trendline that it needs to hold. A break here would signal a support hold on the HTF, while a break would be, well, ugly.
Lot of recent choppy price action in the area where the breakout could be headed, so its a bit of a tossup. Break back down and .0675 should be a key support.
ETHBTC support and resistance areasSupport and resistance are created by the decision making of market participants, as they operate within an environment of uncertainty. Decisions to buy or sell are made through referencing current price against previous areas which caused significant emotional response, in particular those areas which led to regret of missing out on opportunity, or those areas which trapped traders in losing positions. There are other factors involved, not least of which is the simple self-fulfilling prophecy.
Critical moment!eth/btc chart and finding support again but this time with a head and shoulders pattern! the 200 weekly moving average (red line) is right at a support and is in confluence of this target breakdown! if this breaks down btc will hold up better then eth.
Time to watch ETH.Really interesting chart right when eth is completely about to switch POS.
It's been in a year long consolidation and breaking out above the trend line? idk guys - buying this with a ~10% stop doesn't seem like a bad idea to me.
As always know how to manage your risk and when to get out.
ETH/BTC Long Idea | The Best Trade-Off in CryptoFirst things first,
Fundamentals and supply and demand are the two major driving forces of price in any specific market.
When talking about fundamentals, Ethereum is far ahead of the heard when it comes to:
-Web3 & Decentralization: Ethereum is arguably more decentralized than Bitcoin (why you may ask) because there are more gas fees in $ terms everyday. That makes up 3x more than the BTC fees generated therefore it is essentialy harder to 51% ETH than BTC. Digital authoritarianism vs big tech oligopoly is the internet as we know (flawed), web 3 driven by ETH gives people property rights, the ability to own a piece of the internet without relying on third parties, aligning network participants to work together toward a common goal - the growth of the network. Web3 empowers a collective owned future over a corporate or government owned future, with resilient, equitable and participatory ecosystems.
-Supply and demand: specially now that the Merge is around the corner, DrakefJustin (Ethereum researcher) recently said that the Beacon chain will merge with mainnet in August 2022. With that being said, other supply and demand factors sure as asset inflation come into strong play in the monetary structure of the asset. We will break down the inflationary/deflationary structure of the S&D flow in the upcoming points, but that just further increases the overwhelming supply for Ethereum in the upcoming months.
-Inflationary by nature/programmable: Ethereum will turn deflationary after the merge, and with that everything changes. The infrastructure of supply and demand as we know it will be changed, according to Bankeless, the rate of which ETH will burn from circullating supply is around -0.4-1% per annum. If everything goes right, to prevent price from going up, enough sellers on the network will have to step in to sustain the supply
- EIP1559: Ethereum last year has upgraded the network through a consensus of 70% tx fees being burned, this way any person that is constantly using the network will further increase the pace in which the Ethereum deflation happens. The transaction fees paid by users in average is $15m daily, while the 2nd chain is BNB with 10x less ($1.3m). While this is constantly being dumped on the market by miners to pay for expenses, the opposite will happen when it turns to PoS.
- Environmentally/Socially accepted: although crypto has a bad "fame" for it's high energy consumption, this will not be around anymore when ETH 2.0 comes into play later probably in Q3. ESG and other institutions that have green checklist agendas will flip "bullish" on the asset as soon as the merge happens, as an effect more inflow of capital and acceptance by the overall community.
- Triple Halving concept: for comparison, an analyst called Nikhil Shamapant has deep dived into the technicals on how Ethereum's merge will be compared to Bitcoin's halving, a 3x in decrease of inflation and furthermore the flows based on the timeline of the event.
- Usage: Ethereum market cap and the broad crypto space has evolved a lot because of factors of usability, it's not surprising that ETH has sucked most of the volume of DeFi and NFT coming from builders in the space. It's unprecedented that new protocols, Dapps and networks are built on top of Ethereum, and it is very likely to continue to be the most trustless/reliable network with an outrageous community of like-minded investors. Developer activity has risen by 70% over the previous months and social media over 80%. While other smart contract platforms rival Ethereum in users and usage,the demand for block space is unmatched.
- Adoption: Ethereum is the 3rd lasgest L1 active addresses blockchain, with 5.5M users active everyday making over 1M transactions. When compared to the adoption curve of the internet, crypto is just getting started on it's multi-year run towards the 1b users, which will likely come in 2030 if the blockchain space continues to rapidly evolve like it is right now, focusing on building instead of gains. Ethereum continues to attract the most developers, but several emerging ecosystems are on a similar trajectory, according to a16z, Ethereum has around 4000 monthly active developers since launch, while the second competitor is Solana with 1000.
- L2 Rollups secure ETH: today, L2 rollups contribute to 1.5% of all fees paid on Ethereum, although Arbitrum, dYdX and Optimism are Layer 2, they still fall under the hood of the Ethereum blockchain and end up making for a bit chunk of the transaction fees on the network, further decentralizing and securing it.
- Bearish market sentiment: this is a lagging indicator but represents the important fact that almost everyone is feeling bearish right now. I can't stress enough how important to buy the blood sell the party is but time will teach this lesson to newer investors. The Fear and Greed index of crypto is sitting at levels not seen since the March 2020 crash, a legendary bottom opportunity. These times are also called the "climax" in terms of the overall scope of the psychology of the market.
- Bearish backtrack: There is always the other side of the coin, it's important to note that these are all bullish points and there is a briefing about bears arguments: the market is full of debt, overvaluation, macro economics bearish, recession in bond/stock market metrics, ETH usability not even close to its full potential, etc. There will always be someone on the other side of the trade, and that's what makes a good risk/reward, how many people do you think are offering/ selling ETH sub $2000?
The technicals:
ETH/BTC trade-off BUY / long idea:
Taking into account all of the points mentioned above, let's now dive in to why I think that Ethereum could beat Bitcoin again, striving higher for its ATH.
- Opportunity cost or Risk to Reward: ETH/BTC Ratio is far from it's ATH in June 2017, sitting at -55% drawdown or 150% away from price. The risk taking into this investment strategy is another 56% downleg with the price of Ethereum being as low compared to Bitcoin as it was last year. The upside is consistently conservative as we're just taking it for the sake of perspective, as our real taraget would be well above the previous ATH, but that alone would net 2.3 Reward/Risk ratio.
- Uptrend: weekly chart is slowly but surely getting there, with a slow in momentum due to the "crypto winter" dating from November 2021 up to today. The chart is far from bearish, the nearest shorter timeframe low is at 0.064 and the higher timeframe low is at 0.055, still -17% away from where price is trading at currently. For an early-exit signal, we would want to see these two lows getting wiped out with clean weekly candle body closures below.
- EMA support: the 50EMA on the Weekly timeframe is sitting right below this weeks low, which is considerably an important support of a time frame investor analyst.
- Volume: everyone knows that phrase "volume speaks", and it's true here as well, we recently saw a spike in volume and a possible breakout in terms of higher volume coming into the ETH/BTC Binance metrics.
- Bearish indcators to keep in mind: Bitcoin breaks last year lows, in risk of losing the critical 30k support line on the monthly close.
All in all, Web3 infrastructure will continue to improve, with the continued improvement and growth of nonEthereum L1s and Ethereum L2s. The Ethereum merge will hopefully happen this year. This will improve performance and also remove the environmental objection to using Ethereum. On top of that, the overall market is in climax and overselling pressure, there can be a significant boost in price just thinking from a price apreciation based in the market cycle.
What now?
After you have all this information, it's imporant to DYOR, that means, go after it and make sure that these bullish confluences are actually viable to a price swing in the upcoming months. That's it, I hope you enjoyed.
Keep your risk managed,
Cryptofunded
ETH/BTC looking bearishHow many times can we poke support of this upward channel until we collapse a leg lower? There's a head and shoulder within this channel as well. I think the crypto market is becoming irrational. While the DXY has hit some resistance, why would the dollar continue to lose value in the macro picture if the fed is taking drastic monetary measures to reduce inflation? Unless we decouple entirely from the rest of the market's risk-on assets, I don't see the bull run back on. I keep seeing "altcoin rally" on Twitter , and I believe this is a result of confirmation bias and allowing emotion to take precedence in how we analyze the market. I'm currently laddering in buy orders on BTC , because I plan to hold onto BTC indefinitely. I think it's entirely irrational to start speculating on alts in the short term right now though. I personally wouldn't put in any orders until we have a confirmation of a reversal on the larger time frames.
