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ETH 2-4 Long / Tether

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ETHUPUSDT trade ideas

ETH/USDT – LONG - Breakout Trade Setup ETH is showing bullish momentum on the 1H chart. A breakout above resistance targets 1,952, with key support at 1,870 and 1,822 (Fibonacci levels). Stop-loss at 1,812 for risk management. Watching for confirmation before entry! 💡 Risk Management: Always follow a risk management strategy and never risk more than you can afford to lose. 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content is for personal record-keeping and educational purposes only. Traders should conduct their own research before making any trading decisions.
Long
by seventeacup
Ethereum Price Analysis: Is a Drop to $1,550 Imminent This Week?As of April 3, 2025, Ethereum (ETH) is trading at approximately $1,838 (based on recent market data), reflecting a precarious position in the crypto market. After a volatile start to the year, ETH has shed over 44% year-to-date and is now testing critical support levels. This analysis explores the potential for an 11% drop to the $1,550 range within the next few days (by the end of this week, April 6), driven by technical breakdowns, bearish on-chain signals, and broader market pressures. Technical Analysis: Bearish Signals Mounting On the daily chart, ETH has been struggling to maintain momentum above the $1,800 psychological level. After a brief bounce from its yearly low of $1,760 on March 11, the price has failed to reclaim the $2,000 mark—a key resistance zone that previously acted as support in late 2024. Here’s a breakdown of the technical setup: Key Support Breach: The $1,800–$1,877 range has been a critical support zone, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the December 2024 high of $4,106 to the March 2025 low of $1,759. A close below $1,770 this week would confirm a breakdown, opening the door to the next major support at $1,550–$1,600, a level last tested in October 2023. Bearish Pattern Confirmation: The 2-hour chart shows ETH completing a corrective structure (likely an A-B-C wave) after its March 19 peak at $2,070. If wave C mirrors wave A in length—a common Elliott Wave scenario—the target aligns near $1,550, coinciding with the 1.61 external Fibonacci retracement of the recent bounce. Moving Averages: ETH is trading below both its 50-day SMA ($2,321) and 200-day SMA ($3,010), signaling a sustained bearish trend. The 50-day SMA, now sloping downward, acts as dynamic resistance, capping any relief rallies. A failure to reclaim this level soon reinforces the downside risk. RSI Oversold but Weak : The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits near 30, indicating oversold conditions. However, in strong downtrends, RSI can remain oversold for extended periods, as seen during ETH’s 2022 bear market. Momentum remains weak, with no bullish divergence to suggest an imminent reversal. Target Projection : A drop from $1,838 to $1,550 represents an 11% decline, achievable within 2–3 days if selling pressure accelerates. The $1,550 level aligns with historical support and the long-term 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, making it a plausible target. On-Chain Data: Selling Pressure Intensifies On-chain metrics paint a grim picture, supporting the bearish technical outlook: Exchange Reserves Rising: Ethereum’s exchange reserve has ticked up from 18.3 million ETH, reversing a multi-month decline. This suggests long-term holders or institutions are moving assets from cold storage to exchanges, potentially preparing to sell. Whale Activity: Recent data shows significant whale sell-offs, with large transactions (over 100 ETH) spiking in the past 48 hours. This aligns with posts on X noting whale distribution near current levels, adding downward pressure. DeFi Weakness: Ethereum’s dominance in decentralized finance (DeFi) is waning, with total value locked (TVL) dropping as competing Layer-1 chains gain traction. Reduced network activity undermines ETH’s utility-driven demand, a key pillar of its value proposition. Staking Dynamics: While staking activity increased post-Shapella upgrade, the anticipated selling pressure from unstaked ETH continues to linger, especially as macroeconomic uncertainty prompts profit-taking. Market Sentiment: Fear Dominates The broader crypto market is reeling from macroeconomic headwinds. The U.S. Core PCE Index rose to 2.8% in February, exceeding the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, signaling persistent inflation. Higher interest rates for longer dampen risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies. Posts on X reflect growing pessimism, with some traders eyeing sub-$1,000 levels if $1,760 fails—a sentiment echoed by Ethereum’s 7% drop this week alone. Bitcoin (BTC), trading near $82,000, has also faltered, dragging altcoins lower. ETH’s correlation with BTC remains high (around 0.9), and a failure to hold $80,000 for BTC could amplify ETH’s decline. Additionally, the lack of immediate catalysts—such as ETF approvals or major network upgrades—leaves ETH vulnerable to further capitulation. Price Scenarios and Key Levels Bearish Case (Base Scenario): A daily close below $1,770 triggers a swift move to $1,550–$1,600 by April 6. Volume spikes and panic selling could push it lower, though $1,550 offers strong historical support. Bullish Rejection: A reclaim of $2,070 (the March 19 high) invalidates the bearish setup, potentially sparking a relief rally to $2,250. This seems unlikely without a significant BTC breakout or positive news. Invalidation: A close above $2,120 this week would negate the short-term bearish thesis, though resistance at the 50-day SMA ($2,321) caps upside potential. Trading Strategy Entry: Short ETH below $1,770 with confirmation of increased volume. Target: $1,550 (11% drop), with a stretch goal of $1,500 if momentum persists. Stop Loss: $1,911 (intraday high from April 2), limiting risk to 4–5%. Risk/Reward: Approximately 2.5:1, assuming a $1,550 target. Conclusion Ethereum’s technical setup, coupled with bearish on-chain signals and a fearful market, suggests an 11% drop to $1,550 is plausible by the end of this week (April 6, 2025). The $1,770 level is the line in the sand—watch it closely. While oversold conditions hint at a potential bounce, the lack of buying conviction and macro pressures tilt the odds toward further downside. Traders should monitor BTC’s price action and exchange inflows for confirmation. Stay nimble, and let the charts guide your next move.
Short
by Liquidmex
ETH - When will this downtrend finally stop?Ethereum (ETH) has been stuck in a prolonged downtrend, and the bearish scenario is now playing out. On the 4-hour chart, ETH recently broke below its rising trend line after forming a rising wedge that typically signals further downside. This breakdown confirms the potential for further downside. At the same time, on the weekly timeframe, ETH has perfectly retested its resistance and failed to push higher, reinforcing overall market weakness. With failing to break resistance it is likely that ETH could face continued weakness and move towards the weekly support area at 1500. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
by Youriverse
31
Ethereum (ETH): Something Is Cooking Here / Waiting Is Key NOWEthereum has been moving just as we needed for the last couple of months, and now we are at a smaller dispute area. As we are about to form a double bottom pattern, this is not yet confirmed (it needs a proper breakout from resistance). Meanwhile, markets are again dipping; we have placed 2 zones, which we will be keeping our attentions on. If any of those zones are secured and broken, then we will be taking the position according to market structure development! Swallow Team
Short
by SwallowAcademy
ETH - Bearish Reversal Expected from FVG ZoneIn this 1-hour chart analysis of ETHUSDT on Bybit, we observe a potential price reaction from a Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. The current downtrend has left an imbalance in the market, and price is retracing towards the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels , which align with the FVG area. Key Observations: 🔹 Market Structure: The price is in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows. 🔹 FVG & Fibonacci Confluence: A strong resistance zone is marked within the $1,980 - $2,000 range, coinciding with the Golden Pocket (0.618 - 0.65 Fib levels) . 🔹 Expected Price Action: - A bullish retracement ( green path ) into the FVG zone. - A rejection from this resistance area, leading to a continuation of the downtrend ( red paths ). - Potential targets for the drop are around $1,860 - $1,800 , aligning with previous liquidity zones. Trading Plan: 📌 Short Entry: Around $1,980 - $2,000 if rejection signs appear. 📌 Stop Loss: Above $2,020 to invalidate the bearish setup. 📌 Target: $1,860 - $1,800 based on historical support levels. This idea is based on market imbalance and liquidity dynamics , so watching for confirmation before entering a trade is crucial. 🚀🔍
by Louigi_24
17
ETH Possible 300% in 2025 but with a short-term turbulenceETH/USD chart looks very bullish at first glance but if you look closer then you might find some bearishness in the short-term ETH formed double TOP in the spring time and since then it was in down trend. Current up move for me seems like just retest of July high. In the upcoming alt-season ETH will lead the market but before that it may drop much lower into 1500-2000$ region. From that place, while panic on the market ETH can easily make x2-x4 Patience! Wait until good entry point come to you
Long
by fugasok
5
ETH-----Sell around 1900, target 1820 areaTechnical analysis of ETH contract on April 2: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negatives. The price was at a low level, and the attached indicator was a golden cross with a shrinking volume, but it can be seen that the fast and slow lines are still below the zero axis, which is an obvious price suppression, and the current pullback trend is only a correction performance, which is difficult to continue and difficult to break. This is the signal, so the downward trend remains unchanged; the correction trend of the four-hour chart for two consecutive trading days is also completed. At present, the K-line pattern is continuous negative, and the price is under pressure and retreats. Whether the European session can break down is very critical. The short-cycle hourly chart of the previous day's US session hit a high in the early morning and retreated under pressure in the morning. The current K-line pattern is a continuous negative and the attached indicator is dead cross running. It is still bearish during the day. The starting point is near the 1850 area. The European session depends on the breakout of this position. Therefore, today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the pullback 1900 area, stop loss at the 1930 area, and target the 1820 area;
Short
by BraveTigercat
Ethereum’s High Time Frame Outlook: Key Support LevelsHello Traders, in our second update for today, we are taking a closer look at Ethereum (ETH) on the higher time frame following the recent monthly close. The price has seen a strong bearish expansion from the $3,700 resistance level, pushing ETH into the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone, with the Value Area Low (VAL) of the high time frame range sitting just below it. While this is a technical trade location, there is currently no clear sign of a bounce, meaning we need to wait for further price development before considering any reversal scenarios. If Ethereum continues its downward trajectory, the next key support sits at $1,196. This level will be crucial, as a bullish reaction here could increase the probability of a rotation back toward the highs. However, for now, price action remains rotational on the higher time frame, and the monthly trend is still in a clear downtrend with no immediate signs of reversal. Key Technical Points to Consider • ETH has rejected strongly from the $3,700 monthly resistance, leading to a bearish expansion into the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone. • There is no clear bullish reaction yet, meaning traders should wait for further price action confirmation before considering a bounce. • The next key support at $1,196 is critical—if price reaches this level and finds buyers, it could trigger a rotation back toward the highs. Potential Scenarios & Conclusion If Ethereum stabilizes within the 0.618 Fibonacci region and forms a strong bullish reaction, it could signal a potential short-term bounce. However, without confirmation, the risk of further downside remains, with $1,196 acting as the next major support level. Traders should approach the market with caution, as the monthly trend is still bearish, and a clear reversal signal has yet to emerge. Until price action provides stronger confirmation, Ethereum remains in a rotational phase, requiring patience before determining the next high-probability trade setup.
Short
by AzizKhanZamani
ETH-----More around 1865 target 1800 areaTechnical analysis of ETH contract on March 30: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to fall, the price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was running with a golden cross and shrinking volume. The big trend was still very obvious, but I would like to remind you that the current price deviates from the moving average, and if there is a rebound trend in the future, it is also a correction trend. Don't be misled; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European market fell and the US market continued to break the low yesterday, and the morning support rebounded and corrected. The current K-line pattern continued to rise, and the attached indicator was running with a golden cross, so it still needs to be corrected within the day, and the high point of the US market correction yesterday was in the 1865 area. Today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the rebound 1865 area, stop loss in the 1895 area, and target the 1800 area;
Short
by BraveTigercat
1