Ethereum at a Critical Support Zone Ethereum Weekly Analysis – Long-Term Perspective
Ethereum is currently experiencing significant bearish pressure and has dropped into a major support zone on the weekly chart. If this critical support breaks, the next key target would be around $2,055, where the price aligns with a long-term ascending trendline, acting as a possible reversal zone.
However, if ETH manages to defend this area and confirms bullish weekly candle closures, we may see a potential recovery toward:
$2,278 as the first resistance
Followed by $2,435 as the next upside target
📌 All support and resistance levels shown in the chart are key decision zones that traders can use for entries, exits, or managing positions.
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ETHUPUSDT trade ideas
Wait for ETHETH faced rejection at the weekly resistance near $2,700.
Price is likely to retest the current weekly support around the $2,100 zone.
Patience is key—wait for ETH to reach this support area before considering entry.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on my personnal views and is not a financial advice. Risk is under your control.
ETH PLAN FOR 2025🔥 CRYPTOCAP:ETH long setup (1D) 🚀
✅ Entry Zone: $2 280 – $2200 (multi-month demand)
🎯 Targets
• TP-1: $3 000 (macro range mid)
• TP-2: $3 400 (2024 breakdown line)
⛔ Stop-Loss
Daily close < $2050
📊 Thesis
• SEC-approved spot-ETH ETFs now trade on NYSE/Nasdaq 🏛️
• >35 M ETH staked (≈29 % supply) tightening float
• Dencun’s EIP-4844 slashed L2 fees ~90 % ⚡
• EigenLayer restaking TVL > $20 B 📈
• Pectra upgrade brings account abstraction & wallet UX overhaul
• ETH supply net-deflationary since EIP-1559 🔥
• Danksharding next → massive roll-up throughput
ETHUSDT – Trade Recap & Daily Bias for June 21Trade Recap (June 20):
I. First thing I did was mark out a DOL on the daily — price was hovering near a swing low, and I started noticing trend-side liquidity building up on the lower timeframes.
So my directional bias for today was short.
II. I marked the daily open.
III. With a short bias in mind, I waited for a Turtle Soup setup right above the daily open.
IV. The equal highs above were clean and obvious — textbook liquidity.
V. Once that liquidity was swept, I dropped to the M15 to watch how price reacted — waited for a clean displacement away from that zone before getting involved.
Daily Bias (June 21):
Still leaning short. We’re pretty close to a weekly FVG, which might act as a magnet.
If price forms liquidity during the day and takes it out in-session, I’ll look to short again.
Bread and Butter & Turtle Soup
ETH: Short 19/06/25Trade Direction:
ETH Short
Risk Management:
- 0.5%
Reason for Entry:
- Failure to reclaim weekly open
- Loss of weekly open, monthly open, and Monday low
- H2 timeframe oversold but within a reclaimed bearish order block
- Clear bearish grind price action aligning with higher timeframe bearish trend
- Higher confidence in shorts at current level than higher up
Additional Notes:
- Total market cap looks heavy, global situation especially middle east is continuing to see a risk off mindset for risk assets like crypto.
- Until price gives me a reason not to have to assume this is continuing bearish.
- Potential to short higher if this fails
$ETH / USDT – 4H Time Frame Analysis 3,000 INCOMING?? CRYPTOCAP:ETH / USDT – 4H Time Frame Analysis
Structure: Bullish Flag | Outlook: Neutral-Bullish | Target: $3000?
🔹 Chart Overview
-Pattern: Bullish Flag (continuation structure)
Current Range:
- Supply Zone: $2,680.00 – $2,786.21
- Demand Zone: $2,319.79 – $2,417.61
Price Action:
- Tight consolidation between higher lows and lower highs, forming a symmetrical triangle within a flag structure.
Trend:
- Consolidation, but within a macro uptrend (prior strong rally).
Volume Profile:
- Anchored Volume shows high participation around $2,540–$2,600.
OBV:
- Flattening, signaling indecision and potential energy buildup.
Key Psychological Levels:
$2,860: Minor resistance from past S/R flips.
$3,000: Major round-number psychological resistance.
📐 Technical Confluences
Fibonacci Retracement:
- The 0.618 golden pocket aligns with the support trendline, reinforcing this as a critical zone.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
- Above Price: Acts as a magnet in bullish continuation.
- Below Price: Risk zone if price drops; aligns with liquidity and trendline support.
- Liquidity Zone: Aligned with 0.5–0.618 retracement; strong reaction expected.
📈 Bullish Scenari o
Breakout of Pennant Resistance:
- A clean break above $2,786 (supply zone & swing high) with volume.
Close above Upper FVG and Liquidity Zone:
- Confirms bullish intent. Targets psychological level at $2,860, then $3,000.
Volume Confirmation:
- OBV uptick and high breakout volume would validate the move.
Bullish Target Zones:
TP1: $2,860 (psych level + previous resistance)
TP2: $3,000 (major psychological level)
TP3: $3,120–$3,180 (1.618 Fib extension)
📉 Bearish Scenario
Rejection from Current Supply or Liquidity Zone:
- Fails to break above supply; rolls over from the upper pennant line.
Break Below Support Trendline:
- Break below golden pocket and $2,417.61 demand zone.
Invalidation of Bullish Flag:
- A breakdown below $2,319.79 (swing low) invalidates the bullish flag and may signal a trend reversal.
Bearish Target Zones:
TP1: $2,200 (local volume gap + structure support)
TP2: $2,060–$2,120 (previous accumulation zone)
TP3: $1,950 (macro support & last strong demand)
✅ Summary
Structure:
- Price is compressing within a bullish continuation pattern, awaiting breakout confirmation.
Bias: Slightly bullish unless the swing low at $2,319 is broken.
Confirmation Needed:
- Break above or below pennant boundaries with volume.
ETH: Short 20/06/25Re-Upload as first was accidental Private
Private:
Trade Direction:
ETH Short
Risk Management:
- 0.5% account risk
Reason for Entry:
- H4 Bear FVG BTC
- H4 Bear FVG Total
- Failure to displace above weekly open on TOTAL
- 0.5 Fib retrace
- Bearish divergence on BTC
- Sentiment remains poor across majors
Additional Notes:
- High Timeframe point of interest respected
- No reclaim of critical resistance zones across majors
- Risk is half because I can see a scenario where it moves one leg higher
Ethereum Long Setup- BlackRock added ~$500M of ETH, while whales accumulated $221M post-dip
- On close analysis we can see that ETH chart is mimicking 2017 pattern
- The 2440 support has been tested multiple times now so we wait for the upper boundary of 2550 to be breached with volume spike and then we can enter for Long.
ETH ~Expansion done.Based on 3marketphase.
(contraction-expansion-trend, I learned this concept from dayya trading post)
ETH is at the box range.
(triangle-2024 August to October)
Plus, there is throwing-over with double-top (1week candle scale).
This means ethereum is at the end of contraction phase and it has high potential to trend phase. But I bet there is one more break-out from low before trend phase.
Keep an eye on all of break-out movements.
Breakout point: 2706.15
Hello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether the price can rise above the important support and resistance area of 2419.83-2706.15 and maintain it.
Therefore, when the 2706.15 point is broken upward, it can be said that a breakout trade is possible.
The conditions for a breakout trade are:
- OBV must rise above the High Line and be maintained,
- OBV oscillator must show an upward trend,
- StochRSI indicator must show an upward trend.
However, it is better if StochRSI indicator has not entered the overbought zone.
When the rise begins, the resistance zone is expected to be around 3265.0-3321.30.
-
Although funds are continuously flowing into the coin market, it may feel like the trading volume has decreased.
The reason for this is thought to be that BTC dominance is generally showing an upward trend.
The meaning of BTC dominance rising means that funds in the coin market are concentrated toward BTC.
Therefore, I think that the overall trading volume has decreased because more funds are needed for the price to rise.
When the altcoin bull market begins, more transactions will occur, which will make you think that liquidity has increased in the coin market.
Therefore, for the altcoin bull market to begin, the BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and remain there or continue to fall.
If the USDT dominance remains below 4.97 or continues to fall, the coin market is likely to rise.
At this time, depending on the BTC dominance mentioned earlier, you can distinguish whether the rise is focused on BTC or whether the altcoin is also rising.
If the BTC dominance continues to rise, most altcoins are likely to gradually move sideways or fall.
Therefore, if you are trading altcoins in this situation, I think it would be useful to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profit while responding quickly and briefly.
In other words, it means selling the purchase amount (+including transaction fees) when the price rises by purchase price, leaving the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profit.
The coins (tokens) increased in this way are coins (tokens) with an average purchase price of 0, which will reduce the psychological burden when the altcoin bull market begins, allowing you to obtain a good average purchase price.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Potential Long Setup for EthereumEther stabilized in a slightly positive trend after breaking the previous uptrend. Since mid-May, this flattish trend channel has continued, offering some trading opportunities within it.
When Ethereum approaches the lower line and the 50 EMA crosses above the 50 SMA, an ETHUSDT surge has followed each time since the channel formed. Traders could expect a similar move again. However, the key risk is potential negative pressure on stock markets due to geopolitical concerns and the correlation effect on the crypto market and a break of the channel.
ETH(20250618) market analysis and operationTechnical analysis of ETH contract on June 18:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, and the K-line pattern continued to fall. The price was at a high level but had no strength and continued trend. Instead, it was easy to fall under normal pressure. The attached indicator was dead cross, and the big trend was still very obvious. In this way, we are more optimistic about the price continuing to fall and breaking the low point in the future; the short-cycle hourly chart fell continuously yesterday, and the European session continued to break the previous day's low point in the US session. It is still in a corrective trend, but according to the current trend, it is highly likely to continue today. Whether it can break down the low point of last week needs to be paid attention to. There is no room for operation during the day, so wait and see today, focusing on the strength and weakness of the European session and the unemployment data in the evening.
ETH Short – Smart Money Setup | 17.06 🔍 Context:
After a strong dump on ETH, clearly visible on the 1H chart (left side of image), I waited for a retrace into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone — typical Smart Money behavior. That’s where I started looking for a short setup.
🎯 Entry Logic:
Now here's the part I’d love to discuss with you.
The classic and maybe "cleanest" approach would be to wait for a market structure break on a lower timeframe and then enter on the continuation, targeting rejection zones visible again on the 1H.
But…
Lately, I’ve been taking entries directly from FVG, even before the break, if another FVG forms on the lower timeframe inside the higher timeframe zone. That’s what happened here — I saw a second FVG form in the key area, and took the short from that.
Sometimes I even treat two FVGs in the same direction (on the same or different timeframes) as a valid entry point on their own.
🤔 Question to the community:
How do you usually approach this?
Do you wait for confirmation/structure break on the lower TF before entering, or do you also go straight from the FVG if the zone is respected well enough?
Would love to hear how others manage similar setups.
ETH LONG✅ Trading Setup Summary
1. Setup Type:
🔹 SFP (Swing Failure Pattern) or Trap at Key Level
🔹 Possibly forming a double bottom or liquidity grab at a known support zone.
2. Market Context:
🔸 Price returns to a previous key level with a volume spike
🔸 Likely in a bullish market structure (MS) or forming a reversal after a down move
🔸 Entry based on trap logic and session volume confirmation
3. Entry Logic:
✔ Wait for a stop hunt/SFP at liquidity zone
✔ Confirm with volume spike
✔ Enter after the rejection/confirmation candle
4. Stop Loss:
📍 Set just beyond the trap wick (below for long, above for short)
🎯 SL is defined and logic-based, not random
5. Target (TP):
🎯 Use 3–4R reward for intraday/session-based trades
🎯 Consider holding for more if Daily timeframe supports a longer move
6. Timeframe:
🕐 Entry on M15/M5, context from H1/D1
📌 Key Strategy Concepts Used
Trap (SFP)
Volume confirmation
Market Structure (MS)
Key Level (Support/Resistance)
Defined SL with good RR
Session-based entry (likely Asian session scalp)
ETH | H12 Supply Rejection & Demand Bounce PlanSELL ZONE $2,520–2,560
→ Short from supply, rejection expected
Triple tap + SFP = short trigger
↓
EQ LOWS $2,380–2,400
→ TP1 / watch for bounce
↓
BUY ZONE $2,280–2,320
→ Main long zone, enter on confirmation (bullish candle/SFP)
STOP below $2,250 = cancel idea
↑
TP1 $2,500
TP2 $2,900–3,000 (if strong bounce)
Main scenario — short from supply zone, target demand at $2,280–2,320. Long only if bounce is strong. Stop below $2,250. No confirmation — no trade.