ETH-bias short Bullish indications:
Weekly : indicates IHS formation with the bullish indication.
MA 21 respected as well.
Bearish indications:
Daily :MA 21 respected.
Doji candle and yesterdays closing was respected and fallen .
Formation of head and shoulder pattern.
4 hr: Hanging man candle followed by the bearish candle indicates bearish
Bearish divergence in 4 hr:
Fib level 0.618 is at 2318 which has further room to fall.
Trade plan bias short @ 2413
SL:2450
TP1:2375
TP2:2341
ETHUSDT.3S trade ideas
HolderStat┆ETHUSD trying to break through the resistanceBINANCE:ETHUSDT has confirmed a triangle breakout above the 2,312.67 level and is forming a bullish staircase structure. The chart shows a history of breakout rallies from similar formations, and this current setup targets 2,700+. Maintaining higher lows is essential for follow-through.
Another Bullish Hope… or a Bearish Setup!?🧠 Multi-Timeframe Analysis of ETH/USDT
Monthly Timeframe:
Since early 2023, Ethereum has been in a solid uptrend, managing to reach a key level (pink line).
After a strong move, it got rejected in May 2024, falling to around 2111.
Buyers made another aggressive attempt, pushing the price up to 4094, breaking the previous high — but this time, the rejection was much more intense.
Price quickly dropped all the way to 1385.
So, where are we now?
The market structure has clearly flipped to sell on the monthly timeframe.
We appear to be in a pullback/retrace phase, likely setting up for a deeper move down.
First downside target? Around 1957 — but remember:
Every level = a new decision point!
Weekly Timeframe:
After the rejection from 4093, buyers attempted a recovery. Maybe it was just profit-taking from bears.
The price briefly entered the "expensive zone" — but the momentum didn’t hold.
Last week, a strong bearish weekly candle confirmed the shift to a sell structure.
We might still see one more push to test the 2920 level, but honestly...
It smells like a bull trap. The market might lure buyers in just to drop the price again.
Right now, the bears are in control 🐻
Daily Timeframe:
Looking at the daily chart, the sell structure is clear.
Two likely scenarios:
1- The downtrend continues from here
2- A slight push upward to trap aggressive buyers before the next leg down
🌫️ The market may give a false sense of strength to the bulls, but the true momentum is still bearish.
Is this a bear trap? Maybe.
For now, I'm favoring sell setups — unless I see something that strongly shifts the structure.
Summary:
From monthly to daily, all signs currently point to bearish pressure dominating the market.
Until proven otherwise, the trend remains downward.
🎯 Possible targets if the drop continues:
1957
1793
1752
📌 Remember: every level is an opportunity to re-evaluate, not a fixed prediction.
📣
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is intended for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a trading signal.
Trading carries risk. Please do your own research, practice solid risk management, and never rely solely on external analysis.
You are solely responsible for your trading decisions.
#ETH Rebounds on Ceasefire News – Eyes Set on $3100 and Beyond!By analyzing the #Ethereum chart on the weekly (logarithmic) timeframe, we can see that after dropping to $2100, ETH started recovering strongly following the ceasefire announcement, and is currently trading around $2430. If Ethereum manages to close above $2700 by the end of the week, we could expect further upside.
The next potential bullish targets are $2890, $3100, and $4100.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Ethereum ETH price analysis💰 The price of CRYPTOCAP:ETH tested the strength of the bottom support and failed to consolidate above it.
This means that there will be another correction wave
🔥 Considering that #ETHETF is steadily "bying" every day, it would be a good idea for us/you to buy OKX:ETHUSDT in the range of $1850-1975 for investment portfolio before further growth.
👌 And you can also place a “bucket” with a pending order to buy #Ethereum at $1700, and maybe they will even "draw fall" the price at the moment to break all stops.
_____________________
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ETHUSD📊 ETH/USD 4H Trade Setup For Long
🔍 Watching an Inverse Head & Shoulders 🫱🫳👤
🔼 Entry: At Fib levels or marked zone
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below support / right shoulder
⏳ Time to Move: ~4 to 5 days from Support ➡️ Resistance
🚪 Tried to break major resistance 4 times
🌍 Geopolitical tensions 🌐 caused pullback
⚡ Now, resistance is weakening —
💥 Breakout likely
🎯 High Risk:Reward setup
📈 Get ready for the move!
ETHUSDT Short Setup from Local Resistance and Rising ChannelETHUSDT has reached a key local resistance zone at $2,562.00, which aligns with the upper boundary of a rising channel. This area has historically acted as dynamic resistance, and price action is showing signs of stalling after a strong upward move.
A short position is taken at $2,562.00, anticipating a move down to the lower channel support near $2,337.16.
This setup leverages both horizontal and diagonal resistance, ideal for traders looking for a mean reversion setup within a rising structure.
🧩 Trade Parameters :
- Entry: $2,562.00
- Stop Loss: $2,636.73
- Take Profit: $2,337.16
🔢 Risk:Reward Calculation:
- Risk: 2,636.73 - 2,562.00 = $74.73
- Reward: 2,562.00 - 2,337.16 = $224.84
- Risk:Reward Ratio: 1 : 3.01 ✅ (Very favorable)
✅ Bias:
- Bearish rejection from channel top and prior resistance
🔄 Confirmation:
- Look for rejection wicks, bearish engulfing patterns, or a break of lower timeframe support levels
❌ Invalidation:
- Strong breakout and hold above $2,636.73
This is a high-RR short setup with clear structure and invalidation — well-suited for traders aiming for precision entries on rejection zones.
Short idea on $ETHJudging by the structure, if the vector is correctly identified, then on the ETH instrument, a rise to 3400–3600 remains relevant until the first serious correction (this idea would be invalidated in that case).
As for the potential trade — a breakout of the local highs amid global chaos and during the formation of wave 4 of a 5-wave structure. Typically, during the formation of wave 4, there is more media involvement, more noise, and panic.
I’m observing and planning to enter this trade.
Do not follow my vision blindly, as it could be detrimental to you.
Important midweek ETH update.In just four days, ETH has impressively climbed 19.37%, achieving a substantial trading volume of 34.9 million, indicative of both renewed interest and heightened speculative activity. This sharp move follows two intensely impulsive trading days that thrust price upwards aggressively, followed immediately by two days of intermittent volatility and macro consolidation—perfectly manifesting the anticipated Bart Simpson pattern previously identified and traded with clinical precision.
Our initial boundary of the macro distribution zone at 2470 marked a critical juncture. ETH faced vehement rejection here, forming a violent wick as price sharply retraced, providing us with the ideal entry for our hedge short. This level—keenly highlighted in prior analyses—initiated a cascade of rapid selling pressure, driving price down with impressive velocity and ferocity directly into the pre-established supply zone. This pullback validated our short, subsequently propelling price downward into demand territory at approximately 2380, where immediate liquidity absorption occurred, confirming demand strength.
Notably, ETH’s rapid recovery during the early Asian session surged back towards the optimal trade entry (OTE) region of the redistribution zone, affirming both market efficiency and the dynamic liquidity interplay present. This cyclical behavior reinforces the significance of clearly defined supply and demand zones, which have acted as robust reference points throughout this trading period.
At this juncture, ETH finds itself at a critical crossroad—a profound decision point characterized by considerable uncertainty. Three distinct scenarios now dominate trader psychology and technical rationale:
Liquidity Hunt Scenario: ETH could swiftly retrace to retest the mean, specifically targeting liquidity pools located near the spring wick from the latest impulse. Such a move would serve to shake out weak longs and solidify the market structure before another upward thrust.
Continuation Scenario: A bullish advance could propel ETH towards testing the upper boundary of the overarching macro symmetrical triangle, aligning with continued momentum and suggesting further bullish intent supported by current oscillatory readings.
Worst-Case Scenario (LL Scenario): The alternative, more extreme scenario involves ETH breaching structural integrity, aggressively flushing out late entrants with a sharp lower low (LL). While perceived as unlikely given recent volume and market resilience, this outcome cannot be discounted—particularly given global macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions.
Several exogenous factors compound this uncertainty, most notably ongoing international conflicts and recent market sensitivities tied to off-the-cuff comments from influential figures such as former President Donald Trump. These events amplify volatility potential, exerting tangible influence upon investor sentiment and market positioning.
Analyzing the market structurally, ETH price action is now interacting directly at the apex of the current triangle structure, precisely aligning with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent range—a pivotal area frequently respected by both algorithmic and discretionary traders. Complementing this technical view, oscillators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently hold a neutral stance at exactly 50%, highlighting equilibrium in buying and selling pressure and reinforcing the indecisive nature of the current market environment.
However, adding weight to bullish sentiment in the near term, the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) presently indicates upward momentum, suggesting possible further upside if sustained during today's London and subsequent New York sessions. Consequently, immediate trading decisions should remain sensitive to intraday price behavior around these critical junctures.
If you've closely tracked my analyses—especially the detailed insights shared in the recent macro Bart Simpson formation update—you'll likely have secured the short precisely at the 2503 rejection point, efficiently hedging against any potential drawdown from open long positions established lower down. This strategy exemplifies disciplined trading, strategically balancing risk and reward, capitalizing on clearly defined market structures and critical levels.
Summarizing the current state of play with utmost clarity, ETH stands delicately poised between bullish confirmation and bearish capitulation. Intraday sessions in the coming hours, notably London open and subsequently New York open, are expected to provide the decisive directional impulse. Traders should actively monitor price response at these critical levels, maintaining protective hedges where necessary while remaining flexible and adaptive to emerging market dynamics.
In conclusion, ETH’s immediate trajectory hinges upon nuanced market reactions at this strategically significant confluence point. Stay vigilant, as ETH approaches a potentially transformative decision—one offering both substantial opportunity and considerable risk, contingent upon disciplined execution and strategic clarity in your trading approach.
Ethereum at Key Resistance After Short Squeeze BounceEthereum recently found a local bottom at $2,111, triggering a sharp bounce that resembles a short squeeze. However, the rally has met a significant resistance zone—a former support level now flipped into resistance. This zone is technically loaded with multiple confluences: the point of control, the VWAP, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, and the $2,550 weak resistance area. Reclaiming this zone is essential for Ethereum to regain bullish momentum.
Structurally, the daily market structure has shifted. The previous trend of consecutive higher highs and higher lows has been broken with the recent drop, signaling a bearish structural shift unless key levels are reclaimed.
If Ethereum fails to break and hold above $2,550, the current move may confirm as a bearish retest, increasing the likelihood of a rotation back to $2,227 in the near term. A loss of $2,227 would open the door for a much deeper correction, targeting the $1,790 support zone—a critical level that acted as a base during previous consolidations.
At this point, Ethereum sits at a pivotal juncture. The reaction at current resistance will determine whether bulls can regain control or if bears will drive the next leg lower.
ETH Eyes FVG Fill — Buy Dips Toward Confluence Support✅ Multiple confluences: 1h MSS, range lows, FVG, and OB cluster at $2,273–$2,319
✅ High probability of FVG ($2,529) being filled before new lows
⚠️ Downside sweeps are buys, not sells — use zone for bids
Active Setup:
Long Entry: Bids in $2,273–$2,319 zone (on confirmation: SFP/reclaim or strong bounce)
Targets: First TP at FVG ($2,529), next at range high ($2,787)
Stop: Below $2,185 (invalidate on close below sweep low)
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
Only enter on strong reversal/bounce in blue box
No FOMO above FVG, wait for clean setup
🚨 Risk Warning:
Avoid chasing into resistance (FVG), wait for dip entries with confirmation
Everyone sees consolidation. I see positioningETH is holding just above a key fib cluster, showing signs of controlled distribution, not weakness. Smart Money doesn’t chase — they build positions while the crowd second-guesses.
The Structure:
Current Price: ~2,419
Local High (Premium): 2,482.09
Fib Retracements:
0.236 → 2,394.72 (mild correction)
0.382 → 2,340.68 (initial re-entry zone)
0.5 → 2,296.99 (ideal discount)
0.618 → 2,253.31 (deep entry, high confluence)
0.786 → 2,191.11 (structure last line)
Key Zones:
FVG already filled during the move up — imbalance mitigated
Order block (OB) at 2,191.11: high-probability reaction zone
Strategy Outlook:
Scenario A (Shallow pullback):
ETH tests 2,394 → 2,340, then continues the push to 2,482
→ Aggressive buyers step in early
Scenario B (Deeper sweep):
A drop to 2,296 → 2,253 opens the door for reaccumulation
→ Classic Smart Money trap before the next rally
Invalidation:
A break below 2,191 (and OB failure) kills this bullish narrative
Execution Logic:
Accumulation Zones:
Light: 2,340–2,296
Strong: 2,253–2,191 (discount reload)
Target:
2,482
Extension optional if momentum builds above recent highs
[SeoVereign] ETHEREUM Bearish Outlook – June 27, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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Hello,
I would like to present a bearish outlook on Ethereum as of June 27, 2025.
In the most recent Bitcoin idea I shared on the 22nd, I explained the reason for setting the take-profit zone at 98,875 and mentioned the possibility of a short-term rebound. Amidst the ongoing war risks in the Middle East that are shaking the overall crypto market, the market has shown a successful rebound, with Bitcoin at the center of this movement.
However, this upward movement has been limited to Bitcoin alone, while other major altcoins have shown weak and sluggish rebounds. In such a situation, when predicting a future decline and considering short positions, I believe it is strategically more advantageous to target altcoins rather than Bitcoin. The inability to properly rebound suggests a momentum issue, which is likely to lead to relative weakness in the market.
Many investors tend to short Bitcoin simply because it has risen significantly in price, but this is a beginner-level mistake. Taking a short position solely based on a large price increase carries high risk, and it is more rational to base strategies on altcoins that are failing to gain upward momentum.
From this perspective, I was preparing the basis for a short position in this idea, and as a technical confirmation signal has appeared, I now present a short strategy for Ethereum. The first target is set around the 2,357 level.
If the movement unfolds, I will further explain the analytical thinking that made it possible to anticipate this decline, along with additional key points to monitor in the market.
Thank you.