ETHUSDT.P trade ideas
ethusdt no trade zoneETH is stuck in a range, wait for the sweep of range high, then closing below the range high and take the short, target weekly low. 2nd scenario is wait for to take out the weekly low and any daily candle closing failed to close below this level take the long entry and target the range high. Otherwise expecting this week choppy mean sideways. no major move. Will update if found any good trade.
ETHUSDT WEEKLY UPDATE — PART 1
When Conviction Fails: Apex Rejection, Hidden Redistribution, and the Illusion of Demand
Good morning, good afternoon, good evening, wherever you're tapping in from. Now, as always, I’m not here to waste your time with unnecessary waffle. Let’s get straight into it and unpack this mess step-by-step.
THE APEX REJECTION | MORE THAN JUST A WICK
So picking up from last week's update, we find ourselves right at the crossroads, and not the romantic kind either. What we’re looking at right now so far, is a clean yet 100% conclusive rejection from the apex of a key macro structure.
This isn’t just any level. This is the intersection of vertical momentum and horizontal memory, the apex of a triangle that’s been forming for months. This is where bullish intent was supposed to hold, supposed to assert dominance, but instead, what did we get? A strong push into resistance, a failure to fix above it, followed by exhaustion and signs of institutional unloading.
Now, to the untrained eye, this may look like a pullback, or even a healthy correction. But we’re not here to look at charts with retail goggles. We’re here to track the true intent behind the price action, and if you know your schematics, this is screaming redistribution. And not just any redistribution, the kind that happens right before the market changes its personality.
WHERE ARE WE IN THE SCHEMATIC?
If we overlay Wyckoff logic on top of this structure, it's very clear:
We’ve had our PSY (preliminary support).
Followed by a spring, a shakeout, and a fake rally.
Now we’re dancing around what appears to be the UTAD (upthrust after distribution) — but weaker.
This isn’t classic distribution, it’s redistribution masked in macro confusion.
Here’s the thing this range isn’t just price consolidation, it’s behavioural conditioning. This long, choppy sideways movement is designed to wear out both bulls and bears, making them question their bias, mismanage their risk, and either overstay or exit too early.
The market is methodical, not random. These candles aren’t accidents, they are footprints of algorithmic trap setting, and right now, it looks like the net is about to close.
VOLUME TELLS THE TRUTH
Let’s not forget volume. Look at the weekly volume through this recent push:
Decreasing volume on the rallies,
Higher volume on the red closes,
And multiple spikes that failed to carry price past resistance.
That’s your dead giveaway. You don’t need to be a wizard, just follow the clues. Price is being pushed, not lifted. Demand isn’t stepping in, liquidity is being removed. This isn’t smart money accumulation, if confirmed by the endd of this week, this most recent move up cout be doing of smart money unloading, Quietly and Efficiently.
THE MARKDOWN IS PRIMED
Let’s now address the elephant in the room, the range low and point C of the triangle on the 4H.
T hat’s where liquidity is sitting.
That’s where the market’s next objective lies.
We’ve now failed to reclaim the apex, the wick was slapped down, and unless something significant shifts, the next logical move is to sweep that C point, take out the emotional support, and either:
Tap into true demand (if it exists), or
Begin the cascade toward the final green demand zones between 2,150–2,070, which we marked weeks ago.
And don’t forget, this sweep may not be clean. We could get a fakeout bounce mid-range — enough to bait in more longs, only to roll over again.
PSYCHOLOGICAL LAYER
What’s happening here isn’t just technical, it’s emotional warfare. This entire range has been one long gaslight for the average trader. Between the failed breakouts, failed breakdowns, and chaotic intraday behaviour, retail has been turned into liquidity.
And if you’re still trying to long blindly at the top of this, hoping for 3k ETH without a confirmed structure reclaim, then respectfully, you’re the product right now.
Coming next in Part 2:
A full breakdown of the 4H macro setup
Analysis of the internal range mechanics
Recalculated fib zones
Where the liquidity pockets are
What the most probable path is short, medium, and long-term
Stay tuned — I’ll keep the flow coherent, structured, and aggressive. No fluff. No hopium. Just structure, psychology, and execution.
Technical Analysis of the Financial Chart
1. Main Trend
The overall trend for the ETH/USDT chart (30-minute timeframe) appears bullish, confirmed by the recent breakout above the $2,480 resistance level and price maintaining above the moving averages (MA 50 and MA 200).
The latest upward momentum pushed the price to around $2,510, but the current candlestick seems to be consolidating at this level.
2. Key Levels
Resistance:
$2,543 (next critical level).
Support:
$2,480 (previous resistance, now acting as a key support zone).
$2,461 (aligned with the MA 50 and prior consolidation).
Breakout: A breakout above $2,480 has occurred. The bullish trend is likely to continue as long as the price remains above this level.
3. Technical Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Currently around 63, indicating positive momentum but not yet overbought (70+), suggesting more upside potential.
MACD:
Both the MACD and Signal lines are above 0 with a recent bullish crossover. However, the lines are converging, pointing to potential consolidation.
Moving Averages (MA 50 & MA 200):
The price is trading well above both moving averages, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
4. Risk/Opportunity
Entry Point: Long above $2,505 (continuation of the bullish trend).
Stop-loss: $2,470 (below the breakout level and MA 50 to reduce risk).
Take-profit:
Level 1: $2,543 (first visible resistance).
Level 2: $2,570 (potential extension of the trend).
Confidence Level: High (given the strong breakout and supporting technical indicators).
Recommendation
Trading Setup:
Asset: ETH/USDT
Direction: Long
Entry: $2,505
Stop-loss: $2,470
Take-profit:
Level 1: $2,543
Level 2: $2,570
Confidence: High
Additional Notes:
Monitor volatility and volume: A drop in volume may signal weakening momentum.
Bollinger Bands indicate possible tightening after the breakout, suggesting consolidation.
🏦 Conclusion: The current setup supports a bullish continuation strategy with a favorable risk/reward ratio.
Ethereum – 1D timeframe overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors!
The seller has reached their target.
A buyer started buying from the 2184 level and now holds the initiative.
Targets are on the chart.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
ETH - Intergalactic, Planetary, Intergalactic, PlanetarySun Lines (Gold Fences): These vertical yellow posts mark the high-noon moments when Solar power kicks off major stampedes. Note how the late-2021 Sun line lit the fuse for ETH’s first big buck, and the spring 2024 fence set the stage for that gallop up to nearly $4,800.
Earth-Mars Synodic Ropes (Blue Lassos): These sweeping blue arcs show us when Earth and Mars line up in the sky—and in price rhythm. Each blue lasso tends to corral momentum, either roping in a rally or reining in a sell-off. Early 2023’s synodic rope kept bears at bay, while the latest loop around June 2025 hints at a pick-me-up near $2,400.
Mars Heliocentric Rails (Red Corral Bars): The red lines are Mars’s own heliocentric fences—tough support and resistance levels that often drive price back toward the barn. When ETH bucked above a Mars line in mid-2022, it stalled for months; when it fell through a red rail in early 2025, it trailed off toward $1,500.
Trail Ahead: We’ve just passed another Sun post and are nearing a Mars corral bar around $2,200–2,300. If the blue synodic rope holds, expect a gentle trot back up toward $2,800; if ol’ Mars drags us off-trail, we might be bucked back toward $1,600. Keep your eyes on those planetary fences—the next cosmic roundup’s comin’ soon!
BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P
ETH-bias short Bullish indications:
Weekly : indicates IHS formation with the bullish indication.
MA 21 respected as well.
Bearish indications:
Daily :MA 21 respected.
Doji candle and yesterdays closing was respected and fallen .
Formation of head and shoulder pattern.
4 hr: Hanging man candle followed by the bearish candle indicates bearish
Bearish divergence in 4 hr:
Fib level 0.618 is at 2318 which has further room to fall.
Trade plan bias short @ 2413
SL:2450
TP1:2375
TP2:2341
Another Bullish Hope… or a Bearish Setup!?🧠 Multi-Timeframe Analysis of ETH/USDT
Monthly Timeframe:
Since early 2023, Ethereum has been in a solid uptrend, managing to reach a key level (pink line).
After a strong move, it got rejected in May 2024, falling to around 2111.
Buyers made another aggressive attempt, pushing the price up to 4094, breaking the previous high — but this time, the rejection was much more intense.
Price quickly dropped all the way to 1385.
So, where are we now?
The market structure has clearly flipped to sell on the monthly timeframe.
We appear to be in a pullback/retrace phase, likely setting up for a deeper move down.
First downside target? Around 1957 — but remember:
Every level = a new decision point!
Weekly Timeframe:
After the rejection from 4093, buyers attempted a recovery. Maybe it was just profit-taking from bears.
The price briefly entered the "expensive zone" — but the momentum didn’t hold.
Last week, a strong bearish weekly candle confirmed the shift to a sell structure.
We might still see one more push to test the 2920 level, but honestly...
It smells like a bull trap. The market might lure buyers in just to drop the price again.
Right now, the bears are in control 🐻
Daily Timeframe:
Looking at the daily chart, the sell structure is clear.
Two likely scenarios:
1- The downtrend continues from here
2- A slight push upward to trap aggressive buyers before the next leg down
🌫️ The market may give a false sense of strength to the bulls, but the true momentum is still bearish.
Is this a bear trap? Maybe.
For now, I'm favoring sell setups — unless I see something that strongly shifts the structure.
Summary:
From monthly to daily, all signs currently point to bearish pressure dominating the market.
Until proven otherwise, the trend remains downward.
🎯 Possible targets if the drop continues:
1957
1793
1752
📌 Remember: every level is an opportunity to re-evaluate, not a fixed prediction.
📣
If you found this breakdown helpful, drop your thoughts in the comments
Have a question or a chart you'd like reviewed? Let me know!
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is intended for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a trading signal.
Trading carries risk. Please do your own research, practice solid risk management, and never rely solely on external analysis.
You are solely responsible for your trading decisions.
Everyone sees consolidation. I see positioningETH is holding just above a key fib cluster, showing signs of controlled distribution, not weakness. Smart Money doesn’t chase — they build positions while the crowd second-guesses.
The Structure:
Current Price: ~2,419
Local High (Premium): 2,482.09
Fib Retracements:
0.236 → 2,394.72 (mild correction)
0.382 → 2,340.68 (initial re-entry zone)
0.5 → 2,296.99 (ideal discount)
0.618 → 2,253.31 (deep entry, high confluence)
0.786 → 2,191.11 (structure last line)
Key Zones:
FVG already filled during the move up — imbalance mitigated
Order block (OB) at 2,191.11: high-probability reaction zone
Strategy Outlook:
Scenario A (Shallow pullback):
ETH tests 2,394 → 2,340, then continues the push to 2,482
→ Aggressive buyers step in early
Scenario B (Deeper sweep):
A drop to 2,296 → 2,253 opens the door for reaccumulation
→ Classic Smart Money trap before the next rally
Invalidation:
A break below 2,191 (and OB failure) kills this bullish narrative
Execution Logic:
Accumulation Zones:
Light: 2,340–2,296
Strong: 2,253–2,191 (discount reload)
Target:
2,482
Extension optional if momentum builds above recent highs
ETH Retracement 50% FibHi there, I think there will be a retrace at ETH to 50% fib. My new buy zone will be 2300 and I am short at the moment to 2300. Hope this helps you out. Do your research and this is no financial advice, just an idea. Oh and by the way, I got my SL just above the current high (~2490).
Let me know what your thoughts are in the comment below!
ETH/USDT | ICT Price Delivery Model: AMD📍 ETH/USDT – Daily Timeframe | ICT Smart Money Framework
This analysis outlines a clean execution of the ICT Price Delivery Model:
🔹 Accumulation Phase:
Price consolidates in a defined range, building liquidity above and below the zone.
🔹 Manipulation Phase:
Liquidity sweep to the downside taps into the Balanced Price Range (BPR) — engineered to trap late sellers.
🔹 Repricing Phase:
Price reacts sharply from the Daily Fair Value Gap (D FVG), confirming bullish intent.
🔹 Distribution Objective:
Smart Money likely targeting external liquidity resting above the $3,400 level.
Key ICT Concepts Applied:
✔ Break of Structure (BOS)
✔ Market Structure Shift (MSS)
✔ Fair Value Gap (FVG)
✔ Balanced Price Range (BPR)
✔ External Liquidity ($$$)
📈 Directional Bias: Bullish
🎯 Primary Target: $3,400 (Distribution Zone)
🕒 Chart Type: Daily (1D)
📉 Invalidation: Break and close below BPR without mitigation
📊 Shared by SeenForex – Precision Analysis through ICT Methodology
ETHUSDT Weekly: $2550 - The Bullish Pivot Point• Current Price Consolidation and Immediate Range : The ETHUSDT price is currently consolidating within a critical immediate range, bounded by the 2000−2200 weekly support below and the 2900−3000 overhead resistance area. This 2000−3000 zone defines the current primary trading boundaries on the weekly timeframe.
• Key Bullish Catalyst at $2550 : For the bullish sentiment to gain significant momentum and indicate a potential continuation of the recent upward movement, a decisive weekly close above the $2550 level is paramount. This price point acts as an immediate pivot; successfully clearing and holding above it would suggest a re-energized buying interest targeting the upper bound of the current range.
• Significance of the "Deciding Area" : The 2900−3000 region, labeled as a "Deciding Area," represents a crucial resistance confluence. This zone previously served as significant support and the long-term green ascending trendline, which was subsequently broken. A successful retest and breakout above this area would indicate a potential shift in market structure from bearish to bullish, opening the path towards the higher Key Resistance at 3900−4000.
• Critical Support and Downside Risk : Maintaining the 2000−2200 weekly support is essential for bulls. A sustained weekly closure below this level would invalidate the current bullish outlook and likely lead to a retest of the strong demand zone around 1400−1500, signaling a deeper retracement or a renewed bearish trend.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
ETH Forming Bullish AB=CD Pattern | Eyes on Breakout #Ethereum (ETH) is showing strong bullish momentum on the 4H timeframe and is currently developing a classic AB=CD harmonic pattern, which often precedes a continuation of trend.
✅ Key Observations:
#ETH is holding within a solid uptrend structure
No signs of bearish divergence or reversal patterns yet
Momentum remains healthy, with buyers in control
🔍 What to Watch For:
We are closely watching the previous Higher High (HH) — currently acting as a key resistance level. A 4H candle close above this level will serve as confirmation for the continuation of the bullish trend.
📈 Trading Plan:
Once #ETH breaks above the resistance and confirms with a close, we’ll look to enter a long position with proper risk management and stop-loss placement below recent structure.
💬 What’s your bias on #ETH in the short term? Are you already long, or waiting for the breakout too?
📌 Don’t forget to Like, Comment, and Follow for more clean setups and strategy-based analysis!
#ETH #Ethereum #CryptoTrading #ABCDPattern #TechnicalAnalysis #Harmonics #TradingSetup #Breakout #PriceAction
ETH Weekly – Eyes on $1900When panic creeps in, zoom out.
ETH on the weekly has lost both the 200MA and the 0.5 Fib.
In my opinion, if the BB center doesn’t hold here, price could retest the 0.618 Fib level a zone it tends to flirt with often.
The $1900 area might become a solid buy zone.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
Your Trading System Isn't the Problem. Your Discipline Is.📘 Your Trading System Isn't the Problem. Your Discipline Is.
Hard truth:
Your endless search for a new system is a smokescreen.
The best system in the world can't save you from poor discipline.
Here's why discipline matters more than your strategy:
You quit your system after a few losses, never allowing it to prove its value.
You deviate from your rules when emotions run high—wrecking consistency.
You're focused on shiny objects instead of sharpening the knife you already have.
🎯 The solution?
Commit to discipline. Track your adherence rigorously. Measure your success by consistency, not immediate outcomes.
TrendGo’s power isn’t just in clear signals—it's in enabling disciplined action.
🔍 Stop blaming your tools. Own your discipline.