EURUSD Trade SetupEURUSD Trade Setup – Bearish Bias 📉
After a clear CHoCH, price retraced into a Fair Value Gap (FVG), showing signs of rejection. Market structure is shifting, and we anticipate a continuation lower toward the next demand zones.
This is a great example of SMC concepts aligning:
- CHoCH confirms the trend reversal
- FVG provides an entry opportunity
- Bearish momentum is building
Bias: Bearish
Plan: Monitor price action around FVG for confirmation of continuation.
"Let the structure guide your bias. Follow the flow." 🔥📊
EURAUD trade ideas
EURAUD – Bearish Flag Breakdown OpportunityThe EURAUD pair is showing signs of trend continuation via a classic bearish flag pattern formation. After a sharp decline, the market has entered into a tight consolidation channel, climbing steadily inside a sloped flag structure. Price is now testing a critical resistance area near 1.7830–1.7840 while hovering just below the 200 EMA.
This setup offers a high-probability sell opportunity — but only after confirmation.
1. Structure Overview
The initial sharp downtrend is followed by a consolidation channel — a textbook bearish flag.
Price is approaching major resistance (1.7830–1.7840) and 200 EMA, acting as a ceiling.
A breakdown from the rising support of the flag is expected to trigger a continuation toward the downside.
2. Trade Plan – Bearish Flag Breakdown
✅ Entry Plan:
Wait for a breakdown of the green support trendline (flag support).
Then, wait for a re-test of the broken support (now resistance).
Enter short only after a bearish candlestick confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing or rejection wick) on the 15-min or 1-hour chart.
🛡️ Stop Loss:
Place the stop loss just above the major resistance zone, around 1.7835–1.7840.
🎯 Target Zones:
Target 1 (TG1): 1.7755
Target 2 (TG2): 1.7718
Final Target: 1.7632
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2, 1:4, 1:9.4+
3. Why This Trade Makes Sense
Bearish Flag is a reliable continuation pattern in strong downtrends.
Price is failing to break above key resistance and 200 EMA.
The flag offers a tight SL and large downside potential — ideal conditions for R:R setups.
Confluence of structure, pattern, and trend all align for short bias.
4. Trade Management Tips
Scale out partial profits at TG1 and TG2, and trail stop for final target.
If breakdown fails, avoid chasing price — re-evaluate bias if price breaks above 1.7840.
5. Final Thoughts
This EURAUD chart is a textbook case of pattern + price action + resistance confluence. The flag structure is well-defined, and the reward-to-risk ratio is significantly favorable if the breakdown confirms.
📌 Watch for:
Breakdown of rising support
Retest and bearish candle
Entry only on confirmation
High-probability setups don’t require prediction — they require preparation.
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EURAUDWe're approaching a high-probability area of interest just below 1.7950. Price recently created a Break of Structure (BOS) at 1.7870 and is now retesting that broken structure zone.
📌 Key Levels:
Entry Zone (AOI): 1.7920 – 1.7950
Stop Loss: 1.8020 (above recent highs)
Target: 1.7665 – swing low support
💡 Expecting a rejection from the supply zone and continuation of the bearish move.
Confluence:
BOS confirmation
RSI overbought
Weak Euro sentiment fundamentally vs AUD strength from commodities
euraud trendline longsSeeing as euraud has well respected the trendlines recently I decided to long eur back into the upper end of previously broken trendline. I am european living in australia, I know first hand how weak aud is agains eur as my salary in australia took a massive hit against euro...
I decided to go all in on this trade with a 2% risk. RR is 1:4 for the final TP, but I do see how trade management is the key for longevity, so I still plan on taking partial profits and moving my stop back to BE as soon as price is hitting 1:1 for BE and 1:2 RR for 50% profit taking.
Let's goo
EUR-AUD Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD keeps trading in
A strong uptrend and the pair
Is locally overbought so as the
Pair is retesting a horizontal
Resistance of 1.8019 from
Where we will be expecting
A local pullback on Monday
Sell!
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EUR/AUD Made Perfect Breakout , Long Setup Valid To Get 150 PipsHere is My 2H T.F Chart and if we have a look we will see that we have a very good breakout after this ascending triangle , the price finally closed above neckline for this pattern and we have a good confirmation so i`m waiting the price to go back to retest this broken neckline and then we can enter a buy trade . and if the price closed below my neckline with daily candle then this idea will not be valid anymore .
EURAUD Weekly Trade Setup(14 to 18th July 2025) - Head&ShoulderThis week, EURAUD (Euro/Australian Dollar) has entered a critical price zone, providing a textbook technical opportunity for traders. A clear Head & Shoulders pattern has formed on the 4-hour chart, pointing toward a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
Let’s explore how to trade this intelligently from both bullish and bearish perspectives.
1. Bearish Setup – Head & Shoulders Pattern Breakdown
This is the primary trade idea for the week.
✅ Trade Logic:
Price has completed a classic Left Shoulder → Head → Right Shoulder formation.
The neckline (support) will be tested.
The current price is will pulling back to retest the right shoulder resistance zone, offering an ideal short opportunity.
🔻 Entry Plan:
Wait for bearish reversal confirmation (candlestick rejection or bearish engulfing) on the 1H or 4H timeframe.
Enter short once confirmation appears near 1.7850–1.7900.
📉 Stop Loss:
Place SL above the right shoulder high, adjusting for volatility and swing high (around 1.7950).
🎯 Targets:
Target zone: 1.7450–1.7500 (profit booking zone marked on the chart)
Potential Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2, 1:3, or even 1:4+
2. Alternative Bullish Setup – Reversal at Neckline (High Risk)
This setup is for experienced or aggressive traders who spot early reversals.
✅ Trade Logic:
Price may bounce from the neckline and 200 EMA support area.
If this happens, a temporary bullish reversal may push price back toward the right shoulder zone.
🔺 Entry Plan:
Wait for bullish confirmation (reversal candle) near the neckline and EMA support (around 1.7700).
🚨 Stop Loss:
SL must be below the neckline swing low (around 1.7650).
🎯 Targets:
Resistance zone (right shoulder): 1.7850–1.7900
R:R setups of 1:2 or 1:3 possible
⚠️ This is considered a counter-trend trade and should be traded with caution.
3. Technical Confluence and Indicators
Pattern: Head & Shoulders (bearish reversal)
EMA 200: Price reacting around the long-term trend line
Support/Resistance: Cleanly defined horizontal zones
Reversal zones: Highlighted in red (supply) and green (demand)
4. Final Thoughts
This week’s EURAUD setup is a strong example of structure-based trading. With a well-formed head and shoulders pattern and a clean neckline break, the market signals a shift in momentum.
Safe Approach: Trade the short side after resistance rejection.
Risky Approach: Try a long on neckline bounce with tight SL.
Always confirm with your system and maintain strict risk management. Trade what you see, not what you feel.
Ready to trade? Save this setup, monitor price action, and execute only with confirmation.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR-AUD Strong Uptrend! Buy!
Hello, Traders!
EUR-AUD is trading along
The rising support line in a
Strong uptrend so we we are
Bullish biased and as the pair
Is going down to retest the
Support we will be expecting
A rebound and a move up
Buy!
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EUR/AUD – Next impulsive leg in playHello traders,
Fascinating PA over the last few weeks. PA came from in impulsive phase (HTF) and formed currently the corrective phase. PA stagnated for a while before it dropped towards the downside, completed its trend with 3 drives (ending structure). It currently forms the second continuation. PA closed still bullish on the 4H. However. PA wicked with full PA through an area of interest, which could mean that orders are being filled and PA is ready to go towards the downside.
If it commits I'm looking for multiple scale-ins and targeting the 90% - rule of the whole pattern.
EURAUD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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EURAUD BUY?Market is overall bullish on daily and weekly. Based on 4HR TF, the market is reacting to daily FIB area.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
EURAUDThe price just tapped into a valid order block.
This suggests a potential long (buy) opportunity.
We may see bullish momentum from this zone.
Watch for confirmation like bullish engulfing or BOS or CHOCH.
Place stop loss just below the order block.
Target the next resistance or liquidity zone.
Wait for entry confirmation on lower timeframe.
EURAUD SELL IDEAWe can only anticipate sells if price breaks out of the trendline,there has been rejection already on H4 due to a reaction from breakerblock.
EURAUD still looks bearish internally and if you look closely you will notice price is forming an expansion
But if price keeps keeps the bullish run which I doubt,we can anticipate the bullish move to continue as it has hit the 3rd touch on the trendline
EURNZDThis is a chart of EURNZD on the 4H timeframe. Here's what it shows and what you can post:
Analysis:
- CHoCH (Change of Character) shows a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
- Price retested the supply zone after CHoCH.
- Now it's reacting downwards from that area.
- Two Take Profit zones (TP1 and TP2) are clearly marked as price targets.
What to do:
- Look for sell entries below the retest zone.
- Set your targets at TP1 and TP2.
- Confirm with lower timeframe structure or candlestick patterns before entering.
"EURNZD analysis — Bearish bias confirmed after a clear CHoCH and retest of the supply zone. Watching for sell setups down to TP1 and TP2. Patience and precision is key. 📉🔥 #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #EURNZD #PriceAction"
EURAUD The current head of the European Central Bank (ECB) is Christine Lagarde. She has been serving as ECB President since November 2019, Lagarde has emphasized her commitment to steering the ECB through complex economic challenges, including inflation control and adapting monetary policy to evolving global conditions.
the current key interest rates set by the European Central Bank (ECB) are as follows:
Deposit Facility Rate: 2.00%
Main Refinancing Operations Rate: 2.15%
Marginal Lending Facility Rate: 2.40%
These rates were last adjusted on June 11, 2025, when the ECB lowered the key interest rates by 25 basis points (0.25%) to reflect the updated inflation outlook and economic conditions.
Additional Context:
Inflation in the Eurozone is currently around the ECB’s medium-term target of 2%.
The ECB’s Governing Council decided on the rate cut based on a downward revision of inflation projections for 2025 and 2026, partly due to lower energy prices and a stronger euro.
The next ECB interest rate decision is scheduled for July 24, 2025.
ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel recently indicated that the bar for further rate cuts remains “very high” as the economy is holding up well.
Summary Table of ECB Key Rates (as of June 11, 2025)
Rate Type Interest Rate (%)
Deposit Facility Rate 2.00
Main Refinancing Rate 2.15
Marginal Lending Rate 2.40
the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate remains at 3.85%. This decision was made at the RBA’s July 8, 2025 meeting, where the board chose to hold rates steady despite widespread market expectations of a cut to 3.6%
Key Points:
The RBA has signaled that an easing cycle is likely coming, but it wants to wait for the release of the full quarterly inflation data at the end of July to confirm that inflation is on track to decline sustainably toward the target range (2–3%).
Inflation has moderated, with trimmed mean inflation at 2.4% in May, within the target band.
The board was divided: six members voted to hold rates, while three favored a cut.
Market expectations now price in about an 85% chance of a 25 basis point cut to 3.60% at the next meeting on August 12, 2025.
RBA Governor Michele Bullock emphasized that the bank is reacting to domestic inflation and employment data and is prepared to adjust policy as needed, but is not holding rates high “just in case.”
Summary Table
Date Cash Rate (%) Board Decision Next Meeting Expectation
July 8, 2025 3.85 Hold rates steady Likely 0.25% cut at August 12, 2025
Additional Context
The RBA’s cautious approach reflects the need to confirm inflation trends before easing.
The decision surprised markets that had anticipated an immediate cut due to slowing consumer spending and inflation within the target range.
Governor Bullock acknowledged the challenges for borrowers but noted that housing prices, not just interest rates, affect affordability.
EURAUD TRADE MATHE
EU10Y=2.686%
ECB RATE =2.0%
AU10Y= 4.362%
RBA RATE =3.85%
INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL= EUR-AUD=2.0-3.85=-1.85% EURO BASE CURRENCY AND AUD QUOTE. FAVOUR AUD CARRY TRADE.THE TARRIF HAMMER ,AUDSTRALIA AND CHINA TRADE REMAINS A KEY TOOL FOR AUD STRENGTH.
BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL= EURO-AUD =2.686%-4.362%=-1.676 FAVOUR AUD .
BUT EURO ZONE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK WILL OFFSET YIELD AND BOND ADVANTAGE AS CHINA AUSTRALIA COMMODITIES MARKET IS DEPENDING MORE ON CHINA ,SO GLOBAL RESTRICTION ON EXPORT WILL GIVE EURAUD LONG POSITION.
#EURAUD
Lingrid | EURAUD Trend Continuation Pattern FX:EURAUD is maintaining bullish momentum within a broad upward channel after bouncing from the 1.7900 support zone and forming a triangle continuation pattern. Price is coiling just below the 1.8000 handle and the red resistance boundary of the channel. A confirmed breakout above 1.8000 could open the path toward the 1.8100 target area, extending the broader bullish structure.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 1.7880–1.7900
Sell trigger: breakdown below 1.7880
Target: 1.8100
Buy trigger: breakout and retest of 1.8000–1.8020 zone
💡 Risks
Rejection from 1.8000 resistance could trigger a pullback
Break below the blue trendline may invalidate bullish setup
Low momentum breakout may stall below 1.8050
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Brace Yourselves: EURAUD’s Harmonic Storm Is Coming!Good morning, Traders ☀️
I've identified a bullish harmonic Bat pattern on the EURAUD pair.
At this stage, I'm only anticipating a reactional buy from the marked zone.
I'll determine my target level after observing the market's response from that area.
📌 I’ll be sharing the target details under this post once the reaction unfolds.
Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏