EURCAD at 2009 Highs – Is a Massive 1,000 Pip Sell-Off Imminent?It's been a while since my last idea! (Too busy traveling lately 😅)
Today, we're zeroing in on a high-probability short setup on EURCAD. This pair has surged strongly since the start of the year, fueled by all the Trump-related market chaos.
Once we smashed through 1.52—last year's key resistance (a level where we previously banked over 600 pips on a massive drop)—the market has been steaming towards the next major SELL zone between 1.58 and 1.615. This area has been rock-solid resistance since 2009, causing significant sell-offs each time we've tested it. Can history repeat itself? Let’s dive into the charts.
Weekly Chart:
After the initial spike into our key zone in early March, we saw an immediate 600-pip rejection, but buyers quickly regrouped and drove the pair to fresh highs near 1.60. Crucially, we're now seeing a lack of follow-through on recent highs, which is a classic sign of buyer exhaustion. Even more telling, this week's candle is a spinning top—a textbook reversal signal.
Daily Chart:
Zooming into the daily timeframe, price action is becoming increasingly choppy with multiple rejection candles at the highs—clear signs that sellers are starting to step in. Additionally, MACD divergence is glaringly obvious, reinforcing the bearish setup.
4-Hour Chart:
At the 4-hour level, the market is now trapped in a tight sideways range between 1.57 (floor) and just above 1.58 (ceiling). The MACD continues to signal divergence—another strong indication that the bullish momentum is losing steam and a reversal is likely imminent.
How I'm Trading It:
Given all these signals, I'm using my TRFX indicator to build a long-term short position, targeting sell signals on the 8-hour and daily charts. The daily chart alone has been flashing multiple sell signals already (see below):
One last thing: Don’t be surprised by a quick fake-out spike toward the upper bound at 1.615—it’s very common in setups like these. Any sharp spike up should get quickly rejected, giving us another great selling opportunity.
Targets:
First Target: Last year's major resistance at 1.52—expect a reaction and possibly a bounce here.
Second Target: Longer term, I'm eyeing a deeper move toward the major support level around 1.43, offering a huge profit potential if the reversal fully plays out.
That's my game plan—let me know your thoughts below! 😊
EURCAD trade ideas
EURCAD Is Going Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for EURCAD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.591.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.578 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EUR/CAD At Important Support , Can We See A Clear Breakout ?Here is my EUR/CAD Chart and i have a short entry from the top which is gave me 100 pips , but now the price at important support and i want to add another entry but i need a clear closure below this support and then we can enter a new sell trade and targeting 250 pips , cuz the price can`t close below this support for more than 3 weeks , so if we have a good closure it will be a great confirmation to enter .
EURCAD Approaching Major Resistance - Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURCAD is approaching a key resistance level, marked by significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 1.57500 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
EURCAD Long 4/23/2025EUR/CAD Long Setup – Doji Reversal off Daily Support + Clean Intraday Double Bottom
Looking to go long on EUR/CAD after a strong multi-timeframe confluence of structure, liquidity sweep, and bullish intent.
4H Chart:
A beautiful doji formed after a stop hunt, clearing out long-side liquidity built up since the consolidation zone starting around April 14th.
The following three 4H candles have respected that doji's low and are all bouncing cleanly off the key daily support zone at 1.57544 — a strong sign of buyer defense.
Daily Chart:
Price tapped into a well-established demand zone, holding firm and reacting with precision.
1H Chart:
We've got a double bottom forming, but what makes it cleaner is that the second leg didn’t even touch the previous low — early buyers stepped in faster. That’s a sign of strength and absorption.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Around current level, just above 1.57544
Target 1: 1.58572 (.82R, and also a weekly level)
Target 2: Swing high beyond 1.5900
Stop: Just below the doji wick on the 4H
This setup combines a clear liquidity sweep, price reaction from daily structure, and intraday bullish intent. If we reclaim 1.5800 with momentum, the high should be in reach.
EURCAD Short 4/29/2025EUR/CAD Short – Multi-Week Weekly Rejection + Bearish Continuation Setting Up
Taking a short on EUR/CAD after sustained weekly rejection, daily structure shift, and intraday bearish continuation signs.
Weekly Chart:
Strong rejection off a key weekly supply level — multiple weeks confirming resistance:
Initial rejection week of March 10th.
Three back-to-back rejections again during April 7th, April 14th, and April 21st.
Clear seller control at this zone, with the latest weekly candle forming a bearish hammer — priming the setup for continuation lower.
Daily Chart:
Yesterday, we gapped down, tapped a daily level, and closed bearish — signaling sellers are firmly stepping in.
Momentum has shifted toward the downside cleanly.
4H Chart:
Three candles of bearish behavior after an initial bullish impulse:
Bearish hammer, doji, and strong bearish hammer sequence printed.
Price is now stalling at trendline support but showing signs of pressure building for a breakdown.
1H Chart:
Some minor bullish bounce off trendline support, but the structure is weakening — supply consistently capping rallies.
Trade Thesis:
Expecting a trendline break soon, accelerating momentum to the downside once 1.5700 gives way.
Targets:
First target: 1.5700 (structure break)
Second target: 1.5500
Third target (extended): 1.5330
Risk Management:
Conservative management until 1.5700 breaks.
Aggressive partials after clearing 1.5500 toward long-term target.
EURCAD: Free Trading Signal
EURCAD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy EURCAD
Entry - 1.5687
Stop - 1.5644
Take - 1.5778
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/CAD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
EUR/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.575
Target Level: 1.525
Stop Loss: 1.608
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURCADPrice looks like its near a support zone dating back to around mid March of this year. Price has recently been rising on decreasing volume. Since price broke the previous high of mid March, price is trading sideways as well. Looking for a retracement for price to reach the target zone on the chart.
EUR/CAD: Potential Short Opportunity !!Hey Traders,
Price is showing signs of weakness after tapping into key supply zones.
Lower highs forming, potential for further downside. Watching for clean breakdown and continuation to the downside.
Not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk!
#EURCAD #Forex #TradingView #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #Bearish #Breakdown #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #SwingTrading
EUR/CAD Trying To Breakout Strong Support , Be Ready For Sell !Here is my opinion about EUR/CAD , The price at very strong support and can`t close below it , so if we have a clear closure below it we can enter a sell trade with the retest and targeting 150 pips at least . just wait for the breakout and for bearish Price Action and then we can go down hard with it ! if we have not a closure below so this idea should be canceled .
EUR/CAD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
EUR/CAD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 8H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.569 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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(A re-entry) EUR CAD #0013 Short Swing Trade- A trade limit order was initiated after a failed breakout occurred on the daily time frame against the last month's HIGH.
- This indicates exhaustion of the Buyers' interest.
- The presence of orderblock on the false breakout zone indicates a reversal pattern.
- However, not to be taken frankly, INDUCEMENT is going on at the moment (April 17) in the sideways/accumulation zone.
- This represents a bulk of Retail Traders' Stop Losses creating "Liquidity Pools", in addition to the Liquidity Pool on the last Monthly HIGH.
- We are anticipating a Liquidity Hunt to occur, absorbing all stop limit orders around the sideways/accumulation (after orderblock) to occur, hence initiating a Buy Order in abundance, where SMART MONEY can take advantage of by initiating a large Sell Order (hence absorbing all liquidity).
- This trade is CONTRARIAN in nature and Swing Trading.
- The holding period is expected to be between 3 days to 1 week
EUR-CAD Wait For Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CAD has formed a
Bullish pennant pattern
While trading in an uptrend
So we are bullish biased and
IF we see a bullish breakout
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURCAD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
EURCAD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURCAD
Entry - 1.5898
Stop - 1.5970
Take - 1.5735
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EURCAD Short 4/21/2025EUR/CAD Short Setup – Stop Run and Weekly Reversal in Play
We started the week with a burst of bullish activity on EUR/CAD — but it’s looking more like a liquidity grab than genuine strength.
Sunday Open: Within 12 hours of the weekly open (during thin liquidity), price broke last week’s high — a level that held all of last week — hinting at a possible engineered stop run.
Backdrop: The ECB’s 25bps rate cut last Thursday (April 17) continues to pressure the euro fundamentally. This morning's move likely reflects faux volume aimed at clearing out late sellers before a reversal.
Session Structure:
Asia: Extended the highs slightly.
London: Delivered a sharp drive up, breaking the weekly high mid-session — likely the final liquidity tap before reversing.
Now: London has closed. We’re heading into New York with momentum slowing and key reversal patterns forming.
Technical Confluence:
15-Min Chart: Clear double top.
1H Chart: Inside bar fakeout forming — breakout failed, candle about to close bearish.
These formations align with a classic market maker reversal model following a stop raid.
Bias: Bearish.
Targeting a move down to 1.53319 — a clean demand zone and structural target.
Stops above 1.6000 would be ideal for institutions to aim at, but I don’t believe we’ll reach that high. The signs of exhaustion are already visible.
Macro View: With euro weakness post-ECB and potential dollar strength building this week (especially with Trump pressuring global trade again), this may be the start of a decisive trend move to the downside.
Let’s see how New York handles this. If momentum confirms, we may be at the very beginning of a significant shift.