EURCAD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.513.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.509 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURCAD trade ideas
EUR/CAD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
EUR/CAD is making a bullish rebound on the 4H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.506 level.
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EURCAD / LONG / M15EURCAD may rise from the Bullish Order Block
Bullish Order Block: 1.51206 and 1.51115
EURCAD appears poised for a potential upward move from the bullish order block. Given the high probability of a profitable outcome, I have used Smart Money Concepts (SMC) to refine this setup. Let's monitor how the price reacts in this area for further confirmation.
EURCAD / LONG / M15
LOT :- 0.2
Entry Price :- 1.51206
Take Profit :- 1.51364
Stop Loss :- 1.51048
EURCAD_101 2024.11.01 08:33:04 Trading Signal BUYFrankPro Signal for EURCAD_101
Type: Screen
Signal: BUY
TP: 1.51558
SL: 1.51246
Entry Price: 1.51294
Analysis for EURCAD
Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Probably Up LT= Probably Up
Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term):
ST=Up LT=Up
ST=Up LT=Up
ST=Same LT=Same
Analysis Method(0)
Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the EUR/CAD currency pair:
**Short-term (next few days/weeks):**
* The pair is expected to test the resistance zone around 1.5000, which could lead to a rollback towards support levels.
* A decisive bullish breakout above 1.5026 could suggest the end of the downtrend.
* The trend appears to be up on the four-hour and one-hour charts, with intraday support at 1.14928.
* Considering these points, I expect the price to **go up** in the short-term, potentially breaking out above 1.5026.
**Long-term (next few months):**
* Both the ECB and BoC are expected to cut interest rates, which could influence the EUR/CAD pair.
* The ECB's potential aggressive rate cut could provide upside for EUR/CAD.
* The Canadian Dollar is facing downside pressure due to external factors such as the US election risk and lower Crude Oil prices.
* Considering these points, I expect the price to **go up** in the long-term, as the ECB's rate cut and external factors could bias EUR/CAD to rise.
Overall, both short-term and long-term analyses suggest that the EUR/CAD pair is expected to go up, driven by the potential ECB rate cut, external factors affecting the Canadian Dollar, and the current technical setup.
Result: ST=Up LT=Up
Analysis Method(1)
Based on the analysis of the provided data, here are the expected price movements for the EUR/CAD currency pair:
**Short-term (next few days to a week):**
* The price is expected to **go up** slightly in the short term, with a daily high forecast of $1.509578 for October 31, 2024.
* However, there is a prediction that the EUR/CAD rate might **fall** to around $1.493272 in the next week.
**Long-term (next month to a year):**
* The price is expected to **stay the same** with minimal changes in November 2024, with a forecasted range between 1.502 and 1.509.
* Looking ahead to 2025, the EUR/CAD rate is forecasted to **go up** slightly, with a predicted rate of around 1.510 in October 2025.
It's worth noting that the market sentiment is currently bearish, but technical indicators show mixed signals, which may indicate some uncertainty in the market. The 14-day RSI is neutral, and the current rate is above the 200-day SMA but below the 50-day SMA, which may suggest a potential reversal or consolidation in the short term.
Result: ST=Up LT=Up
Analysis Method(2)
Based on the analysis provided, here are my conclusions:
**Short-term (next few days):**
The price is expected to **stay the same** with a slight fluctuation. The predicted range of 1.453 to 1.542 suggests a relatively stable market with minor price movements.
**Long-term (remainder of 2024 and into 2025):**
The price is expected to **stay the same** with no significant downtrend or uptrend predicted. The overall trend is stable with minor fluctuations.
It's worth noting that the forecast for November 2024 suggests a slight increase in the rate, but this is not a strong indication of a major uptrend. Overall, the analysis suggests a stable market with minor price movements in both the short-term and long-term.
Result: ST=Same LT=Same
EUR/CAD at Key Support: Rebound or Further Decline?EURCAD is currently trading at 1.4900, which is a key support level. From this point, the price has the potential to move upwards, targeting the 1.5160 level. However, if this support level is broken, there is an increased likelihood that the price will continue to decline, potentially falling further until it reaches the Trendline Support. Traders should closely monitor the current levels, as any significant move in either direction could signal a shift in the trend and provide trading opportunities. Staying alert to price action around this support level is crucial for making informed decisions.
EURCAD 4H Outlook | BearishThe EURCAD pair is in a range on daily timeframe between:
- Resistance range around 1.5174
- Support range around 1.48824
On 4H timeframe it has formed a harmonic pattern with a slight divergence in making.
I am biased for a bearish leg.
Trade Plan:
Waiting for break of Point B.
Placed a sell stop order around 1.50813 with stop loss above Daily Resistance 1.51862
EURCAD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on EURCAD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.5102 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probableBearish continuation.
Target - 1.5053
Safe Stop Loss - 1.5130
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short Position on EURCAD: Strong Potential for TP SuccessKey Fundamentals Supporting a Bearish Bias:
- Eurozone Struggles: Recent economic reports indicate that the Eurozone is facing challenges, including sluggish growth and rising inflation. This could weaken the Euro as investors lose confidence.
- Interest Rate Outlook: The European Central Bank is taking a cautious stance on interest rates, while the Bank of Canada is likely to raise rates. This contrast could strengthen the Canadian Dollar against the Euro.
- Geopolitical Pressures: Ongoing issues in Europe, such as energy crises and trade disruptions, are creating uncertainty. This instability can further drag down the Euro's value relative to the CAD.
I'm focusing on short positions for EURCAD by using probabilities derived from historical data. By analyzing past trends and applying straightforward mathematical rules, I can spot high-probability trading opportunities.
This strategy helps me stay disciplined and make informed decisions, reducing emotional trading and increasing my chances of success.
Let's dive into the multiple timeframe top-down analysis together:
12M:
1D:
Hourly Entry:
EURCA Bearish 100pipsFor an EUR/CAD short position with a 30-pip stop loss and a 100-pip take-profit target, this type of setup has a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of over 3:1, ideal if the technical and fundamental setup supports the downside.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Look for a confirmed downtrend on the 4-hour and daily charts. Clear signs include lower highs and lower lows. This would suggest that the market is likely to move in the direction of your trade.
Support and Resistance Zones: Ensure the entry point aligns with a resistance level or near a recent swing high, which could prevent the stop loss from getting triggered easily. Ideally, the take-profit target should be near a support level 100 pips away, where price could pause or reverse.
EURCAD / SHORT / M15EURCAD Potential Downside from Bearish Order Block
Bearish Order Block: 1.50274 - 1.50213
EURCAD has already touched the bearish order block zone, suggesting a likely downward momentum from this level. Let’s observe how the price reacts, as there’s a strong possibility of a bearish move based on this setup.
EURCAD / SHORT / M15
LOT :- 0.1
Entry Price :- 1.50225
Take Profit :- 1.50012
Stop Loss :- 1.50438
EURCAD Possible Long Position BBMA OA ReEntry Zone Zero Loss4H - Re-Entry
1H - 50 EMA Rejection + Bollinger Band
Rejection
15m - CSAK + Entry in MALO
Note:
* Cancel trade or cut-loss when candle close Below MAHI (2 Red Color Lines) in 4H
* 1:3 RRR
* TAYOR
A combination of multiple moving averages and Bollinger Bands is the BBMA OMA Ally strategy. It provides an extensive and reliable examination of market trends and patterns by utilizing the strength of both indicators. It is a multi-time frame analysis
I am using the BBMA OA Reentry Zone Zero Loss Strategy as a basic reaction to recent market events, rather than attempting to forecast the market's future course
EurCad could rise 200+ pipsSince late August 2022, EUR/CAD has been in a bullish trend, gaining approximately 1,000 pips. However, after reaching a local high in early August 2024, the pair began trading within a range, encountering clear resistance around the 1.5150–1.5200 zone.
Last Thursday, the pair rebounded from range support, forming a strong bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart, which suggests a promising outlook for continued upward movement. I am looking to buy on dips in EUR/CAD with a target around 1.5200, while the trade setup will be negated if the price falls below last week’s low.
A confirmed bullish signal would be a daily close above 1.5000.
Bearish reversal?EUR/CAD is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level.
Pivot: 1.50019
1st Support: 1.49274
1st Resistance: 1.50795
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