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EURCHF trade ideas

EURCHF: Watch for Price Reaction Near Support ZoneEURCHF: Watch for Price Reaction Near Support Zone The EURCHF pair has tested a major support zone for the fourth time since December 2023. This level also marks the lowest price, but rather than reflecting CHF strength, the movement seems to be driven by intervention from the Swiss National Bank (SNB). While some analysts suggest a safe-haven shift to CHF due to the Trade War, the sharp drop in GBPCHF—despite GBP's overall strength—raises doubts about this theory. If this support holds, EURCHF could rebound towards key resistance levels: 0.9355, 0.9425, 0.9485, 0.9545, and 0.9600. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
8
EURCHF: Bullish Momentum ContinuesEURCHF: Bullish Momentum Continues Following our previous analysis, EURCHF has moved higher, successfully reaching two of our targets. The pair has now broken through a strong structure zone once again. If the price stays above the 0.9390 support zone (marked in red), the chances are high that EURCHF will continue its upward movement in a steady and clear manner, as indicated by the chart. With the economic calendar mostly empty this week, let's see how EURCHF develops in the coming days. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
3
EURCHF Builds Momentum Above Key Support as ECB Meeting LoomsEURCHF is trading above the previous breakout zone near 0.9396–0.9400, confirming a shift toward bullish structure. Price action shows a clean breakout from consolidation, aiming for the 0.9485–0.9546 resistance zones next, supported by strong momentum. Support Zone: 0.9385–0.9400 (previous resistance turned support) Immediate Resistance: 0.9485 (61.8% Fib level) Target Zones: TP1: 0.9485 (61.8% Fib retracement) TP2: 0.9545 (78.6% Fib retracement) Risk Level: Stop-loss below 0.9380 for protection. ✅ Bullish Factors: Bullish break above mid-range structure and retesting successfully Clean bullish market structure and higher lows developing 50% Fibonacci retracement break supports further upside momentum Weak CHF fundamentals due to global risk appetite and cautious SNB stance 🧠 Fundamental Insights: ECB Outlook: ECB is heading toward a "complex June meeting" with Klaas Knot warning that while short-term tariffs may suppress inflation, long-term risks are two-sided. Despite likely rate cuts, the ECB remains cautious due to trade war uncertainty and global pressures. Eurozone Risks: Upcoming GDP and CPI reports expected to show sluggish growth and cooling inflation, which could limit upside for EUR in medium term. CHF Fundamentals: Market sentiment favors risk assets, weakening the traditional safe-haven CHF. No aggressive SNB tightening expected soon. Recent Headlines: US Treasury Sec Bessent highlights European concerns about Euro strength. Weaker CHF amid global calm and stable financial markets. 📌 Trading Plan: Bias: Bullish while holding above 0.9400 Entry: On dips near 0.9415–0.9420 Target 1: 0.9485 Target 2: 0.9545 Stop-loss: Below 0.9380 ⚠️ Watch: If EUR zone GDP or CPI disappoints heavily this week, expect sharp pullback risk. A drop back below 0.9380 would invalidate the bullish breakout scenario.
Long
by ultreosforex
1
EURCHF Buy from Key Demand Zone – Recession Fears Cloud UpsideEURCHF has bounced sharply from a long-standing demand zone around 0.9200–0.9260, forming a potential double bottom. Price action suggests a bullish correction is underway, with upside targets at: 🎯 TP1: 0.9352 🎯 TP2: 0.9409 🎯 TP3: 0.9499 🚨 Invalidation Zone: Below 0.9200 The strong rejection from this support zone, combined with bullish structure building, signals the potential for a sustained recovery — if sentiment allows. 🧠 Fundamental Overview: 🔺 Eurozone PMI & Trade Data – Mixed Signals French & German Flash Manufacturing PMIs remain under 50, indicating contraction German Flash Services PMI (50.3) shows marginal expansion Eurozone Trade Balance: 14.9B, slightly below expectations ⚠️ These results suggest slow economic recovery and limited growth momentum in the euro area. 🗣️ ECB Comments – Market Confidence Hit ECB's Kazaks: “Tariff war is adding economic risks” “Euro area recession probability is rising” These statements added to market caution, triggering euro weakness on concerns of slowing growth and potential ECB dovishness if downside risks worsen. 💡 CHF Context: Safe-haven flows remain strong due to global uncertainty However, CHF strength may be capped by Swiss low inflation and potential SNB interventions if EURCHF stays too low 🔍 EURCHF Outlook: Bullish Rebound with Caution Technical view favors bullish retracement toward resistance zones Fundamentals are weak, but the deeply discounted EURCHF pair could see short-term recovery before facing macro resistance Recession and tariff war fears could keep upside limited or choppy 📌 Strategy Summary: Buy Bias above 0.9260 Targets: TP1: 0.9352 TP2: 0.9409 TP3: 0.9499 SL: Below 0.9200 (daily close)
Long
by ultreosforex
1
EUR/CHF: At the Crossroads with 200DMA Looming LargeWith the key 200-day moving average overhead and having failed to sustain pushes above .9400 earlier this month, EUR/CHF finds itself at an interesting level on the charts, generating multiple potential setups depending on how near-term price action evolves. If the price is unable to hold above .9400, shorts could be initiated with a stop above the 200-day moving average for protection. Minor support sits at .9339, with a break of that level opening the door for a run toward the recent swing low around .9220. For this setup to play out, an escalation in trade tensions between the United States and major trade partners would be helpful. Alternatively, a break and close above the 200-day moving average would allow for longs to be established, targeting the 50-day moving average initially and resistance at .9491 thereafter. A stop beneath the 200DMA would provide protection. Further concrete progress in trade negotiations would assist an extension of the recent rebound. While momentum indicators are less bearish than when the price last visited these levels, on balance, they still screen neutral to slightly bearish. Good luck! DS
by FOREXcom
EURCHF: Pullback From Support 🇪🇺🇨🇭 There is a high chance that EURCHF will bounce from a recently broken horizontal resistance. After a breakout, it turned into support with a high probability. As a confirmation signal, I see a tiny cup & handle pattern on an hourly time frame and intraday bullish imbalance. Goal - 0.9422 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
EURCHF Potential shortsFX:EURCHF EURCHF has an overall bearish sentiment. The price reversal has created a shooting star on both the 4 Hour and daily timeframes. Price is on the fourth wave retracing back towards the swap zone, we can wait for price reaction when it taps into the impulse zone and look for another reversal signal before hopping onto sells. For the first target, we can look for sells back to the H4 support zone, if price breaks below the H4 support zone, we can then target to the strong daily support and swap zone below at 0.93033.
Short
by CandleCipher
EURCHF A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on EURCHF and concluded the following: The market is trading on 0.9396 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 0.9312 Safe Stop Loss - 0.9444 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/CHF Eyes Breakout on Eurozone PMI OptimismHello, 🇪🇺 EUR/CHF: Can PMI Green Shoots Power a Breakout? 📈 Fundamental Spark: Eurozone PMI Upside? Stronger-than-expected PMIs this week could lift the euro, even against the safe haven Swiss franc. Solid data would suggest the Eurozone economy is weathering trade tensions better than expected. ECB officials (like Wunsch & Villeroy) have pushed back against aggressive rate cut bets, signaling: “The easing cycle is neither finished nor automatic.” 🧠 Key takeaway: Bullish PMIs would reinforce the idea that the ECB may slow down or delay cuts, narrowing the gap vs. the SNB. 💬 Swiss Franc Watch: CHF is trading near intervention-watch levels as USD/CHF recently hit a 10-year low. SNB might step in if franc strength continues to threaten exports or inflation outlooks. 📊 EUR/CHF Technical Setup 🔺 Pattern Watch: Ascending Triangle Resistance Zone: 0.9340 – 0.9351 (R1 Pivot Point) Support Line: Steadily rising lows = buyers stepping in 🔍 Momentum Clues: ✅ Bullish candlesticks forming around resistance ✅ 100 SMA > 200 SMA crossover = Bullish bias confirmed 📍 Upside Targets (If Breakout Holds): Price Level Reason 0.9400 Previous swing high 0.9500 April highs 0.9550 Extended risk-on target ⚖️ Trading Scenario Summary: Scenario Implication EUR/CHF Bias ✅ Strong PMIs + ECB hawkish tone Rate cut bets fade Bullish ⚠️ Weak PMIs + risk-off flows Safe haven CHF demand rises Bearish 😐 Mixed data Rangebound action Neutral-to-slight bullish 🧭 Final Thoughts: Keep an eye on PMI surprises, ECB rhetoric, and CHF sensitivity to risk and intervention speculation. If EUR/CHF holds above 0.9350 with strong momentum, upside continuation becomes more likely. 📌 Breakout + Risk-On = Rally Fuel 🇪🇺 Eurozone Flash PMIs in Focus: Will Tariffs Tip the Scale? 📅 Event Date: 🗓 April 23 (Wednesday) ⏰ Starting 7:15 am GMT (Use your Forex Market Hours tool to convert!) 🔍 What’s at Stake? As global trade tensions intensify, Germany and France – the eurozone’s powerhouses – are under pressure. With the U.S. floating higher tariffs, markets are watching this PMI release closely for signs of economic fallout. 📊 PMI Forecast Snapshot: Indicator Forecast Previous Bias 🇩🇪 Germany Manufacturing PMI 47.5 48.3 🔻 🇩🇪 Germany Services PMI 50.3 50.9 🔻 🇫🇷 France Manufacturing PMI 47.9 48.5 🔻 🇫🇷 France Services PMI 47.6 47.9 🔻 🇪🇺 Euro Area Manufacturing PMI 47.4 48.6 🔻 🇪🇺 Euro Area Services PMI 50.4 51.0 🔻 📉 Readings below 50 signal contraction. 📈 Above 50 means expansion. 💬 Why It Matters for EUR Traders Weak PMI prints → 📉 Euro likely to fall ↳ Could fuel ECB rate cut expectations ↳ Bearish EUR bias vs. GBP, CHF, or JPY Surprise resilience → 📈 Euro may hold up ↳ Especially vs. commodity currencies in risk-off mode (AUD, NZD, CAD) ↳ Could even bounce vs. USD if greenback selling continues 🧠 What Happened in Past Releases? 📅 March 24, 2025 🇫🇷 & 🇩🇪 Services = 🔻 Manufacturing = 🔺 🧊 Cooled ECB rate cut bets EUR dropped early, stabilized later on relief over potential U.S. auto tariff exemptions 📅 February 21, 2025 PMIs = Net contraction, especially manufacturing EUR dipped amid auto tariff risks and Russia-Ukraine tensions 📅 January 24, 2025 PMIs beat forecasts (still < 50 though) Trump softened China tariff tone → EUR 🚀 early in session Held gains in risk-on backdrop 🌍 Macro Backdrop Check 🧨 Ongoing global trade war U.S. & China escalate with triple-digit tariffs Markets fear supply chain collapse and global slowdown 🧭 Risk sentiment = fragile If pessimism lingers → 💵 USD may stay under pressure EUR reaction could be short-lived unless data is decisive 🔮 Trading Scenarios Scenario Implication EUR Bias Weaker-than-expected PMIs Tariff damage confirmed Bearish EUR PMIs beat forecasts Services resilience Limited EUR support Mixed results Choppy, rangebound action Wait for clarity 🧠 Pro tip: EUR often reacts short-term to PMI releases. Strong directional moves typically need uniform results or bigger catalysts (e.g., ECB or Fed news). 🛡️ Final Tips: Watch the PMI trend across Germany, France, and the Eurozone Consider the bigger macro picture (e.g., U.S. trade policy, China growth) Don’t skip your risk management setup 👉 Wait for the data, spot the bias, and trade with discipline. 📈 Good luck out there! The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes! No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
Long
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
Cautious Longs with potential for further weakness I’m currently looking for long entries on EURCHF. That being said, these are cautious longs with the anticipation of further strength in the Swiss Frank. I’m expecting further gains in the Swiss currency due to its safe haven appeal and the lack of room for SNB intervention; either by way of direct market intervention or rate reductions. My personal view is that the SNB will be reluctant to intervene in its currencies rapid appreciation. I have reached this conclusion for many factors; most significant of which are fears of reprisal from Trump and his tariff charges, but also for concerns closer to home.. I’m not sure if the SNB can afford the risks associated with inflating its balance sheet during a time in which the bank has very little room for interest rate reductions. As long as the markets lack direction from Trump, capital will flow into safe haven assets. The red lines are a historic falling wedge, formed back in 2011. The black are self explanatory from the time frame shown. The rapid depreciation in this pair isn’t (in my opinion) related to euro weakness, but rather the aforementioned. Given the structure of the market, rapid depreciation of the pair, divergence between price action and indicators and the fact that we’re floating around an important area of support, I feel a temporary reversal may be on the horizon. I’m expecting a test of all-time lows for this pair at circa 0.92. I currently have an active trade at 0.9232 and plan to scale in positions if the price weakens further with my ares of interest highlighted by the grey boxes.
Long
by jamesfrench73
2