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EURCHF trade ideas

EUR/CHF breaks outThe EUR/CHF looks quite interesting heading into the ECB rate decision. On the back of news from Germany will unlock 500 billion euros for defense and infrastructure investments, we have seen European bond yields surge higher, with those on the benchmark 10-year German bund rising nearly sharply to 2.75%, the highest level since November 2023. The euro has rallied across the board, with the EUR/USD climbing to 1.0780. The single currency has also gained ground against most other major currencies, including the pound, franc and yen. The euro has climbed on expectation that increased government expenditure could stoke inflation. This, in turn, may increase the case for European Central Bank to cut rates more gradually than previously expected. But the ECB is unlikely to keep its policy unchanged at Thursday’s meeting, with almost all economists expecting the central bank to trim rates by a further 25 basis points. It is what Lagarde will say at the ECB press conference that will be important. In light of the threats of tariffs, Lagarde may try to be a bit more cautious and that may hurt the euro slightly. But the dips may well be bought, leading to fresh gains for euro crosses. The EUR/CHF has broken out today, taking out key resistance at 0.9500-0.9517 and moving decisively above its 200-day average. It may now ease a little from 0.9600 resistance, but the path of least resistance is to the upside. 0.9700 could be next target from here, and eventually a rise towards parity wouldn't surprise me. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Long
by FOREXcom
EURCHF at Key Resistance Zone - Potential Drop to 0.95000OANDA:EURCHF has reached a significant resistance zone, marked by prior price rejections, suggesting strong selling interest. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers regain control. If the price confirms resistance within this zone through bearish price action (e.g., wicks or rejection candles), we could see a move toward 0.95000, which represents a logical target based on recent structure. However, if the price breaks and holds above this resistance area, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially opening the door for further upside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
2
Bulls have won the war!!Using the drop-down method starting on the daily TF we had order flow and structure breaks higher with that been said our daily TF we are bullish and can start buying the dips. 4hour TF as shown on the chart above we can see price breaking structure/ or shifting structure high, the three horizontal lines(dotted) represent our OTE and as we can see the OTE and the FVG being around the same levels, gives us confluence to believe that FVG can hold. Before entering wait for a clear structure break on the lower timeframes(1m,5m or 15m)
Long
by FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla
EUR/CHF Bearish Sentiment with Key LevelsMarket Sentiment: The EUR/CHF currency pair remains in a bearish trend, with the broader price action reflecting sustained downside momentum. The key level to watch is 0.9420, which previously acted as a consolidation zone and now serves as a pivotal resistance level. Bearish Scenario: If EUR/CHF remains below 0.9420 and faces rejection, the downtrend is likely to resume. A failure to break higher could lead to a continuation of the bearish move, with downside targets at: 0.9336 – Initial support, where short-term buyers may attempt to stabilize the price. 0.9300 – A stronger support level, signaling further weakness if breached. 0.9280 – A critical longer-term support zone, where a deeper bearish extension may unfold. Bullish Scenario: A decisive breakout above 0.9420, confirmed by a daily close above this level, could invalidate the bearish bias. In this case, upside targets include: 0.9454 – The next resistance level, where some selling pressure may re-emerge. 0.9472 – A stronger resistance zone that could cap further gains unless a sustained bullish trend develops. Conclusion: The 0.9420 level remains the key pivot point. A failure to break above it would reinforce the bearish trend, targeting further downside levels. Conversely, a confirmed breakout above this resistance could shift sentiment, opening the door for a bullish recovery. Traders should closely watch price action around this level for directional confirmation. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURCHF → Bears increase pressure to lower the priceFX:EURCHF breaks trend support and overall bullish structure. The rising dollar is putting negative pressure on the forex markets The fundamental background for the Eurozone is extremely negative due to Trump's policy and the US in general, especially when it comes to the tariff war. The dollar is strengthening, which generally creates a negative background for the markets. Technically, after breaking the support of the uptrend, the bears are confirming their dominance by keeping the price in the selling zone. Resistance levels: 0.93807, 0.94179 Support levels: 0.93299, 0.92945 A retest of the reversal zone 0.9400 is possible, but at the moment we can focus our attention on 0.93800. Consolidation of the price under this level will provoke further sell-offs. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
EURCHF LONG IDEA AND POTENTIAL FOR Q2 2025Despite the current bearish momentum observed in the EUR/CHF currency pair, I believe it's crucial that the price does not trade below the level of 0.92863 before we see a potential bullish reversal. A sustained move above this threshold could signal the beginning of a bullish trend with the potential to breach the three-month buy stop range or the open float positioned around the 0.95177 level. Therefore, I will be closely monitoring the market developments, particularly as we approach Q2 of this year. I'm optimistic about identifying a significant trading opportunity during this period, as it could allow for a well-structured entry point for a long position, paving the way for a robust upward momentum.
Long
by LEGACYTECHNICAL
EUR/CHF Short Trade Analysis – February 28, 2025EUR/CHF Short Trade Analysis – February 28, 2025 Entry: 0.9375Target 1: 0.9320Target 2: 0.9275Stop Loss: 0.9410 Technical Analysis: EUR/CHF is currently facing resistance around the 0.9380-0.9400 zone, where price has previously struggled to break higher. The pair is trading below key moving averages on the daily and H4 charts, indicating a bearish trend continuation. Resistance Zone: The 0.9375-0.9400 area has acted as a supply zone multiple times, making it an ideal entry point for shorts. Moving Averages: Price is hovering below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming a bearish bias. Bearish Structure: Lower highs and lower lows have formed on the H4 timeframe, strengthening the short setup. RSI & MACD: The RSI is near 55 and turning downward, while the MACD is showing bearish divergence, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Fundamental Analysis: The Swiss Franc remains strong due to safe-haven demand, while the Euro is under pressure from uncertain economic data in the Eurozone. Recent SNB policies have also favored CHF strength, making further downside likely for EUR/CHF. Trade Plan: Selling at 0.9375 with stops above 0.9410 to protect against a breakout. First target at 0.9320 (previous support level), and second target at 0.9275 for a more extended move. The Main Trend is downward Conclusion: The technical and fundamental setup supports a short position on EUR/CHF from 0.9375. As long as price remains below the 0.9400 resistance zone, downside pressure is expected. Traders should monitor Swiss economic data and ECB sentiment for additional confirmation. Trade responsibly. Risk management is key.
Short
by justforfreelauncing