bear the bund fgbl1! interest rates euribor #smashdown you just do the same that do the elite #rothschild and #rockefeller owners of #blackrock #vanguard
FGBL1! trade ideas
BUND - is the bottom in?Five waves off the bottom could signal the end of the sell off in German 10Y bonds. Now we need to see an a-b-c correction to confirm that the bottom is in.
Elliott Wave Analysis: German Bund Is Trading At SupportHello traders and investors!
Today we will talk about German Bund, where we see very interesting support level after recent bond market crash.
As you can see, bonds are sharply down and if we take a look at German Bund monthly chart, from Elliott Wave perspective, we can still see a corrective decline within higher degree wave (IV).
From technical perspective, ideal support would be here at the former wave IV, 38,2% Fibo. retracement, base channel upper line and the 155 - 150 area.
So, be aware of limited decline and watch out for bounce and new rally within higher degree wave (V) soon.
Trade well!
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Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
FGBL1! Still In DowntrendHello ladies and gentlemen, according to my graphical analysis Of The EURO BUND FUTURES, there is a high probability of drop to the 157.59 level in the coming weeks.
Major top on the bund measures to 155.37After one of the most hawkish meetings in quite a long time from the ECB where they outlined a faster pace of taper and dropped their language regarding rate cuts, we thought that we would take another look at the Bund chart.
We are taking a look at the long-term Monthly chart of the Bund continuation contract and we can clearly identify a top on the chart (looks more like a descending triangle to my discerning eye). Chart patterns are fantastic, when you identify them properly of course!! For a valid top pattern this should appear at the end of a protracted bull market.
They offer a long-term downside target (you use the width of the top to measure lower), this offers a downside measured target to 155.37 (the top extends from 167.52 to 179.67) and this coincides quite well with the 156.22 2018 low. Please note that this is the MINIMUM downside target.
I also use the duration of patterns to give me some idea of time frame for when that downside target is likely to get hit. The top built from August 2019 to February 2022 i.e 2 ½ years, and targets are usually met in half that time – say 15 months.
Mind you I have noticed over the years that the targets from tops tend to get hit faster, so I think under 12 months.
We have two meetings next week - the Fed and the BOE and both are expected to raise interest rates by 25 bps, and with inflation where it is, further weakness looks likely.
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Bund approaching much tougher resistanceAs traders unsurprisingly head to safe havens, one of the biggest movers has been the bond market, which has seen a vicious rally higher. I am having a look at the bond market this morning. How far will this rally go? This is a tough call to make but given the overhead band of resistance, which the market has reached, my suspicion is that we should at least see a pause here.
So, what makes a ‘tough’ area of resistance on a chart? This happens when a number of chart factors converge in the same area – so for the Bund March contract market this morning (N.B. this is about to expire) we have 2 double Fibos at 170.90/96 (61.8% retracement of the move seen this year and the 50% retracement of the move down from August 2021. Directly above here lies the 200-day ma at 171.66 AND another double Fib oar 172.52/69 (the 78.6% retracement of the move seen this year and the 61.8% retracement of the move down from August). In addition, we have a whole host of resistance coming in from price – previous highs and lows. We also have the 55-week ma coming in at 171.54.
MY point is – there is a LOT of resistance in this band, and you may like to tighten up stops if you are in it!
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
EURO BUND FUTURESVery strong, sharp reflexes. We can penetrate the strong dent and climb strongly up to the previous point of resistance.
#fgbl1 bono alemán german bundGerman bund u just tear down. BCE is ripping it off. Market is rigged.
EURO BUND FUTURESThe arrow is moving very strongly today, and it's possible to see very strong slow motion.
Central Banks and the BundThis week we have to contend with a whole flurry of central bank meetings - BOE, Fed and ECB...these tend to lead to quite stagnant markets beforehand and a flurry of excitement afterwards. Having a quick glance around the markets, the Bund has caught my eye this morning.
Why the interest? Well from a longer term perspective we are convinced that a major top is being built, but here we are in mid-December having seen a 6-week bull run that has triggered a 5 big figure rally. So where does that leave the chart now?
Well firstly it is important to note that even though we have seen an aggressive rally, it is viewed as corrective only and is failing just ahead of the 78.6% Fibonacci correction at 175.55. Secondly last week we saw a fairly decent key day reversal BUT this did not break the uptrend....at 173.51... So how do we trade this?
While we are still in an upmove, it is seen as now unstable (the key day reversal) and the failure at the 78.6% retracement is more than worrying. If holding longs in this I would tighten up those stops and start looking into selling into strength....would seem to be a reasonable strategy.
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Double Bottom in German Bunds, Expected Rally to 171.2Trend Analysis
The main view of this trade idea is on the 15-Min Chart. German Bunds (FGBL1!) formed a double bottom or W chart pattern setup after testing 169.60 support and break above 170.3 resistance. Expectations are for the uptrend to continue, with the completion of the setup being around the 171.20 price level. Failure of the setup will be observed if FGBL1! were to decline below the long term moving average, taking the price to 169.80.
Technical Indicators
During the course of the double bottom setup, the respective short (50-MA), medium (100-MA) and long (200-MA) fractal moving averages had positive crossovers. Currently the price is trading above the respective MAs. Other technical indicators are also displaying bullish signs. The RSI is trading above 50 while the KST recently had a positive crossover.
Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 169.80 and a target of 171.2. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 1.37.
Disclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes. Currently I have a position in FGBL1!.
Long Position FGBL1.The market is giving a signal to buy right now, I advise buying for now depending on market indicators.
EURO BUND- Higher Yields Fueled by Inflation 💶There is a broad consensus out there for higher Bund yields, and we agree.
Euro zone bond yields ticked up again last week as inflation expectations rise.
Our updated chart shows that from a TA point of view we will need to break over the resistance at 173 and aim higher.
If this resistance is not breached over, we could experience a significant drop in the price of the euro.
ps. As the rate of one currency increases relative to another, investors are attracted to the higher yielding currency. Additionally, the cost of owning the lower yielding currency increase as the bond yield differential moves in favor of the currency that is sold. On our previous idea we are looking at a short on EURUSD .
Let it be no confusion:
Both EURBUND can rise and eurusd can drop at the same time, as eurusd is the euro in comparison to the US Dollar.
the FXPROFESSOR
dont fear to buy nowwe predict eurobond will see fibo 61% soon
dax index touch 15000 now and must back to 14000
Keep on selling bonds when the market opensWaiting for German Bund Future and 30 Year Bonds trade at (prior) POC then entering short postions with a trailing stop above the hourly and daily bar.
