EURGBP.P trade ideas
EURGBPAll major releases from the UK in the last fortnight were at least slightly surprising, with inflation and GDP unexpectedly declining slightly. At the same time, the claimant count change was much better than the consensus. Sentiment remains weak, though, with traders concerned about British public borrowing. This article summarizes recent important news from the UK, then looks briefly at the charts of GBPUSD and EURGBP
EURGBP Flashes Two Bearish Technical Signals Ahead of LagardeEURGBP is giving negative technical signals ahead of the Lagarde's press conferance. After Trump announced new tariffs, the euro surprisingly gained against the pound. The U.S. imposed tariffs twice as large on the EU compared to the UK, with a minimum of 10% on UK goods. Despite this, the pound weakened more than expected. However, this move might prove to be temporary.
The real focus of ECB will be on the outlook. Recent economic data, combined with the added pressure from tariffs, may push the ECB toward further rate cuts later this year.
President Lagarde has been cautious for some time, offering few forward-looking signals. Today, markets will be closely watching for any hint of future easing. If Lagarde sounds more dovish than expected, the euro could come under renewed bearish pressure.
EURGBP has been forming a head and shoulders-like pattern since the start of last week. It may currently be developing the second shoulder, depending on how the price moves today.
A combination of 8–13 hour moving average crosses and RMI sell signals on the 60-minute chart has successfully captured all local tops since April 7. These same signals have appeared again today. If they prove accurate once more, the 0.8525 support level will be key. This level represents the neckline of the potential head and shoulders pattern.
However, if EURGBP moves above 0.8620, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
EURGBP INTRADAY awaits ECB Rate DecisionEUR/GBP maintains a bullish bias, supported by the prevailing upward trend. Recent intraday movement indicates a corrective pullback toward a key consolidation zone, offering a potential setup for trend continuation.
Key Support Level: 0.8525 – previous consolidation range and pivotal support
Upside Targets:
0.8736 – initial resistance
0.8787 and 0.8900 – extended bullish targets on higher timeframes
A bullish reversal from 0.8525 would suggest continuation of the uptrend, confirming buying momentum.
However, a decisive break and daily close below 0.8525 would invalidate the bullish structure, opening the door for further retracement toward 0.8460, with additional support at 0.8370 and 0.8300.
Conclusion
EUR/GBP remains bullish above 0.8525. A bounce from this level supports further gains. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
“ EUR/GBP Buy Setup – Demand Zone to the Moon? ”Key Zones & Levels
🟦 Demand Zone:
Between 0.85555 – 0.85200
Buyers previously pushed price up here — now acting as a strong support base!
🎯 Target Point:
0.87406
Potential upside of +179 pips / +2.09%
🟢 Entry Point:
Around 0.85555, just above the demand zone
Ideal spot for a Buy Entry if confirmation shows.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Set at 0.85200
Smart risk protection below the zone.
Indicators
📉 Downtrend Line:
A break above this could signal the start of a bullish Reversal.
📈 EMA (7-period):
Currently around 0.85796
Reclaiming above this line strengthens the buy signal.
Trade Plan Summary
✅ Buy on bounce from demand zone
🔓 Breakout of the trend line = confirmation
🎯 TP: 0.87406
🛡️ SL: 0.85200
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Excellent (about 1:6)
Final Thoughts
Wait for bullish candles near the entry point
Watch fundamentals too — EUR & GBP news could impact direction
Stay alert for false breakouts below the demand zone
Triangle Breakout Alert – EUR/GBP Ready to Fly!Hi traders! Analyzing EUR/GBP on the 30M timeframe, spotting a potential bullish breakout from a triangle pattern inside a broader downtrend:
🔹 Entry: 0.86008
🔹 Take Profit (TP): 0.86423
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 0.85547
Price was consolidating inside a descending channel and recently formed a symmetrical triangle pattern. After multiple touches at both trendlines, bullish momentum broke the triangle to the upside, suggesting a possible short-term reversal or corrective move against the prevailing downtrend.
The breakout is supported by a clean candle close above the triangle resistance and a potential retest of the breakout zone. RSI is turning up from the oversold area, signaling a shift in momentum.
If bulls maintain control, we could see a push toward the upper limit of the channel or even a full retracement to 0.86423, where previous structure aligns with dynamic resistance.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader must evaluate their own risk and strategy.
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25
Good day Traders!
Take a look at this potential short setup on EURGBP!
It has indeed been a slow week, perhaps we can capitalise on some price action to gain Fun coupons on Friday ! Price action currently sat in the higher time frame order block. For us that means our directional bias is against current trends however, as always if we see shifts and signs in that bullish pressure. Our management skills come into play.
We are currently forecasting a rejection form the weekly order block that was created Christmas week of 2023 of which shifted price action below 0.86607 until now.
Let's see if we price will come to us in a way of bearish price action.
More info on this setup later.
FRGNT X
The Day Ahead Key Economic Data
US:
March CPI – Major inflation gauge, key for rate expectations
Initial Jobless Claims – Labor market health
Federal Budget Balance – Fiscal position
China:
March CPI & PPI – Inflation trends, key for global commodities
UK:
March RICS House Price Balance – Real estate sentiment
Japan:
March PPI & Bank Lending – Inflation and credit growth
Italy:
Feb Industrial Production – Eurozone manufacturing read
Canada:
Feb Building Permits – Construction and housing activity
Nordics:
CPI (Denmark, Norway), Sweden GDP Indicator – Regional inflation and growth check
Central Bank Speakers
Fed: Logan, Goolsbee, Harker – Potential rate path signals
BoE: Breeden – Insight into UK monetary policy stance
Earnings
Tesco, CarMax, Fast Retailing – Retail sector insights
Auctions
US 30-Year Bond Auction – Watch for demand/sentiment on long-term rates
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURGBP Wave Analysis – 9 April 2025- EURGBP broke the resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.8700
EURGBP currency pair recently broke through the long-term resistance zone located between the resistance levels 0.8625 (multi-month high from last August) and 0.8645 (strong resistance from April of 2024).
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the c-wave of the active weekly upward ABC correction 4 from the end of September.
Given the strongly bearish sterling sentiment seen recently, EURGBP currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.8700 (earlier resistance from December of 2023).
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 D9 W15 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 D9 W15 Y25
Welcome back Traders! Here's my take.
We have two points of interest here. As always you know how we look into every play. It is imperative we have a turn around of price action prior getting involved even more so when the point of interest is not an order block.
My reasoning behind selection of the weekly/daily highs is simply due to how it aligns with market structure. IF we break the most recent Asia lows from that point of interest followed by a pull back into an order block that would have been created and left behind as a result. The short position will be entertained.
With the above said, in reflection I am already having second thoughts but feel free ti dive into the way I chart and analysis. Would I risk capital from simply a high? It does not seem "smart".
The above is scrapped and we must wait for price action to enter into the daily order block. Let us await a reaction from the area and again, show signs of a turn around. Await for 1'/5' break of structure and lower time frame order block creation.
THEN! We arm our capital and take the short position for what I can foresee will be a worthwhile risk to reward.
Trade well!
FRGNT X