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Scholz and Macron: Europe, arms for Ukraine Recently, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and French President Emmanuel Macron reiterated their commitment to providing military aid to Ukraine. This decision comes at a crucial time, with the conflict continuing to profoundly affect the global economy and geopolitics. ### Implications for the war and Europe Scholz and Macron's choice to continue with military supplies underscores Europe's determination to support Ukraine against Russian aggression. However, this stance could escalate tensions with Moscow, which has already expressed its displeasure. The war in Ukraine has already had a significant impact on the European economy, with energy prices rising and supply chains disrupted. Continuing to supply weapons could prolong the conflict, but could also strengthen Europe's position as a key player in defending democratic values. ### Impact on Forex The news has significant implications for the Forex market. Several currency pairs could be significantly affected: - **EUR/USD**: The euro could come under pressure due to economic uncertainties and Europe's exposure to the conflict. On the other hand, the US dollar could strengthen due to its safe-haven status. - **USD/RUB**: The Russian ruble could see further depreciation due to geopolitical tensions and potential new Western sanctions against Russia. - **EUR/GBP**: The euro-sterling relationship could be affected, with the euro under pressure and the pound showing relative stability, as the UK is less directly exposed to the conflict. - **USD/CHF**: The Swiss franc, traditionally considered a safe-haven asset, could also strengthen against the US dollar in the event of further escalations. - **AUD/USD and CAD/USD**: Commodity currencies such as the Australian and Canadian dollars could see increased volatility, as natural resource markets remain affected by the conflict. ### Conclusion Scholz and Macron’s decision to continue supplying weapons to Kiev is a strong signal of European solidarity, but it brings with it significant challenges. Forex investors should carefully monitor the listed currency pairs and geopolitical developments, as volatility could offer opportunities, but also risks.
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Engulfing Candles: The Power ShiftIf there’s one candle pattern that represents an immediate shift in balance between buyers and sellers it is the engulfing candle. Today we take a deep dive into some of the key nuances of this pattern and explain how context and confirmation are essential elements to making this pattern a useful tool in your trading toolkit. Understanding the Engulfing Pattern The Engulfing candle pattern occurs when a single candlestick completely engulfs the body of the previous candle. In a bullish engulfing, a large bullish candle fully covers the smaller previous bearish candle, while in a bearish engulfing, a large bearish candle engulfs the previous bullish one. Within the space of a signal candle, the market has completely erased the previous candles price action and sometimes multiple prior candles price actions. This step change in momentum, is why it is often known as the ‘power shift pattern’ – when it is identified correctly can represent a key inflection point. Bullish Engulfing: A bullish engulfing suggests that after a period of selling, buying pressure has taken over, overpowering the bears in one strong move. This may indicate a potential reversal, from a bearish trend to a bullish one. Bearish Engulfing: A bearish engulfing indicates that after a period of buying, selling pressure has overwhelmed the bulls. This could signal a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend. Example: Nvidia Daily Candle Chart In this example, we see bullish and bearish engulfing candles form at the parameters of a range that formed on Nvidia’s daily candle chart. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results The Importance of Location and Context Like any chart pattern, the Engulfing candle is most effective when it occurs in the right context. Its location is crucial to its reliability. Trading the pattern within a range or consolidation zone can be misleading, as there may not be a clear prevailing trend for the pattern to reverse. For a bullish engulfing to be meaningful, it should ideally appear near a key support level, where buyers are likely to step in. In contrast, a bearish engulfing is more reliable when it appears near a key resistance level, where selling pressure may be about to take control. In short, location is everything. An engulfing pattern at a support or resistance level holds more weight than one formed in the middle of a range or without a clear market direction. Example: USD/CAD Daily Candle Chart In this example, we see small bearish engulfing candles form within a consolidation range. These are not significant signals as the location and context is sub-optimal. We then see a large engulfing candle form at the parameter of resistance – creating a clear bearish signal. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Confirmation: The Next Candle is Key A major element to watch for with the Engulfing candle is confirmation. The next candle after the engulfing one should trade in the direction of the engulfing candle. For a bullish engulfing, the next candle should ideally close above the high of the engulfing candle. This confirms that the buying momentum is likely to continue. For a bearish engulfing, the next candle should ideally close below the low of the engulfing candle. This suggests that selling pressure is likely to persist. Without this confirmation, the pattern can be less reliable, and the initial move may not hold. The following candle helps validate whether the momentum shift is real or just a short-term fluctuation. Stop Placement Stop placement is a crucial aspect of trading the Engulfing pattern. Stops should generally be positioned just beyond the high or low of the engulfing candle, depending on the direction of the trade. For a bullish engulfing, place the stop below the low of the engulfing candle to allow for some movement without being stopped out prematurely. For a bearish engulfing, place the stop above the high of the engulfing candle to protect against any potential reversal or false breakouts. Placing stops in these locations helps manage risk while giving the trade enough room to develop, without exposing the position to unnecessary losses. The Engulfing Pattern Across Timeframes One of the advantages of the Engulfing candle is its versatility. It can be used effectively on any timeframe, from short-term intraday charts to long-term daily or weekly charts. On shorter timeframes, the Engulfing pattern may act as a signal for intraday trades, indicating a quick shift in momentum. On longer timeframes, the pattern could signal a larger, more sustained trend change, suggesting a longer-term move in the market. Regardless of the timeframe, the Engulfing candle remains an important pattern because it highlights a significant change in market sentiment, whether on a micro or macro scale. Final Thoughts The Engulfing candle is an effective pattern for identifying a shift in market momentum, either from bullish to bearish or vice versa. However, its effectiveness is heavily influenced by location and confirmation. When the pattern forms at a key support or resistance level and is followed by confirmation from the next candle, it can offer valuable insight into where the market may be headed. By combining these elements with good stop placement, traders can better manage risk and increase the reliability of the signals this pattern provides. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Education
by Capitalcom
1
EUR/USD Trend in US Session Today🔔🔔🔔 EUR/GBP news: 👉The EUR/GBP pair remains stable after gaining in the previous session, trading around 0.8420 during Asian market hours on Wednesday. The Euro (EUR) strengthens as demand for increased deficit spending grew among the Eurozone’s largest economies. In Germany, key political parties—including the CDU/CSU bloc, SPD, and Greens—approved a landmark €500 billion spending plan for defense and infrastructure, leading to a substantial rise in national debt. 👉Additionally, the Euro may receive further support from improved risk sentiment, driven by optimism over a potential ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. On Tuesday, US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed to an immediate halt to strikes on energy infrastructure. However, Putin declined to approve a wider, month-long ceasefire negotiated between Trump’s team and Ukrainian officials in Saudi Arabia. Personal opinion: 👉EUR/GBP will maintain its upward momentum in the near future due to the impact of good news supporting EUR. 👉RSI (2H) is currently below the buy zone and there is no sign of reversal, this is a retest of the trend line and the support zone of 0.8380. So consider this area to be able to buy at a good price for you Analysis: 👉Based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with the trend line to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell EUR/GBP 0.8370 - 0.8385 ❌SL: 0.8345 | ✅TP: 0.8410 - 0.8450 - 0.8480 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Bearish reversal?EUR/GBP is rising towards the pivot and could reveres to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.8401 1st Support: 0.8356 1st Resistance: 0.8444 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EURGBP Bearish Continuation Setup Potential Drop to Key Support📌 Overview: The EUR/GBP pair is showing signs of bearish continuation after failing to break above key resistance levels. Price action indicates a potential downward move towards a major support zone, aligning with the overall market structure. 🔎 Technical Analysis: The pair has formed a lower high, indicating weakness in bullish momentum. A breakdown from the recent consolidation zone suggests sellers are in control. Price has breached a key support level, turning it into a resistance zone. The market structure indicates a potential drop towards 0.82773, which aligns with a previous support area. 📊 Key Price Levels: ✔ Resistance: 0.84000 - 0.84200 (previous support turned resistance) ✔ Current Price: 0.83876 ✔ Target: 0.82773 (major support and liquidity zone) ✔ Stop Loss: Above 0.84000, invalidating the bearish setup 📉 Trade Plan & Execution: 🔹 Entry Strategy: Traders can look for a retest of broken support (now resistance) near 0.84000 to confirm selling pressure. A bearish rejection candle (such as a shooting star, bearish engulfing, or pin bar) could confirm the continuation of the downward trend. 🔹 Profit Target: The primary target is 0.82773, which acts as a strong demand zone from previous price action. 🔹 Risk Management: A stop loss should be placed above 0.84000, as a break above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. Maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (1:2 or better) is advisable for optimal trade execution. 📢 Market Outlook & Considerations: ✅ Bearish Confirmation: Sustained rejection from resistance and lower highs strengthen the bearish outlook towards 0.82773. 🚨 Bullish Reversal Risk: A break above 0.84000 could invalidate the setup, signaling a potential return to bullish momentum. 📊 Fundamental Factors: Keep an eye on GBP and EUR-related economic data, central bank policies, and risk sentiment, which could impact price movements.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
The EUR/GBP pair is experiencing a bearish trend, with the Euro * Currency Pair: EUR/GBP (Euro versus British Pound) * Timeframe: 1D (Daily Chart), meaning each candlestick represents one day's trading activity. * Current Price: 0.83936 * Change: -0.00232 (-0.28%), indicating a decrease in the value of the Euro against the Pound. * Buy/Sell Indicators: * Buy: 0.83941 * Sell: 0.83929 * Price Levels: Several horizontal lines are drawn on the chart, indicating key price levels: * 0.89000 * 0.88000 * 0.87000 * 0.86000 * 0.84496 (appears multiple times, suggesting a significant level) * 0.83936 (current price) * 0.83000 * 0.82422 (appears multiple times, suggesting a significant level) * 0.81000 * Trend: The chart appears to show a general downtrend, with the price moving from the higher levels in 2022 towards the lower levels in 2024. * Timeline: The timeline at the bottom shows the years 2022 to 2025, with July marked for each year. This helps to visualize the long-term trend of the EUR/GBP pair. * Platform: The bottom of the image shows the trading platform interface with various icons, likely for technical analysis tools, chart settings, and other functions. * Candlestick Patterns: The chart uses candlestick patterns to represent price movements. These patterns can provide insights into market sentiment and potential future price movements. * Volume: The "v 2" on the left side might refer to a volume indicator, showing the trading volume for the currency pair. * "Gro/British Pound" text in the middle of the chart is likely an artifact or a label that was not fully removed or a label that is not fully clear. General Observations: * The EUR/GBP pair is experiencing a bearish trend, with the Euro weakening against the Pound. * The price levels marked on the chart likely represent support and resistance levels, which traders use to identify potential entry and exit points. * The multiple occurrences of the 0.84496 and 0.82422 levels suggest that these are significant areas of price action.
Long
by alaisattakarn
EUR/GBP Bearish Trading Setup | Resistance Rejection & BreakdownMarket Context & Overview The EUR/GBP currency pair is currently showing signs of bearish momentum, as illustrated in this 1-hour trading chart. The price is facing a strong resistance zone while forming a descending trendline, indicating that sellers are gaining control over the market. Given this technical setup, traders can anticipate a potential breakdown leading to further downside movement. This analysis highlights key price levels, technical indicators, and potential trade opportunities based on current price action. The bearish outlook is supported by the market structure, which is displaying signs of a potential trend reversal from the resistance zone. 🔹 Key Technical Levels 1️⃣ Resistance Zone (0.84200 - 0.84300) This area has acted as a strong selling zone in previous price action. Multiple rejection points indicate that buyers are struggling to push beyond this level. This resistance aligns with the descending trendline, further strengthening the bearish bias. 2️⃣ Support Level (0.84000) The current support level has provided temporary demand, preventing immediate downside movement. If the price breaks below this support, it will confirm a bearish continuation. 3️⃣ Major Resistance Zone (0.84495) This is the all-time high resistance zone in the short-term structure. A break above this level would invalidate the bearish setup and could lead to bullish momentum. 4️⃣ Target Level (0.83735) If the price successfully breaks below 0.84000, the next target would be 0.83735. This level aligns with previous swing lows, making it a realistic downside target for short positions. 5️⃣ Stop Loss Placement (Above 0.84201) A stop-loss above 0.84201 ensures protection against false breakouts. If price breaks above this level, it could signal a shift in market structure. 🔹 Technical Insights & Market Sentiment 1️⃣ Descending Trendline: The price is respecting a descending trendline, indicating a bearish bias. 2️⃣ Multiple Resistance Rejections: Price has tested the resistance zone multiple times without breaking through. 3️⃣ Bearish Price Action: The recent candles show lower highs, reinforcing the downtrend. 4️⃣ Volume Analysis: A drop in buying pressure at resistance signals potential weakness among buyers. 5️⃣ Fundamental Factors : GBP strength due to macroeconomic factors could add further pressure on EUR/GBP. 🔹 Trade Plan & Strategy 📌 Entry Criteria Ideal entry near 0.84150 - 0.84200 if price shows rejection at resistance. Alternatively, enter after a confirmed breakdown below 0.84000 for safer confirmation. 🎯 Profit Target First target: 0.83735 If bearish momentum continues, price could extend towards 0.83600 as an extended target. 🛑 Stop Loss Placement Above 0.84201 to minimize risk. This ensures the trade remains valid while avoiding market noise. 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Management ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approximately 2:1, making this a favorable setup. ✅ Trade Management: If price starts reversing before hitting the target, consider trailing stop-loss to secure profits. If price consolidates around support, watch for breakout confirmations before entering. 🔹 Final Thoughts & Market Sentiment This trading setup suggests a strong bearish opportunity based on price action, resistance rejection, and trendline confluence. The break below 0.84000 will be the key trigger for further downside movement. If price remains below resistance, a sell position with a stop-loss above 0.84201 and a target of 0.83735 offers a high-probability trade setup.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP Bullish Breakout Setup Ahead of London OpenEUR/GBP is showing strong bullish momentum, with the euro gaining strength over the pound. The weakening GBP against EUR suggests the possibility of a range breakout on the upper channel, especially as the London session opens. The daily timeframe signals a classic breakout-pullback-continuation pattern, reinforcing the bullish outlook. If buyers sustain momentum, we could see an upward extension, confirming the breakout structure. Traders should watch key resistance levels for confirmation and potential entry opportunities.
Long
by AfaqKhan111
EUR/GBP 1H Chart Analysis1. Market Structure The chart shows a breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern, which signals potential bullish continuation. Price was previously consolidating inside the triangle, and now it has broken above the resistance trendline. The breakout suggests a bullish move towards the next resistance level. 2. Key Levels Support Zone (~0.8396 - 0.8411): Marked in red, indicating a strong demand area where price found support before the breakout. Entry Zone (~0.8415 - 0.8420): Price has recently broken out and is retesting the breakout area. Target (~0.8448 - 0.8450): Marked at the previous swing high, serving as the next resistance level. 3. Bullish Setup Confirmation The trade setup suggests a long (buy) position with: Entry at the breakout retest (~0.8415 - 0.8420) Stop-loss below the support zone (~0.8396) Take-profit at 0.8448 - 0.8450 resistance zone The trade shows a favorable Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) > 2:1. 4. Trading Strategy If Price Holds Above 0.8410 → Look for bullish confirmation to enter a long trade. If Price Breaks Below 0.8396 → Invalidates bullish setup, consider exiting. If Price Rallies Toward 0.8448 - 0.8450 → Take profit or trail stop-loss to secure gains. 5. Additional Confirmation Factors EMA 50: Price is above the 50 EMA, which supports the bullish bias. Breakout Retest: The price is currently testing the previous resistance, now acting as support. Conclusion Primary Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: 0.8415 - 0.8420 Stop Loss: Below 0.8396 Take Profit: Around 0.8448 - 0.8450 Trade Confirmation: Look for bullish candles or rejections at support
Long
by aziezieam
EUR/GBP Bullish Flag (18.3.25)The EUR/GBP pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.8433 2nd Resistance – 0.8448 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
12
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis - 4H Chart 📌 Pair: EUR/GBP 📈 Current Price: 0.84092 Key Levels: 🔹 Support Zone: 0.83766 - A key area where price has previously bounced. 🔹 Resistance Zone: 0.84400 - A strong resistance level where price has faced rejection. 🔹 Target Level: 0.85004 - Potential bullish target if price breaks above resistance. Market Structure & Trade Idea: EUR/GBP has shown strong bullish momentum, breaking above the support zone (0.83766). Currently, price is testing the resistance level. A slight pullback toward support could provide a new buying opportunity. A break above resistance would confirm bullish continuation toward 0.85004. Trading Plan: ✅ Bullish Scenario: Wait for a pullback to 0.83766 before entering long, targeting 0.85004. ✅ Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below 0.83766, a deeper retracement to 0.82652 may follow. 🔍 Watch for: Breakout confirmation above resistance. Strong rejection from support before entering a trade.
Long
by ForexOptimizer
EURGBP INTRADAY OutlookBullish Scenario: The EURGBP pair maintains a bullish intraday sentiment, supported by the longer-term uptrend. The key level to watch is 0.8420, which acts as a critical resistance zone. If the price rallies above 0.8420, the uptrend could resume, targeting 0.8440, with further resistance levels at 0.8460 and 0.8500 over the longer timeframe. Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break below 0.8380, especially with a daily close beneath this level, would invalidate the bullish outlook. This could lead to further downside movement, with immediate support at 0.8360, followed by 0.8340 and 0.8327, signaling a deeper corrective pullback. Conclusion: The overall intraday trend remains bullish, with 0.8420 as the key pivot level. Holding above this support reinforces the upside potential, while a confirmed breakdown below it could shift momentum toward a deeper retracement. Traders should monitor price action around this critical level for confirmation of the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation