EUR/GBP Technical Analysis – Triangle Breakdown & Bearish MoveChart Overview
This EUR/GBP 1-hour chart highlights a symmetrical triangle pattern that has recently broken to the downside, signaling a potential bearish move. The chart includes key technical levels such as resistance, support, trendlines, and a projected price target. Let’s analyze each component in detail.
1. Formation of a Symmetrical Triangle
A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern, meaning it typically precedes a breakout in the direction of the prevailing trend. In this case:
The pair initially rallied sharply, forming a strong uptrend.
A consolidation phase followed, where price started forming lower highs and higher lows, creating a contracting triangle.
The triangle’s resistance and support levels were tested multiple times, confirming their significance.
Key takeaway: The more times price tests support and resistance without breaking through, the stronger the eventual breakout.
2. Breakdown from the Triangle – Bearish Signal
The price broke below the support level, triggering a breakdown from the symmetrical triangle.
This breakdown was accompanied by a strong bearish candlestick, indicating a decisive move to the downside.
The previous support is now acting as resistance, meaning any pullback to this zone could provide a shorting opportunity.
Why is this important?
A breakdown from a triangle often results in a sharp directional move, especially if it aligns with the broader market trend.
3. Trendline Analysis – Uptrend Reversal
The rising trendline that supported the price action has been broken, further confirming trend exhaustion and a shift to bearish momentum.
Before the breakdown, the price had been respecting the trendline as support.
After the breakdown, the trendline is invalidated, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Technical Insight:
Trendlines act as dynamic support/resistance, and once broken, they often lead to strong directional movements.
4. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Level (Former Support Zone):
This level was previously a strong demand zone where buyers stepped in.
Now that price has fallen below it, this area could act as a resistance if price retests it.
Traders should watch for bearish rejections or reversal patterns (such as shooting stars or bearish engulfing candlesticks) before entering short positions.
Support Level & Bearish Target (0.829):
The chart highlights 0.829 as the next significant support area.
This level aligns with historical price action and provides a logical take-profit zone for short traders.
5. Expected Price Action – Bearish Continuation Scenario
Given the breakdown from the triangle, the expected movement is as follows:
A short-term pullback to the broken support (now resistance).
Rejection from this zone, leading to further downside momentum.
Price reaching the projected target near 0.829, where traders may look to take profits or reassess market conditions.
6. Trading Strategy & Risk Management
✅ Bearish Trade Setup
Entry: On a pullback to the broken support level (preferably with bearish confirmation signals).
Stop-Loss: Above the previous resistance level to avoid false breakouts.
Take-Profit: Around the 0.829 target or lower if momentum continues.
⚠ Risk Considerations
If price closes back above the broken support, it may indicate a false breakout, invalidating the bearish trade setup.
Fundamental news events (such as central bank decisions or economic data) could impact price movement unexpectedly.
Conclusion – Bearish Outlook with Defined Target
This chart presents a textbook triangle breakdown, reinforcing the bearish bias for EUR/GBP. The structure suggests that price will continue lower toward the 0.829 target, unless invalidated by a strong reversal. Traders should watch for pullbacks and rejection signals before entering short positions.
Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance: 0.835 - 0.837 (Former Support Zone, Now Resistance)
✅ Target: 0.829 (Projected Price Target)
📉 Bias: Bearish
Final Thought
This setup provides a high-probability trade idea for traders looking to capitalize on momentum. As always, implementing proper risk management is crucial to navigate market uncertainties. 🚀
EURGBP trade ideas
EURGBP: Bullish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy EURGBP.
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EURGBP INTRADAY Bearish continuation The EUR/GBP pair continues to exhibit bearish sentiment, reinforced by the prevailing downtrend. The key intraday resistance level is at 0.8420, marking the current swing high.
Bearish Scenario:
An oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at 0.8420, would likely target downside support at 0.8353. A break below this level would open the door for further declines toward 0.8335 and 0.8300 in the longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario:
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above the 0.8420 resistance, accompanied by a daily close above this level, would invalidate the bearish outlook. This would pave the way for further rallies, with the next resistance levels at 0.8450 and 0.8490.
Conclusion:
The prevailing sentiment remains bearish as long as 0.8420 holds as resistance. Traders should watch for rejection at this level to confirm downside momentum. Conversely, a decisive breakout above 0.8420 would signal a potential shift to a bullish bias, targeting higher resistance levels.
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Scholz and Macron: Europe, arms for Ukraine
Recently, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and French President Emmanuel Macron reiterated their commitment to providing military aid to Ukraine. This decision comes at a crucial time, with the conflict continuing to profoundly affect the global economy and geopolitics.
### Implications for the war and Europe
Scholz and Macron's choice to continue with military supplies underscores Europe's determination to support Ukraine against Russian aggression. However, this stance could escalate tensions with Moscow, which has already expressed its displeasure. The war in Ukraine has already had a significant impact on the European economy, with energy prices rising and supply chains disrupted. Continuing to supply weapons could prolong the conflict, but could also strengthen Europe's position as a key player in defending democratic values.
### Impact on Forex
The news has significant implications for the Forex market. Several currency pairs could be significantly affected:
- **EUR/USD**: The euro could come under pressure due to economic uncertainties and Europe's exposure to the conflict. On the other hand, the US dollar could strengthen due to its safe-haven status.
- **USD/RUB**: The Russian ruble could see further depreciation due to geopolitical tensions and potential new Western sanctions against Russia.
- **EUR/GBP**: The euro-sterling relationship could be affected, with the euro under pressure and the pound showing relative stability, as the UK is less directly exposed to the conflict.
- **USD/CHF**: The Swiss franc, traditionally considered a safe-haven asset, could also strengthen against the US dollar in the event of further escalations.
- **AUD/USD and CAD/USD**: Commodity currencies such as the Australian and Canadian dollars could see increased volatility, as natural resource markets remain affected by the conflict.
### Conclusion
Scholz and Macron’s decision to continue supplying weapons to Kiev is a strong signal of European solidarity, but it brings with it significant challenges. Forex investors should carefully monitor the listed currency pairs and geopolitical developments, as volatility could offer opportunities, but also risks.
Sell side taken on EG Bearish bias all through last week and price has seem to deliver after news data yesterday. so for EG i have to say happy weekend lol. We will see what next week offers. For now i am bearish on cadchf based on daily bias. Enjoy your weekend guys. I am incorporating not trading on mondays and fridays. However i have one more trade for the week si eyes on CADCHF and also GBPCAD
EUR/GBP BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 0.841 level area with our long trade on EUR/GBP which is based on the fact that the pair is oversold on the BB band scale and is also approaching a support line below thus going us a good entry option.
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Engulfing Candles: The Power ShiftIf there’s one candle pattern that represents an immediate shift in balance between buyers and sellers it is the engulfing candle.
Today we take a deep dive into some of the key nuances of this pattern and explain how context and confirmation are essential elements to making this pattern a useful tool in your trading toolkit.
Understanding the Engulfing Pattern
The Engulfing candle pattern occurs when a single candlestick completely engulfs the body of the previous candle. In a bullish engulfing, a large bullish candle fully covers the smaller previous bearish candle, while in a bearish engulfing, a large bearish candle engulfs the previous bullish one.
Within the space of a signal candle, the market has completely erased the previous candles price action and sometimes multiple prior candles price actions. This step change in momentum, is why it is often known as the ‘power shift pattern’ – when it is identified correctly can represent a key inflection point.
Bullish Engulfing: A bullish engulfing suggests that after a period of selling, buying pressure has taken over, overpowering the bears in one strong move. This may indicate a potential reversal, from a bearish trend to a bullish one.
Bearish Engulfing: A bearish engulfing indicates that after a period of buying, selling pressure has overwhelmed the bulls. This could signal a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend.
Example: Nvidia Daily Candle Chart
In this example, we see bullish and bearish engulfing candles form at the parameters of a range that formed on Nvidia’s daily candle chart.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
The Importance of Location and Context
Like any chart pattern, the Engulfing candle is most effective when it occurs in the right context. Its location is crucial to its reliability. Trading the pattern within a range or consolidation zone can be misleading, as there may not be a clear prevailing trend for the pattern to reverse.
For a bullish engulfing to be meaningful, it should ideally appear near a key support level, where buyers are likely to step in. In contrast, a bearish engulfing is more reliable when it appears near a key resistance level, where selling pressure may be about to take control.
In short, location is everything. An engulfing pattern at a support or resistance level holds more weight than one formed in the middle of a range or without a clear market direction.
Example: USD/CAD Daily Candle Chart
In this example, we see small bearish engulfing candles form within a consolidation range. These are not significant signals as the location and context is sub-optimal. We then see a large engulfing candle form at the parameter of resistance – creating a clear bearish signal.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Confirmation: The Next Candle is Key
A major element to watch for with the Engulfing candle is confirmation. The next candle after the engulfing one should trade in the direction of the engulfing candle.
For a bullish engulfing, the next candle should ideally close above the high of the engulfing candle. This confirms that the buying momentum is likely to continue.
For a bearish engulfing, the next candle should ideally close below the low of the engulfing candle. This suggests that selling pressure is likely to persist.
Without this confirmation, the pattern can be less reliable, and the initial move may not hold. The following candle helps validate whether the momentum shift is real or just a short-term fluctuation.
Stop Placement
Stop placement is a crucial aspect of trading the Engulfing pattern. Stops should generally be positioned just beyond the high or low of the engulfing candle, depending on the direction of the trade.
For a bullish engulfing, place the stop below the low of the engulfing candle to allow for some movement without being stopped out prematurely.
For a bearish engulfing, place the stop above the high of the engulfing candle to protect against any potential reversal or false breakouts.
Placing stops in these locations helps manage risk while giving the trade enough room to develop, without exposing the position to unnecessary losses.
The Engulfing Pattern Across Timeframes
One of the advantages of the Engulfing candle is its versatility. It can be used effectively on any timeframe, from short-term intraday charts to long-term daily or weekly charts.
On shorter timeframes, the Engulfing pattern may act as a signal for intraday trades, indicating a quick shift in momentum.
On longer timeframes, the pattern could signal a larger, more sustained trend change, suggesting a longer-term move in the market.
Regardless of the timeframe, the Engulfing candle remains an important pattern because it highlights a significant change in market sentiment, whether on a micro or macro scale.
Final Thoughts
The Engulfing candle is an effective pattern for identifying a shift in market momentum, either from bullish to bearish or vice versa. However, its effectiveness is heavily influenced by location and confirmation. When the pattern forms at a key support or resistance level and is followed by confirmation from the next candle, it can offer valuable insight into where the market may be headed. By combining these elements with good stop placement, traders can better manage risk and increase the reliability of the signals this pattern provides.
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Bearish reversal?EUR/GBP is rising towards the pivot and could reveres to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8401
1st Support: 0.8356
1st Resistance: 0.8444
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EUR-GBP Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-GBP is going down
To retest the horizontal
Support of 0.8369 one
More time and as it is
A strong support level
We will be expecting a
Local bullish rebound
And a move up
Buy!
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EURGBP Bearish Continuation Setup Potential Drop to Key Support📌 Overview:
The EUR/GBP pair is showing signs of bearish continuation after failing to break above key resistance levels. Price action indicates a potential downward move towards a major support zone, aligning with the overall market structure.
🔎 Technical Analysis:
The pair has formed a lower high, indicating weakness in bullish momentum.
A breakdown from the recent consolidation zone suggests sellers are in control.
Price has breached a key support level, turning it into a resistance zone.
The market structure indicates a potential drop towards 0.82773, which aligns with a previous support area.
📊 Key Price Levels:
✔ Resistance: 0.84000 - 0.84200 (previous support turned resistance)
✔ Current Price: 0.83876
✔ Target: 0.82773 (major support and liquidity zone)
✔ Stop Loss: Above 0.84000, invalidating the bearish setup
📉 Trade Plan & Execution:
🔹 Entry Strategy:
Traders can look for a retest of broken support (now resistance) near 0.84000 to confirm selling pressure.
A bearish rejection candle (such as a shooting star, bearish engulfing, or pin bar) could confirm the continuation of the downward trend.
🔹 Profit Target:
The primary target is 0.82773, which acts as a strong demand zone from previous price action.
🔹 Risk Management:
A stop loss should be placed above 0.84000, as a break above this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
Maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (1:2 or better) is advisable for optimal trade execution.
📢 Market Outlook & Considerations:
✅ Bearish Confirmation: Sustained rejection from resistance and lower highs strengthen the bearish outlook towards 0.82773.
🚨 Bullish Reversal Risk: A break above 0.84000 could invalidate the setup, signaling a potential return to bullish momentum.
📊 Fundamental Factors: Keep an eye on GBP and EUR-related economic data, central bank policies, and risk sentiment, which could impact price movements.
The EUR/GBP pair is experiencing a bearish trend, with the Euro
* Currency Pair: EUR/GBP (Euro versus British Pound)
* Timeframe: 1D (Daily Chart), meaning each candlestick represents one day's trading activity.
* Current Price: 0.83936
* Change: -0.00232 (-0.28%), indicating a decrease in the value of the Euro against the Pound.
* Buy/Sell Indicators:
* Buy: 0.83941
* Sell: 0.83929
* Price Levels: Several horizontal lines are drawn on the chart, indicating key price levels:
* 0.89000
* 0.88000
* 0.87000
* 0.86000
* 0.84496 (appears multiple times, suggesting a significant level)
* 0.83936 (current price)
* 0.83000
* 0.82422 (appears multiple times, suggesting a significant level)
* 0.81000
* Trend: The chart appears to show a general downtrend, with the price moving from the higher levels in 2022 towards the lower levels in 2024.
* Timeline: The timeline at the bottom shows the years 2022 to 2025, with July marked for each year. This helps to visualize the long-term trend of the EUR/GBP pair.
* Platform: The bottom of the image shows the trading platform interface with various icons, likely for technical analysis tools, chart settings, and other functions.
* Candlestick Patterns: The chart uses candlestick patterns to represent price movements. These patterns can provide insights into market sentiment and potential future price movements.
* Volume: The "v 2" on the left side might refer to a volume indicator, showing the trading volume for the currency pair.
* "Gro/British Pound" text in the middle of the chart is likely an artifact or a label that was not fully removed or a label that is not fully clear.
General Observations:
* The EUR/GBP pair is experiencing a bearish trend, with the Euro weakening against the Pound.
* The price levels marked on the chart likely represent support and resistance levels, which traders use to identify potential entry and exit points.
* The multiple occurrences of the 0.84496 and 0.82422 levels suggest that these are significant areas of price action.
EUR/GBP Bearish Trading Setup | Resistance Rejection & BreakdownMarket Context & Overview
The EUR/GBP currency pair is currently showing signs of bearish momentum, as illustrated in this 1-hour trading chart. The price is facing a strong resistance zone while forming a descending trendline, indicating that sellers are gaining control over the market. Given this technical setup, traders can anticipate a potential breakdown leading to further downside movement.
This analysis highlights key price levels, technical indicators, and potential trade opportunities based on current price action. The bearish outlook is supported by the market structure, which is displaying signs of a potential trend reversal from the resistance zone.
🔹 Key Technical Levels
1️⃣ Resistance Zone (0.84200 - 0.84300)
This area has acted as a strong selling zone in previous price action.
Multiple rejection points indicate that buyers are struggling to push beyond this level.
This resistance aligns with the descending trendline, further strengthening the bearish bias.
2️⃣ Support Level (0.84000)
The current support level has provided temporary demand, preventing immediate downside movement.
If the price breaks below this support, it will confirm a bearish continuation.
3️⃣ Major Resistance Zone (0.84495)
This is the all-time high resistance zone in the short-term structure.
A break above this level would invalidate the bearish setup and could lead to bullish momentum.
4️⃣ Target Level (0.83735)
If the price successfully breaks below 0.84000, the next target would be 0.83735.
This level aligns with previous swing lows, making it a realistic downside target for short positions.
5️⃣ Stop Loss Placement (Above 0.84201)
A stop-loss above 0.84201 ensures protection against false breakouts.
If price breaks above this level, it could signal a shift in market structure.
🔹 Technical Insights & Market Sentiment
1️⃣ Descending Trendline: The price is respecting a descending trendline, indicating a bearish bias.
2️⃣ Multiple Resistance Rejections: Price has tested the resistance zone multiple times without breaking through.
3️⃣ Bearish Price Action: The recent candles show lower highs, reinforcing the downtrend.
4️⃣ Volume Analysis: A drop in buying pressure at resistance signals potential weakness among buyers.
5️⃣ Fundamental Factors : GBP strength due to macroeconomic factors could add further pressure on EUR/GBP.
🔹 Trade Plan & Strategy
📌 Entry Criteria
Ideal entry near 0.84150 - 0.84200 if price shows rejection at resistance.
Alternatively, enter after a confirmed breakdown below 0.84000 for safer confirmation.
🎯 Profit Target
First target: 0.83735
If bearish momentum continues, price could extend towards 0.83600 as an extended target.
🛑 Stop Loss Placement
Above 0.84201 to minimize risk.
This ensures the trade remains valid while avoiding market noise.
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Management
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approximately 2:1, making this a favorable setup.
✅ Trade Management:
If price starts reversing before hitting the target, consider trailing stop-loss to secure profits.
If price consolidates around support, watch for breakout confirmations before entering.
🔹 Final Thoughts & Market Sentiment
This trading setup suggests a strong bearish opportunity based on price action, resistance rejection, and trendline confluence. The break below 0.84000 will be the key trigger for further downside movement. If price remains below resistance, a sell position with a stop-loss above 0.84201 and a target of 0.83735 offers a high-probability trade setup.
EUR/GBP Bullish Breakout Setup Ahead of London OpenEUR/GBP is showing strong bullish momentum, with the euro gaining strength over the pound. The weakening GBP against EUR suggests the possibility of a range breakout on the upper channel, especially as the London session opens. The daily timeframe signals a classic breakout-pullback-continuation pattern, reinforcing the bullish outlook. If buyers sustain momentum, we could see an upward extension, confirming the breakout structure. Traders should watch key resistance levels for confirmation and potential entry opportunities.
EUR/GBP 1H Chart Analysis1. Market Structure
The chart shows a breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern, which signals potential bullish continuation.
Price was previously consolidating inside the triangle, and now it has broken above the resistance trendline.
The breakout suggests a bullish move towards the next resistance level.
2. Key Levels
Support Zone (~0.8396 - 0.8411): Marked in red, indicating a strong demand area where price found support before the breakout.
Entry Zone (~0.8415 - 0.8420): Price has recently broken out and is retesting the breakout area.
Target (~0.8448 - 0.8450): Marked at the previous swing high, serving as the next resistance level.
3. Bullish Setup Confirmation
The trade setup suggests a long (buy) position with:
Entry at the breakout retest (~0.8415 - 0.8420)
Stop-loss below the support zone (~0.8396)
Take-profit at 0.8448 - 0.8450 resistance zone
The trade shows a favorable Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) > 2:1.
4. Trading Strategy
If Price Holds Above 0.8410 → Look for bullish confirmation to enter a long trade.
If Price Breaks Below 0.8396 → Invalidates bullish setup, consider exiting.
If Price Rallies Toward 0.8448 - 0.8450 → Take profit or trail stop-loss to secure gains.
5. Additional Confirmation Factors
EMA 50: Price is above the 50 EMA, which supports the bullish bias.
Breakout Retest: The price is currently testing the previous resistance, now acting as support.
Conclusion
Primary Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: 0.8415 - 0.8420
Stop Loss: Below 0.8396
Take Profit: Around 0.8448 - 0.8450
Trade Confirmation: Look for bullish candles or rejections at support
EUR/GBP Bullish Flag (18.3.25)The EUR/GBP pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.8433
2nd Resistance – 0.8448
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EURGBP Trade Idea EURGBP is currently on a very strong bullish trend and as traders we should follow the trend making sure to capitalise on it. As we can see on this 1HR timeframe the market has been failing to break the newly formed support (previously resistance) this adds as confluence to take Long entries from this exact price.
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis - 4H Chart
📌 Pair: EUR/GBP
📈 Current Price: 0.84092
Key Levels:
🔹 Support Zone: 0.83766 - A key area where price has previously bounced.
🔹 Resistance Zone: 0.84400 - A strong resistance level where price has faced rejection.
🔹 Target Level: 0.85004 - Potential bullish target if price breaks above resistance.
Market Structure & Trade Idea:
EUR/GBP has shown strong bullish momentum, breaking above the support zone (0.83766).
Currently, price is testing the resistance level. A slight pullback toward support could provide a new buying opportunity.
A break above resistance would confirm bullish continuation toward 0.85004.
Trading Plan:
✅ Bullish Scenario: Wait for a pullback to 0.83766 before entering long, targeting 0.85004.
✅ Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below 0.83766, a deeper retracement to 0.82652 may follow.
🔍 Watch for:
Breakout confirmation above resistance.
Strong rejection from support before entering a trade.