EURGBP trade ideas
EURGBP Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
EURGBP looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.8359 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.8344
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURGBP INTRADAY corrective pullback capped at 0.8385The EUR/GBP pair continues to exhibit bearish sentiment, reinforced by the prevailing downtrend. The key intraday resistance level is at 0.8385, marking the current swing high.
Bearish Scenario:
An oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at 0.8385, would likely target downside support at 0.8340. A break below this level would open the door for further declines toward 0.8307 and 0.8260 in the longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario:
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above the 0.8385 resistance, accompanied by a daily close above this level, would invalidate the bearish outlook. This would pave the way for further rallies, with the next resistance levels at 0.8420 and 0.8460.
Conclusion:
The prevailing sentiment remains bearish as long as 0.8385 holds as resistance. Traders should watch for rejection at this level to confirm downside momentum. Conversely, a decisive breakout above 0.8420 would signal a potential shift to a bullish bias, targeting higher resistance levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DeGRAM | EURGBP rebound in the channelEURGBP is in a descending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel and the support level.
The chart holds the support level, which has already acted as a rebound point.
We expect a rise after consolidation above the nearest retracement level.
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EURGBP, time to short ! price declined from a supply zone and made a made a clean break and retest on the structure zone, by looking at EMAs (21,50 and 200) we can clearly see that price has broke through them with a strong bearish candle, and currently price is trading below moving averages indicating a bearish control in the market, I expect price to continue down
EURGBP Analysis: Weak CPI Triggers Reaction from Order BlockWe can observe that the UK CPI y/y has dropped to 2.8% from 3.0%, signaling potential weakness in GBP. On the technical side, price is reacting from a key Order Block, failing to break further to the downside. While the overall trend remains bearish, this marks the third push downward—a classic signal for a possible reversal. If buyers step in, we could see a shift in momentum. Monitoring price action at this level is crucial for the next move.
POTENTIAL LONG TRADE SET UP FOR EURGBPAnalysis: Utilizing chart patterns, highs & lows, and impulses & corrections, the focus is on identifying a continuation corrective structure following a breakout.
The price approached the lower bound of a bullish continuation structure on the higher time frame (HTF) and immediately bounced with an impulse on the MTF. We will now monitor for a bullish impulse and continuation structure to identify a potential entry point for the trade.
Expectation: A upward move is expected, targeting the peak of the HTF bullish continuation structure.
⚠️ Reminder: Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management, as forex trading involves no guarantees. This is a high-risk activity, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly!
DeGRAM | EURGBP rebound from the lower boundary of the channelEURGBP is in a descending channel above the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel.
The chart has consolidated above the dynamic resistance and the 50% correction level.
We expect the rebound to continue.
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EUR/GBP Chart Analysis – Double Bottom Reversal & Breakout Setup1. Market Structure & Context
The EUR/GBP daily chart presents a well-defined double bottom reversal pattern, indicating a potential trend shift from a prolonged downtrend to an uptrend.
The pair has been in a bearish phase, as reflected by the descending trendline.
However, price action suggests a possible trend reversal, as buyers are stepping in near a key demand zone.
A successful neckline breakout would confirm the bullish reversal, potentially leading to significant upside movement.
2. Key Chart Patterns & Technical Levels
A. Double Bottom Formation (Bullish Reversal Pattern)
The double bottom is a powerful reversal pattern, often signaling the end of a downtrend. It consists of two similar low points, forming a "W" shape.
Bottom 1: The first low was established around 0.8200 - 0.8250, where buyers initially stepped in to push prices higher.
Bottom 2: Price retested this demand zone, but sellers failed to push it lower, confirming a strong support level.
Bullish Significance: The inability of sellers to break below the support zone suggests the exhaustion of selling pressure and increasing buy-side interest.
B. Neckline Resistance & Potential Breakout Zone
The neckline resistance is drawn around 0.8450 - 0.8500, a key level where previous price rallies were rejected.
A breakout above this zone, ideally with strong bullish volume, would validate the double bottom pattern and trigger a bullish breakout trade.
C. Descending Trendline Breakout Attempt
The long-term downtrend resistance (trendline) has been holding since mid-2024.
Price is currently testing this trendline; a clear breakout and retest would add further confidence to the bullish bias.
3. Trade Setup & Execution Plan
A. Entry Strategy
There are two possible entry strategies, depending on risk appetite:
Aggressive Entry: Buy immediately upon a breakout above 0.8500, anticipating a strong rally.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout + retest of the neckline before entering, ensuring confirmation.
B. Stop Loss & Risk Management
Stop Loss (SL): Placed below the recent swing low at 0.82029.
This level acts as the last line of defense for bulls; if price drops below it, the bullish thesis is invalidated.
C. Take Profit (TP) Targets
TP1: 0.86122 (first resistance zone, a previous swing high).
TP2: 0.87284 (higher resistance level, next supply zone).
These levels serve as potential profit-taking areas where sellers may re-enter the market.
4. Additional Technical Confluences Supporting Bullish Bias
✔ Key Support Zone Holding Strong – The price has bounced twice from the demand zone (0.8200 - 0.8250), confirming strong buyer interest.
✔ Volume Confirmation Needed – A breakout with high volume increases the probability of sustained bullish momentum.
✔ RSI & Momentum Indicators – If RSI crosses above 50, it would further confirm bullish momentum, supporting the breakout trade.
✔ Favorable Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) – A well-defined stop loss & take profit strategy ensures an optimal trade setup.
5. Summary & Final Trading Plan
Current Market Bias: Bullish if neckline breaks (Double Bottom Confirmation).
Entry Confirmation: Look for a breakout above 0.8500 with strong volume.
Profit Targets:
TP1: 0.8612
TP2: 0.8728
Stop-Loss Level: Below 0.8202 to protect against fake breakouts.
🚀 Final Tip for Traders:
Monitor price action & volume closely. A breakout without volume may lead to a false move. Confirmation with bullish momentum is essential for a high-probability trade setup.
Retracement of EURGBP Expected after data .Shorting EURGBP at 0.8368 after this morning's data
200 Hourly EMA providing technical resistance
Running into a cluster of previous volume areas
Overall recent trend is still bearish .
Despite the data this morning giving GBP a push lower , this move appears way too aggressive for the data and likely more position covering than fundamental given that :
Bank of England still expect inflation to peak at 3.75% in Q3
Energy , Tarriffs and general uncertainty in the market
Some analyst still calling for 4% in April and May
I think perhaps a high probability reversal here from the overstretch -as always I'll look for a quick trade with good risk reward .
Stop 0.8392
Entry 0.8368
Target 0.8328
E.
EUR-GBP Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-GBP made a bearish
Breakout of key horizontal
Level of 0.8353 so we are
Bearish biased and after
A potential pullback we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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EUR/GBP 4H | Sell Opportunity After Resistance Rejection The EUR/GBP pair has been in a downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows forming. Recently, price rejected a key resistance zone and is now continuing its bearish momentum.
🔎 Key Observations:
✅ Resistance Levels: 0.83598 - 0.83910 acted as a strong rejection zone.
✅ Sell Confirmation: Price has broken below minor support and is now moving downward.
✅ Bearish Expectation: The next major support target is 0.82618.
📌 Trading Plan:
🔻 Sell on pullbacks near resistance levels (0.83598 - 0.83676).
🔻 Target: 0.82618 as the next key support.
🔻 Stop-loss: Above 0.83827 to minimize risk.
🚨 Risk Management Tip: Always maintain a good risk-reward ratio and wait for confirmations.
💬 What’s your take on this setup? Are you looking to sell or waiting for a better entry?
EURGBP: Growth & Bullish Forecast
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current EURGBP chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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EUR/GBP (1H) Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown – Trade SetupThe EUR/GBP 1-hour chart presents a symmetrical triangle formation that has now broken to the downside, signaling a bearish continuation. This pattern is widely recognized in technical analysis and often acts as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the breakout direction. In this case, the price has breached the lower support boundary, indicating that sellers have taken control of the market.
In this detailed analysis, we will explore the chart structure, key technical levels, potential trade setups, and risk management strategies to navigate this move efficiently.
1️⃣ Understanding the Symmetrical Triangle Formation
A symmetrical triangle occurs when price action creates lower highs and higher lows, forming two converging trendlines. This reflects a period of market indecision, where buyers and sellers are evenly matched until a breakout occurs.
📌 Key characteristics of this triangle:
✅ Converging Trendlines – Representing lower highs and higher lows, suggesting market compression.
✅ Price Consolidation – The pair traded within this structure, awaiting a catalyst for breakout.
✅ Breakout Direction – A breakdown from the support level confirms a bearish move.
Pattern Psychology:
A symmetrical triangle often precedes a significant price move. Traders and investors monitor the breakout direction to determine the next trend. Here, the breakdown below the lower boundary signals a continuation of the prevailing bearish trend.
2️⃣ Key Levels & Chart Structure
🔹 Resistance Zone (Upper Boundary) – 0.84227
The upper trendline acted as a strong resistance level, preventing price from breaking higher multiple times.
The yellow-highlighted area represents a supply zone, where selling pressure was dominant.
Price attempted to break above this region but failed, confirming bearish dominance.
🔹 Support Level (Lower Boundary) – 0.83500
The lower boundary of the triangle previously held as support, where buyers attempted to push the price higher.
However, once price broke below this support, it confirmed a bearish trend continuation.
The blue horizontal support line represents a potential retest area, where sellers may step in again.
🔹 Breakout Confirmation & Price Action
The chart clearly shows a bearish breakout, as price broke through the lower trendline.
Retest Probability: Many breakouts experience a pullback to the broken support (now resistance) before resuming the downtrend.
The dashed black lines illustrate the expected bearish move, with a potential decline towards 0.82815.
3️⃣ Trading Plan & Entry Strategy
Based on this setup, traders can capitalize on the bearish move using a structured trading plan:
📌 Bearish Trading Setup (Short Position)
✔ Entry Strategy:
Traders can enter a short position either immediately after the breakout or after a retest of the broken support at 0.83500 - 0.83700.
The ideal confirmation would be bearish candlestick patterns, such as an engulfing candle or pin bar rejection on the retest.
✔ Stop-Loss Placement:
To mitigate risk, a stop-loss should be placed above the previous resistance level (0.84227).
This ensures protection against fake breakouts or sudden reversals.
✔ Target Price (Take Profit Level):
The measured move of a symmetrical triangle breakout is typically equal to the height of the triangle.
Based on this projection, the expected target is around 0.82815, a significant support level.
Traders may also scale out at intermediate levels (0.83000) to lock in profits.
✔ Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
A well-structured trade here presents an attractive RRR of approximately 1:3, meaning the potential reward is three times the risk.
A higher RRR enhances the probability of profitability over multiple trades.
4️⃣ Market Context & Fundamental Analysis
🔍 Why Is EUR/GBP Dropping?
While technical patterns are valuable, traders must also consider fundamental factors that drive currency pairs.
🟢 Possible Bearish Catalysts for EUR/GBP:
GBP Strength: If the British Pound (GBP) strengthens due to strong economic data or hawkish Bank of England (BoE) policy, EUR/GBP may continue declining.
EUR Weakness: The Euro (EUR) may be under pressure due to weak GDP growth, higher inflation, or dovish European Central Bank (ECB) statements.
Geopolitical Events: Any negative news impacting the Eurozone (e.g., political instability) could trigger further selling pressure on EUR/GBP.
5️⃣ Risk Management & Alternative Scenarios
While the current outlook favors a bearish move, traders must remain prepared for alternative scenarios.
⚠ Alternative Scenarios: 📌 False Breakdown:
If price closes back above the support level (0.83500 - 0.83700), it could indicate a failed breakout, potentially leading to a bullish reversal.
In this case, a breakout above 0.84227 would invalidate the bearish setup.
📌 Sideways Consolidation:
If the price stalls around 0.83300 - 0.83500, the market may range before the next move.
Traders should wait for clear confirmation before entering new trades.
6️⃣ Summary & Key Takeaways
✅ Pattern Identified: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout (Bearish).
✅ Breakout Direction: Price has broken below support, confirming a downtrend.
✅ Trade Setup:
Sell below 0.83500 (or on retest at 0.83700).
Stop Loss: Above 0.84227 (previous resistance).
Take Profit: Targeting 0.82815 based on the pattern’s measured move.
✅ Risk-Reward: Favorable, offering 1:3 or higher RRR.
✅ Fundamental Drivers: GBP strength or EUR weakness could accelerate the downtrend.
📢 Final Thoughts
This symmetrical triangle breakdown offers a high-probability trading opportunity for short sellers, with a clear technical structure supporting the bearish move. However, traders should remain cautious of false breakouts and adjust stop-loss levels accordingly.
For best results:
✔ Wait for price action confirmation (retest rejection or bearish candle formations).
✔ Follow proper risk management (stop-loss placement and profit-taking levels).
✔ Monitor key economic events impacting EUR and GBP movements.
By combining technical analysis, fundamental insights, and sound risk management, traders can enhance their profitability and navigate the markets with confidence. 🚀📉
Why eurgbp will sell this newyork session!!In my analysis, we are observing signs of weakness in the Euro, as indicated by recent candlestick formations that reflect a notable lack of buying pressure. This behavior appears to be aligning with key Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a potential transition towards lower price levels. I anticipate that in the pre-New York session, we may witness a temporary fake-out before a subsequent downward movement. Traders should exercise caution and consider these factors in their decision-making process
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