EURGBP: Bearish Forecast & Bearish Scenario
Looking at the chart of EURGBP right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
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EURGBP trade ideas
NNFX EURGBP Short Baseline CrossSignal: NNFX Baseline Cross Short
Context: Baseline Cross on Monday, Pulled back intraday and continued trajectory.
Probability: Low - Long Volume opposing Short Momentum. Exhaustion close.
Risk: Base 1% -> Full Baseline Cross trade within 7 candles of original full signal, on a clean trend
R:R Plan: 1R, 75% scale-out at TP for low probability & drawdown management.
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Notes:
Apart from GDP News within the day, there is a clear fundamental path to reach TP
Probability is still classified as low due to Long Volume still outpacing Short Volume but this is waning - but the 1R setup makes up for this. There is also scope in this trade to secure this trade at in 1-2 days into a 1.5-2R position.
75% Scale Out at TP is set up due to order block sitting approx 1.5x ATR from entry, presenting possible barriers to trend beyond.
EUR/GBP Breakout Alert โ 4H Chart Analysis๐ Pattern: Falling Wedge
โฑ๏ธ Timeframe: 4-Hour
๐ Potential Move: +4.9% upside (~413 pips)
After a long consolidation phase within a falling wedge, EUR/GBP is showing signs of a potential breakout to the upside. Historically, this pattern tends to resolve with a bullish breakout.
๐ก Trade Setup (Bullish Bias):
Entry: ~0.8424
Stop Loss: Below 0.8295
Take Profits:
TP1: 0.84791
TP2: 0.85299
TP3: 0.85779
TP4: 0.86502
Final TP: 0.87360
๐ Volume is beginning to build up, supporting the potential breakout scenario. If the wedge breaks upwards, we might see a similar move to the last bullish breakout (~4.9%).
๐ง Risk Management is Key!
Always trade with a solid plan and defined risk parameters.
#EURGBP #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingSetup #BreakoutTrading #ForexSignals #FallingWedge
EUR/GBP โ Bearish Breakout Expected & Triangle Pattern + TargetThe EUR/GBP pair is currently consolidating within a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, often considered a neutral pattern that precedes a breakout in either direction. However, when placed in context with the prevailing downtrend, surrounding key support/resistance zones, and price action behavior, this pattern strongly hints at a bearish continuation.
This is a textbook setup where market compression within a triangle leads to a volatility expansion, offering traders a clear breakout structure with manageable risk and high reward potential.
๐บ Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle
A symmetrical triangle forms when the price creates lower highs and higher lows, converging toward an apex. This indicates market indecision or consolidation. The price is being squeezed between buyers and sellers, leading to reduced volatility.
In the current EUR/GBP chart:
The triangle is forming after a strong bearish impulse, which suggests the probability favors a breakout to the downside (trend continuation).
The triangleโs boundaries are respected with multiple touches, increasing the reliability of the pattern.
๐งญ Key Technical Levels:
๐ด Resistance Zone:
The 0.84290 level has acted as strong resistance, capping bullish attempts multiple times. This zone aligns with the upper boundary of the triangle and the prior rejection point.
๐ข Support Zone:
The 0.83915 - 0.83710 zone is a previous support structure that saw multiple reactions. This is the projected take-profit region if the breakdown follows through.
๐ต Breakout Retest Area:
If price breaks the lower triangle trendline (~0.84100), a retest of the broken line may offer a high-probability short entry. This is a common occurrence in technical setups โ former support becomes new resistance.
๐ง Market Psychology Insight:
Triangle patterns often reflect a period of balance โ bulls and bears are temporarily equal in strength. However, when the price is compressing inside a triangle after a strong directional move (in this case, downward), the market is typically building pressure to continue in the same direction.
The inability of bulls to push past the resistance and the repeated rejection at lower highs is a psychological signal that buyers are weakening, and a bearish breakout is imminent.
๐ Bearish Trade Plan:
Entry:
After price breaks below the lower triangle boundary (~0.84100) and retests it.
Enter on confirmation of bearish candle rejection or strong volume.
Stop Loss (SL):
Above resistance and triangle top: ~0.84290
This invalidates the setup if breached.
Take Profits:
TP1: 0.83915 โ minor support zone and realistic first target.
Final TP: 0.83710 โ major support and historical price reaction level.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
With SL around 20 pips and TP1 around 30 pips, and TP2 near 50 pips, this setup offers an excellent risk-reward profile (>1.5 to 2.5 R:R).
๐
Upcoming Events & Volatility Watch:
There are multiple economic events shown on the chart (Euro and UK flags). These could impact price action significantly:
Eurozone announcements
UK economic data releases
Ensure you monitor the economic calendar and avoid entering just before high-impact events unless you're managing your trade closely.
๐ Final Thoughts:
This is a high-probability breakout setup for swing or intraday traders who favor trading patterns with clear structure and back-tested success. The market is compressing, and the squeeze is tightening. Volume is likely to surge on breakout, especially during London or early US sessions.
Keep in mind:
Confirmation is crucial โ wait for a decisive breakout and retest before committing capital.
Risk management is non-negotiable โ place SL logically beyond structure and respect it.
๐ If the breakout happens to the upside, reevaluate the bias and wait for fresh confirmation. The structure itself remains valid either way โ itโs how price reacts at those boundary levels that will dictate the move.
Retest of support - Bullish move expectedOn weekly charts prices made a sharp upward move and breaking trend line support. Now retesting the same spot.
On 4 Hour chart prices are consolidating with imminent pattern of Inverse H&S creating confluence of support.
A move taking price above 0.85 is expected in short term.
EURGBP | A Shift in Market Dynamics: GBP to Gain StrengthThe current environment, driven by increasing uncertainty in the dollar, presents a unique opportunity in the EURGBP trading pair. With the Eurozone having lowered interest rates, the euro has gained value somewhat unnecessarily, largely in response to some of the illogical market moves we've seen from the Trump era. However, as the volatility from such unpredictable actions settles down, the British pound (GBP) will likely make a comeback.
๐ Euro's Overvaluation and GBP's Stability
While the Euro has benefited from these external factors, its recent strength is arguably not reflective of the underlying economic realities. On the other hand, the British pound has maintained stability with consistent interest rates. This relative calmness has allowed GBP to gain strength against the euro over time.
๐ GBP Will Play Catch-Up
As we move forward, the GBP is poised to compensate for its recent underperformance. The Bank of England's steady approach to interest rates will provide a solid foundation for the pound to regain lost ground. In contrast, the euro may struggle to sustain its current levels, particularly with the potential risks surrounding further economic policies in the Eurozone.
๐ Trade Strategy for EURGBP
As a trader, I see EURGBP as a clear short opportunity, with the pound likely to outperform the euro in the near-term. Patience is key here, as waiting for the right technical setup, especially on the lower timeframes, will allow you to enter with confirmation.
๐ก Why This Matters
The shifts in these two economies โ one facing potential fallout from low rates and the other benefiting from a more stable policy environment โ create an optimal setup for taking advantage of currency movements. Just as in any trade, follow the clear path where value has been mispriced and capitalize on that gap.
Stay informed and be ready to act when these market conditions play out โ because this opportunity might not last long.
๐I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
๐My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I donโt claim to know it all but Iโm confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
๐If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
๐I have a long list of my proven technique below:
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GBPEUR Bullish - ยฃ1.00/1.19 and aboveSimple chart based on candle recovery. Pound looks bullish if no negative economic news emerge or Trump does something unexpected "hehe" I am confident that the pair will attack 1.20 and recover/test the 1.21 range and might go sideways from there fluctuating between 1.18 to 1.21 for the mid term.
EUR/GBP LONG Investment Opportunities: Technical Analysis
The currency market offers new investment opportunities, and among the most interesting pairs of the moment we find EUR/GBP, with a favorable configuration for a long trade.
Entry Point and Trading Objectives
Entry: 0.8526
Take Profit (TP): +1.34%
Stop Loss (SL): -0.44%
This trade is based on in-depth technical analysis, considering key support and resistance levels that reinforce the hypothesis of a bullish movement.
Technical Analysis and Market Trends
After a consolidation phase around the 0.8526 threshold, the currency cross shows signs of bullish strength, with technical indicators confirming a potential breakout.
Primary Trend: Bullish with dynamic support.
RSI: In the neutral zone, indicating room for further growth.
Moving Averages: The 50-period crossed the 200-period, a sign of positive momentum.
Optimism on the single currency is also supported by fundamental factors, including monetary policies of the European Central Bank (ECB) and economic dynamics of the United Kingdom.
Risk Management and Final Considerations
To mitigate market volatility, the trade is accompanied by a Stop Loss at -0.44%, to protect the capital from any unexpected reversals.
Investors interested in this opportunity should carefully monitor macroeconomic events, such as inflation data and interest rate decisions, which could influence the direction of the EUR/GBP exchange rate.
EUR/GBP Swing IdeaEUR/GBP Has Broken Highs In The Daily Timeframe. The Fib Extension Pulled On The Daily Timeframe Indicates A PullBack To Daily Fair Value Gap, If We Go Down To The 30M We Can See We Have Supassed 71% And Also 75% Zones But We Are Now Heading Towards The 30M Fvg Which Caused The New Daily High.
Earlier Today We Can See A Change Of Character Which I Believe To Be Fake And Also A Liquidity Grab Simply Because We Didn't Make A New High After The Change Of Character.
The RSI Clearly Shows Buyers Stepping Into The Market.
Therefore I Am Waiting For A Drop Into The 30M Fair Value Gap And Then A Chage Of Character, New High, Liquidity Sweep And The Enter.
Trade Safefully.
HK
EUR/GBP Bearish Trade Setup โ Dow Theory ConfirmationAccording to Dow Theory, EUR/GBP is currently in a bearish trend, consistently printing a series of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). Weโre closely watching the price near its most recent LL (Lower Low) โ a break below this level will signal continuation of the downtrend, providing a high-probability trade opportunity.
Weโre planning a Sell Stop order below the last low to catch the bearish momentum, with two trades set up using different risk-to-reward strategies.
Trade Details:
Pair: EUR/GBP
Entry (Sell Stop): 0.84135
Stop Loss (SL): 0.84593
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.83677 (1:1 RR)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.83219 (1:2 RR)
Lot Size: 0.17
Risk: $200
Potential Reward: Up to $300
Number of Trades: 2 (with 1:1 and 1:2 Risk:Reward)
โ๏ธ Trade Strategy:
Trade 1: A 1:1 RR setup โ quick and controlled.
Trade 2: A 1:2 RR setup โ capturing deeper continuation of the bearish move.
โ
Bearish Trend Confirmed via Dow Theory
โ
Entry Positioned Below Last LL
โ
Risk-Managed Dual Setup
โ
Defined Structure-Based Trading Plan
#Hashtags:
#EURGBP #ForexTrading #DowTheory #BearishTrend #SellStop #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSetups #PriceAction #MarketStructure #RiskReward #SmartMoney #SwingTrading #TradingView #TradePlan
EUR/GBP Trade Setup โ Fibonacci-Based Bearish Continuation StratEUR/GBP is currently forming a clear series of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) โ confirming a bearish market structure. Using the Fibonacci retracement tool, weโve identified a key resistance zone aligning with the 50%-61.8% retracement levels, making it a strong candidate for a Sell Limit entry.
We will execute two trades with different risk-reward strategies based on this setup.
๐ Trade Details:
Pair: EUR/GBP
Entry (Sell Limit): 0.84315
Stop Loss (SL): 0.84593
Profit 1 (TP1): 0.84037 (1:1 Risk:Reward)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.83759 (1:2 Risk:Reward)
Lot Size: 0.27
No of Trades: 2
Total Risk : $200
Total Potential Reward: Up to $300
โ๏ธ Trade Strategy:
Trade 1: Targets a 1:1 risk-reward ratio for a quick, controlled gain.
Trade 2: Targets a 1:2 risk-reward ratio to ride the trend continuation.
This strategy allows partial profit booking while still taking advantage of extended downside potential if the trend continues.
๐ Analysis Tools Used:
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Market Structure (LH & LL Series)
Resistance Zone Confirmation
โ
Fibonacci Confluence
โ
Dual Trade Setup
โ
Risk-Managed Entries
โ
Bearish Trend Structure
#Hashtags:
#EURGBP #ForexTrading #FibonacciTrading #SellLimit #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishTrend #ForexSetups #PriceAction #TradingView #RiskReward #SmartMoney #MarketStructure #ForexSignals #TradePlan #SwingTrading