EURGBP | A Shift in Market Dynamics: GBP to Gain StrengthThe current environment, driven by increasing uncertainty in the dollar, presents a unique opportunity in the EURGBP trading pair. With the Eurozone having lowered interest rates, the euro has gained value somewhat unnecessarily, largely in response to some of the illogical market moves we've seen from the Trump era. However, as the volatility from such unpredictable actions settles down, the British pound (GBP) will likely make a comeback.
📉 Euro's Overvaluation and GBP's Stability
While the Euro has benefited from these external factors, its recent strength is arguably not reflective of the underlying economic realities. On the other hand, the British pound has maintained stability with consistent interest rates. This relative calmness has allowed GBP to gain strength against the euro over time.
📈 GBP Will Play Catch-Up
As we move forward, the GBP is poised to compensate for its recent underperformance. The Bank of England's steady approach to interest rates will provide a solid foundation for the pound to regain lost ground. In contrast, the euro may struggle to sustain its current levels, particularly with the potential risks surrounding further economic policies in the Eurozone.
🔍 Trade Strategy for EURGBP
As a trader, I see EURGBP as a clear short opportunity, with the pound likely to outperform the euro in the near-term. Patience is key here, as waiting for the right technical setup, especially on the lower timeframes, will allow you to enter with confirmation.
💡 Why This Matters
The shifts in these two economies — one facing potential fallout from low rates and the other benefiting from a more stable policy environment — create an optimal setup for taking advantage of currency movements. Just as in any trade, follow the clear path where value has been mispriced and capitalize on that gap.
Stay informed and be ready to act when these market conditions play out — because this opportunity might not last long.
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EURGBP trade ideas
EUR-GBP BEAR CONTINUATION Greetings everyone, this pair is showing signs of a nice bear trend for the coming week ahead. I'm looking to add a short position if we can get a pullback into the resistance zone and show failure. I would keep my eye on this one for continuation to the down side for more profit potential.
EURGBP INTRADAY supported at 0.8450EUR/GBP maintains a bullish bias, supported by the prevailing upward trend. Recent intraday movement indicates a corrective pullback toward a key consolidation zone, offering a potential setup for trend continuation.
Key Support Level: 0.8450 – previous consolidation range and pivotal support
Upside Targets:
0.8736 – initial resistance
0.8787 and 0.8900 – extended bullish targets on higher timeframes
A bullish reversal from 0.8500 would suggest continuation of the uptrend, confirming buying momentum.
However, a decisive break and daily close below 0.8500 would invalidate the bullish structure, opening the door for further retracement toward 0.8450, with additional support at 0.8370 and 0.8300.
Conclusion
EUR/GBP remains bullish above 0.8500. A bounce from this level supports further gains. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EUR/GBP Buy Trade Analysis – 4H Timeframe📈 Pair: EUR/GBP
🕒 Timeframe: 4-Hour
📥 Entry Price: 0.85112
🎯 Take Profit (TP): 0.86300 (approximate based on visual RR box)
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 0.84786
🔍 Trade Setup Explanation:
Strong Support Zone: The price has bounced multiple times from the 0.84900–0.85000 support area, indicating buyer strength and market rejection of lower prices.
200 EMA Acting as Support: The blue 200-period EMA is providing dynamic support, aligning with the horizontal level and increasing the probability of a bullish move.
Bullish Reversal Candles: The recent bullish candles near support show strong buying interest, suggesting a shift in momentum.
EMA Crossover Potential: Price is testing the 50 EMA from below, and a break above could indicate a trend reversal or a deeper pullback.
RSI Confirmation: RSI has bounced from oversold levels and is now crossing above its signal line (moving average), signaling building bullish momentum.
💡 Summary:
This EUR/GBP long trade is supported by confluence of horizontal support, EMA dynamics (200 EMA support, 50 EMA pressure), and RSI bullish crossover. The setup offers a strong risk-to-reward profile with technical confirmation for a potential upside move.
EURGBP – Sell Limit Setup (Intraday Trade)Expires: 30/04/2025 06:00
Trade Summary
Type: Sell Limit
Entry: 0.8525
Target: 0.8440
Stop Loss: 0.8556
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.74:1
Duration: Intraday
Technical View
Price is reacting to the 50% Fibonacci pullback level (0.8527), where selling has resumed.
Short-term bias remains bearish, with no clear signs of reversal.
Previous support at 0.8520 now acts as resistance, reinforced by the 20-period 4H EMA at 0.8523.
The move lower is intact, favoring a sell-on-rally approach.
Resistance: 0.8520 / 0.8548 / 0.8584
Support: 0.8487 / 0.8450 / 0.8425
Upcoming Event Risk
29/04/2025 10:00 (EU): Business & Consumer Surveys
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/GBP LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the EUR/GBP pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 0.860 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURGBP Wave Analysis – 28 April 2025
- EURGBP broke support area
- Likely to fall to support level 0.8450
EURGBP currency pair recently broke the support area between the key support level 0.8525 (which stopped the previous waves iv and A) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from February.
The breakout of the support level 0.8525 accelerated the active impulse wave i, which belongs to the C-wave of the ABC correction B from the start of April.
Given the bearish euro sentiment seen today, EURGBP currency can be expected to fall toward the next support level 0.8450.
EUR/GBP Analysis ( Bearish Trend Continuation )EUR/GBP is consistently printing a series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows, confirming a strong bearish structure. This Price action indicates sustained selling pressure and downward momentum. A break below the previous Lower Low would serve as a confirmation of trend continuation, making it a potential Sell Stop Entry opportunity.
EUR.GBP. Compra. Proteger en 1.1 tomar ganancias 1.2. Trade sent on EURGBP. I already entered, but you can still get in right now if you want. We will update it live: when it hits 1.1 we move the stop loss to breakeven, and if it reaches 1.2 you can take partial profits, let it run, or manage it as I’ve always taught you. Remember, the most important thing is not to lose, protect your capital, and secure profits. As I always say: a bird in the hand is worth more than a hundred flying.
Death of the POPE and Economic Impact
Hi, I'm trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an event that has deeply shaken the world: the death of Pope Francis.
Pope Francis, born Jorge Mario Bergoglio, was the first Latin American pontiff and the first Jesuit to hold the role of Pope. Born in Buenos Aires in 1936, he dedicated his life to serving the Church and those most in need. His pontificate, which began in 2013, was characterized by a strong commitment to social justice, peace and environmental protection. He has always tried to bring the Church closer to the faithful, promoting a message of love, humility and inclusion.
The death of Pope Francis, which occurred on April 21, 2025, left a huge void not only in the Catholic Church, but also in the hearts of millions of people around the world. His charismatic figure and his commitment to human rights and social justice have had a significant impact on many aspects of global society.
Pope Francis has been a spiritual leader who has been able to speak to the hearts of people, regardless of their faith. He has addressed complex issues such as the refugee crisis, climate change and global poverty, always seeking solutions that promote human dignity and solidarity. His encyclical "Laudato si'" has been an urgent call to the international community to take care of our common home, planet Earth.
Now, let's analyze how the death of Pope Francis could affect the stock market and forex. The passing of such an influential figure can generate uncertainty and volatility in the financial markets. Investors may react with caution, waiting to see how the Church will manage the transition and who will be the next Pope. In addition, the Jubilee of 2025, which is underway, could undergo organizational changes, affecting tourism and the economy of Rome.
In the short term, there may be some instability in the markets, with fluctuations in the values of currencies and stocks linked to sectors influenced by the Catholic Church. However, in the long term, stability could be restored once the new Pope is elected and the Jubilee celebrations continue.
The death of Pope Francis could also have repercussions on the bond market. Investors could seek refuge in safer assets, such as government bonds, increasing demand and influencing yields. In addition, companies operating in the religious tourism sector could see a temporary drop in bookings, impacting their profits.
Let's now analyze the currency pairs that could be affected by this event:
EUR/USD: The euro/dollar pair could see increased volatility, especially considering the importance of the Vatican and Rome in the European economy. Uncertainties related to the Jubilee and religious celebrations could affect the value of the euro.
EUR/GBP: The euro/pound pair could also be affected, as many pilgrims and tourists from the UK could change their travel plans, affecting the flow of capital between the two regions.
USD/JPY: The dollar/yen pair could see significant movements, as Japanese investors tend to seek refuge in safe assets such as the US dollar in times of global uncertainty.
EUR/CHF: The euro/Swiss franc pair could be affected by European investors' search for stability. The Swiss franc is often considered a safe haven in times of volatility.
Another crucial aspect will be the day of the election of the new Pope. The Conclave, which will take place between May 6 and 11, 2025, represents a moment of great expectation and hope for millions of faithful around the world. During this period, the cardinal electors will gather in the Sistine Chapel to vote for the successor of Pope Francis. The white smoke, announcing the election of the new Pope, will be a sign of stability and continuity for the Catholic Church.
On the day of the election, there is likely to be increased volatility in financial markets. Investors may react quickly to the news, trying to anticipate the economic and political implications of the new pontificate. Currencies and stocks linked to sectors influenced by the Catholic Church could see significant movements, with possible trading opportunities for those who are able to correctly interpret the market dynamics.
In conclusion, the death of Pope Francis is a major event that will have not only spiritual and social repercussions, but also economic ones. Investors should carefully monitor the developments and adapt their strategies based on the new dynamics that will emerge.