EURGBP to find sellers at market price?EURGBP - Intraday
The primary trend remains bearish.
Our short term bias remains negative.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
20 1day EMA is at 0.8338.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
We look to Sell at 0.8338 (stop at 0.8362)
Our profit targets will be 0.8278 and 0.8268
Resistance: 0.8320 / 0.8345 / 0.8370
Support: 0.8307 / 0.8290 / 0.8260
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EURGBP trade ideas
EURGBP Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURGBP below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.8338
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.8301
Safe Stop Loss - 0.8361
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURGBP | Long Opportunity with Strong Weekly SupportI'm watching EURGBP on the weekly timeframe as it approaches a strong support zone between 0.8200 and 0.8275 . The pair is currently in a corrective trend, signaling potential upside movement once the correction completes. The support zone has historically held well, indicating a potential rebound.
My stop-loss is placed at a weekly close below 0.8140 to protect against further downside. The first profit target is set at 0.8700, with the second target left open for potential extended gains depending on market conditions.
EURGBP | 14.11.2024SELL 0.83150 | STOP 0.83600 | TAKE 0.82700 | Technical data suggests that the EURGBP pair will continue to move in a downward trend with possible slowdown dynamics. The pound shows more stable dynamics, supported by neutral macroeconomic indicators and a smoother decline in interest rates.
A Weaker pound?
1. Baseline Scenario
- Macro-Fundamental Bias Dovish. The Bank of England has cut rates by 25bps to 4.75%, with expectations of further cuts due to slowing inflation. Markets are pricing in two 25bps cuts by the end of 2025 with a 92% chance of a third 25bps cut, dispite the Labour Government's fiscal policy expected to be reflationary. There is also a 15% chance of a 25bps rate cut in December.
- Short Term Sentiment Bias : Neutral. The pound is moving flat on an index level, indicating no strong short-term sentiment driving the price.
2. Risk Event Baseline
- Event Description : Upcoming UK GDP data releases.
- Monthly GDP (m/m) forecast: 0.2% (previous: 0.2%).
- Preliminary GDP (q/q) forecast: 0.2% (previous: 0.5%).
- Market Expectations : Markets are anticipating a slowdown in economic growth, with the preliminary GDP forecast significantly lower than the previous quarter.
3. Surprise Scenarios:
- Negative Surprise:
- Plan: If GDP data misses forecasts, reinforce bearish positions on GBP pairs. A weaker-than-expected GDP print could act as a catalyst for further pound selling, aligning with the dovish macro outlook and expectations of additional rate cuts.
BUY EURGBP for bearish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 0.8272BUY EURGBP for bearish trend reversal
STOP LOSS : 0.8272
Regular Bullish Divergence
In case of Regular Bullish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Higher Lows
* Actual Market Price shows Lower Lows
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this strong level of Support so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
BUY EURGBP for bearish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 0.8272BUY EURGBP for bearish trend reversal
STOP LOSS : 0.8272
Regular Bullish Divergence
In case of Regular Bullish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Higher Lows
* Actual Market Price shows Lower Lows
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this strong level of Support so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
EURGBP Channel Down but short-term rebound expected.The EURGBP pair is trading within a 1-year Channel Down pattern since the November 16 2023 High. Three days ago the price made a Lower Low at the bottom of the pattern and rebounded. This was also on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, which based on the previous Bearish Leg, has high probabilities of sustaining a Bullish Leg.
Assuming the symmetry with January - April 2024 holds, we turn bullish now on this pair, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 0.84375.
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Bulls H&S's Pattern EURGBP 1HR 0.3% under neckline
If you like to trade H&S's patterns, they can be perplexing and push a traders patience, sometimes manipulated by market makers, other times they form up like a dream.
I have mapped it out on the chart I have here.
It probably wont play out for another several hours at least.
Potential bullish bounce?EUR/GBP is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8303
1st Support: 0.8268
1st Resistance: 0.8341
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURGBP Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
EURGBP looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.8268 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.8320
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.8242
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/GBP at Critical Support: Is a Move Higher on the Horizon?The EUR/GBP pair has been in a persistent downtrend since February 2023, reflecting the strengthening of the Pound against the Euro. However, after more than 1.5 years of decline, the pair is beginning to show potential signs of exhaustion on the daily chart. Recently, an “Engulfing” candlestick pattern has formed, suggesting a possible reversal or at least a significant correction before any further continuation of the downtrend. This brings forth two potential scenarios:
Scenario 1: Immediate Upside
One possible scenario is that EUR/GBP begins to rise from its current position near 0.8330, without a significant pullback. The bullish engulfing pattern formed over the past two days may indicate buyer interest, suggesting that the pair has found critical support.
Possible Buy Entry:
An immediate buy entry could target the resistance level at 0.8440 as the final objective.
Stop Loss:
A suitable stop loss could be placed just below the support level on the daily chart.
Scenario 2: Retracement Before the Rally
Another possibility is that EUR/GBP retraces to the 0.8297 region, which corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent upward movement, before continuing higher. This type of retracement is common and can significantly enhance the risk/reward ratio of the trade when managed effectively.
Possible Buy Entry:
A buy entry could be initiated if the price reaches the 0.8297 level, targeting the previous resistance at 0.8440.
Stop Loss:
A stop loss positioned below the support level on the daily chart would be prudent to guard against an unexpected break of support.
Combining the two possibilities.
Given the uncertainty around which entry point will yield the best results (immediate or after a retracement), a strategic approach could be to enter with a smaller lot at the current price and follow up with additional entries if the price retraces to the 50% Fibonacci level.
By doing so, if the price begins to rise immediately, you can take advantage of the uptrend with a smaller position. Conversely, if the price does retrace, you would already have the full-sized position ready to take advantage of a better risk/reward scenario.
Alternative Scenario: Breaking Support
It is crucial to acknowledge that, despite the pair being at a significant support level on the daily chart, there remains a risk of a breakdown below this level. If the support at 0.8263 is breached, the bullish scenario would be invalidated, and we could see a continuation of the downtrend consistent with the prevailing movement since February 2023.
Possible Short Entry:
Traders might consider entering short following a confirmed break below 0.8263, targeting the 0.8100 region, which represents the next important support level on the daily chart.
The EUR/GBP pair is at a pivotal juncture, displaying signs of exhaustion after an extended downward trend. The forthcoming price movements—particularly around the current support zone—will be crucial in determining whether we witness a significant correction or a continuation of the decline. Traders should remain alert for confirmation signals before making any trading decisions.
Disclaimer:
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
EURGBP Is Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for EURGBP.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.833.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.828 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Potential bearish drop off pullback resistance?EUR/GBP has reacted off the resistance level which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support that acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 0.8336
1st Support: 0.8301
1st Resistance: 0.8354
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?EUR/GBP has reacted off the resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8336
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8369
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8320
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURGBP: Caution Ahead, Watch Key LevelsHello,
EURGBP has experienced some unexpected downside, but we've still seen profitable upside, especially on the conservative side—profit is profit! The 1W support has held up well so far, driving the price upward. To move towards the 1M PP, a solid cross and lock above the 1W PP is essential. However, caution is key at this stage, as a cross and lock below the 1D PP could lead to further downside.
There will be no market updates next week due to vacation plans. Wishing everyone happy trading—let's make some profits!
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