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EURGBP Wave Analysis – 27 March 2025 - EURGBP broke support area - Likely to fall to support level 0.8300 EURGBP currency pair recently broke the support area between the key support level 0.8350 (which has been reversing the price from the start of March) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward wave 2 from the end of February. The breakout of this support area accelerated the active impulse wave iii of the higher impulse waves 3 and (3). Given the strongly bullish sterling sentiment, EURGBP currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.8300.
Short
by FxProGlobal
EURGBP INTRADAY corrective pullback capped at 0.8385The EUR/GBP pair continues to exhibit bearish sentiment, reinforced by the prevailing downtrend. The key intraday resistance level is at 0.8385, marking the current swing high. Bearish Scenario: An oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at 0.8385, would likely target downside support at 0.8340. A break below this level would open the door for further declines toward 0.8307 and 0.8260 in the longer timeframe. Bullish Scenario: Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above the 0.8385 resistance, accompanied by a daily close above this level, would invalidate the bearish outlook. This would pave the way for further rallies, with the next resistance levels at 0.8420 and 0.8460. Conclusion: The prevailing sentiment remains bearish as long as 0.8385 holds as resistance. Traders should watch for rejection at this level to confirm downside momentum. Conversely, a decisive breakout above 0.8420 would signal a potential shift to a bullish bias, targeting higher resistance levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURGBP Analysis: Weak CPI Triggers Reaction from Order BlockWe can observe that the UK CPI y/y has dropped to 2.8% from 3.0%, signaling potential weakness in GBP. On the technical side, price is reacting from a key Order Block, failing to break further to the downside. While the overall trend remains bearish, this marks the third push downward—a classic signal for a possible reversal. If buyers step in, we could see a shift in momentum. Monitoring price action at this level is crucial for the next move.
Long
by AfaqKhan111
EUR/GBP (1H) Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown – Trade SetupThe EUR/GBP 1-hour chart presents a symmetrical triangle formation that has now broken to the downside, signaling a bearish continuation. This pattern is widely recognized in technical analysis and often acts as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the breakout direction. In this case, the price has breached the lower support boundary, indicating that sellers have taken control of the market. In this detailed analysis, we will explore the chart structure, key technical levels, potential trade setups, and risk management strategies to navigate this move efficiently. 1️⃣ Understanding the Symmetrical Triangle Formation A symmetrical triangle occurs when price action creates lower highs and higher lows, forming two converging trendlines. This reflects a period of market indecision, where buyers and sellers are evenly matched until a breakout occurs. 📌 Key characteristics of this triangle: ✅ Converging Trendlines – Representing lower highs and higher lows, suggesting market compression. ✅ Price Consolidation – The pair traded within this structure, awaiting a catalyst for breakout. ✅ Breakout Direction – A breakdown from the support level confirms a bearish move. Pattern Psychology: A symmetrical triangle often precedes a significant price move. Traders and investors monitor the breakout direction to determine the next trend. Here, the breakdown below the lower boundary signals a continuation of the prevailing bearish trend. 2️⃣ Key Levels & Chart Structure 🔹 Resistance Zone (Upper Boundary) – 0.84227 The upper trendline acted as a strong resistance level, preventing price from breaking higher multiple times. The yellow-highlighted area represents a supply zone, where selling pressure was dominant. Price attempted to break above this region but failed, confirming bearish dominance. 🔹 Support Level (Lower Boundary) – 0.83500 The lower boundary of the triangle previously held as support, where buyers attempted to push the price higher. However, once price broke below this support, it confirmed a bearish trend continuation. The blue horizontal support line represents a potential retest area, where sellers may step in again. 🔹 Breakout Confirmation & Price Action The chart clearly shows a bearish breakout, as price broke through the lower trendline. Retest Probability: Many breakouts experience a pullback to the broken support (now resistance) before resuming the downtrend. The dashed black lines illustrate the expected bearish move, with a potential decline towards 0.82815. 3️⃣ Trading Plan & Entry Strategy Based on this setup, traders can capitalize on the bearish move using a structured trading plan: 📌 Bearish Trading Setup (Short Position) ✔ Entry Strategy: Traders can enter a short position either immediately after the breakout or after a retest of the broken support at 0.83500 - 0.83700. The ideal confirmation would be bearish candlestick patterns, such as an engulfing candle or pin bar rejection on the retest. ✔ Stop-Loss Placement: To mitigate risk, a stop-loss should be placed above the previous resistance level (0.84227). This ensures protection against fake breakouts or sudden reversals. ✔ Target Price (Take Profit Level): The measured move of a symmetrical triangle breakout is typically equal to the height of the triangle. Based on this projection, the expected target is around 0.82815, a significant support level. Traders may also scale out at intermediate levels (0.83000) to lock in profits. ✔ Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): A well-structured trade here presents an attractive RRR of approximately 1:3, meaning the potential reward is three times the risk. A higher RRR enhances the probability of profitability over multiple trades. 4️⃣ Market Context & Fundamental Analysis 🔍 Why Is EUR/GBP Dropping? While technical patterns are valuable, traders must also consider fundamental factors that drive currency pairs. 🟢 Possible Bearish Catalysts for EUR/GBP: GBP Strength: If the British Pound (GBP) strengthens due to strong economic data or hawkish Bank of England (BoE) policy, EUR/GBP may continue declining. EUR Weakness: The Euro (EUR) may be under pressure due to weak GDP growth, higher inflation, or dovish European Central Bank (ECB) statements. Geopolitical Events: Any negative news impacting the Eurozone (e.g., political instability) could trigger further selling pressure on EUR/GBP. 5️⃣ Risk Management & Alternative Scenarios While the current outlook favors a bearish move, traders must remain prepared for alternative scenarios. ⚠ Alternative Scenarios: 📌 False Breakdown: If price closes back above the support level (0.83500 - 0.83700), it could indicate a failed breakout, potentially leading to a bullish reversal. In this case, a breakout above 0.84227 would invalidate the bearish setup. 📌 Sideways Consolidation: If the price stalls around 0.83300 - 0.83500, the market may range before the next move. Traders should wait for clear confirmation before entering new trades. 6️⃣ Summary & Key Takeaways ✅ Pattern Identified: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout (Bearish). ✅ Breakout Direction: Price has broken below support, confirming a downtrend. ✅ Trade Setup: Sell below 0.83500 (or on retest at 0.83700). Stop Loss: Above 0.84227 (previous resistance). Take Profit: Targeting 0.82815 based on the pattern’s measured move. ✅ Risk-Reward: Favorable, offering 1:3 or higher RRR. ✅ Fundamental Drivers: GBP strength or EUR weakness could accelerate the downtrend. 📢 Final Thoughts This symmetrical triangle breakdown offers a high-probability trading opportunity for short sellers, with a clear technical structure supporting the bearish move. However, traders should remain cautious of false breakouts and adjust stop-loss levels accordingly. For best results: ✔ Wait for price action confirmation (retest rejection or bearish candle formations). ✔ Follow proper risk management (stop-loss placement and profit-taking levels). ✔ Monitor key economic events impacting EUR and GBP movements. By combining technical analysis, fundamental insights, and sound risk management, traders can enhance their profitability and navigate the markets with confidence. 🚀📉
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EURGBP SELLTracking EUR/GBP on the 15-minute timeframe, we see a potential short opportunity from a key supply zone. Key Zones & Setup: 🟣 Bearish Order Block (Supply Zone): 0.83800 - 0.83830 This area acted as strong resistance, where institutional traders likely positioned sell orders. Expecting price to push into this zone before reversing lower. Break of Structure (BOS) on lower timeframes (M5/M1) is needed for confirmation. 🔵 Target Area (Demand Zone): 0.83450 If the supply zone holds, price could drop toward this key demand level. This zone aligns with previous BOS levels and price reactions. Trade Plan: 📈 Waiting for price to push into the supply zone (0.83800 - 0.83830). 🔎 Looking for BOS on lower timeframes (M5/M1) before shorting. ✅ Entering a sell position upon confirmation. 🎯 Targeting the 0.83450 demand zone. ⚠️ Stop-loss above 0.83830 to manage risk. Market Outlook: If price fails to break structure, we avoid shorts and reassess. This setup follows smart money concepts (SMC) with a focus on BOS and order blocks. 💬 What do you think? Are you seeing the same setup? 🚀🔥
Short
by Ramzftmo
EUR/GBP - Double Bottom Reversal Setup | Trendline BreakoutThis EUR/GBP (Euro to British Pound) daily chart presents a textbook double bottom reversal pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal after a prolonged downtrend. Additionally, a trendline breakout further strengthens the bullish outlook. The market structure suggests that buyers are regaining control, and a breakout above the neckline resistance zone (0.84500 - 0.85000) could trigger a significant upward move. Let's break down this setup in detail. 📊 Technical Breakdown of the Chart 1️⃣ Double Bottom Formation – A Strong Reversal Signal 🔹 The double bottom is a powerful bullish reversal pattern that forms after an extended downtrend, indicating that selling pressure is fading and buyers are stepping in. 🔹 First Bottom: Established in December 2024, where the price reached a key support level (~0.82453) before bouncing back. 🔹 Second Bottom: Formed in March 2025, confirming the validity of the support level and creating a solid demand zone. 🔹 The neckline resistance (0.84500 - 0.85000) is the key level that price must break to confirm the reversal. 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Shift in Market Sentiment 🔹 The market has been in a downtrend, as shown by the descending trendline acting as resistance for several months. 🔹 Recently, the price broke above this trendline, indicating that bearish momentum is weakening and a potential trend reversal is underway. 🔹 This breakout adds confluence to the double bottom pattern, reinforcing the bullish bias. 3️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels to Watch 📌 Support Zone (Bottom Area) – 0.82453: ✅ This level has been tested twice (December & March), confirming it as a strong demand zone. ✅ Price consistently rebounded from this level, showing buyers’ dominance. ✅ This is the ideal stop-loss level to protect against downside risks. 📌 Resistance Zone (Neckline) – 0.84500 - 0.85000: ✅ A breakout above this neckline resistance is necessary for a bullish continuation. ✅ If price breaks and retests this level as support, it will confirm a high-probability buy setup. 📌 Target Level – 0.87394 (Projected Move) ✅ This is calculated using the measured move technique, where the distance from the bottom to the neckline is projected upwards. ✅ This level coincides with a previous resistance zone, making it a realistic target. 📈 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup 🎯 Entry Plan for Long Position (Buy Setup) 1️⃣ Breakout Entry: Enter a long position after a confirmed breakout above 0.85000. Watch for strong bullish candles with volume confirmation. 2️⃣ Retest Entry (Safer Option): If price breaks above resistance, wait for a pullback and retest of the 0.84500 - 0.85000 level. If price holds this zone as new support, it strengthens the bullish confirmation. 📉 Stop-Loss Placement (Risk Management) ✅ Place a stop-loss just below the support zone (0.82453) to protect capital. ✅ This level is strong because price has bounced off it twice, confirming buyer strength. 🎯 Profit Target (Take Profit) ✅ The projected target is 0.87394, aligning with previous resistance. ✅ This offers a high reward-to-risk ratio (RRR), making the trade worth taking. ⚠️ Risk Management & Market Outlook ✅ Bullish Bias – Price action suggests uptrend continuation after breaking out of the trendline. ✅ Confirmation is Crucial! – Enter only after a clear breakout and retest. ✅ Watch for Fakeouts – If price fails to hold above the neckline, it could be a false breakout. ✅ Fundamental Factors – Keep an eye on economic data and central bank policies (ECB & BoE) that may impact the GBP & EUR. 📢 Final Thoughts – Why This Trade is High-Probability 🚀 Double Bottom + Trendline Breakout = Strong Bullish Signal 🚀 Neckline Breakout Above 0.85000 = Confirmation of Trend Reversal 🚀 Targeting 0.87394 with a Favorable Risk-Reward Setup If price successfully breaks and holds above resistance, we could see a strong rally toward 0.87394 in the coming weeks. 📌 Monitor price action carefully and wait for confirmation before entering the trade. 🔔 Like & Follow for More Trading Setups! 🚀📈
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP Analysis – Bearish Momentum Gaining StrengthThe EUR/GBP pair has shown a significant shift in market structure, breaking below a critical support level and signaling further downside potential. After facing strong resistance near the 0.84400 region, the price struggled to maintain bullish momentum and started forming lower highs, indicating selling pressure. Technical Breakdown: Resistance Zone: The upper boundary near 0.84400 acted as a supply area where sellers gained control. Multiple rejection candles at this level confirmed that buyers were losing strength. Support Breakdown: The price recently broke below a key support zone, which had previously acted as a demand area. This breakdown suggests a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. Bearish Continuation Pattern: The chart displays a clear lower high and lower low formation, reinforcing the bearish trend. The price is now retesting the breakdown zone, which could serve as a new resistance level before further declines. Target Projection: The next major support lies at 0.82508, which aligns with a previous consolidation zone. If the bearish momentum persists, we may see a test of this level in the coming sessions. Trading Considerations: 📌 Bearish Bias: Traders may look for sell opportunities on pullbacks toward resistance levels. 📌 Confirmation: A retest of the breakdown level with rejection signals could provide a strong entry point. 📌 Risk Management: Stop-loss placements above 0.83800 could help manage risk in case of an unexpected bullish reversal. 💡 Final Thoughts: With the prevailing bearish momentum, EUR/GBP is likely to continue downward unless buyers regain control at key levels. Traders should watch for price action signals near support and resistance zones to confirm trade setups.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis – Triangle Breakdown & Bearish MoveChart Overview This EUR/GBP 1-hour chart highlights a symmetrical triangle pattern that has recently broken to the downside, signaling a potential bearish move. The chart includes key technical levels such as resistance, support, trendlines, and a projected price target. Let’s analyze each component in detail. 1. Formation of a Symmetrical Triangle A symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern, meaning it typically precedes a breakout in the direction of the prevailing trend. In this case: The pair initially rallied sharply, forming a strong uptrend. A consolidation phase followed, where price started forming lower highs and higher lows, creating a contracting triangle. The triangle’s resistance and support levels were tested multiple times, confirming their significance. Key takeaway: The more times price tests support and resistance without breaking through, the stronger the eventual breakout. 2. Breakdown from the Triangle – Bearish Signal The price broke below the support level, triggering a breakdown from the symmetrical triangle. This breakdown was accompanied by a strong bearish candlestick, indicating a decisive move to the downside. The previous support is now acting as resistance, meaning any pullback to this zone could provide a shorting opportunity. Why is this important? A breakdown from a triangle often results in a sharp directional move, especially if it aligns with the broader market trend. 3. Trendline Analysis – Uptrend Reversal The rising trendline that supported the price action has been broken, further confirming trend exhaustion and a shift to bearish momentum. Before the breakdown, the price had been respecting the trendline as support. After the breakdown, the trendline is invalidated, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Technical Insight: Trendlines act as dynamic support/resistance, and once broken, they often lead to strong directional movements. 4. Key Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Level (Former Support Zone): This level was previously a strong demand zone where buyers stepped in. Now that price has fallen below it, this area could act as a resistance if price retests it. Traders should watch for bearish rejections or reversal patterns (such as shooting stars or bearish engulfing candlesticks) before entering short positions. Support Level & Bearish Target (0.829): The chart highlights 0.829 as the next significant support area. This level aligns with historical price action and provides a logical take-profit zone for short traders. 5. Expected Price Action – Bearish Continuation Scenario Given the breakdown from the triangle, the expected movement is as follows: A short-term pullback to the broken support (now resistance). Rejection from this zone, leading to further downside momentum. Price reaching the projected target near 0.829, where traders may look to take profits or reassess market conditions. 6. Trading Strategy & Risk Management ✅ Bearish Trade Setup Entry: On a pullback to the broken support level (preferably with bearish confirmation signals). Stop-Loss: Above the previous resistance level to avoid false breakouts. Take-Profit: Around the 0.829 target or lower if momentum continues. ⚠ Risk Considerations If price closes back above the broken support, it may indicate a false breakout, invalidating the bearish trade setup. Fundamental news events (such as central bank decisions or economic data) could impact price movement unexpectedly. Conclusion – Bearish Outlook with Defined Target This chart presents a textbook triangle breakdown, reinforcing the bearish bias for EUR/GBP. The structure suggests that price will continue lower toward the 0.829 target, unless invalidated by a strong reversal. Traders should watch for pullbacks and rejection signals before entering short positions. Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Resistance: 0.835 - 0.837 (Former Support Zone, Now Resistance) ✅ Target: 0.829 (Projected Price Target) 📉 Bias: Bearish Final Thought This setup provides a high-probability trade idea for traders looking to capitalize on momentum. As always, implementing proper risk management is crucial to navigate market uncertainties. 🚀
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EURGBP INTRADAY Bearish continuation The EUR/GBP pair continues to exhibit bearish sentiment, reinforced by the prevailing downtrend. The key intraday resistance level is at 0.8420, marking the current swing high. Bearish Scenario: An oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at 0.8420, would likely target downside support at 0.8353. A break below this level would open the door for further declines toward 0.8335 and 0.8300 in the longer timeframe. Bullish Scenario: Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above the 0.8420 resistance, accompanied by a daily close above this level, would invalidate the bearish outlook. This would pave the way for further rallies, with the next resistance levels at 0.8450 and 0.8490. Conclusion: The prevailing sentiment remains bearish as long as 0.8420 holds as resistance. Traders should watch for rejection at this level to confirm downside momentum. Conversely, a decisive breakout above 0.8420 would signal a potential shift to a bullish bias, targeting higher resistance levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Scholz and Macron: Europe, arms for Ukraine Recently, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and French President Emmanuel Macron reiterated their commitment to providing military aid to Ukraine. This decision comes at a crucial time, with the conflict continuing to profoundly affect the global economy and geopolitics. ### Implications for the war and Europe Scholz and Macron's choice to continue with military supplies underscores Europe's determination to support Ukraine against Russian aggression. However, this stance could escalate tensions with Moscow, which has already expressed its displeasure. The war in Ukraine has already had a significant impact on the European economy, with energy prices rising and supply chains disrupted. Continuing to supply weapons could prolong the conflict, but could also strengthen Europe's position as a key player in defending democratic values. ### Impact on Forex The news has significant implications for the Forex market. Several currency pairs could be significantly affected: - **EUR/USD**: The euro could come under pressure due to economic uncertainties and Europe's exposure to the conflict. On the other hand, the US dollar could strengthen due to its safe-haven status. - **USD/RUB**: The Russian ruble could see further depreciation due to geopolitical tensions and potential new Western sanctions against Russia. - **EUR/GBP**: The euro-sterling relationship could be affected, with the euro under pressure and the pound showing relative stability, as the UK is less directly exposed to the conflict. - **USD/CHF**: The Swiss franc, traditionally considered a safe-haven asset, could also strengthen against the US dollar in the event of further escalations. - **AUD/USD and CAD/USD**: Commodity currencies such as the Australian and Canadian dollars could see increased volatility, as natural resource markets remain affected by the conflict. ### Conclusion Scholz and Macron’s decision to continue supplying weapons to Kiev is a strong signal of European solidarity, but it brings with it significant challenges. Forex investors should carefully monitor the listed currency pairs and geopolitical developments, as volatility could offer opportunities, but also risks.
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
EUR/USD Trend in US Session Today🔔🔔🔔 EUR/GBP news: 👉The EUR/GBP pair remains stable after gaining in the previous session, trading around 0.8420 during Asian market hours on Wednesday. The Euro (EUR) strengthens as demand for increased deficit spending grew among the Eurozone’s largest economies. In Germany, key political parties—including the CDU/CSU bloc, SPD, and Greens—approved a landmark €500 billion spending plan for defense and infrastructure, leading to a substantial rise in national debt. 👉Additionally, the Euro may receive further support from improved risk sentiment, driven by optimism over a potential ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. On Tuesday, US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed to an immediate halt to strikes on energy infrastructure. However, Putin declined to approve a wider, month-long ceasefire negotiated between Trump’s team and Ukrainian officials in Saudi Arabia. Personal opinion: 👉EUR/GBP will maintain its upward momentum in the near future due to the impact of good news supporting EUR. 👉RSI (2H) is currently below the buy zone and there is no sign of reversal, this is a retest of the trend line and the support zone of 0.8380. So consider this area to be able to buy at a good price for you Analysis: 👉Based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with the trend line to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell EUR/GBP 0.8370 - 0.8385 ❌SL: 0.8345 | ✅TP: 0.8410 - 0.8450 - 0.8480 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
The EUR/GBP pair is experiencing a bearish trend, with the Euro * Currency Pair: EUR/GBP (Euro versus British Pound) * Timeframe: 1D (Daily Chart), meaning each candlestick represents one day's trading activity. * Current Price: 0.83936 * Change: -0.00232 (-0.28%), indicating a decrease in the value of the Euro against the Pound. * Buy/Sell Indicators: * Buy: 0.83941 * Sell: 0.83929 * Price Levels: Several horizontal lines are drawn on the chart, indicating key price levels: * 0.89000 * 0.88000 * 0.87000 * 0.86000 * 0.84496 (appears multiple times, suggesting a significant level) * 0.83936 (current price) * 0.83000 * 0.82422 (appears multiple times, suggesting a significant level) * 0.81000 * Trend: The chart appears to show a general downtrend, with the price moving from the higher levels in 2022 towards the lower levels in 2024. * Timeline: The timeline at the bottom shows the years 2022 to 2025, with July marked for each year. This helps to visualize the long-term trend of the EUR/GBP pair. * Platform: The bottom of the image shows the trading platform interface with various icons, likely for technical analysis tools, chart settings, and other functions. * Candlestick Patterns: The chart uses candlestick patterns to represent price movements. These patterns can provide insights into market sentiment and potential future price movements. * Volume: The "v 2" on the left side might refer to a volume indicator, showing the trading volume for the currency pair. * "Gro/British Pound" text in the middle of the chart is likely an artifact or a label that was not fully removed or a label that is not fully clear. General Observations: * The EUR/GBP pair is experiencing a bearish trend, with the Euro weakening against the Pound. * The price levels marked on the chart likely represent support and resistance levels, which traders use to identify potential entry and exit points. * The multiple occurrences of the 0.84496 and 0.82422 levels suggest that these are significant areas of price action.
Long
by alaisattakarn