EURJPY Analysis: Range Bounces & BreakoutHello traders!
EURJPY is in a daily range and is offering three trading scenarios.
The first scenario suggests the pair may react bearishly from the currently approached zone, setting up a bounce opportunity that could drive price lower toward the 162.130 area.
The second scenario anticipates a bounce toward the 158.400 area, if price reaches the support zone of the range.
The third scenario anticipates a breakout above the resistance zone, followed by a retest, which could present a strong opportunity for continuation toward the 169.300 area.
Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge
Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure.
There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you.
At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
EURJPY trade ideas
Looking for possible longs on EURJPY
This is a classic bullish setup based on:
• Price action rejection near a demand zone
• A higher low formation
• Aiming for a return to recent resistance
I’m expecting the price to bounce and rise from this demand zone and reach the marked TP while maintaining a tight SL to manage risk effectively
SMC Trap = Clean CHoCH + OB Long, Targeting Liquidity Sweep!We’re tracking a textbook Smart Money Concept (SMC) long setup on EURJPY, 30M timeframe, with clear structure shift and clean OB entry. Here's the full breakdown for traders:
🔄 Market Structure Shift:
Major bearish trend visible from previous candles.
Sharp rejection followed by a Change of Character (CHoCH) indicating possible bullish reversal.
🧱 Order Block Zone:
Price swept liquidity to the downside and tapped into a marked Bullish Order Block at 162.195–162.266.
Entry triggered within this OB zone, with tight risk placement below Strong Low.
🔁 Entry Setup:
Entry: Inside OB at 162.266
Stop Loss: Just below the OB at 162.195 (Strong Low protected)
TP1: 70.50% retracement near 162.650
TP2: Full Buy Side Liquidity sweep @ 162.768 (Weak High Targeted)
🧮 RRR (Risk-to-Reward):
Approximate RRR: 1:6+ — High probability trade if market structure follows through.
🧲 Key Levels Highlighted:
🔹 CHoCH confirms shift to bullish
🔹 OB Zone: High confluence with liquidity grab + candle imbalance
🔹 Buy Side Liquidity: Obvious target for institutions
🔹 Weak High: Ready to be taken out
📈 What To Watch For:
Bullish continuation towards 162.768
Strong impulsive move breaking above minor resistance
Potential re-entries on lower TF OBs (5M–15M)
🧠 Pro Tip for Traders:
Don’t chase—wait for CHoCH + OB confirmation combo. This type of setup works best when confluence aligns: OB + CHoCH + liquidity sweep = 🔥
EUR/JPY Long Setup – Bullish Reversal from Key Support Zone Entry Point: 162.227
Stop Loss: 161.629
Take Profit (Target): 166.778
Current Price: ~162.798
Risk/Reward Ratio:
Risk: ~60 pips
Reward: ~455 pips
Risk/Reward ≈ 1:7.6 (strong setup)
🔍 Technical Insights
Support Zone:
The purple rectangle around 162.227 to 162.000 is identified as a key demand zone or support area.
Price has tested this zone previously and appears to be bouncing off it.
Price Structure:
The pattern suggests a potential double-bottom or reversal structure forming.
A rounded recovery projection is drawn, implying bullish momentum is expected.
Moving Averages:
A red (shorter period) moving average is crossing below the price.
A blue (longer period) moving average near the support zone could act as dynamic support.
Target Area:
166.778 marks a clear resistance or prior high and is labeled as the “EA Target Point”.
This is a logical profit-taking zone based on past price action.
✅ Bullish Trade Bias Justification
Strong support reaction near entry.
Favorable risk/reward ratio.
Reversal pattern potential.
Confluence with moving average support.
⚠️ Considerations
Ensure confirmation from a bullish candle or reversal signal before entry.
Be mindful of macroeconomic events or EUR/JPY fundamentals that might impact volatility.
EURJPY suggests a potential bearish moveEURJPY suggests a potential bearish move.
The price has been moving within an ascending channel
A downward-sloping trend line indicates a possible break below the channel.
If the price continues to drop, it may reach 163.300 ,162.500 and 162, which are marked as support levels.
The BOJ is probably doing intervention again in the forex market given that the they want to reach a deal soon with the US
On the other hand EURO has other problems. The inflation cooling down is suggesting further rate cuts and this can weigh on EURO pairs in the short term.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/JPY Faces the Upper Boundary of Its Lateral Range AgainOver the past five trading sessions, the EUR/JPY pair has climbed nearly 2% in favor of the euro, once again reaching a key resistance zone in the short term. For now, the bullish bias remains intact, driven by the weakened yen, which has lost demand in recent sessions. As a safe-haven currency, the yen has struggled to hold investor interest as trade tensions ease and market confidence rebounds.
Wide Lateral Range
Since 2024, EUR/JPY has maintained a broad lateral channel, bounded by resistance at 165.315 and support at 156.656. Recent buying momentum has brought the price back to the upper end of the range, and if bullish pressure continues, a breakout could occur—potentially giving way to a more sustained uptrend in the short term.
Technical Indicators:
ADX: The ADX line continues to hover below the neutral level of 20, signaling low volatility in recent movements. If the ADX fails to break above that level, a persistent state of neutrality may continue to dominate price action in the short term.
TRIX: The TRIX line remains above zero, but it shows a flattened curve, indicating the absence of a clear directional trend in the exponential moving averages. This opens the door for a neutral phase to develop at current resistance levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
165.315 – Major Resistance: Marks the upper boundary of the lateral range. Sustained bullish momentum above this level could lead to a stronger uptrend in the near term.
162.225 – Nearby Support: Aligns with the neutral zone of the past two weeks. May act as a barrier for short-term pullbacks.
160.655 – Critical Support: Corresponds to the midpoint of the current channel and aligns with the Ichimoku cloud area. A return to this level could undermine the current bullish structure and reinforce the broader sideways range.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
EURJPY: Will Keep Growing! Here is Why:
The analysis of the EURJPY chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EUR_JPY LOCAL LONG|
✅EUR_JPY is trading in an uptrend
With the pair set to retest
The rising support line
From where I think the growth will continue
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CURRENT OUTLOOK FOR EURJPY
The pair is in an uptrend, having successfully broken through the daily trend line and completed a retest. I'm anticipating a second retest around the 162.450 level, which could form a double bottom 'W' pattern. If this pattern confirms, our target would be 165.205, with a stop loss set around 162.034 to manage risk.
EURJPYnterest Rate Differential
European Central Bank (ECB):
Deposit rate: 2.25% (cut by 25 bps in April 2025).
Outlook: Markets expect two more cuts in 2025, potentially lowering rates to 1.75% by year-end, as tariff risks and weak growth persist.
Bank of Japan (BoJ):
Policy rate: 0.50% (held steady in May).
Outlook: BoJ lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% (from 1.0%) due to U.S. tariff risks and weak Q1 data. Rate hikes are unlikely until 2026.
Differential: ~1.75% in favor of EUR, though ECB easing may narrow this gap.
Key Economic Data for May 2025
Eurozone
Q1 GDP Growth (Final):
0.3% QoQ (vs. preliminary 0.4%), marking the fifth straight quarter of growth.
Germany (+0.2%), Spain (+0.6%), and Italy (+0.3%) outperformed France (+0.1%).
Risks: U.S. tariffs on EU exports (potentially 20% starting July) threaten future growth.
ECB Policy Signals:
ECB President Lagarde emphasized a data-dependent approach, with further cuts likely if inflation remains subdued.
Japan
Q1 GDP Contraction:
-0.7% annualized (vs. -0.2% expected), driven by weak exports (-5.0%) and stagnant consumption.
U.S. tariffs on Japanese autos (24%) and machinery exacerbate recession risks.
BoJ Caution:
Governor Ueda warned of "downside risks" from trade tensions, signaling no near-term rate hikes despite inflation above target.
Directional Bias for EUR/JPY
Short-Term (May–June 2025): Bullish EUR/JPY
ECB’s higher rates (vs. BoJ’s 0.50%) sustain the euro’s yield advantage.
Japan’s weak GDP and tariff vulnerabilities keep JPY under pressure.
Medium-Term (H2 2025): Neutral-to-Bearish
ECB rate cuts (to 1.75%) could narrow the rate differential, reducing EUR appeal.
Safe-haven JPY demand may rise if U.S.-EU/Japan tariff tensions escalate.
#SHAVYFXHUB #EURJPY #JAPAN #EUROPE #EURO #yen #fx #forex
DAILY HOT PICK EURJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W21 D20 Y25DAILY HOT PICK
FX:EURJPY
EURJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W21 D20 Y25
GOOD MORNIG EJ, Due to higher time frame nothing-ness, the pair has been somewhat neglected BUT, We are starting so see some charting action within the lower time frame that excited pattern recognition.
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅HTF 50 EMA
✅Intraday 15' order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
TEXT BOOK LTF PA EURJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W21 D22 Y25TEXT BOOK LTF PA EURJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W21 D22 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Daily 50 EMA
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Intraday 15' order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Chanel(EUR/JPY 1H Chart):
1. Previous Uptrend (Left Side):
The price was previously moving within a well-defined ascending channel (marked by white parallel lines).
Eventually, the price broke below the ascending channel, signaling a potential trend reversal.
2. Downtrend Phase (Middle Section):
After breaking out of the bullish channel, the price entered a descending channel.
A short position was executed here, with a visible stop-loss (red zone) and take-profit (green zone).
This short trade was successful — the price reached the take-profit level.
📌 Current Market Setup (Right Side):
3. Breakout from the Downward Channel:
The price has broken out of the descending channel to the upside.
This breakout may indicate the start of a new bullish wave.
4. Anticipated Pullback:
A pullback is expected toward a nearby demand zone (highlighted with a yellow rectangle).
After the pullback, a continuation to the upside is projected — reflected by a long position with a large risk-to-reward ratio (roughly 1:3 or higher).
📈 Pattern and Scenario:
A trend reversal pattern is forming following the breakout from the descending structure.
The projected structure follows the pattern: Impulse – Pullback – Impulse.
This is a classic bullish continuation setup.
🧠 Conclusion:
Pattern: Reversal and bullish continuation.
Bias: Bullish, especially after confirmation of the demand zone.
Strategy: Wait for a retest of the demand zone for a safer long entry. An aggressive entry could be made on breakout confirmation.
EURJPY - LONG BUY - SIMPLE PRICE ACTION - POWEFULL RESULTS EURJPY is making a series of LH and LL, however with formation of divergence it has slightly broken the Last LH and almost bounced back from Resistance level of 0.618 FIB level, which is a strong resistance level. we anticipate that, price if breaks the LH / 0.618 resistance level then it will easily hit TP1 and TP2
EURJPYThe idea last week was to look for buying opportunities in this zone, but as we moved into Friday, the market lost its spring and failed to mount a decisive rebound. What I’m now watching for is a modest upside confirmation during early Asian hours—particularly if Japan’s April services PMI, which came in at 52.8, remains in expansion territory—so that we can position ourselves ahead of the European pre‑open. Given that China’s Caixin services PMI held at 53.2 and Q1 GDP growth in Japan printed 1.1% annualized, there’s a supportive backdrop for risk assets. That said, it would be prudent to trail stop‑loss orders to lock in gains, because although the consensus remains for a broadly bullish week following the softer-than-expected U.S. retail sales print of +0.2% in April, we could well see a mid‑week pullback as traders take profits.
EURJPYInterest Rate Differential
European Central Bank (ECB):
Deposit rate: 2.25% (cut by 25 bps in April 2025).
Outlook: Markets expect two more cuts in 2025, potentially lowering rates to 1.75% by year-end, as tariff risks and weak growth persist.
Bank of Japan (BoJ):
Policy rate: 0.50% (held steady in May).
Outlook: BoJ lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% (from 1.0%) due to U.S. tariff risks and weak Q1 data. Rate hikes are unlikely until 2026.
Differential: ~1.75% in favor of EUR, though ECB easing may narrow this gap.
Key Economic Data for May 2025
Eurozone
Q1 GDP Growth (Final):
0.3% QoQ (vs. preliminary 0.4%), marking the fifth straight quarter of growth.
Germany (+0.2%), Spain (+0.6%), and Italy (+0.3%) outperformed France (+0.1%).
Risks: U.S. tariffs on EU exports (potentially 20% starting July) threaten future growth.
ECB Policy Signals:
ECB President Lagarde emphasized a data-dependent approach, with further cuts likely if inflation remains subdued.
Japan
Q1 GDP Contraction:
-0.7% annualized (vs. -0.2% expected), driven by weak exports (-5.0%) and stagnant consumption.
U.S. tariffs on Japanese autos (24%) and machinery exacerbate recession risks.
BoJ Caution:
Governor Ueda warned of "downside risks" from trade tensions, signaling no near-term rate hikes despite inflation above target.
Directional Bias for EUR/JPY
Short-Term (May–June 2025): Bullish EUR/JPY
ECB’s higher rates (vs. BoJ’s 0.50%) sustain the euro’s yield advantage.
Japan’s weak GDP and tariff vulnerabilities keep JPY under pressure.
Medium-Term (H2 2025): Neutral-to-Bearish
ECB rate cuts (to 1.75%) could narrow the rate differential, reducing EUR appeal.
Safe-haven JPY demand may rise if U.S.-EU/Japan tariff tensions escalate.
#SHAVYFXHUB #EURJPY #JAPAN #EUROPE #EURO #yen #fx #forex