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EURJPY trade ideas

EURJPY Technical & Order Flow Analysis (Potential Breakout)Our analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis. Based on our view, the price will rise to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Long
by dkb14246
1
"EURJPY Rejecting Premium FVG | Smart Money Trap in Play!"EURJPY Analysis 🧠 | 15M Timeframe Price has tapped into the Premium Area, reacting off a high-probability Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block confluence. Signs of rejection are starting to show, but momentum wasn't strong enough to push lower before hitting breakeven. Key Observations: Price aggressively tapped the Premium zone (around 79% retracement). Reaction from the embedded Fair Value Gap inside the premium zone. Possible minor liquidity sweep above recent highs (Strong High marked). Discounted zone below remains wide open as a potential future target. 🧠 Smart Money Concept Insight: Big players often drive price into a Premium Area, triggering breakout trades and trapping liquidity. After the liquidity is harvested, price tends to rebalance into the Discount Area. Today, price showed initial bearish reaction but lacked immediate continuation strength — resulting in breakeven protection hit. Current Trading Plan: Continue monitoring EURJPY for renewed bearish order flow signs. TP1 (if re-entry occurs): Mid Discount Area TP2: Weak Low liquidity sweep below SL (for any re-entries): Above Strong High Remember: 📚 Premium = Look for Sell Opportunities 📚 Discount = Look for Buy Opportunities Stay patient, protect your capital, and wait for price to confirm the next move. 📉 Focus on Smart Money footprints, not emotions.
Short
by ChartNinjas88
Elite Validity Check | EUR/JPY 🔖 Header Current Price & Spread** | **162.176 / 162.20 | **Timestamp (EST)** | 2025-04-29 01:20 | | **Risk-Level Tag** | **Medium-High** – trading near yearly highs ahead of key EUR data | | **Bias Checklist** | HTF trend ✅ | confluence ✅ | fundamentals ⚠️ | | **Confidence Label** | **Technical High / Event-Risk Medium → Overall High** | --- ### 1️⃣ Technical Outlook * **Multi-TF Trend (W1/D1/H4)** – **Bullish** (higher highs since Nov-24). Price pressing the 2025 top-of-range.​ ( [EUR JPY Chart – Euro Yen Rate - * **Structure & Liquidity** – * **Support**: 161.60-161.30 (H4 OB + prior swing). * **Resistance**: 162.80 (Feb-25 high) → next liquidity **163.70-164.00** (2024 peak) ( * **Momentum Scan** – Weekly RSI 68 (near overbought); Daily MACD positive but histogram flattening (momentum pause). ( * **Volume** – Monday’s EU session candle closed 22 % above its 20-day avg tick volume (breakout confirmation). ( [EUR/JPY slips below 163.00 as trade-related uncertainties benefit --- ### 2️⃣ Primary Alert Zones | Zone | Price | Type | Setup Idea 📝 | |---|---|---|---| | **Pullback Demand** | **161.60-161.30** | H4 OB + 50 DMA | M15 bullish engulf + > 20 % vol | | **Breakout Supply** | **162.80-163.00** | Feb swing-high | Scale-out / watch false-break | --- ### 3️⃣ Indicators Snapshot | Metric | Value | Read-out | |---|---|---| | RSI (H4) | 64 | bullish but near hot zone | | MACD (D1) | >0, hist ↓ | waning momentum | | ATR 14 (1 h) | **≈ 21 pips** (7-day avg) | IG Sentiment | **~62 % short** (contrarian bullish) --- ### 4️⃣ Fundamental & Sentiment Radar * **Tue 02:00** – German CPI flash (EUR). * **Tue 05:00** – EZ flash GDP & HICP. * **Thu Japan** – Tokyo CPI (early BoJ inflation gauge). * **BoJ Outlook** – Next policy mtg ≙ Jun 13; officials jawboning JPY strength → risk of verbal intervention. * **COT (22 Apr)** – Funds **net-long EUR / net-short JPY** → structural tail-wind. (
Long
by wojoforex
2
EURJPYEUR/JPY Rate Differential and Fundamental Outlook for May 2025 Interest Rate Differential ECB Main Refinancing Rate: 2.40% (after a 25 bps cut in April 2025). BoJ Policy Rate: 0.50% (held steady in May 2025). Rate Differential: 1.90 percentage points (EUR yield advantage). This gap supports EUR/JPY upside, but the ECB’s easing bias and BoJ’s cautious stance suggest potential narrowing later in 2025. Key May 2025 Fundamental Drivers Eurozone (EUR) GDP Growth: Eurozone GDP grew 0.4% QoQ in Q1 2025, with Germany expanding 0.2%. Resilient growth reduces urgency for aggressive ECB easing but does not halt the dovish trajectory. ECB Policy Outlook: Markets price in a 25 bps ECB rate cut in June, with further easing expected in 2025. ECB remains data-dependent amid trade tensions and moderating inflation (2.1% in Germany, 0.8% in France). Japan (JPY) BoJ Policy Stagnation: BoJ kept rates at 0.50% in May, citing risks from U.S. tariffs and downgrading 2025 GDP growth to 0.5%. Core CPI forecasts trimmed to 2.2% for 2025 and 1.7% for 2026, delaying hawkish shifts. Trade War Risks: U.S.-China trade de-escalation optimism reduces JPY’s safe-haven appeal, but Japan’s export reliance keeps growth vulnerable. Global Factors Risk Sentiment: Easing U.S.-China tensions favor risk-on flows, weakening JPY. Fed Policy: Delayed Fed cuts (4.50% rate) bolster USD, indirectly pressuring EUR/JPY via EUR/USD dynamics ECB Rate Cuts (Expected) Bearish for EUR (narrows rate gap) BoJ Dovish Hold Limits JPY strength, supports EUR/JPY upside Eurozone Growth Resilience Mild EUR support, delays aggressive ECB easing Trade Optimism Risk-on sentiment weakens JPY, bullish for EUR/JPY Japan’s Growth Downgrade JPY weakness on economic concerns Base Case: EUR/JPY likely trades with a moderate bullish bias in May, supported by The still-significant rate differential (1.90%). Risk-on flows amid trade de-escalation. BoJ’s growth and inflation downgrades limiting JPY strength. Downside Risks: Surprise ECB dovish rhetoric or faster-than-expected rate cuts. Escalation in U.S.-Japan/EU trade tensions reviving JPY safe-haven demand. Summary The 1.90% rate differential and improving risk sentiment favor EUR/JPY gains in May, but the ECB’s easing trajectory and Japan’s structural challenges create volatility. Traders should monitor: ECB June Policy Signals (potential 25 bps cut). Eurozone Inflation Data (May 30–31). BoJ Rhetoric on tariffs and growth. While near-term upside persists, the pair’s longer-term outlook remains bearish as ECB cuts erode the rate advantage.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
EURJPY Will Go Up From Support! Long! Take a look at our analysis for EURJPY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 163.939. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 168.000 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
EURJPY Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 27th I shared this idea "EURJPY - Expecting The Price To Bounce Higher Further" Expected bullish continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold. You can read the full post using the link above. Price moved as per the plan here!!! Price respected the second Fibonacci support zone and bounced higher. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VladimirRibakov
EUR/JPY for JPY Strength into BoJEUR/JPY has held resistance at a familiar spot on the chart, from the 163.00 level up to 163.38. This has been the same resistance that's held in the pair for the past seven weeks and for those looking for JPY-strength around tonight's BoJ rate decision, this can be an attractive venue. USD/JPY would have the complication of the 140.00 level which has been major support but for EUR/JPY, the broader context here remains digestion, with a descending triangle formation holding on the weekly chart. Key support for the formation is at 155.00 and logically the 160.00 level looms large for downside setups as that price held a pensive series of tests earlier in April. - js
by FOREXcom