EURJPY trade ideas
EURJPY 4Hour TF - July 20th, 2025EURJPY 7/20/2025
EURJPY 4hour Bullish Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bullish
Daily - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
Bullish Continuation - This is the most likely scenario for EJ this week as nothing suggests anything other than Bullish activity.
EJ could take off right at market open and start pushing up without giving us a retest to enter on. If we do get some sort of retest or pullback, look for rejection as close to 172.400 as possible before looking long.
If this does execute it looks like it will be a very small window of opportunity to enter. Trade cautiously with EJ in this bullish scenario.
Bearish Reversal - This scenario is less likely but is much more favorable in my opinion.
For us to consider EJ bearish we would need to see a clear break below 172.400 with a lower high below. This would give us enough confidence to consider short scenarios and start looking lower toward major support levels like 170.750.
EURJPY Eyes New Highs After Pullback?What I see!
EURJPY Technical Outlook –
EURJPY remains in a strong uptrend and recently tapped into buy-side liquidity at 173.89, which now marks the All-Time High (ATH). After a brief rejection from that level, price is currently showing signs of a healthy pullback.
I’m observing the 170.00–171.00 zone, which aligns with previous demand. If price continues to respect this area, the overall bullish structure remains intact, with potential for a move back toward (and possibly beyond) the ATH.
A sustained break below 170.00 could indicate room for a deeper pullback, potentially toward the 168.00s, which would be a key area to monitor.
This analysis is shared for educational and discussion purposes only.
Eur/jpy Bulls to dominate @174.440 Handle As we begin a new week, I see the bulls coming in and grabbing the unmitigated liquidity @174.440 handle. My advice to fellow traders is that if the ECB stays hawkish or the BOJ remains dovish, EUR/JPY has room to stretch higher.
Watch Euro inflation numbers, BOJ yield curve control updates, and U.S. data spillovers.
Buy @ 173.15
TP 1.~174.440
4-hour channel midlineThe price has reached the midline of the 4-hour channel, and buying volume has decreased in this area.
We need to see whether the price can break above the midline or not.
If it breaks to the upside, our first target will be the top of the channel.
If it gets rejected, our target will be the bottom of the channel.
EURJPY Bullish Breakout with IFC Confirmation | MMC Retest Play🔍 Market Structure & Price Behavior Explanation
🔹 1. Channel Structure and Bearish Trap:
The pair was previously trading within a downward sloping channel, forming lower highs and lower lows. This structure was respected for several sessions, creating a bearish bias for most retail traders.
However, as per Mirror Market Concepts, such channels often act as liquidity traps — designed to build sell-side liquidity before a strong reversal.
🔹 2. IFC Candle Break — Smart Money Confirmation:
A powerful bullish impulse candle (IFC - Institutional-Filled Candle) broke through all previous swing highs formed inside the channel. This is a critical sign that institutional buyers have stepped in and the bearish trend is likely over.
This candle is not just a breakout but also a signature of smart money transitioning the market structure from bearish to bullish. The breakout occurred with high momentum and volume, piercing through the upper channel boundary, invalidating the bearish trend.
📘 Key Note: IFC candles usually represent imbalance, strong directional intent, and are often followed by continuation after retest.
🔹 3. Retesting Phase – Key to Confirmation:
After the breakout, price retested the broken structure, which is now acting as a new demand zone. The retest is clean, holding firmly above minor support — giving confirmation of bullish control.
This zone is also aligned with a QFL (base structure) concept, where price returns to the base before a new leg of the trend begins.
🔹 4. Current Price Action: Building for Next Leg
Price is now consolidating just below the next key reversal zone (marked in green). This zone represents potential supply or resistance.
There are two likely outcomes here:
Rejection at the reversal zone, with a potential pullback before continuation.
Clean break above, followed by "Demand Doubling", where price re-tests this level again, confirming further upside momentum.
In case the second scenario plays out (as marked on the chart), EURJPY could aggressively rally toward 174.400 and beyond.
🔹 5. Demand Zones & Key Levels:
✅ Minor Demand Zone (~173.00):
Currently respected — origin of last bullish move.
✅ Major Demand Zone (~171.200):
Acts as macro support in case of deep retracement.
✅ Reversal Zone (~173.800 – 174.200):
Price may slow down, reject, or consolidate here. Smart money usually decides at this level.
📈 MMC Trading Plan (Mirror Market Concept Approach):
Buy Bias is active as long as price remains above the minor demand zone.
Any rejection from reversal zone with wick traps followed by bullish engulfing setups = potential long entries.
Break & hold above 174.200 will likely trigger momentum-based entries, targeting extended bullish continuation.
💹 Trade Setup Parameters:
📥 Entry #1: After successful retest and bullish confirmation at demand
🛑 Stop Loss: Below retest structure (~172.850)
🎯 Take Profit 1: 173.950 (within reversal zone)
🎯 Take Profit 2: 174.350+ (post-demand doubling continuation)
🧠 Trader’s Mindset – What to Expect Next:
The chart is a classic example of MMC in real-time, where:
Price traps sellers inside a fake bearish channel
Breaks structure using high-volume impulsive moves
Retests demand zone cleanly
Builds up toward the next decision-making zone
Patience is key here. Let price either break and confirm above the reversal zone or give us another deep retest for the best R:R long setup.
Lower Timeframe Analysis on EUR/JPYIn this trade, I intend to open a long position.
Looking at the lower timeframes (15-minute chart), I see a potential buying opportunity. After reaching the area near the 173.609 level, the pair reversed down to around 172.978, and then bounced back up. This movement may indicate the start of a reversal followed by a pullback.
Moving on to the higher timeframes (daily and weekly), the bullish candles are showing some strength, and the following technical indicators:
* 45-period Exponential Moving Average
* 70 and 95-period Simple Moving Averages
* Parabolic SAR
Are moving in line with the intended direction and objective, which may suggest a continuation of the upward trend.
That said, it's important to remember that despite this technical analysis, it's crucial to monitor economic data, news, and other fundamental factors that could affect this pair, since this assessment focuses solely on the technical side.
The long position tool displayed on the chart is just an additional aid to help support the entry decision.
EUR_JPY WILL GROW|LONG|
✅EUR_JPY will keep growing
Because the pair is in the uptrend
And recently broke the key level of 173.200
So we will be expecting
Bullish continuation
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.