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EURJPY trade ideas

EURJPY Analysis: Range Bounces & BreakoutHello traders! EURJPY is in a daily range and is offering three trading scenarios. The first scenario suggests the pair may react bearishly from the currently approached zone, setting up a bounce opportunity that could drive price lower toward the 162.130 area. The second scenario anticipates a bounce toward the 158.400 area, if price reaches the support zone of the range. The third scenario anticipates a breakout above the resistance zone, followed by a retest, which could present a strong opportunity for continuation toward the 169.300 area. Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure. There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you. At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
Short
by davidavasalcai
34
EURJPYnterest Rate Differential European Central Bank (ECB): Deposit rate: 2.25% (cut by 25 bps in April 2025). Outlook: Markets expect two more cuts in 2025, potentially lowering rates to 1.75% by year-end, as tariff risks and weak growth persist. Bank of Japan (BoJ): Policy rate: 0.50% (held steady in May). Outlook: BoJ lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% (from 1.0%) due to U.S. tariff risks and weak Q1 data. Rate hikes are unlikely until 2026. Differential: ~1.75% in favor of EUR, though ECB easing may narrow this gap. Key Economic Data for May 2025 Eurozone Q1 GDP Growth (Final): 0.3% QoQ (vs. preliminary 0.4%), marking the fifth straight quarter of growth. Germany (+0.2%), Spain (+0.6%), and Italy (+0.3%) outperformed France (+0.1%). Risks: U.S. tariffs on EU exports (potentially 20% starting July) threaten future growth. ECB Policy Signals: ECB President Lagarde emphasized a data-dependent approach, with further cuts likely if inflation remains subdued. Japan Q1 GDP Contraction: -0.7% annualized (vs. -0.2% expected), driven by weak exports (-5.0%) and stagnant consumption. U.S. tariffs on Japanese autos (24%) and machinery exacerbate recession risks. BoJ Caution: Governor Ueda warned of "downside risks" from trade tensions, signaling no near-term rate hikes despite inflation above target. Directional Bias for EUR/JPY Short-Term (May–June 2025): Bullish EUR/JPY ECB’s higher rates (vs. BoJ’s 0.50%) sustain the euro’s yield advantage. Japan’s weak GDP and tariff vulnerabilities keep JPY under pressure. Medium-Term (H2 2025): Neutral-to-Bearish ECB rate cuts (to 1.75%) could narrow the rate differential, reducing EUR appeal. Safe-haven JPY demand may rise if U.S.-EU/Japan tariff tensions escalate. #SHAVYFXHUB #EURJPY #JAPAN #EUROPE #EURO #yen #fx #forex
by Shavyfxhub
EURJPYnterest Rate Differential European Central Bank (ECB): Deposit rate: 2.25% (cut by 25 bps in April 2025). Outlook: Markets expect two more cuts in 2025, potentially lowering rates to 1.75% by year-end, as tariff risks and weak growth persist. Bank of Japan (BoJ): Policy rate: 0.50% (held steady in May). Outlook: BoJ lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% (from 1.0%) due to U.S. tariff risks and weak Q1 data. Rate hikes are unlikely until 2026. Differential: ~1.75% in favor of EUR, though ECB easing may narrow this gap. Key Economic Data for May 2025 Eurozone Q1 GDP Growth (Final): 0.3% QoQ (vs. preliminary 0.4%), marking the fifth straight quarter of growth. Germany (+0.2%), Spain (+0.6%), and Italy (+0.3%) outperformed France (+0.1%). Risks: U.S. tariffs on EU exports (potentially 20% starting July) threaten future growth. ECB Policy Signals: ECB President Lagarde emphasized a data-dependent approach, with further cuts likely if inflation remains subdued. Japan Q1 GDP Contraction: -0.7% annualized (vs. -0.2% expected), driven by weak exports (-5.0%) and stagnant consumption. U.S. tariffs on Japanese autos (24%) and machinery exacerbate recession risks. BoJ Caution: Governor Ueda warned of "downside risks" from trade tensions, signaling no near-term rate hikes despite inflation above target. Directional Bias for EUR/JPY Short-Term (May–June 2025): Bullish EUR/JPY ECB’s higher rates (vs. BoJ’s 0.50%) sustain the euro’s yield advantage. Japan’s weak GDP and tariff vulnerabilities keep JPY under pressure. Medium-Term (H2 2025): Neutral-to-Bearish ECB rate cuts (to 1.75%) could narrow the rate differential, reducing EUR appeal. Safe-haven JPY demand may rise if U.S.-EU/Japan tariff tensions escalate. #SHAVYFXHUB #EURJPY #JAPAN #EUROPE #EURO #yen #fx #forex
by Shavyfxhub
EURJPYInterest Rate Differential European Central Bank (ECB): Deposit rate: 2.25% (cut by 25 bps in April 2025). Outlook: Markets expect two more cuts in 2025, potentially lowering rates to 1.75% by year-end, as tariff risks and weak growth persist. Bank of Japan (BoJ): Policy rate: 0.50% (held steady in May). Outlook: BoJ lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% (from 1.0%) due to U.S. tariff risks and weak Q1 data. Rate hikes are unlikely until 2026. Differential: ~1.75% in favor of EUR, though ECB easing may narrow this gap. Key Economic Data for May 2025 Eurozone Q1 GDP Growth (Final): 0.3% QoQ (vs. preliminary 0.4%), marking the fifth straight quarter of growth. Germany (+0.2%), Spain (+0.6%), and Italy (+0.3%) outperformed France (+0.1%). Risks: U.S. tariffs on EU exports (potentially 20% starting July) threaten future growth. ECB Policy Signals: ECB President Lagarde emphasized a data-dependent approach, with further cuts likely if inflation remains subdued. Japan Q1 GDP Contraction: -0.7% annualized (vs. -0.2% expected), driven by weak exports (-5.0%) and stagnant consumption. U.S. tariffs on Japanese autos (24%) and machinery exacerbate recession risks. BoJ Caution: Governor Ueda warned of "downside risks" from trade tensions, signaling no near-term rate hikes despite inflation above target. Directional Bias for EUR/JPY Short-Term (May–June 2025): Bullish EUR/JPY ECB’s higher rates (vs. BoJ’s 0.50%) sustain the euro’s yield advantage. Japan’s weak GDP and tariff vulnerabilities keep JPY under pressure. Medium-Term (H2 2025): Neutral-to-Bearish ECB rate cuts (to 1.75%) could narrow the rate differential, reducing EUR appeal. Safe-haven JPY demand may rise if U.S.-EU/Japan tariff tensions escalate. #SHAVYFXHUB #EURJPY #JAPAN #EUROPE #EURO #yen #fx #forex
by Shavyfxhub
EURJPY Will Explode! BUY! My dear friends, EURJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 162.89 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 163.75 Recommended Stop Loss - 162.45 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/JPY forecast 🚨 **EUR/JPY Trade Setup** 📅 *Date:* April 24, 2025 💰 *Pair:* EUR/JPY 📊 *Timeframe:* M3/ M5 **Current Price:** 162.778 📍 **Sell Limit:** 162.917 🛑 **Stop Loss:** 162.969 🎯 **Setup Status:** Pending Execution We’re waiting for **EUR/JPY** to pull back into the **162.917** supply zone to activate our **sell limit**. Stop loss is tight at 162.969, maintaining minimal risk on this setup. 📉 *Bias:* Bearish If price taps the entry and rejects, we expect a downside move targeting lower intraday liquidity zones. 🔑 **Key Levels to Watch:** * **Entry Zone:** 162.917 * **SL:** 162.969 * **Reaction Zone:** Watching lower timeframes for confirmation after entry
Short
by pipnest
EUR/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT Hello, Friends! We are going short on the EUR/JPY with the target of 163.215 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
EURJPY H1 Analysis – Wave 4 Retracement in Play🕐 Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 17 May 2025 📌 Pair: EURJPY ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook: • Price is in a clear bearish trend, respecting lower highs and lower lows. • Awesome Oscillator (AO) shows bearish convergence — momentum is weakening but still bearish overall. • Price retraced to the 2.618–2.786 extension zone (162.902–162.982), a common wave 4 reaction level. • This zone may act as a rejection area, setting up for the start of wave 5. ⸻ 🔧 Elliott Wave Structure: • ✅ Wave 1–3: Completed with strong bearish momentum. • 🟡 Wave 4: Likely completed at 162.982 or may slightly extend, but momentum is fading. • 🔴 Wave 5: Expected next move — continuation to the downside. ⸻ 📍 Key Levels: • 🔺 Wave 4 Resistance Zone: 162.902–162.982 • 🔻 Potential Wave 5 Target: • 🎯 TP1: 162.000 • 🎯 TP2: 161.835 (Fib 4.236 extension) • 🎯 TP3 (Extension): 161.50 or lower if selling accelerates ⸻ 🧠 Strategy: 1. Monitor price action at 162.982 — if rejected, likely wave 4 completed. 2. Look for bearish engulfing / momentum candles for entry signal. 3. Short Setup Idea: • Entry: Below 162.88–162.90 after confirmation • SL: Above wave 4 high (163.12 or tighter at 163.00) • TP: 100+ pip potential — trailing to lock profit ⸻ ✅ Summary: • AO confirms bearish convergence → weak momentum • Price hit Fib confluence zone → wave 4 likely done • Wave 5 could give 100+ pips to the downside • Wait for confirmation, then short the breakdown
Short
by AwesomeOscDad
EURJPY Expected Growth! BUY! My dear subscribers, EURJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 163.88 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 164.26 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/JPY Bearish Pin Bar After Failed Run at 165.00If looking for Yen-strength, EUR/JPY makes for a compelling argument especially against USD/JPY and GBP/JPY. the pair is spending its ninth consecutive week showing resistance at the 163.00-163.38 zone and this week, bulls had an open door to run a breakout until they got caught at the 165.00 handle. That led to a strong pullback and as you can see from the weekly bar below, there's currently a pin bar that can also be argued as a shooting star formation. The weekly close will be key here as the Monday breakout was reversed later in the week, and seeing whether bears have the motivation to continue pushing will be telling as to whether JPY-strength has more potential for next week. Longer-term, there's still a descending triangle in here with support down around the 155.00 handle. The 160 level would need to be dealt with first as that was a big spot of support in March/April, but it does provide some additional context in the event that a larger case of JPY-strength appears. - js
by FOREXcom
EUR/JPY Long Setup – Bullish Reversal from Key Support Zone Entry Point: 162.227 Stop Loss: 161.629 Take Profit (Target): 166.778 Current Price: ~162.798 Risk/Reward Ratio: Risk: ~60 pips Reward: ~455 pips Risk/Reward ≈ 1:7.6 (strong setup) 🔍 Technical Insights Support Zone: The purple rectangle around 162.227 to 162.000 is identified as a key demand zone or support area. Price has tested this zone previously and appears to be bouncing off it. Price Structure: The pattern suggests a potential double-bottom or reversal structure forming. A rounded recovery projection is drawn, implying bullish momentum is expected. Moving Averages: A red (shorter period) moving average is crossing below the price. A blue (longer period) moving average near the support zone could act as dynamic support. Target Area: 166.778 marks a clear resistance or prior high and is labeled as the “EA Target Point”. This is a logical profit-taking zone based on past price action. ✅ Bullish Trade Bias Justification Strong support reaction near entry. Favorable risk/reward ratio. Reversal pattern potential. Confluence with moving average support. ⚠️ Considerations Ensure confirmation from a bullish candle or reversal signal before entry. Be mindful of macroeconomic events or EUR/JPY fundamentals that might impact volatility.
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
19
EURJPY Will Fall! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for EURJPY. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 164.491. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 163.510 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1