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Euro / New Zealand Dollar

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EURNZD trade ideas

EURNZD: Steep Channel continuation setupEURNZD continues to rise within a steep ascending channel, maintaining a well-structured sequence. No signs of exhaustion are evident yet, as bullish momentum remains strong and price action continues to respect both the midline and lower boundary of the channel. This ongoing strength suggests that buyers remain in control, and unless we see a clear shift in structure, such as a break below channel support or loss of momentum, the trend remains intact. 🟢 Trend Bias: I remain bullish on EURNZD while price stays within this channel. Any pullbacks toward the lower channel boundary or previous breakout zones may offer continuation opportunities. 🎯 Target: My upside target is 1.983 , which aligns with the projected upper boundary of the ascending channel and makes a good technical target if the structure continues to hold. 🟥 Invalidation: A confirmed breakdown below the channel with follow-through would challenge this bias and signal the possibility of a deeper corrective move. For now, the structure favors trend continuation over reversal. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TrendDiva
30
EURNZD Is Bullish! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for EURNZD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.944. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.965. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
5
EURNZD – Bearish Reversal Expected from Channel Top ResistanceEURNZD has reached the upper boundary of a well-defined ascending channel on the 2H chart and printed a rejection wick, suggesting exhaustion and potential for a pullback. The pair is likely to retrace toward the channel midline or base, with downside targets near 1.9423 and 1.9264, assuming confirmation follows. 🧠 Fundamentals: EUR Drivers: ECB remains cautious with weak Eurozone inflation and rising recession risks. Recent German and Eurozone data (retail sales, factory orders) disappointed. Political instability in France and ECB’s dovish tone are capping upside momentum in the euro. NZD Drivers: RBNZ remains one of the more hawkish central banks, reiterating restrictive stance despite slowing inflation. Dairy auctions improved recently, adding strength to NZD fundamentals. China exposure is a double-edged sword — optimism helps, but slowdown risk remains. 🔍 Technical Structure: Clear ascending channel from mid-June remains intact. Price rejected perfectly at the upper trendline near 1.9585. Strong bearish divergence may form if rejection persists. Bearish scenario targets the 1.9423 zone first (support + midline), then 1.9264 (bottom of channel). Invalid if price breaks and closes above 1.9600 on strong volume. ⚠️ Risk Factors: A sudden euro bid from safe-haven demand or ECB surprise could break the channel. NZD weakness could emerge if China disappoints or RBNZ shifts tone unexpectedly. 🔁 Leader/Lagger Dynamics: EURNZD often lags risk-sensitive NZD pairs (like NZDJPY, NZDCAD), especially during Asia session moves. However, during European hours, EUR’s tone can dominate due to ECB speeches or EU data. ✅ Trade Bias: Bearish TP1: 1.9423 TP2: 1.9264 SL: Above 1.9600 Event to Watch: ECB speakers this week China CPI/PPI (affects NZD) US CPI (indirect cross-pressure on both currencies) 📌 Look for bearish confirmation on the 2H/4H candle close below 1.9540. Risk-reward favors a tactical short if the channel structure holds.
Short
by ultreosforex
4
EURNZDEU10Y= 2.602% EUR INTEREST RATE after governing council decision 25basis point on deposit facility 2% main refinancing operation 2.15% and marginal lending facility 2.40% NZ10Y=4.56% NZD INTEREST RATE =3.25%The current Official Cash Rate (OCR) in New Zealand is 3.25%. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) last updated this rate on May 28, 2025, with the next update scheduled for July 9, 2025.. The OCR is the main tool used by the RBNZ to manage inflation and maintain price stability. A higher OCR generally leads to higher interest rates across the economy, which can help to cool down inflation. Conversely, a lower OCR can stimulate economic activity by lowering interest rates. What is the OCR? official cash rate is used to achieve and maintain price stability. New Zealand's central bank is called Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL =1.96% INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL=1.25% CARRY TRADE ADVANTAGE= FAVOUR EURNZD sell , but the internal demand structure break of supply roof shows that buying will continue despite yield and interest rate differential in favor of NZD The technicality of sell will be on the confluence on ascending trendline supply roof . UPCOMING FUNDAMENTAL DATA REPORT. New Zealand Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Monetary Policy Review Date: July 9, 2025 Consensus: RBNZ is widely expected to hold the Official Cash Rate at 3.25%. Most major banks and economists forecast no change, though a minority expect a 25 basis point cut. Markets anticipate only one more cut this year, likely in Q3. Q2 2025 Inflation Data Date: July 21, 2025 Significance: This release will be closely watched for signs of persistent or easing price pressures, which could influence future RBNZ policy decisions. Labor Market Data Next Release: Early August 2025 (Q2 data) Recent Trend: Unemployment rate stable at 5.1% in Q1, with employment growth of 0.1%. Eurozone ECB Policy Announcements Next Meeting: July 18, 2025 Focus: Markets are watching for signals on the pace of further rate cuts, with the ECB expected to continue a gradual easing cycle as inflation moderates. Eurozone Inflation (CPI) Next Flash Estimate: July 17, 2025 Recent Data: June inflation at 2.0% year-on-year, in line with expectations. Eurozone GDP and Employment Next Release: July 30, 2025 (Q2 preliminary) Recent Data: Q1 GDP growth at 0.6% quarter-on-quarter; employment up 0.2%. Other Events to Watch Commodity Prices: Dairy auction results and global commodity trends can impact NZD. Chinese Economic Data: As a major trading partner, Chinese data releases (trade, GDP) can influence NZD and thus EURNZD. Summary Table: Major Upcoming Data Date Event/Release Region Expected Impact on EURNZD July 9, 2025 RBNZ Policy Decision New Zealand High (rate hold/cut) July 17, 2025 Eurozone Flash CPI Eurozone Moderate (inflation, ECB outlook) July 18, 2025 ECB Policy Meeting Eurozone High (rate guidance) July 21, 2025 NZ Q2 Inflation New Zealand High (future RBNZ moves) July 30, 2025 Eurozone Q2 GDP/Employment Eurozone Moderate Early Aug NZ Q2 Labor Market New Zealand Moderate Market Outlook EURNZD is sensitive to central bank policy divergence, inflation trends, and labor market data from both regions. RBNZ’s July 9 decision and Q2 inflation will be pivotal for NZD direction, while ECB’s July meeting and Eurozone inflation will shape EUR moves. Traders should also monitor commodity prices and Chinese economic releases for additional NZD volatility triggers. In summary: The next two weeks feature several high-impact events for EURNZD, led by the RBNZ policy review (July 9), Eurozone inflation and ECB meeting (July 17–18), and New Zealand’s Q2 inflation (July 21). These releases will set the tone for the cross, with policy signals and inflation data likely to drive volatility. #eurnzd
by Shavyfxhub
3
"Euro vs Kiwi Heist - Bullish Loot Opportunity!🔥 EURNZD BULL HEIST! Euro vs Kiwi Raid Plan (Swing/Day) 🚨💰 🌟 Attention, Market Bandits! 🌟 "The vault is cracked—time to grab the loot!" 🔮 Thief’s Intel (TA + FA): EURNZD is flashing BULLISH signals, but beware—overbought traps & police (bears) lurk near resistance! 🎯 ENTRY POINTS (Where to Strike!) 🟢 LONG RAID (Bullish Thieves): "Swipe the loot on pullbacks!" Buy limit orders (15-30min TF) near swing lows/highs. Aggressive heist? Enter any price—but watch for traps! 🛑 STOP-LOSS (Escape Plan) 📍 SL at recent swing low (2H TF) = 1.93500 (Adjust based on risk!) 💰 TAKE-PROFIT (Cash Out Before Cops Arrive!) 🎯 TP = 1.98500 (Or escape early near red zones!) ⚠️ WARNING: Police (Bears) Ahead! Overbought + Consolidation = Reversal risk! News = High alert! Avoid new trades during volatility. Trailing SL = Your getaway car! 📡 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works) Bullish momentum from COT data, macro trends & sentiment. Check full analysis for targets & intermarket clues! 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥 Like & Share to strengthen our crew! More alerts = More profits! 🚨 Next raid coming soon… Stay tuned, thieves! 🚨
Long
by Thief_Trader
EURNZD – Buy the Dip at Trendline and EMA SupportTrade Idea Type: Buy Limit Entry: 1.9367 Target: 1.9549 Stop Loss: 1.9306 Duration: Intraday Expires: 04/07/2025 06:00 Technical Overview The short-term bias remains positive, with intraday dips consistently attracting buyers. Price action suggests that the sequence of higher lows and higher highs is still intact, with no clear sign of trend exhaustion. Trendline support at 1.9330 and the 20-period 4H EMA at 1.9366 align near the proposed entry, strengthening the support zone. A rebound from this area could confirm continuation toward resistance at 1.9549. No major economic events are expected in the next 24 hours, allowing technical factors to dominate intraday price action. Key Technical Levels Support: 1.9360 / 1.9327 / 1.9262 Resistance: 1.9438 / 1.9488 / 1.9550 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by Signal_Centre1
SYMMETRYHey traders, hope you’re crushing it! 🚀 Spotted a crisp ABC Bullish Symmetry on the EUR/NZD 1-Hour chart—let’s break it down: 🧠 Pattern Breakdown A→B: 1.94537 → 1.93486 (pullback low) B→C: 1.93486 → 1.95882 (impulse high) C→D: 1.95882 → 1.94688 (corrective low) Point D lines up perfectly with the 100% expansion of the A→B move projected off C—textbook harmonic symmetry! ✅ Why This Works ABC Symmetry: CD ≈ AB in distance Fib Expansion: D hits the 100% A→B expansion from C Clear Structure: Strong impulse then neat corrective leg ⚔️ Trade Plan Trigger: Wait for an hourly close above 23.6% retrace of C→D at 1.95253 to confirm buyers. Entry Zone: 1.95253–1.94688 (our PCZ + expansion zone) Stop-Loss: Just below D at 1.94688 (e.g. 1.9455) Size: Risk 1–2% of your account 🎯 Profit Targets T1: 61.8% retrace of C→D → 1.96169 T2: 78.6% retrace of C→D → 1.96571 🔍 Confirmation & Invalidation Confirm: Bullish pin-bar or engulfing candle closing above 1.95253 Invalidate: Price closes below 1.94688 (point D) – scrap the idea Keep it simple: ABC → 100% Expansion → PCZ → Trigger → Ride. Respect that stop under D, let price do the talking, and make sure to watch for any EUR/NZD news for extra context. Trade safe and stack those pips! ✌️
Long
by TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
July 6, 2025: Strategic Forex Weekly OutlookWelcome back, traders! In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes. Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence. 📊 What to Expect in This Video: Higher timeframe trend analysis Key zones of interest and potential setups High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights! Have a great week ahead, God bless you! The Architect 🏛️📉
by The_Archi-tect