eurnzd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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EURNZD trade ideas
EURNZD Is Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.944.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.965.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EUR-NZD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD made a retest
Of the local horizontal resistance
Of 1.9485 so despite the uptrend
We are locally bearish biased
And we will be expecting a
Local bearish correction
On Monday
Sell!
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EURNZD Wave Analysis – 18 July 2025
- EURNZD reversed from the resistance area
- Likely to fall to support level 1.9400
EURNZD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance area between the major long-term resistance level 1.9655 (which has been reversing the price from the start of 2020) and the upper weekly Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the previous medium-term impulse wave (5).
Given the strength of the resistance level 1.9655, EURNZD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.9400.
EUR_NZD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅EUR_NZD is trading in an uptrend
Along the rising support line
Which makes me bullish biased
And the pair is about to retest the rising support
Thus, a rebound and a move up is expected
With the target of retesting the level above at 1.9544
LONG🚀
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EUR NZD SHORT RESULT Price reached the resistance zone and rejected at first and I was impatient to wait for a second confirmation before entering the short trade which was a big error and price continued to the upside, because price was in an overall bullish trend.
Better TA and more patient setups to come. _THE_KLASSIC_TRADER_.
EUR/NZD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/NZD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is evidently rising on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.924 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR_NZD RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅EUR_NZD has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 1.9500
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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EUR/NZD – Macro Outlook & Why It’s a Conviction LongMacro Thesis:
EUR/NZD presents one of the clearest long opportunities this week, supported by a sharp divergence in macro fundamentals, a favorable positioning landscape, and confirmation across sentiment and structural models.
🔍 Key Drivers:
1. Macro Fundamentals (ENDO):
The euro area maintains a relatively stable inflationary outlook with moderate growth, while the ECB remains cautious but not overly dovish.
In contrast, New Zealand is showing consistent deflationary pressure – inflation data is softening, M2 growth is stagnant, and real activity (PMI, Retail Sales, NFP) continues to cool. This creates a clean fundamental divergence in favor of the euro.
2. COT Positioning:
There is no excessive long build-up on the EUR side, and NZD remains weak across institutional positioning metrics. This opens the door for further upside without the risk of crowded positioning.
3. Z-Score (Positioning Extremes):
Z-Score data highlights NZD as sitting at an extreme negative reading (Z_Long < –1.7), suggesting it is fundamentally oversold and under institutional pressure. EUR, by contrast, is neutral.
This imbalance further validates the long EUR/NZD setup, particularly from a flow and momentum continuation standpoint.
4. EXO Models (Score, RR_w, Interest Rate Bias):
The pair scores well in weekly RR analysis, supported by strong ENDO/EXO bias convergence. NZD continues to lose monetary support (dovish IR & Overnight trends), while EUR stays relatively neutral.
From a structural model perspective, the bias is clearly long.
5. Sentiment Environment:
The global risk-on tone continues, but it’s paired with relative softness in commodity currencies like NZD. That dynamic adds additional fuel to the long side of EUR/NZD, especially while EUR remains resilient and stable.
✅ Summary & Trading Plan:
Bias: Long EUR/NZD
Conviction Level: High (9/10 – multi-layer confirmation)
Holding Horizon: 1–3 weeks
Invalidation: Exit on reversal of NZD macro tone or shift to risk-off globally
Why This Pair?
EUR/NZD offers one of the clearest expressions of fundamental divergence in the current macro environment.
You have stable inflation and steady growth in Europe versus a weakening macro pulse in New Zealand.
There are no major positioning risks, sentiment supports the setup, and structurally the pair aligns with the broader market tone.
Clean macro. Clean structure. No crosswinds.
EURNZD: Bears Will Push Lower
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURNZD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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EUR/NZD Eyes Further Gains After 600-Pip RallyEUR/NZD became bullish after dropping to the 1.8850 area. Since then, the price has moved up by about 600 pips. Right now, it is at an important resistance level. If the price breaks above this resistance and holds, it could continue to rise toward the next target around 1.9650. This breakout could be a sign that buyers are still strong and aiming for higher levels.
EUR_NZD LOCAL SHORT|
✅EUR_NZD is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 1.9488
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 1.9420
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.