NETHERLANDS 25 (AEX)I will update the FUNDEMENTALS soon . (working on it) but lets wait and watch for the buy point.
And soon i will update you if the fundemental is going with the TA.
AEX trade ideas
bullish falling pennentOANDA:NL25EUR . Looking for a break of de falling pennant to the up side, take de entrie if all conditons are met. so,
stoch croosed up, heikin ashi green and a bullish candlepattern.
long nl 25, hit on bottom channelim going long OANDA:NL25EUR because price has hit de bottom of te rising channel. the k line has crossed de d line up on stoch and heikin ashi has turned green.
Long slow bullNow that the dutch AEX broke it's 2007 for some time .. what are the new expectations?
This is just a TA based view on patterns and indicators on weekly chart.
As we see the previous two bullruns put into trending channels we can see that the current one is the longest and less strong in terms of run up power.
With the top of 2007 behind us and the ATH of 703.18 it might be an even longer bull.
Leading US indexes have seen a stronger bull and are currently in consolidation phase for another leg up.. lack of selling pressure, multiple bullish patterns forming etc.. wich will drag other indices such as the AEX along with them.
The recent weekly trending channel suggests that for reaching the ATH of 703.18 would not be before 2023! wich brings us into another 4 years of bull at least.. as long global economy is presenting growth and announcing supportive measures wherever needed.
For now.. the bull is still on.
Just ride it.
NL25EUR-Will look to actively allocate, on the condition that the price remains above the yellow trend line(first one)
-Similar setups can be observed on OANDA:DE30EUR and OANDA:FR40EUR
AEX possible bullish bat setupI'm in the process of learning harmonics - please don't blindly trade based off this.
Another EUROPE stock market that's going bearishAEX is running out of steam and created a zone of rejection at the all time highs. Price is now likely to go down.
What might potentially happen:
- Price goes down to 540 area and bounce back
- Prices goes down to 540 area and break further down towards the 500-510 area.
AEX bull run over?Just an idea, I used fractals from the run before and it looks like the current situation. the RSI is bearish, and the 12345 eliott wave SHOULD be completed. This is just an experiment, don't trade based on this.
An Amateurs perspective, AEXHello Tradingview,
I'm an amateur when it comes to TA, I'm involved in Bitcoin and trying my best to learn as much as I can. I would not recommend trading on my analysis, I'd be suprised if anyone even considers it really.
Summary:
What you see here is the AEX weekly and may I say so myself, quite a bearish picture. But Don't forget I am an amateur if any seasoned traders could give their opinions and perhaps tips on my analysis if they think I missed something or am wrong about it then that'd be highly appreciated.
As I see it, it either breaks the .236 extension, which I drew from the bottom of the second wave down to the third wave up or breaks down and starts a mutli-year bear market. As you can see in 2000's we had a similar situation where we reached the .236 extension and made a nice rounded top and broke down starting a multi-year bear market. You can also see a clear Momentum divergence as it neared the end of the 5th wave, which is a requirement in Elliot Waves. Right now we are also doing just that! Wow! AEX is nearing the end of the 5th wave very obviously (if I may say so myself) with momentum divergence, that said it could still break trough the .236 extension and rally onto the .5. My personal approach in this situation would be selling of a decent chunk right here and see if it can still rally further and sell of the remainer there. My first analysis of the AEX and I predict a multi-year bear market to be followed, coming to your homes soon!
Furthermore you can also see an ABC correction on the chart before this bullrally which ended with a momentum divergence which is required for this irregular expanded flat. Another requirement was for wave C to be substiantially beyond the bottom of wave A, AEX is a perfect example. That was my analysis, my two satoshi's on the matter. Hope RTLZ doesn't start ridiculing me on TV. Though if they do, I urge you to sell immediatly.
Conclusion:
Break .236 extension = rally to 0.5 extension plausible (less it gets stopped out before that)
Rejection .236 extension = end of wave 5 and start of wave A in an ABC correction which is another word for the start of a multi-year bear market.
Hope you enjoyed this analysis. I might do an update and try and see if I can predict where the ABC correction might turn around if we get there.
Sell in may but remember September. Retail Investor Cheatsheetwww.investopedia.com
Here we have the Sell-in-may-and-go-away strategy applied to the AEX and what would have happened historically had you used this strategy. I use the monthly chart.
Vertical lines:
Green = Buy (september)
Red = Sell (may)
Rectangles:
Green = profited on the strategy
Red = lost on the strategy
light blue = Holding would have been more profitable than buy/selling for this period of time (notably in clear uptrends)
Overall it looks like this strategy doesn't work for the AEX, though we'd have to calculate our returns and losses to know for sure.
Buy and hold clearly looks like a winner (but remember the secret third step in this strategy ;KNOW WHEN TO SELL; )
Hier is de Sell-in-may-and-go-away strategie toegepast op de AEX index en wat historisch zou zijn gebeurd had je deze strategie gebruikt. U ziet de maandelijkse kaart.
Verticale lijnen:
Groen = Kopen (september)
Rood = Verkopen (mei)
Balkjes:
Licht blauw = Kopen en vasthouden is winstgevend hier.
Over het algemeen lijkt deze strategie niet erg goed te werken, maar we zouden onze winst/verliezen daarvoor moeten berekenen om er zeker van te zijn.
Wel is duidelijk dat Kopen&Vasthouden veel beter werkt, maar vergeet dan niet de geheime 3e stap ;WETEN WANNEER JE MOET VERKOPEN;.
AEX perfect rising wedge, top for world Indices?This time i will analyze my own AEX (Netherlands) index. It has formed a textbook rising wedge. Other exchanges are looking more bullish, and the AEX is everything but leading but sometimes it does indicate to where the market is heading. First target is around 550, could still see a false breakout on the upside first.
AEX Verwachting van AEX:
Eerst testen van Highs op 565-580 om vervolgens te dalen richting:
1. 520; daarna richting
2. 480; en als de vlam in de pan slaat dan naar:
3. 375-385
The Most Volatile Stock MarketVolatility continues to be the name of the game this year. Emerging markets like the Argentina Merval highlight upside growth potential. Can the volatility continue or are we seeing another Pre 2008 financial crisis scenario? Trading Forex / CFDs is High Risk.
AEX CONSOLIDATION PATTERNSCypher pattern AEX. Price moving in consolidation. RSI oversold. Good luck
GBP/JPY Intraday: Worth looking atAlthough a bit risky due to the questionable longer term outlook, we do think GBP/JPY is worth looking at for an intraday long setup. Due to the elevated risk, we opt for a relatively tight stop.
Long @ market (149.55)
Target @ 153.25
SL @ 148.25
Expected time frame: 0-4 weeks
OANDA:GBPJPY
AEX Index Amsterdam: Feeling very heavyThe near-term outlook (420-minute intraday) remains bearish: the recent swings have been fierce but remain below the 50% retracement at ~540. Clearing minor triggers at 532 should ring in a renewed sell-off towards 528.40 and roughly 520. With stops above 540 this is a very favourable short-setup.
For the longer term things have become a bit tricky. Albeit premature, the weekly chart does show the contours of a large H&S reversal pattern. It is not our favourite pattern, but the location and symmetry are noteworthy and should be taken into consideration. Furthermore, virtually all underlying stocks are bearish to varying degrees with the exception of Ahold-Delhaize and Philips Lights. In other words, there is a lot of market breadth for a considerable decline.
We suggest shorting the near-term and covering only partially at 520. Maintain the rest of the shorts with (liberal) trailing stops. 480, 458.50 are realistic targets if the H&S actually pans out over the next weeks.
OANDA:NL25EUR
AEX Like all indices we're shorting like a hot ass beachparty! It looks like pandemonium is here.. and we are all witnessing history in the making.. This first burst down was only the beginning. Bulls are getting trapped. The bounce gives false hope on the longside.. We are bearish over at TTV and giving sell signals for all major indices and lots of popular stocks . Beware of unfolding mayhem and take advantage of this time of fear in the markets! TP 1 523.4 TP 2 517.4 To be continued.....
