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4AAL trade ideas

AAL "Long" I had a long from 10.02 but closed it at 10.80.. then I noticed AAL broke some resistances and also the channel it was sitting on which made me buy some calls for tomorrow! American Airlines earning date is on April 30 which is probably when the big shorts will come in.. Airlines have been one of the worst-performing stocks lately while many other companies that are closed have still pumped.. maybe its time AAL shines for a couple of days! Resistance lines are shown, we ideally wanna keep 11.14 holding if we are going to shoot for 12+ tomorrow.. maybe FOMO will get to people who knows.. Good Luck!
NASDAQ:AALLong
by mzombie2
AAL Showing a Good Sign with its Market BehaviourWelcome to Profitlio Trading! What's up traders! Thanks for Jumping back on my Analysis, Traderchamp is here on your Service, Also hit thumbs up and support the work. This is going to be a perfect sign for gains in AAL market. As of it failed to break the diagonal support it has formed. Look into the highlighted eclipse and good place for a long term buying opportunities. Sketch up your own trade setup before you take off. Our Previous selling banked with 100+ Pips and Good Luck! Profitlio Trading ( Since 2014 in Financial Markets ) ________________________________________________ Traders Disclaimer: Non of our analysis or trade setups being shared here on tradingview is a trading advice. As we keep on weekly updates with our predictions and expectations. We may take them as a trade only if trade setup meets the required criteria ( Confirmations ). Unless we will never take them as a trade if it never reach our trading requirements. Take them at your own risk as trading is highly risky and you may loss your investments. Our trades are based on Swinging and Mid to long term approaches. All trades executed will be handled under the name of Profitlio Trading only.
NASDAQ:AALLong
by Profitlio_Trading
3
$AAL EPS Projection = -$2.47 / Falling WedgeI will be looking for $AAL to follow this falling wedge downwards and likely lag till earnings. Earnings may cause more downside. Wall Street Journal EPS Projection: -$1.83 More realistic EPS: -$2.47 I believe revenue projections are heavily understated as shown by Ford. $UAL has quarterly revenues under 10 billion and predicted a revenue loss in march alone at 1.5 billion . $AAL I am betting will have lost more revenue than 1.5 billion in March. If we take into account $UAL projecting losses of 1.5billion in March when their revenue is under 10 billion a quarter it is safe to say that $AAL would lose 1.5 billion in revenue as well, which is generous because they could have lost more. Projected Revenues/Expenses/Net Income/EPS Operating Expense for Q1: 10.157 billion Operating Expenses for January: 3.386 billion Operating Expenses for February: 3.386 billion Operating Expenses for March: 3.386 billion Operating Revenue for Q1: 10.757 billion Operating Revenue for January: 3.585 billion Operating Revenue for February: 3.585 billion Operating Revenue for March if it were a normal month, based on trends: 3.585 billion Non operating expenses: 158 million Net income in January: 200 million Net income in February: 200 million (generous) Expected losses in revenue for March: 1.5 billion Expected Operating revenue for March: 2.085 billion. Net income in March: -1.3billion 200 mill + 200 mill -1.3billion - 158 million = -1.058 billion before taxes No clue how this loss would be taxed, so let's just leave that alone, but this means their real net income after tax will be worse than -1.058 billion -1.058 billion / 428.2million weighted outstanding shares = -$2.47 EPS or worse. This is important because a normal falling wedge like this would break towards the upside, however if earnings are truly this bad I believe there may be more downside.
NASDAQ:AALShort
by bishopknight
American Airlines (AAL) Pros Trading at 68% below its fair value Earnings are forecast to grow 29% per year AAL returned 33.2% last week AAL is good value based on its PE Ratio (3.3) AAL is good value based on its PEG Ratio (0.1) AALs Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years' time. AALs dividend (3.2%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.82%) During the past 3 Months, Insiders have bought 54000 shares (approx $1.1m) Cons AALs Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow Has an unstable dividend track record Highly volatile share price over the past 3 months Down 63.9% over the last year AALs revenue is forecasted to grow slower than the US market per year AAL had a large 1 off loss of $652.0M impacting its December 31, 2019, financial results AALs earnings have declined by -31.8% per year over the past 5 years AAL has negative shareholder equity, which is more serious than a high level of debt Banks/Funds have been downgrading AAL Report: From a technical standpoint, rising trendline support held at 886, however, we broke sharply out of the descending channel at (A) to the downside which we really need to get back inside and stay above resistance at (1). A break out of the descending channel to the upside and above resistance would be considered a buy signal (based on chart pattern analysis). Technical Indicators are showing early signs of curling, which 'could' suggest that the bottom is in. But further confirmation of this is necessary. From a Fundamental standpoint, the data is mixed (as listed above). Bottomcatchers Opinion: In our opinion, the mixed fundamental data is slightly skewed positive, which suggests future growth looks promising. However, the technical chart is showing a risk/reward ratio that's skewed negatively (at this stage). That's not to say this security is not a good buy, it simply means caution is needed. Buying above resistance which comes in at 1503 would be considered an aggressive buy, but one that could play out providing we stay above resistance. A break out of the descending channel to the upside would be good confirmation that we are probably in an uptrend. So with all the information, we have to work with, my call for this trade would be to buy above resistance and use the resistance level (which would become support at 1503) as a stop loss area. Further buying opportunities would present themselves above the top descending channel trendline at (1). With a target at September 2016 lows, which comes in at 3392. Time Frame for this trade set-up is medium to long term.
NASDAQ:AAL
by rapidrunners
3