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4ABNB trade ideas

ABNB Weekly & Daily Timeframe In this analysis of #ABNB on the weekly timeframe, the price has reached the demand zone marked by the gray rectangle, indicating a potential area of buying interest. Additionally, there is a ("False Breakout") below the lower boundary of the demand zone at 113.23, where the price briefly dipped below this level before returning inside. This false breakout suggests that the recent downward movement might not be sustainable. The trading volume has increased as the price attempts to move back above the demand zone, reinforcing the significance of this area as potential support. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) has reached an oversold area below 30, indicating that the stock may be experiencing excessive selling pressure. See the next chart for daily analysis.
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by Fiilv
$ABNB (Potential Bullish Reversal)Aug 8, 2024: EOD price $114.63 - Monthly: the stock price has fallen 18% - Weekly: price retraced to fib 61.8% (bullish range: 12/28/22 - 03/21/23) - Daily: RSI is under 24, MACD is still red to the downside - 4hr, MACD is curling up (same with RSI); inside candle, above open at $113.98 In call options: NASDAQ:ABNB $118c exp 8/16/2024 @ $1.14. Delta: 30 | Gamma: 6.7 | Theta: -12.69 | Vega: 5.88 Entry: $114.51 Target Price (TP): $119.99 (50%+ on contract) Stop Loss: $113 (50-60% on contract) Reward-to-Reward: 3.42-to-1 ratio Next Steps: - Monitor trade tomorrow, Friday, Aug 9 - Monitor /ES & /NQ to ensure price doesn't reverse on me drastically - Keep TP and Stop Loss
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by Brandonthrives
Clear Buy opp ABNB (Shorterm/MidTerm) Fundamental - Stock earnings are increasing - Stock outlook of earnings is positive Technical - Stock lays on a bottom. Seems that the support is given more than earlier. - Large Buy order is spotted in the Volume. Impact is minimal. Macro - Renting is places is a growing trend. With travelling back to pre-level Corona times this could be seen as a growth opportunity for the company. Risk - Understanding that all over the world people protesting RBNB because of rising housing prices makes it understandable that more regulation will deduct earnings in the future. But I expect the scale to be minimal. - New Tax rules make it harder retain current costumers in European city's -- impact is unclear.
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by leohanhart1996
$ABNB Doomed: Stock to $50 (-50%) NASDAQ:ABNB Doomed: Stock to $50 (-50%) Occasionally in your career, you get a really clear signal. The technicals, fundamentals, and narrative all line up perfectly. I dislike this company, its business model, and the fact that it enables even more Boomers and private money to take family homes off the market. The hosts are adversarial, controlling, and almost certainly spying on you. Airbnb can only thrive under the halcyon conditions of low interest rates, easy money, and consumers with disposable income. None of this is true, or likely to be true in the coming 24 months. Americans are declaring bankruptcy at record levels, real wages haven't been lower in a lifetime, and inflation has reduced vacations and luxuries to a trip to McDonald’s. Not joking—a recent headline declared that nearly 80% of Americans consider McDonald's a luxury. Many hosts are overburdened and overleveraged with mostly vacant properties. Unsurprisingly, hosts' profitability is sinking, and as soon as we see home prices or consumer sentiment start to shake, many of these owners are going to sell. This will fuel a spiraling doom-loop, driving the stock down to as low as $50 by next summer. The trade: Rejection at the lower highs of '22 and '24 (in yellow) has set up the rising wedge we just broke down from. In the same way rejection at $200 in '22 saw a -60% move, I believe rejection at $170 this year has set us up for another leg down in a precipitous drop. Short from $125 to about $65. If you're not already bearish and short, look out for a bounce and gap fill to $120ish, before brutal rejection below $100. Get some popcorn; it’s going to be wild.
NASDAQ:ABNBShort
by dawsonMoonshot
7
Airbnb (NASDAQ: ABNB) Shares Plummet 14% on Earnings Miss Airbnb (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ABNB ) shares experienced a significant drop of 14% in after-hours trading following the company's second-quarter earnings report, which failed to meet analysts' expectations. Additionally, the company cautioned about potential slowing demand from U.S. customers, raising concerns among investors about its future growth prospects.** Earnings Miss and Revenue Growth For the quarter ended June 30, Airbnb reported: - Earnings per share (EPS): 86 cents (compared to 92 cents expected by analysts) - Revenue: $2.75 billion (slightly above the $2.74 billion expected) While revenue increased by 11% year-over-year, Airbnb's net income dropped to $555 million, or 86 cents per share, down 15% from $650 million, or 98 cents per share, in the same quarter last year. Signs of Slowing Demand Airbnb's management highlighted several areas of concern: - The company anticipated a moderation in year-over-year growth in its key “Nights and Experiences” category. - There were shorter booking lead times globally. - There were signs of slowing demand from U.S. guests, a critical market for Airbnb. Despite these warnings, the company reported that users booked 125.1 million Nights and Experiences, marking its highest second-quarter result to date. Regional Performance and Quality Initiatives Airbnb noted continued growth across all regions compared to Q2 2023, with Asia Pacific and Latin America leading the way. This regional growth, however, was overshadowed by the warning signs in the U.S. market. To improve the quality of listings on its platform, Airbnb (NASDAQ: ABNB) has removed more than 200,000 low-quality listings since launching its “quality system” over a year ago. This initiative aims to enhance the user experience by ensuring higher standards for the properties listed. Investor Concerns and Market Reactions Investors are closely monitoring consumer behavior, especially given the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rate adjustments. The broader economic context has shown mixed signals, with companies like McDonald's reporting that consumers are feeling economic pressures, as indicated by a recent drop in same-store sales. Airbnb’s forecast for third-quarter revenue ranges between $3.67 billion and $3.73 billion. However, the cautionary notes regarding future growth and demand have amplified investor concerns, contributing to the sharp decline in share value. Technical Outlook Shares of Airbnb (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ABNB ) stock have experienced a 16% decline in after-hours trading, suggesting an impending gap down in Wednesday's trading session. The daily price chart reveals a consistent rising wedge pattern, swiftly succeeded by a falling wedge pattern, indicative of ongoing buyer-seller conflicts and offering insights into the stock's forthcoming significant milestone. Adding to the bearish sentiment surrounding NASDAQ:ABNB , the stock exhibits an after-hours Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 22, signaling unfavorable conditions for the stock's performance at the commencement of tomorrow's trading session. Conclusion Airbnb's second-quarter earnings report has stirred significant apprehension among investors, primarily due to its warnings of slowing demand in the U.S. market and the missed earnings expectations. While the company continues to see strong performance in regions like Asia Pacific and Latin America, the potential headwinds in its key market could pose challenges moving forward. As Airbnb navigates these complexities, the market will be keenly observing its strategic responses and any further signals of consumer sentiment.
NASDAQ:ABNBShort
by DEXWireNews
Airbnb (ABNB): Bleak Outlook or Potential Turnaround? 🏠Airbnb (ABNB): NASDAQ:ABNB Airbnb's outlook appears quite bleak at a glance. We've experienced a break in the downtrend, and since January 2023, there has been an uptrend. However, we anticipate this might not last long as the complete cycle has not yet concluded. Since the IPO, the price initially surged to $220, then fell to $82. We now expect a rise towards a Y-Wave, or Wave II, hitting between the 61.8% and 78.6% retracement levels, equating to a range between $167 and $190. Following this, we predict Wave III will drop well below Wave 1's low of $82, potentially reaching around $30. It's important to note this is a multi-year scenario that won't unfold overnight. Still, it's crucial to be aware of the long-term perspective. Should the price exceed the 78.6% mark, or $190, our scenario would be invalidated, indicating that the bottom was indeed found at $82.40. Until such a development, we anticipate a declining trend for Airbnb.
NASDAQ:ABNBShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
Airbnb (ABNB): Time to Short!I love Airbnb for vacations but this chart really isn't looking so good... It is the only stock we are currently looking to short. Airbnb has consistently shown lower prices since its inception, despite a recent period of higher highs since hitting a low of $82. We remain confident in the continued downward trend. The movements from point A to B and B to C align well with Fibonacci extension and retracement levels. The retracement for Wave (2) is particularly notable at the 61.8% level. We believe we are currently within Wave (3). We want to time the short entry based on anticipated Elliott wave counts. We anticipate a further decline in the short term, followed by a potential rise in the coming weeks. We plan to place our short position during this anticipated rise in Wave 2. We will continue to monitor the price action closely and provide a detailed update with exact entry and exit points once we are ready to place the short position.
NASDAQ:ABNBShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
7/11/24 - $abnb - LT winner but ST headwinds7/11/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ABNB LT winner but ST headwinds - best in class - generates healthy >4% fcf yield - 30x PE (in theory) expensive - but opex leverage not normalized in this environment - PF # probably closer to mid 20s in a smoothed scenario - size factor is ambiguous. 88 bn enterprise value not "small" (by any stretch) but also not a small cap that i tend to think r good beneficiaries of the current environment (read my take on AMEX:IWM from last night) - even the chart showing higher lows and higher highs since the '22 low in tech stonks - that's good - on it's equal weighted SPXEW pair looks sideways, unconvincing - this matters - if i didn't need to own the stock i'd probably not in the current environment - google trends are good/ not great - stalled bc of environment trends.google.com - i'd want to pick this up once we figure out what's happening w/ the rates picture. if this marches higher i have no problem letting it go - i don't think there's an obvious 10-15% upside here into YE w/o a lot of monitoring - if we get some sort of risk off, this is probably a weak link esp having just dipped below the 200d EMA... last few times it did that we saw a bit more dippity dip. not my bread and butter - but i use TA as a layer to my above thinking. - i like it more in the $120s. near $150 (like today) i'm ambivalent and see many other names that have better than low teens growth, cash generative, better GM's and trading cheaper than 8x. 6x. fine. 25x on current cons. PE. let's go. - sidelines. what do u think? V
NASDAQ:ABNB
by VROCKSTAR
1
ABNB TRADE IDEAWhen considering the forecast and the evidence that supports it, it is likely in wave three to a higher degree, which is the bread and butter of swing trading. That said, the safest wave three entry is often the break above wave one of three, but in this case, the 8 and 21 EMA gave a buy signal, weekly volume is ticking up, and the weekly RSI is holding above 40. Therefore, a break above the weekly 8EMA may be the buy signal we are looking for. For any trade, you need a reason to enter, which is listed, a valid stop, which would be the wave 2 of 3 low in this case, and a target, which will be at least the 161.8% extension, based on typical Elliot wave theory and the overall forecast.
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by BlueLineTradingLLC
PRIMARY FORECAST FOR ABNBWhile there is an alternate count that treats wave two as a flat correction, there is more evidence to support the listed forecast. Based on the high extension of wave one of three, it is likely that wave three will be extended and target the 260 zone. Currently, the weekly volume steadily increasing over the past few weeks supports that this could get moving to the upside soon. We will want to see the RSI hold above about 40 to confirm the count is correct and in fact in wave three on a higher degree.
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by BlueLineTradingLLC