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4ABNB trade ideas

ABNB Investment ThesisSlide 1 - Investment Thesis Global leader in alternative accommodations with strong growth prospects Benefits from network effects and high barriers to entry Rapidly recovering from pandemic, financials exceeding pre-Covid levels Significant runway for continued expansion in massive addressable market Slide 2 - Financial Performance - Revenue grew 70% in 2021 to $6B, expected to grow 35% in 2022 to over $8B - Net income of $1.9B in 2021 vs loss of $4.6B in 2020 - Strong profit margins - Gross: 63%, EBITDA: 29%, Net: 26% in 2021 - Robust free cash flow of $2.8B in 2021, cash balance of $9.9B Slide 3 - Growth Outlook - Total addressable market in lodging, experiences and other areas is over $3 trillion - Currently under 1% penetration of global lodging market - New offerings significantly expand TAM: - Airbnb Luxe (luxury rentals) - Airbnb Categories (specific rental types) - Airbnb Studios (urban apartments) - Positive booking trends - nights and experiences booked up 20%+ Slide 4 - Efficiency Asset turnover improved from 2020 to 2021 indicating increased efficiency Return on Equity of 67% in 2021 demonstrates highly efficient use of capital Slide 6 - Solvency Has a healthy balance sheet with $9.9B in cash and $2.9B in long-term debt Manageable debt levels at ~3x EBITDA Can generate sufficient cash flow to service debt obligations Slide 7 - Competitive Position - Powerful network effects - hosts attract guests and vice versa - Trust built through reputation system and reviews - Operates a two-sided marketplace - difficult to disrupt - Brand awareness, inventory density strengthen competitive advantages Slide 8 - Valuation - Average of valuation models suggests modest undervaluation: - Discounted cash flow model: $120 per share - Comps, multiples analysis: $110 - $135 per share - Consensus Wall Street price target of $170 implies ~15% upside - If executes on growth, substantial upside in stock over next 5 years Slide 9 - Recommendation Attractive risk/reward profile given leadership, TAM, competitive advantages Q4 2022 results beat expectations across key metrics Well-positioned to capitalize on rebound in travel demand Rating: Buy, Price Target = $180
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by ShukriMahadi
2
ABNB - Setting up for a big run Trading above 600 DMA ++ Golden cross pending. Price move to 160 in next few weeks, would make that happen. Inverse H&S pattern with the critical pivot line at 130. It will continue to ramp to 160. Quite a bit of selling to be absorbed until then. Next earnings are likely to start a fire to send this to 200. Bear case : Keeps selling below and breaches 115. Most likely will test ATL. No position yet, but I will go long next week once it backtests 130.
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by CheelooTrader
1
Trading is Patience #ABNBOnce you have selected a stock with decent fundamentals (review every month if the stock still fundamentally sound), then you just need the chart to tell you when to buy it. Trading is all about waiting/patience. When price is below the 20/50/200, you stay in cash. You wait. When price is above 20/50/200, you wait for a base/pullback and a trigger. In this example, there was a decent gap up breakout but got stopped out. So what? A good system just need a 30-40% winning rate. Look for a base and you WAIT.
NASDAQ:ABNBEducation
by sufiansaid
Will Airbnb break through after sortingWill Airbnb break through after triangle sorting ? This figure shows the Line chart chart of Airbnb stock in the last two years. The graph overlays the recent bottom-up golden section, as well as the connection between high and low points in the past two years, as well as the connection between low and low points. As shown in the figure, the Airbnb stock has broken through the previous downward trend line's upward pressure line, and has recently hit new pressure, starting to emerge from a clear triangular consolidation pattern! In the future, we should focus on the area near the end of the triangle consolidation, and see if the Airbnb stock can accelerate its upward breakthrough!
NASDAQ:ABNB
by Think_More
ABNB - BULLISH SCENARIOAirbnb, the industry leader in alternative stays and experiences, has established itself as the synonymous name in this space, overshadowing its competitors. Entering 2023, concerns arose among investors regarding Airbnb's ability to generate sufficient demand due to a slowing economy. However, the first quarter proved otherwise, as the company experienced a 20% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $1.8 billion. Nevertheless, a slowdown is anticipated, as management expects 14% growth (at the midpoint) in the second quarter. This deceleration can be attributed, in part, to challenging year-over-year comparisons, as the second quarter of 2022 witnessed a surge in demand following the easing of COVID-related restrictions. Looking ahead, analysts on Wall Street project a 13% revenue growth for 2023, followed by another 13% in 2024. While these figures fall short of the 20% or higher growth rates Airbnb achieved in the past year, they still surpass the industry average and remain impressive for a company of Airbnb's magnitude. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by legacyFXofficial
$ABNB Breaking Over 40 Week MA!I went long yesterday (5/31) afternoon just before the close as NASDAQ:ABNB broke over the 40 WMA with a stop below the day low. I added again this morning on its follow through. ABNB may still be actionable if it fits your trading style. I will be looking to add to my existing position once it clears the 50 DMA. See the notes on the chart for additional thoughts. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Thanks for looking. Constructive comments welcome.
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by jaxdog