4AMZN trade ideas
AMZN - Breakout Long Idea from here at $168Breakout ($175+) multiday swing long idea from this position around $168 - stop very close at $167. The flush on the 13th was the first signal and I'm now looking for the push to the upside over the course of the next few days.
AMZN in a triangle pattern LONGAMZN on the 15 minute time frame is in a relative symmetrical triangle pattern. A volume
profile and intermediate term anchored VWAP are overlaid. They validate one another since
the POC line and the mean anchored VWAP line up. Price is below both of them. My forecast
is that price will rise and temporarily so sideways in the high volume and volatility zone
of VWAP / POC and then ascend higher as that tug o war is finalized. My long target for now
is 170.35 as the top boundary line of the high volume area of the VP. This is a good trade
for shares on margin to get some juice into the trade. I will instead take call options for
March 16th striking $ 172 for some leverage and beyond linear RIO. AMZN is good to go.
Admittedly, this is an early bird trade. I see the risk as minimal.
The continuation of the bull market on AmazonDear Friends,
I hope this message finds you well and that you're having a great start to the week. I wish you success in your business endeavors.
As someone interested in the Elliott Wave principle, I find it a valuable tool for analyzing the market. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering various scenarios that are likely to occur in the market.
I am sharing my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. I aim to share my unbiased analysis with you so that you can use it as a guide to make informed decisions.
In the attachment, you will find my previous analysis of the same market, so you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand (although having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily).
I have been studying the Elliott Wave principle for almost three years now. With time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has increased. What I have achieved so far is a legacy of a genius named Ralph Nelson Elliott, and I am truly satisfied with my progress. May his soul rest in peace and his memory be cherished.
Thank you for your support so far. I am grateful and will always remember your kindness. Please feel free to share your thoughts and feedback with me.
I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best.
Sincerely,
AMAZON -15% dip possible. Take advantage of it.It has been 3 months (Nov 17 2023, see chart below) since our last buy trade on Amazon (AMZN), which hit both Targets:
February opened with a big gap upwards and the stock has been consolidating ever since. This consolidation, along with the completion of a 1D MACD Bearish Cross last week, is indicative of a top formation. In fact it is similar with the starting sequence of the last Higher High (September 14 2023) of the 1-year Channel Up.
The first pull-back/ technical correction of this pattern was a -22.61% decline and the second -18.83%. If the corrections are on a -4% progression, we can assume a -14.60% decline this time. That falls marginally below the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (assuming the 2.0 Fib extension from the October 26 2023 bottom will be the peak).
As a result, we are expecting $155.00 as a fair pull-back currently and buy entry for the long-term. A break below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), will be the technical confirmation of the sell signal.
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AMAZONWhen I made this song, I was at One Sound Studio in Memphis, South Memphis. I recorded “Shotta Flow” there, “Shotta Flow 2” there. That was where I recorded my first song at, actually. The first song I ever recorded. One Sound’s home, pretty much. Minus, he sent the beat to my phone. He did the “Shotta Flow” beat. I worked with him in the past. I was like, “Bruh, this beat a song,”. I was tryin to dissect it. I was like, “What i'mma do wit it?” And I had to just listen ‘til I really found out what I wanted to do with the beat. I usually freestyle on my songs. But I wrote most of this song. I wrote the hook. The hook especially 'cause I knew that was the grabber of the song. That was the part I really, know what I’m sayin’, put my most focus on. When I said, “Before you try rob, hit your knees and pray to Buddha,” -NLE
Is the rest for AMZN short-lived LONGAMZN on the 60 minute chart since earnings shows the jump and the sideways consolidation
after that. Here the RSI is superimposed on the chart within its own 0-100 scale. It is currently
in what should be considered deep undervalued territory and at RSI support /demand. The
William's Alligator set of moving averages shows MA compression and so convergence.
AMZN's price is now in a tight range with volatility likewise compressed especially compared
with that at earnings. In short price is coiled, the potential energy is ready to get converted
to kinetic for those who have an understanding of classical physics.
All that said, I see AMZN as ready to roll. I will take long trades in shares and options as
AMZN is ready to hit the ground running.
AMZN Entry, Volume, Target, StopEntry: with price above 147.29
Volume: with volume greater than 63.87M
Target: 168.47 area (this is an area, you might consider existing early if price drops below a significant moving average such as the 20 or 50 EMA. You might also considering holding some portion of the trade longer as price closes above significant moving averages)
Stop: Depending on your risk tolerance; Based on an entry of 147.30, 142.00 gets you 4/1 Reward to Risk Ratio.
This LONG swing trade idea is not trade advice and is strictly based on my ideas and technical analysis. No due diligence or fundamental analysis was performed while evaluating this trade idea. Do not take this trade based on my idea, do not follow anyone blindly, do your own analysis and due diligence. I am not a professional trader.
$AMZN Momentum IndicatorNASDAQ:AMZN Momentum Indicator, strong uptrend conditions. A momentum indicator is a technical analysis tool used to measure the rate at which the price of a security is changing. It compares the current price of an asset to its price at a previous point in time, typically over a specified period. This comparison helps traders and investors gauge the strength and direction of price movements. Momentum indicators are often used to identify potential trend reversals, confirm the strength of an existing trend, or generate buy and sell signals. Examples of popular momentum indicators include the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Stochastic Oscillator.
** AMZN Price Action Review ** Going Over AMZN price action for last month. rumors are that Jeff and his wife are selling lots of shares. AMZN has a lot of headwinds and the pattern we see supports this scenario. What to expect and where are the actionable areas.
#AMZN Forming a head & shoulders on the dailyLooks to me like amazon is trying to form this mini Head and shoulders top. Should the neckline at $167.50 break, the target pretty much takes you to the gap close level at $160.00 which is where we gapped from recent results. Recent reports that Jeff Bezos has sold up to $6bn of stock in amazon could sour sentiment slightly on the stock. We also had some bad retail sales for January in the US which could be seen as another negative for the stock.Also note how the MACD is about to roll over here. Aggressive traders could look to pre-empt this and short the right shoulder between 170-171 using a stop loss as a move above 172.50. More conservative traders to look for the break of the neckline at $167.50 in order to enter. Target to the gap at $160.00
AMZN - Update - IH&S building further liquidity for large BOWe are selling in a controlled manner within our teal channel - we broke out this morning initially of that channel and are now looking for bulls to continue to build liquidity within this channel before a larger breakout.
See you there!
Happy Trading :)
AMZN to $1881HR Chart
Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) has developed a bullish flagpole formation that is more easily seen on the hourly charts. This may serve as a continuation pattern that will launch AMZN to a 52 week high of $188 -- a level that hasn't been tested since July of 2021. Fibonacci retracement levels for the current trading pattern support the $188 ceiling as this value rests near the 168.1% level.
On-Balance Volume (OBV) has a positive slope which suggests that bullish investors are outpacing the bears. I also recently began using the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicators. While my experience with RSI and MACD is limited, the RSI appears to be approaching a bearish crossover before the MACD crosses above its signal line. I interpret this as a possible correction to the pennant support line (the 4th leg) with a near immediate recovery.
1D Chart
A share price in the $180s should be carefully watched as this level has been a significant area of resistance in the past. As tempted as I am to suggest it may be forming a double top, the middle trough dipped too low and it appears that AMZN may be trading in a horizontal channel. If AMZN surpasses the $188 price ceiling with significant volume then a 12 month price target of $250 is pragmatic. Should the opposite occur then a 12 month target of $80 could also be expected.
Amazon Long Trade IdeaWe are wedging between strong buying algorithms and controlled selling algorithms. Looking for the buying continuation to break us out of controlled selling channels and retake a strong level to then retest, act as support again, and attempt to retest new highs.
AMZN LONG (Breakout triggered)AMZN today bounced again hard off the 50SMA and the bottom of the channel.
$135.04 key level for NASDAQ:AMZN
As long as it holds that, it's on track to hit 147.69 and 152-156 (channel top) next.
Regardless of SPY/QQQ pullback recently - this has had relative strength and while some like AAPL are losing their status - GOOGL & AMZN have alot of catchup to do.
Originally I went long on this at $100 targeting 135 because of all the put writes. Once we built a base at 135 now continued upside with October and November flow seems likely
The stop loss on this trade is easy - would be a couple of closes under 127.
AMZN PROJECTION 2024Amazon projection for the 1st and 2nd quarter.
In Feb a lot of money was eliminated from the stock.
THE MARKET IS MARKETINGDXY got a shot in the arm so commodities and indexes are falling. Although, I don't know how long it's going to last... Is this the end of the S&P's new all-time high? Will USOIL rise back into the 80's? Market sentiment can change in an instant.
Bitcoin reached 50k and then retreated to 48.4k. It's now consolidating. Maybe we get a pullback to 49.3k or we continue the fall to trendline support at 44.3k. Gold is at a strong support as well around 1992k. I see a potential pullback to 2020k and potentially to the high end of the range to 2060k. If 1990 holds, we can ride the uptrend. If 1990 breaks, and rejects after a retest, we could see 1960 within the next week or two. If gold continues the break below 1925, we could be on the way to 1775k with a minor support in between at 1862.
Amazon (AMZN) Technical Analysis and Trade Idea#AMZN has demonstrated a robust bullish trend, recently leaving a notable price gap between 167 and 162. Given the extended move, a retracement back into this gap appears likely as the market seeks equilibrium before March.
Potential Trade Setup:
- Entry: Consider a short position near the current range high.
- Stop Loss: Employ a stop loss 1.5x the Average True Range (ATR) on the daily (1D) timeframe.
- Rationale: This setup targets potential overextension and aligns with the anticipated price rebalancing.
Important Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects my personal market interpretation and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own independent research and thorough risk assessment before making any trading decisions.
AMZN: Short term bull caseHello,
Looks like amazon want to take off.
It might reach ATH in next coming weeks as FED is in light mood and only stock which did not do well in tech sector.
I think above resistances will be hit one after the other easily.
May be when recession hits in 2024 Q2, it will go towards 82 again.
Cheers,
Happy investing.
Amazon Update: This chart is full of contradictionsAs the title suggests, this chart is not being friendly right now to say the least. I apologize for the messy graph, but there is so many possibilities right now it's ridiculous. The thing that is throwing me off, and making it hard to narrow down a count, is the MACD. The fact that it made a new high on 02 Feb really threw a wrench in things. Normally in a corrective count, the a wave should have the highest reading on MACD. Until that high, what I was calling the A wave did hold the highest reading. Hence the wrench.
Let's start by trying to simplify this thing. There are three main options for us to chose from.
White count - Price is topping in primary ((B)) wave
Turquoise ALT - Price is topping in wave 1 of larger V
Orange ALT - Price is in wave 3 of i and has a target of $187-$212
The white count is starting to become less and less likely IMO. MACD is the primary reason for this. It is suggesting Cycle wave IV completed on 05 Jan 2023, and is now suggesting we're in a new bull run with the recent high.
Turquoise count is supported by fib levels and somewhat MACD. I am leaning slightly towards the orange count vs this one.
Orange count gets most of its support from MACD. As I have said in the past, MACD usually gives the best hints as to where price has intentions of going. It's no sure-fire thing as no one indicator is. It has been more accurate & insightful than any other indicator that I have used though. If this count is correct, then it suggests we're in a mini-wave 3 of i with a couple smaller 4's & 5's yet to come inching us up to the orange target box. We would then start a wave ii retrace to the $130-$150 area.
As said above, the Amazon chart is very messy right now and not one I am willing to put my resources towards. If you're currently trading it, just make sure you have your stops set to protect your assets. If something crazy happens I will update again soon, but if not than it won't be until next week when I have more data that I will make a post on it again.
P.S: There is no clear winner as of now between the orange and yellow fibs.
Don't forget, beginning February 23rd, I will be dramatically changing my posting schedule here on trading view. My last regular post / update will be on that day.
Jeff Bezos' $2 Billion Amazon Stock Sell-Off: What Does It Mean?Amazon.com's ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) iconic founder Jeff Bezos recently offloaded approximately 12 million shares of the tech behemoth, amassing a staggering $2 billion in the process. This significant divestiture, disclosed in a regulatory filing last Friday, marks the commencement of a meticulously planned sell-off strategy laid out by Bezos himself, raising eyebrows and prompting speculation about the future trajectory of both the company and its visionary leader.
The timing of Bezos' share sale, strategically spread over two days—Wednesday and Thursday of last week—coincided with Amazon's ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) announcement regarding his intention to part ways with up to 50 million shares in the firm. This calculated move underscores Bezos' commitment to diversification and risk management, while also fueling conjecture regarding his long-term strategic vision for Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ).
According to Amazon's latest annual report, the sale plan was initiated on November 8, 2023, with a stipulated completion date of January 31, 2025, subject to certain conditions. This meticulous planning highlights Bezos' astute financial acumen and his proactive approach to wealth management, ensuring a smooth transition of assets while maintaining his position as a key stakeholder in the company he famously founded as an online bookseller in 1994.
Bezos, who relinquished the reins of Amazon's day-to-day operations in 2021, assuming the role of executive chairman, continues to wield considerable influence within the organization. With a net worth exceeding a staggering $200 billion, as per the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, Bezos remains an indomitable force in the global business landscape, shaping Amazon's strategic direction and cementing his legacy as one of the world's foremost entrepreneurs.
Despite Bezos' unprecedented success and unwavering confidence in Amazon's prospects, his decision to liquidate a substantial portion of his holdings raises pertinent questions about the company's growth trajectory and the broader e-commerce landscape. As Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) faces intensifying competition and regulatory scrutiny, Bezos' strategic maneuvering serves as a litmus test for investor sentiment and market dynamics in the post-pandemic era.
While Bezos' stock sell-off may be perceived as a prudent move to diversify his investment portfolio and mitigate risk, it also underscores the evolving nature of his relationship with Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN )—a company he nurtured from its humble beginnings into a global juggernaut. As Bezos charts a new course in his entrepreneurial journey, navigating uncharted waters and exploring new opportunities, the Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) faithful await with bated breath, eager to witness the next chapter in the company's storied evolution.
In conclusion, Jeff Bezos' $2 billion Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) stock sell-off symbolizes a pivotal moment in the company's history, emblematic of its founder's strategic foresight and unwavering commitment to long-term success. As Bezos redefines his role within Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) and embarks on new ventures, the legacy of innovation and disruption he leaves behind serves as a testament to his enduring legacy as a visionary leader in the digital age.
Spanish High Court Suspends Fine on Amazon and Apple Spanish High Court has decided to suspend fines totaling 194 million euros imposed on tech giants Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) and Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ). The fines, initially levied by the Spanish antitrust watchdog CNMC (Comisión Nacional de los Mercados y la Competencia) in July, are now pending appeal, marking a temporary halt to what has been a contentious legal battle.
The fines, amounting to 143.6 million euros for Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) and 50.5 million euros for Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), were imposed following allegations of collusion between the two companies to restrict competition in the sale of Apple products on Amazon's platform within Spain. CNMC accused the companies of engaging in anti-competitive behavior by preventing third-party retailers from selling Apple products on Amazon's Spanish marketplace.
The Appeal Process: Court Decision Suspends Fines Pending Appeal
Both Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) and Apple swiftly announced their intentions to appeal the fines when they were first imposed. Now, with the Spanish High Court's decision to suspend the fines, the appeal process can proceed without immediate financial repercussions for the tech giants. An Amazon spokesperson clarified that the suspension of the fine is standard procedure during the appeal process and does not indicate the court's stance on the case.
Contention and Defense: Differing Perspectives on the Allegations
Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) and Apple have consistently defended their actions, arguing that their collaboration aimed to benefit consumers and enhance the availability of genuine Apple products on Amazon's platform. Amazon asserted that the agreement with Apple led to an increase in discounts on Apple devices, while Apple emphasized its commitment to protecting customers from counterfeit products.
However, CNMC countered these claims, alleging that the agreement between Amazon and Apple contained clauses that stifled competition and limited the presence of third-party retailers selling Apple products on Amazon's platform. The regulator also accused Amazon of restricting the advertising opportunities for Apple's competitors on its website, further exacerbating the anti-competitive effects of the collaboration.
Impact Beyond Spain
While the focus of this case remains on Spain, its implications extend beyond national borders. A similar investigation was initiated in Italy against Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) and Apple, although it was ultimately dropped. The outcome of the appeal in Spain could set a precedent for future antitrust cases involving tech giants and their business practices across Europe and beyond.
Conclusion:
As the appeal process unfolds, the fate of the antitrust fines against Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) and Apple remains uncertain. The decision by the Spanish High Court to suspend the fines provides temporary relief for the tech giants, but the ultimate resolution of the case will have far-reaching consequences for competition in the digital marketplace. Until then, both companies await the final verdict, navigating a complex legal landscape shaped by accusations of anti-competitive conduct.
